CAR @ PHI 4–3 · 2025-12-13

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
CAR	0	2	1	0	21
PHI	2	0	1	0	18

Story

– / 8

Result CAR 4–3 SOCall No lean · CAR 62%xG 3.10–2.22 · deserved CAR 65%Swing Grundstrom +34 3rd 12:49Method

Goals and penalties with PHI win probability
Time	Event	PHI win before	PHI win after
1st 3:57	PHI penalty · M. Michkov · tripping · 2 min
1st 10:04	Goal PHI · B. Brink	39%	57%
1st 17:34	Goal PHI · T. Zegras	59%	77%
2nd 9:11	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers	82%	64%
2nd 14:12	Goal CAR · A. Nikishin	66%	42%
2nd 16:54	PHI penalty · T. Zegras · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 12:26	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	44%	10%
3rd 12:49	Goal PHI · C. Grundstrom	10%	44%

On ice · final horn

CAR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
11J. StaalC	0:19	17:56	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	10-12
27N. EhlersL	0:19	18:04	23	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	–
19K. MillerD	0:19	22:43	28	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	–
52P. KochetkovG		64:47	SA18GA3SV%.833xGA2.22GSAx−0.78

PHI3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22C. DvorakC	0:19	17:35	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9-6
91C. GrundstromR	0:19	14:26	19	1	0	1	2	2	0	1	2	0-1
9J. DrysdaleD	1:01	21:52	26	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	–
33S. ErssonG		64:50	SA20GA3SV%.850xGA2.92GSAx−0.08

Goals

1st
Bobby Brink(1)
T. Zegras (1), T. Sanheim (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 PHI1st 10:04+18.057%
Trevor Zegras(1)
T. Konecny (1), J. Drysdale (1)
xG 0.21snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 PHI1st 17:34+17.177%
2nd
Nikolaj Ehlers(1)
S. Gostisbehere (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 PHI2nd 09:11+18.136%
Alexander Nikishin(1)
J. Nystrom (1), T. Hall (1)
xG 0.02slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 14:12+24.858%
3rd
Seth Jarvis(1)
A. Svechnikov (1), S. Gostisbehere (2)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR3rd 12:26+33.790%
Carl Grundstrom(1)
R. Abols (1), N. Juulsen (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 12:49+34.244%

ShootoutPHI T. Zegras –CAR S. Jarvis –PHI M. Michkov –CAR A. Svechnikov –PHI T. Konecny –CAR S. Aho –PHI B. Brink –CAR J. Blake G

Shots

CAR3.10 xG47 unblocked · 21 blocked47 unblocked · 21 blocked

PHI2.22 xG27 unblocked · 3 blocked27 unblocked · 3 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARPHI3Goals33.10xG2.2221Shots1847Unblocked2768Attempts306High danger30/2Power play0/027Faceoffs3519Hits283Blocks216Takeaways313Giveaways180PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	25:58	0	2	2	1	5	0.24	−0.24	0	0	1	1	—	+1
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	23:45	0	0	0	2	6	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	2	—	-1
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	22:53	0	0	0	1	7	0.27	−0.27	1	0	2	1	—	-1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	22:12	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	1	0	1	0	—	0
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	21:25	0	0	0	2	5	0.06	−0.06	1	0	2	0	—	+1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	18:51	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	1	38%	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	18:16	0	0	0	3	5	0.40	−0.40	0	0	0	0	60%	+1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	18:14	1	0	1	2	8	0.27	+0.73	0	0	0	0	—	+1
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	18:06	0	0	0	2	3	0.23	−0.23	0	0	0	2	45%	-1
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	17:24	1	0	1	3	5	0.66	+0.34	5	1	0	0	0%	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	17:11	0	1	1	0	3	0.19	−0.19	1	1	0	0	—	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	16:39	0	0	0	1	6	0.24	−0.24	2	0	0	0	—	-1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	15:54	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	—	-1
64J. NystromJoel NystromD	13:49	0	1	1	1	1	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	0	—	+1
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	13:26	1	0	1	1	3	0.06	+0.94	2	0	0	2	—	0
71T. HallTaylor HallL	11:48	0	1	1	0	3	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	2	—	0
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	10:18	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	0	—	0
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	8:54	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	0	30%	0
CAR total		3	5	8	21	68	3.10	−0.10	19	3	6	11	44%

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Jarvis+0.50

Ehlers+0.42

Svechnikov+0.24

Hall−0.10

Robinson−0.23

Jankowski−0.24

Stankoven−0.24

Staal−0.34

Martinook−0.36

Carrier−0.37

Blake−0.41

Aho−0.42

Defence

Nikishin+0.37

Gostisbehere+0.33

Nystrom+0.19

Walker+0.05

Miller−0.16

Chatfield−0.24

Goalie

Kochetkov−0.76

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	13:55	21	15	4	78.9%	2	3	0	1	0.20	0.30	39.9%	−0.10	2	1	67%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	13:31	19	16	6	72.7%	6	4	1	0	0.67	0.42	61.4%	+0.25	2	1	67%
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	10:38	17	11	7	61.1%	2	4	1	1	0.69	0.43	61.5%	+0.26	7	1	88%
Robinson·Hall·Jankowski	8:03	14	5	2	71.4%	2	1	1	1	0.15	0.16	48.7%	−0.01	1	2	33%
Occasional · 5 groups
Martinook·Staal·Svechnikov	0:54	5	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.11	0.02	86.9%	+0.09	0	0	—
Ehlers·Hall·Stankoven	0:46	1	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.16	0.00	100.0%	+0.16	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	0:41	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Stankoven·Svechnikov·Blake	0:36	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Aho·Jarvis	0:30	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	55:57		59	24	71.1%	16	14	3	3	2.36	1.61	59.4%	+0.75

Goalies

Pyotr Kochetkov

CAR · 64:57

Saves: 15/18
SV%: .833
xGA: 2.22
GSAx: −0.78

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/14	.786	1.80	−1.20
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	4/4	1.000	0.43	+0.43
High danger	1/2	.500	0.67	−0.33

Samuel Ersson

PHI · 65:00

Saves: 18/21
SV%: .857
xGA: 3.10
GSAx: +0.10

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/18	.833	2.78	−0.22
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.32	+0.32
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	1.01	+0.01

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

25:58Gostisbehere
23:45Walker
22:53Miller
22:12Chatfield
13:49Nystrom
13:26Nikishin

21:25Blake
18:51Aho
18:16Stankoven
18:14Ehlers
18:06Staal
17:24Jarvis
17:11Svechnikov
16:39Martinook
15:54Carrier
11:48Hall
10:18Robinson
8:54Jankowski

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARPHI

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD1 O7
ChatfieldD0 O5
WalkerD3 O2
NikishinD1 O0
NystromD1 O0
MillerD4 O1
AhoD1 O8
JarvisD1 O8
SvechnikovD0 O6
StaalD2 O3
MartinookD1 O2
CarrierD1 O2
StankovenD1 O2
BlakeD1 O2
EhlersD2 O2
HallD2 O1
JankowskiD2 O1
RobinsonD2 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period