UTA @ BUF 2–1 · 2025-11-04

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
UTA	0	0	1	1	35
BUF	0	0	1	0	18

Story

– / 7

Result UTA 2–1 OTCall No lean · UTA 53%xG 3.82–1.81 · deserved UTA 81%Swing Keller +49 OT 0:47Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 12:45	UTA penalty · B. Tanev · cross checking · 2 min
1st 17:44	UTA penalty · M. Carcone · tripping · 2 min
2nd 5:49	BUF penalty · B. Byram · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 15:09	BUF penalty · J. Doan · hooking · 2 min
3rd 3:58	Goal UTA · N. Schmaltz	48%	20%
3rd 7:50	Goal BUF · N. Ostlund	17%	48%
OT 0:47	Goal UTA · C. Keller	49%	0%

On ice · final horn

UTA3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9C. KellerR	0:42	20:07	23	0	1	1	5	10	0	0	0	–
11D. GuentherR	0:47	16:49	18	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	–
98M. SergachevD	0:47	24:53	31	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	2	–
70K. VejmelkaG		60:41	SA18GA1SV%.944xGA1.81GSAx+0.81

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22J. QuinnR	0:13	16:55	23	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	–
89A. TuchR	0:47	21:03	25	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	2	0-1
26R. DahlinD	0:47	23:39	25	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	–
34A. LyonG		60:47	SA34GA1SV%.971xGA3.68GSAx+2.68

Goals

3rd
Nick Schmaltz(1)
C. Keller (1), J. Marino (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 UTA3rd 03:58+28.180%
Noah Ostlund(1)
I. Rosen (1)
xG 0.31snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied3rd 07:50+31.048%
OT
Clayton Keller(1)
M. Sergachev (1), K. Vejmelka (1)
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 UTAOT 00:47+48.6100%

Shots

UTA3.82 xG54 unblocked · 25 blocked54 unblocked · 25 blocked

BUF1.81 xG27 unblocked · 9 blocked27 unblocked · 9 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

UTABUF2Goals13.82xG1.8135Shots1854Unblocked2779Attempts365High danger30/2Power play0/230Faceoffs2015Hits209Blocks254Takeaways415Giveaways114PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
98M. SergachevMikhail SergachevD	24:53	0	1	1	1	7	0.07	−0.07	1	2	1	2	—	0	0
6J. MarinoJohn MarinoD	21:09	0	1	1	2	8	0.16	−0.16	1	0	0	1	—	0	+1
8N. SchmaltzNick SchmaltzC	20:46	1	0	1	3	5	0.32	+0.68	0	0	0	0	29%	0	+1
88N. SchmidtNate SchmidtD	20:40	0	0	0	2	6	0.17	−0.17	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
9C. KellerClayton KellerR	20:07	1	1	2	6	11	0.69	+0.31	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
28I. ColeIan ColeD	19:01	0	0	0	1	4	0.24	−0.24	0	1	0	2	—	0	0
11D. GuentherDylan GuentherR	16:49	0	0	0	2	7	0.24	−0.24	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
26D. SimashevDmitri SimashevD	16:49	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	1	—	0	-1
92L. CooleyLogan CooleyC	16:40	0	0	0	1	2	0.23	−0.23	1	0	1	2	50%	0	-1
27B. HaytonBarrett HaytonC	16:24	0	0	0	5	6	0.44	−0.44	0	0	0	1	63%	0	+1
77J. PeterkaJJ PeterkaR	15:37	0	0	0	3	5	0.17	−0.17	0	0	1	1	—	0	-1
2O. MaattaOlli MaattaD	14:01	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
82K. StenlundKevin StenlundC	13:53	0	0	0	1	3	0.22	−0.22	1	0	0	0	78%	0	0
67L. CrouseLawson CrouseL	13:30	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	1	0%	0	0
22J. McBainJack McBainC	13:25	0	0	0	3	4	0.36	−0.36	2	1	1	0	100%	0	0
56K. YamamotoKailer YamamotoR	12:42	0	0	0	1	1	0.10	−0.10	0	2	0	0	50%	0	0
53M. CarconeMichael CarconeL	11:44	0	0	0	3	6	0.40	−0.40	4	0	0	0	—	2	0
13B. TanevBrandon TanevL	10:17	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	—	2	0
70K. VejmelkaKarel VejmelkaG	0:00	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
UTA total		2	4	6	35	79	3.82	−1.82	15	9	4	14	60%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Keller+1.13

Schmaltz+0.43

McBain+0.05

Yamamoto−0.02

Hayton−0.12

Crouse−0.13

Cooley−0.14

Carcone−0.20

Stenlund−0.23

Tanev−0.26

Guenther−0.28

Peterka−0.36

Defence

Sergachev+0.37

Marino+0.30

Cole+0.13

Schmidt+0.05

Maatta−0.04

Simashev−0.16

Goalie

Vejmelka+0.82

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Schmaltz·Hayton·Keller	13:27	21	22	5	81.5%	13	2	1	0	1.10	0.30	78.4%	+0.80	7	0	100%
Cooley·Guenther·Peterka	11:11	16	12	9	57.1%	5	6	0	1	0.30	0.50	37.6%	−0.20	4	2	67%
Carcone·Crouse·McBain	8:45	15	14	3	82.4%	5	1	0	0	0.75	0.08	90.9%	+0.68	3	1	75%
Tanev·Stenlund·Yamamoto	8:10	13	5	8	38.5%	1	4	0	0	0.20	0.14	58.1%	+0.06	0	2	0%
Occasional · 4 groups
Carcone·Stenlund·Yamamoto	0:56	5	2	2	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.11	0.01	93.4%	+0.10	0	0	—
Schmaltz·Cooley·Peterka	0:33	5	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.18	0.0%	−0.18	0	0	—
Tanev·Schmaltz·Stenlund	0:33	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Crouse·Hayton·Keller	0:30	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
UTA 5v5	51:54		62	31	66.7%	28	16	1	1	2.79	1.55	64.3%	+1.24

Goalies

Karel Vejmelka

UTA · 60:41

Saves: 17/18
SV%: .944
xGA: 1.81
GSAx: +0.81

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/17	.941	1.64	+0.64
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.06	+0.06
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.11	+0.11
High danger	2/3	.667	0.71	−0.29

Alex Lyon

BUF · 60:47

Saves: 33/35
SV%: .943
xGA: 3.82
GSAx: +1.82

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/29	.931	2.93	+0.93
Power play	6/6	1.000	0.84	+0.84
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.05	+0.05
High danger	5/5	1.000	1.00	+1.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Utah Mammoth

Minutes

24:53Sergachev
21:09Marino
20:40Schmidt
19:01Cole
16:49Simashev
14:01Maatta

20:46Schmaltz
20:07Keller
16:49Guenther
16:40Cooley
16:24Hayton
15:37Peterka
13:53Stenlund
13:30Crouse
13:25McBain
12:42Yamamoto
11:44Carcone
10:17Tanev
0:00Vejmelka

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareUTABUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MarinoD2 O5
SchmidtD2 O3
SergachevD4 O5
SimashevD3 O4
MaattaD0 O0
ColeD1 O0
SchmaltzD0 O8
KellerD0 O7
HaytonD0 O7
GuentherD2 O5
McBainD1 O3
CooleyD2 O4
CarconeD1 O2
PeterkaD2 O3
CrouseD2 O2
TanevD2 O0
YamamotoD2 O0
StenlundD3 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period