NSH @ VGK 3–2 · 2026-11-13

NYR5VAN1Final

NashvilleNSHPredators3

Final/SONov 132026-11-13

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NSH	1	0	1	0	33
VGK	1	1	0	0	42

T-Mobile Arena

VegasVGKGolden Knights2

CallNo lean · 64% VGK

Star 1J. Saros.952 SV%
Star 2A. Hill.939 SV%
Star 3R. Josi0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+142Moneyline-170+1.5 -180Puck line-1.5 +150O +114Total 6.5U -135+190RegulationTie +320 +100

Season odds

63%71%+8.4Playoffs100%100%±0.00.6%0.7%+0.1Cup8.9%9.3%+0.4

Story

– / 9

Result NSH 3–2 SOCall No lean · VGK 64%Market VGK 61%xG 3.35–3.77 · deserved VGK 57%Swing O'Reilly +30 3rd 9:44Method

Goals and penalties with VGK win probability
Time	Event	VGK win before	VGK win after
1st 7:56	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly	63%	46%
1st 11:19	Goal VGK · V. Olofsson	45%	63%
2nd 3:37	VGK penalty · D. Coghlan · holding · 2 min
2nd 5:25	NSH penalty · S. Stamkos · tripping · 2 min
2nd 10:09	VGK penalty · T. Hertl · boarding · 2 min
2nd 10:09	NSH penalty · R. O'Reilly · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:48	Goal VGK · R. Andersson	60%	80%
3rd 2:24	VGK penalty · I. Barbashev · holding · 2 min
3rd 9:44	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly	88%	57%

On ice · final horn

NSH3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
90R. O'ReillyC	0:11	20:53	26	2	0	2	4	5	2	0	1	11-10
9F. ForsbergL	0:20	22:13	24	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	–
59R. JosiD	1:05	31:20	32	0	1	1	3	9	0	0	2	–
74J. SarosG		64:40	SA42GA2SV%.952xGA3.77GSAx+1.77

VGK3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
48T. HertlC	0:52	15:33	20	0	1	1	3	4	2	1	0	7-4
95V. OlofssonL	0:52	15:03	18	1	0	1	4	6	0	0	0	–
27S. TheodoreD	1:05	23:19	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	–
33A. HillG		64:40	SA33GA2SV%.939xGA3.18GSAx+1.18

Goals

1st
Ryan O'Reilly(8)
S. Stamkos (10), M. Bourque (5)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NSH1st 07:56+17.454%
Victor Olofsson(6)
I. Barbashev (12), T. Hertl (7)
xG 0.47wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 11:19+18.063%
2nd
Rasmus Andersson(3)
M. Marner (21), P. Wotherspoon (1)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 VGK2nd 10:48+20.180%
3rd
Ryan O'Reilly(9)
A. Wilsby (7), R. Josi (21)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 09:44+30.343%

Shootout

NSHWins

2–1

VGK

4 rounds · sudden death · VGK first

NSH shootersHill 2/4 SV

S. StamkosSavebackhandSave
Rd 10–0
B. BowmanMissbackhandMiss
R. O'ReillySavewristSave
Rd 20–1
T. ConnellyGoalwristGoal
F. ForsbergGoalwristGoal
Rd 31–1
M. MarnerSavewristSave
R. JosiWinnerwristGoalWinnerClip(opens nhl.com)
Rd 42–1Not needed

VGK shootersSaros 1/2 SV

Shots

Shooters

NSH3.35 xG47 unblocked · 22 blocked47 unblocked · 22 blocked

VGK3.77 xG53 unblocked · 9 blocked53 unblocked · 9 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHVGK2Goals23.35xG3.7733Shots4247Unblocked5369Attempts6210High danger60/2Power play0/133Faceoffs3418Hits209Blocks227Takeaways415Giveaways144PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	31:40	0	1	1	3	9	0.42	−0.42	0	2	0	1	—	0	+1
2A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	28:31	0	1	1	2	2	0.03	−0.03	1	1	0	2	—	0	+1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	22:33	0	0	0	1	5	0.35	−0.35	2	0	1	4	—	0	0
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	21:13	2	0	2	4	5	0.41	+1.59	0	0	2	2	52%	2	+2
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	20:33	0	1	1	2	4	0.27	−0.27	0	0	1	0	56%	2	+2
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	18:59	0	0	0	2	7	0.12	−0.12	0	0	1	1	—	0	-1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	18:38	0	0	0	1	1	0.27	−0.27	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
18J. DruryJack DruryC	17:35	0	0	0	4	6	0.41	−0.41	0	1	1	0	50%	0	-1
22M. BourqueMavrik BourqueC	16:44	0	1	1	0	4	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
14A. KerfootAlexander KerfootC	15:56	0	0	0	2	4	0.24	−0.24	1	1	0	0	40%	0	0
21N. HoglanderNils HoglanderL	14:52	0	0	0	3	7	0.24	−0.24	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
79R. ColtonRoss ColtonC	14:42	0	0	0	2	5	0.10	−0.10	5	0	1	1	—	0	-1
15S. WrightShane WrightC	14:21	0	0	0	2	3	0.03	−0.03	2	1	0	0	44%	0	-1
84A. EdstromAdam EdstromC	13:37	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
3J. StrubleJayden StrubleD	12:48	0	0	0	2	2	0.04	−0.04	1	2	0	2	—	0	0
52D. HuntDaemon HuntD	11:05	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	9:33	0	0	0	1	1	0.11	−0.11	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
51V. PinchukVitali PinchukC	7:40	0	0	0	1	1	0.30	−0.30	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
NSH total		2	4	6	33	69	3.35	−1.35	18	9	7	14	49%	4

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

O'Reilly7.9

Stamkos5.5

Bourque5.1

Wright5.0

Schaefer4.9

Pinchuk4.9

Kerfoot4.6

Edstrom4.6

Hoglander4.4

Colton3.6

Drury3.6

Forsberg3.4

Defence

Wilsby7.1

Josi6.4

Struble5.0

Hunt4.4

Perbix4.3

Skjei3.4

Goalie

Saros7.5

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Drury·Colton·Edstrom	11:10	19	13	14	48.1%	4	11	0	1	0.41	0.87	32.1%	−0.46	0	6	0%
Forsberg·Hoglander·Wright	10:30	13	14	9	60.9%	7	4	0	0	0.71	0.66	51.9%	+0.05	2	0	100%
Bourque·O'Reilly·Stamkos	9:17	13	13	12	52.0%	3	8	1	0	0.52	0.67	43.5%	−0.16	2	1	67%
Schaefer·Kerfoot·Pinchuk	5:59	10	4	7	36.4%	3	5	0	0	0.33	0.60	35.1%	−0.27	0	1	0%
Occasional · 11 groups
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	2:02	5	3	0	100.0%	2	0	1	0	0.14	0.00	100.0%	+0.14	5	0	100%
Schaefer·Kerfoot·Bourque	1:25	3	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	0	0	—
Kerfoot·O'Reilly·Stamkos	1:13	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.19	0.00	100.0%	+0.19	1	0	100%
Drury·Bourque·Stamkos	1:05	5	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Forsberg·Hoglander·Drury	1:00	6	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·Hoglander·O'Reilly	0:51	3	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	1	0	100%
Kerfoot·Bourque·Stamkos	0:46	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
Hoglander·Wright·Colton	0:43	2	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.27	0.00	100.0%	+0.27	0	0	—
Colton·Edstrom·O'Reilly	0:38	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Schaefer·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:35	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	1	0	100%
Forsberg·Drury·Colton	0:34	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 41 brief groups	4:24		2	4	33.3%	1	3	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14
NSH 5v5	52:12		56	52	51.9%	24	35	2	1	2.72	3.04	47.2%	−0.33

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 65:00

Saves: 40/42
SV%: .952
GAA: 1.85
xGA: 3.77
GSAx: +1.77

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	38/40	.950	3.66	+1.66
Power play	0/0	—	0.11	+0.11
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	4/6	.667	1.43	−0.57

Adin Hill

VGK · 65:00

Saves: 31/33
SV%: .939
GAA: 1.85
xGA: 3.35
GSAx: +1.35

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/30	.933	3.27	+1.27
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.05	+0.05
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.03	+0.03
High danger	7/8	.875	2.04	+1.04

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

31:40Josi
28:31Wilsby
18:59Skjei
18:38Perbix
12:48Struble
11:05Hunt

22:33Forsberg
21:13O'Reilly
20:33Stamkos
17:35Drury
16:44Bourque
15:56Kerfoot
14:52Hoglander
14:42Colton
14:21Wright
13:37Edstrom
9:33Schaefer
7:40Pinchuk

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHVGKGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

33–3449%

D 50%11–11N 45%9–11O 52%13–12 2 won into a shot

VGK attacks1111NSH DZ 50% VGK OZ

Neutral911NSH NZ 45% VGK NZ

NSH attacks1312NSH OZ 52% VGK DZ

34–3351%

D 48%12–13N 55%11–9O 50%11–11 8 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD2 O8
StrubleD1 O2
HuntD1 O1
WilsbyD3 O3
SkjeiD5 O1
PerbixD5 O1
StamkosD0 O10
O'ReillyD1 O9
ForsbergD0 O8
BourqueD0 O3
KerfootD1 O3
HoglanderD0 O2
WrightD0 O2
SchaeferD0 O1
PinchukD0 O0
ColtonD5 O0
DruryD7 O0
EdstromD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period