SJS @ TOR 1–3 · 2026-10-19

San JoseSJSSharks1

FinalOct 192026-10-19

Team	1	2	3	SOG
SJS	1	0	0	31
TOR	0	1	2	32

Scotiabank Arena

TorontoTORMaple Leafs3

CallNo lean · 57% TOR

Star 1S. Bobrovsky.968 SV%
Star 2A. Matthews1G 2A
Star 3Y. Askarov.935 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

+114Moneyline-135+1.5 -218Puck line-1.5 +180O -142Total 6.5U +120+155RegulationTie +330 +120

Season odds

22%18%−4.4Playoffs11%9.7%−0.80.1%0.1%±0.0Cup0.1%0.1%±0.0

Story

– / 15

Result TOR 3–1Call No lean · TOR 57%Market TOR 56%xG 3.47–4.14 · deserved TOR 60%Swing McKenna +27 3rd 4:56Method

Goals and penalties with TOR win probability
Time	Event	TOR win before	TOR win after
1st 7:18	TOR penalty · Z. MacEwen · slashing · 2 min
1st 11:41	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · tripping · 2 min
1st 13:54	Goal SJS · M. Marchment	56%	38%
1st 15:25	SJS penalty · J. Trouba · tripping · 2 min
1st 16:23	SJS penalty · D. Orlov · tripping · 2 min
2nd 4:16	SJS penalty · W. Smith · tripping · 2 min
2nd 14:59	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 19:41	SJS penalty · M. Marchment · too many men on the ice · 2 min
2nd 19:48	Goal TOR · A. Matthews (PP)	28%	54%
3rd 3:37	SJS penalty · L. Cagnoni · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 4:56	Goal TOR · G. McKenna (PP)	54%	81%
3rd 11:40	TOR penalty · T. Stecher · hooking · 2 min
3rd 16:20	TOR penalty · N. Paul · roughing · 2 min
3rd 16:20	SJS penalty · K. Sherwood · slashing · 2 min
3rd 19:20	Goal TOR · N. Paul (EN)	98%	99%

On ice · final horn

SJS5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
77M. MisaC	0:40	14:30	18	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	6-6
44K. SherwoodL	0:40	13:35	20	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	–
51C. GrafR	0:40	14:21	20	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	1-1
6S. DickinsonD	0:40	18:02	26	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	–
7M. KesselringD	0:12	21:23	26	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	1	–
30Y. AskarovG		58:59	SA31GA2SV%.935xGA3.61GSAx+1.61

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
73T. BluegerC	0:40	11:52	19	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	1-4
24B. DuhaimeL	0:40	10:42	18	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	0-1
19Z. MacEwenR	0:40	5:56	12	0	0	0	2	3	2	1	0	0-1
28T. StecherD	0:40	20:13	27	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	1	–
44M. RiellyD	0:40	21:05	30	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	1	–
72S. BobrovskyG		60:00	SA31GA1SV%.968xGA3.47GSAx+2.47

Goals

1st
Mason Marchment(1)
T. Toffoli (1)
xG 0.16backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 SJS1st 13:54+18.062%
2nd
Auston Matthews(1)PP
K. Marchenko (1), D. Raddysh (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 19:48+26.254%
3rd
Gavin McKenna(1)PP
A. Matthews (1), W. Nylander (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 TOR3rd 04:56+27.581%
Nick Paul(1)EN
A. Matthews (2), C. Sissons (1)
xG 0.53wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 TOR3rd 19:20+1.099%

Shots

Shooters

SJS3.47 xG47 unblocked · 15 blocked47 unblocked · 15 blocked

TOR4.14 xG56 unblocked · 10 blocked56 unblocked · 10 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SJSTOR1Goals33.47xG4.1431Shots3247Unblocked5662Attempts666High danger80/4Power play2/531Faceoffs3219Hits1510Blocks156Takeaways418Giveaways1212PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
25D. NurseDarnell NurseD	23:53	0	0	0	3	5	0.25	−0.25	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
2W. SmithWill SmithC	22:03	0	0	0	4	6	0.65	−0.65	2	0	0	2	67%	2	-1
71M. CelebriniMacklin CelebriniC	21:59	0	0	0	5	9	0.55	−0.55	0	0	0	0	50%	0	-1
7M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	21:23	0	0	0	2	4	0.03	−0.03	1	1	1	1	—	0	+1
65J. TroubaJacob TroubaD	20:20	0	0	0	1	4	0.21	−0.21	0	2	0	0	—	2	0
6S. DickinsonSam DickinsonD	18:02	0	0	0	2	2	0.17	−0.17	1	0	1	2	—	0	0
21A. WennbergAlexander WennbergC	16:29	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	0	36%	0	0
92I. ChernyshovIgor ChernyshovL	15:59	0	0	0	2	3	0.18	−0.18	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
27M. MarchmentMason MarchmentL	15:52	1	0	1	4	8	0.58	+0.42	1	0	0	1	100%	0	0
9D. OrlovDmitry OrlovD	15:21	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	2	1	0	3	—	2	-1
77M. MisaMichael MisaC	14:30	0	0	0	1	5	0.23	−0.23	1	0	1	1	50%	0	+1
41I. StenbergIvar StenbergL	14:27	0	0	0	1	1	0.05	−0.05	0	0	1	2	0%	0	-1
51C. GrafCollin GrafR	14:21	0	0	0	2	2	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	0	50%	0	0
73T. ToffoliTyler ToffoliC	13:36	0	1	1	2	5	0.24	−0.24	0	0	0	2	0%	0	0
44K. SherwoodKiefer SherwoodL	13:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	1	—	2	0
42L. CagnoniLuca CagnoniD	12:52	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	0	3	0	1	—	2	+1
23B. GoodrowBarclay GoodrowC	8:48	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	1	0%	0	0
63Z. OstapchukZack OstapchukC	8:05	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	0	80%	0	0
SJS total		1	1	2	31	62	3.47	−2.47	19	9	6	18	49%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Toffoli+0.32

Marchment+0.31

Chernyshov−0.07

Misa−0.10

Ostapchuk−0.11

Celebrini−0.11

Wennberg−0.16

Goodrow−0.30

Sherwood−0.32

Graf−0.39

Stenberg−0.41

Smith−0.43

Defence

Cagnoni+0.17

Dickinson0.00

Kesselring−0.15

Trouba−0.17

Orlov−0.27

Nurse−0.38

Goalie

Askarov+1.63

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Chernyshov·Smith·Celebrini	11:46	17	19	9	67.9%	14	5	0	0	1.39	0.41	77.1%	+0.97	5	1	83%
Marchment·Wennberg·Toffoli	7:40	13	10	6	62.5%	5	4	0	0	0.50	0.20	71.4%	+0.30	2	2	50%
Stenberg·Sherwood·Misa	7:00	10	4	10	28.6%	2	6	0	0	0.26	0.36	42.2%	−0.10	2	3	40%
Goodrow·Ostapchuk·Graf	4:42	8	2	6	25.0%	0	1	0	0	0.10	0.14	42.1%	−0.04	0	5	0%
Occasional · 8 groups
Sherwood·Ostapchuk·Graf	1:32	3	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Marchment·Toffoli·Misa	1:04	3	3	0	100.0%	2	0	1	0	0.21	0.00	100.0%	+0.21	0	0	—
Smith·Celebrini·Graf	1:00	2	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.19	0.12	60.7%	+0.07	1	0	100%
Marchment·Sherwood·Misa	0:57	5	3	1	75.0%	0	0	0	0	0.15	0.02	90.5%	+0.13	0	0	—
Stenberg·Sherwood·Celebrini	0:53	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.27	0.0%	−0.27	0	0	—
Smith·Goodrow·Celebrini	0:44	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Sherwood·Misa·Graf	0:40	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Chernyshov·Smith·Wennberg	0:36	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Other 33 brief groups	4:01		1	7	12.5%	1	4	0	0	0.01	0.19	3.4%	−0.19
SJS 5v5	42:35		45	46	49.5%	27	22	1	0	2.87	1.92	60.0%	+0.95

Goalies

Yaroslav Askarov

SJS · 58:59

Saves: 29/31
SV%: .935
GAA: 2.03
xGA: 3.61
GSAx: +1.61

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/22	1.000	1.95	+1.95
Power play	3/5	.600	1.15	−0.85
Shorthanded	4/4	1.000	0.50	+0.50
High danger	3/3	1.000	1.22	+1.22

Sergei Bobrovsky

TOR · 60:00

Saves: 30/31
SV%: .968
GAA: 1.00
xGA: 3.47
GSAx: +2.47

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/28	.964	3.03	+2.03
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.44	+0.44
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/6	.833	1.05	+0.05

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

San Jose Sharks

Minutes

23:53Nurse
21:23Kesselring
20:20Trouba
18:02Dickinson
15:21Orlov
12:52Cagnoni

22:03Smith
21:59Celebrini
16:29Wennberg
15:59Chernyshov
15:52Marchment
14:30Misa
14:27Stenberg
14:21Graf
13:36Toffoli
13:35Sherwood
8:48Goodrow
8:05Ostapchuk

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSJSTORGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

31–3249%

D 43%12–16N 77%10–3O 41%9–13 4 won into a shot

TOR attacks1216SJS DZ 43% TOR OZ

Neutral103SJS NZ 77% TOR NZ

SJS attacks913SJS OZ 41% TOR DZ

32–3151%

D 59%13–9N 23%3–10O 57%16–12 8 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

OrlovD1 O3
CagnoniD2 O3
DickinsonD5 O3
TroubaD7 O3
KesselringD8 O2
NurseD11 O3
SmithD1 O8
CelebriniD1 O8
ChernyshovD1 O6
WennbergD3 O6
StenbergD3 O6
ToffoliD2 O3
MarchmentD3 O4
MisaD3 O2
SherwoodD5 O1
OstapchukD7 O0
GoodrowD9 O0
GrafD10 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period