COL @ PHI 2–3 · 2026-10-19

ColoradoCOLAvalanche2

FinalOct 192026-10-19

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	0	1	1	26
PHI	1	1	1	24

Xfinity Mobile Arena

PhiladelphiaPHIFlyers3

CallNo lean · 29% PHI

Star 1M. Michkov2G 0A
Star 2T. Zegras0G 3A
Star 3N. Acciari1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-238Moneyline+195-1.5 +105Puck line+1.5 -125O +114Total 6.5U -135-135RegulationTie +350 +255

Season odds

100%99%−0.6Playoffs1.4%3.4%+2.025%20%−5.5Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 9

Result PHI 3–2Call No lean · COL 71%Market COL 69%xG 2.46–3.26 · deserved PHI 64%Swing Necas +21 2nd 17:52Method

Goals and penalties with PHI win probability
Time	Event	PHI win before	PHI win after
1st 7:07	COL penalty · G. Brindley · too many men on the ice · 2 min
1st 7:41	Goal PHI · M. Michkov (PP)	30%	47%
1st 7:41	COL penalty · G. Brindley · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
2nd 12:23	Goal PHI · M. Michkov	59%	79%
2nd 15:49	PHI penalty · T. Sanheim · roughing · 2 min
2nd 17:52	Goal COL · M. Necas	83%	63%
3rd 0:42	PHI penalty · S. Couturier · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 6:34	Goal PHI · N. Acciari	72%	91%
3rd 14:40	Goal COL · T. Hughes	98%	85%

On ice · final horn

COL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
11B. NelsonC	0:08	18:46	24	0	0	3	6	0	1	8-16
29N. MacKinnonC	2:13	24:20	22	0	0	1	6	0	0	8-10
91N. KadriC	2:11	21:17	21	0	0	1	7	0	0	5-2
71J. SchwartzL	2:06	16:27	18	0	0	3	4	0	0	–
13T. HughesR	2:02	16:54	16	1	1	2	5	1	0	–
8C. MakarD	2:11	23:38	21	0	0	4	8	1	0	–

PHI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22C. DvorakC	0:08	17:43	22	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	1	6-7
52N. AcciariC	0:08	18:31	22	1	0	1	4	6	0	3	2	4-6
27N. CatesL	0:08	13:47	18	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	3-6
6T. SanheimD	3:16	28:21	27	0	0	0	3	3	2	1	7	–
24N. SeelerD	2:20	23:40	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	–
53J. WollG		60:00	SA26GA2SV%.923xGA2.46GSAx+0.46

Goals

1st
Matvei Michkov(1)PP
D. Barkey (1), T. Zegras (1)
xG 0.40snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 PHI1st 07:41+16.947%
2nd
Matvei Michkov(2)
T. Zegras (2), N. Cates (1)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 PHI2nd 12:23+20.479%
Martin Necas(1)
A. Lehkonen (1), D. Toews (1)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 PHI2nd 17:52+20.737%
3rd
Noel Acciari(1)
O. Bonk (1), T. Zegras (3)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 PHI3rd 06:34+19.591%
T.J. Hughes(1)
F. Svechkov (1), S. Malinski (1)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 PHI3rd 14:40+12.715%

Shots

Shooters

COL2.46 xG42 unblocked · 26 blocked42 unblocked · 26 blocked

PHI3.26 xG33 unblocked · 17 blocked33 unblocked · 17 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLPHI2Goals32.46xG3.2626Shots2442Unblocked3368Attempts502High danger80/2Power play1/225Faceoffs3316Hits2617Blocks265Takeaways716Giveaways64PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	24:20	0	0	0	1	6	0.38	−0.38	0	0	0	3	44%	-2
8C. MakarCale MakarD	23:38	0	0	0	4	8	0.14	−0.14	1	0	0	1	—	-2
91N. KadriNazem KadriC	21:17	0	0	0	1	7	0.28	−0.28	0	0	0	1	71%	-1
7D. ToewsDevon ToewsD	20:48	0	1	1	1	4	0.08	−0.08	0	1	2	1	—	0
62A. LehkonenArtturi LehkonenL	19:06	0	1	1	2	2	0.28	−0.28	0	1	0	0	—	0
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	18:46	0	0	0	3	6	0.48	−0.48	0	0	0	1	33%	+1
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	17:40	1	0	1	2	4	0.13	+0.87	1	0	0	2	100%	0
13T. HughesT.J. HughesR	16:54	1	0	1	2	5	0.17	+0.83	1	0	0	0	—	+1
71J. SchwartzJaden SchwartzL	16:27	0	0	0	3	4	0.18	−0.18	0	0	1	1	—	+1
9F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	16:05	0	1	1	0	3	0.04	−0.04	2	1	1	1	43%	+1
27B. KulakBrett KulakD	16:00	0	0	0	2	4	0.01	−0.01	0	2	0	0	—	+1
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	15:52	0	0	0	1	4	0.01	−0.01	0	2	0	0	—	0
70S. MalinskiSam MalinskiD	14:40	0	1	1	2	5	0.07	−0.07	5	4	1	2	—	+1
92G. LandeskogGabriel LandeskogL	14:36	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	1	—	0
42J. MansonJosh MansonD	14:16	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	1	2	0	0	—	-1
17P. KellyParker KellyC	12:31	0	0	0	1	2	0.12	−0.12	2	1	0	0	0%	0
47N. JuulsenNoah JuulsenD	8:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	—	0
54G. BrindleyGavin BrindleyC	7:57	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0
COL total		2	4	6	26	68	2.46	−0.46	16	15	5	16	43%

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Hughes+0.42

Necas+0.25

Svechkov+0.24

Lehkonen+0.06

Schwartz−0.25

Landeskog−0.31

Kelly−0.32

Nelson−0.44

Kadri−0.48

MacKinnon−0.51

Brindley−0.54

Defence

Malinski+0.31

Juulsen+0.06

Makar+0.02

Kulak−0.05

Burns−0.11

Manson−0.11

Toews−0.13

Goalie

Blackwood−0.06

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Kadri	6:32	10	7	6	53.8%	4	3	0	1	0.22	0.15	60.2%	+0.07	5	0	100%
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Necas	5:49	9	5	4	55.6%	3	4	0	0	0.38	0.58	39.6%	−0.20	2	1	67%
Svechkov·Kelly·Brindley	5:33	9	1	7	12.5%	1	2	0	0	0.01	0.15	6.8%	−0.14	1	2	33%
Landeskog·Nelson·Kadri	5:29	8	7	3	70.0%	1	1	0	0	0.13	0.22	38.1%	−0.08	0	2	0%
Schwartz·Svechkov·Hughes	5:20	11	11	3	78.6%	5	1	1	0	0.28	0.03	91.1%	+0.25	1	0	100%
Landeskog·Nelson·Necas	4:46	7	7	1	87.5%	3	0	0	0	0.24	0.04	85.3%	+0.20	1	0	100%
Occasional · 11 groups
Svechkov·Kelly·Hughes	2:12	4	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schwartz·MacKinnon·Hughes	1:57	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	1	0	100%
Schwartz·Nelson·Hughes	1:28	4	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.24	0.00	100.0%	+0.24	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Schwartz·MacKinnon	1:27	2	3	1	75.0%	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	55.9%	+0.00	1	0	100%
Nelson·Kelly·Brindley	1:06	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	1	0	100%
MacKinnon·Necas·Kadri	1:03	2	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.17	0.0%	−0.17	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Landeskog·Nelson	0:58	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Nelson·Kadri	0:51	4	2	2	50.0%	0	2	0	0	0.03	0.14	18.1%	−0.11	0	0	—
Nelson·Kelly·Necas	0:51	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Schwartz·MacKinnon·Kadri	0:49	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	1	0	100%
Landeskog·MacKinnon·Necas	0:31	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Other 34 brief groups	4:42		8	1	88.9%	2	0	1	0	0.25	0.00	100.0%	+0.25
COL 5v5	51:24		58	37	61.1%	22	18	2	2	1.85	1.63	53.2%	+0.22

Goalies

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 57:58

Saves: 21/24
SV%: .875
GAA: 3.11
xGA: 2.92
GSAx: −0.08

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	1.63	−0.37
Power play	4/5	.800	1.08	+0.08
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.21	+0.21
High danger	4/5	.800	1.59	+0.59

Joseph Woll

PHI · 60:00

Saves: 24/26
SV%: .923
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 2.46
GSAx: +0.46

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	2.16	+0.16
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.30	+0.30
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.40	+0.40

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

23:38Makar
20:48Toews
16:00Kulak
15:52Burns
14:40Malinski
14:16Manson
8:35Juulsen

24:20MacKinnon
21:17Kadri
19:06Lehkonen
18:46Nelson
17:40Necas
16:54Hughes
16:27Schwartz
16:05Svechkov
14:36Landeskog
12:31Kelly
7:57Brindley

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLPHIGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

25–3343%

D 54%7–6N 21%4–15O 54%14–12 4 won into a shot

PHI attacks76COL DZ 54% PHI OZ

Neutral415COL NZ 21% PHI NZ

COL attacks1412COL OZ 54% PHI DZ

33–2557%

D 46%12–14N 79%15–4O 46%6–7 7 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

ToewsD1 O8
MakarD1 O8
JuulsenD1 O1
MalinskiD1 O1
BurnsD2 O1
MansonD4 O3
KulakD2 O0
MacKinnonD1 O8
SchwartzD0 O6
KadriD2 O6
HughesD0 O4
LehkonenD3 O6
NecasD1 O3
KellyD1 O2
SvechkovD1 O1
BrindleyD2 O2
NelsonD4 O3
LandeskogD2 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period