SEA @ DET 5–2 · 2026-10-09

SeattleSEAKraken5

IntermissionEnd P2Oct 92026-10-09

Team	1	2	3	SOG
SEA	1	4	0	16
DET	1	1	0	30

Little Caesars Arena

DetroitDETRed Wings2

CallDET57%mkt 57%-142

Closing linesDraftKings

+120Moneyline-142+1.5 -205Puck line-1.5 +170O +110Total 6.5U -130+170RegulationTie +320 +110+1051st period-135+1951st · 3-wayTie +178 +161

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

25%…Playoffs21%…0.1%…Cup0.3%…

Story

– / 11

LiveCall DET 57%Market DET 57%xG 2.66–2.64 · deserved SEA 51%Swing Samoskevich +22 2nd 6:59Method

Goals and penalties with DET win probability
Time	Event	DET win before	DET win after
1st 8:33	SEA penalty · J. Eberle · slashing · 2 min
1st 9:19	Goal DET · V. Arvidsson (PP)	57%	73%
1st 14:52	Goal SEA · B. Catton	74%	57%
1st 17:30	DET penalty · M. Brandsegg-Nygård · slashing · 2 min
1st 17:49	SEA penalty · C. Stephenson · tripping · 2 min
2nd 4:00	Goal DET · W. Wallinder	56%	75%
2nd 4:39	Goal SEA · F. Gaudreau	75%	56%
2nd 6:59	Goal SEA · M. Samoskevich	56%	34%
2nd 7:44	Goal SEA · F. Gaudreau	34%	17%
2nd 11:53	SEA penalty · B. Meyers · tripping · 2 min
2nd 14:05	Goal SEA · B. Meyers	14%	5%

Goals

1st
Viktor Arvidsson(1)PP
L. Raymond (1), M. Seider (1)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 DET1st 09:19+16.373%
Berkly Catton(1)
K. Kakko (1), J. Mahura (1)
xG 0.46backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 14:52+17.243%
2nd
William Wallinder(1)
A. DeBrincat (1), M. Brandsegg-Nygård (1)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 DET2nd 04:00+19.275%
Frederick Gaudreau(1)
R. Winterton (1), B. Meyers (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 04:39+19.344%
Mackie Samoskevich(1)
J. McCann (1)
xG 0.27wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 SEA2nd 06:59+21.566%
Frederick Gaudreau(2)
R. Winterton (2), B. Meyers (2)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 SEA2nd 07:44+17.083%
Ben Meyers(1)
B. Catton (1), B. Montour (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 SEA2nd 14:05+8.995%

Shots

SEA2.66 xG27 unblocked · 13 blocked27 unblocked · 13 blocked

DET2.57 xG41 unblocked · 15 blocked41 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SEADET5Goals22.66xG2.6416Shots3027Unblocked4240Attempts575High danger50/1Power play1/317Faceoffs2118Hits1615Blocks133Takeaways213Giveaways156PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
62B. MontourBrandon MontourD	12:55	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	1	—	0	+3
41R. EvansRyker EvansD	11:55	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	—	0	+3
29V. DunnVince DunnD	11:33	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
6A. LarssonAdam LarssonD	10:53	0	0	0	1	6	0.12	−0.12	0	3	0	0	—	0	0
10M. BeniersMatty BeniersC	8:24	0	0	0	1	3	0.22	−0.22	0	0	0	1	50%	0	0
11M. SamoskevichMackie SamoskevichR	8:22	1	0	1	2	2	0.29	+0.71	0	0	1	1	—	0	0
19J. McCannJared McCannL	7:54	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
9C. StephensonChandler StephensonC	7:51	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	0	42%	2	0
7J. EberleJordan EberleR	7:47	0	0	0	1	2	0.12	−0.12	4	0	0	1	—	2	0
74B. McMannBobby McMannC	7:47	0	0	0	2	3	0.19	−0.19	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
89F. GaudreauFrederick GaudreauC	7:43	2	0	2	2	4	0.30	+1.70	0	1	0	1	40%	0	+2
59B. MeyersBen MeyersC	6:59	0	2	2	1	2	0.29	−0.29	3	0	0	0	0%	2	+2
46V. OttavainenVille OttavainenD	6:57	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	2	—	0	+2
27B. CattonBerkly CattonC	6:50	1	0	1	1	2	0.46	+0.54	1	0	0	2	0%	0	+2
84K. KakkoKaapo KakkoR	6:35	0	1	1	1	1	0.16	−0.16	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
26R. WintertonRyan WintertonC	6:33	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	+2
28J. MahuraJosh MahuraD	6:27	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	+2
51S. WrightShane WrightC	6:19	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	−0.13	0	0	1	1	50%	0	+2
SEA total		4	7	11	12	32	2.43	+1.57	15	7	2	11	42%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Gaudreau+1.28

Catton+1.24

Winterton+1.03

Samoskevich+0.73

Meyers+0.66

McCann+0.46

Kakko+0.42

Beniers−0.09

Wright−0.09

McMann−0.10

Eberle−0.33

Stephenson−0.38

Defence

Ottavainen+0.41

Montour+0.18

Mahura+0.12

Larsson+0.10

Dunn−0.08

Evans−0.10

Goalie

Grubauer+0.66

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
McCann·Beniers·Samoskevich	6:18	11	6	10	37.5%	3	6	1	1	0.56	0.41	57.6%	+0.15	1	0	100%
Stephenson·McMann·Eberle	5:45	11	2	7	22.2%	0	5	0	0	0.08	0.16	32.7%	−0.08	2	4	33%
Winterton·Meyers·Gaudreau	5:16	7	7	8	46.7%	3	4	2	0	0.60	0.39	60.6%	+0.21	0	0	—
Catton·Wright·Kakko	4:11	10	9	7	56.3%	3	4	1	0	0.79	0.41	65.8%	+0.38	1	0	100%
Occasional · 2 groups
McCann·Catton·Samoskevich	0:50	4	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
Stephenson·Wright·Kakko	0:41	2	0	3	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.25	0.0%	−0.25	0	0	—
SEA 5v5	26:51		28	41	40.6%	10	24	4	1	2.30	1.89	55.0%	+0.41

Goalies

Philipp Grubauer

SEA · 30:46

Saves: 28/30
SV%: .933
xGA: 2.64
GSAx: +0.64

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/28	.964	2.41	+1.41
Power play	1/2	.500	0.23	−0.77
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	0.95	+0.95

John Gibson

DET · 30:46

Saves: 9/14
SV%: .643
xGA: 2.58
GSAx: −2.42

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	8/13	.615	2.46	−2.54
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.12	+0.12
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/5	.600	1.33	−0.67

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Seattle Kraken

Minutes

12:55Montour
11:55Evans
11:33Dunn
10:53Larsson
6:57Ottavainen
6:27Mahura

8:24Beniers
8:22Samoskevich
7:54McCann
7:51Stephenson
7:47Eberle
7:47McMann
7:43Gaudreau
6:59Meyers
6:50Catton
6:35Kakko
6:33Winterton
6:19Wright

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSEADET

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DunnD1 O2
LarssonD2 O2
OttavainenD0 O0
MahuraD1 O0
MontourD3 O1
EvansD3 O1
McCannD0 O2
KakkoD0 O1
SamoskevichD0 O1
WrightD0 O1
CattonD0 O1
BeniersD1 O1
WintertonD0 O0
EberleD4 O3
StephensonD4 O3
McMannD3 O2
MeyersD1 O0
GaudreauD2 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period