EDM @ ANA 5–2 · 2026-10-07

EdmontonEDMOilers5

FinalOct 72026-10-07

Team	1	2	3	SOG
EDM	0	5	0	19
ANA	2	0	0	31

Honda Center

AnaheimANADucks2

CallNo lean · 45% ANA

Star 1E. Bouchard2G 1A
Star 2C. McDavid1G 2A
Star 3B. Sennecke2G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-135Moneyline+114-1.5 +180Puck line+1.5 -218O -142Total 6.5U +120+115RegulationTie +330 +155-1301st period+100+1561st · 3-wayTie +195 +185

Season odds

91%95%+3.9Playoffs59%52%−7.25.7%6.6%+0.9Cup0.5%0.5%±0.0

Story

– / 20

Result EDM 5–2Call No lean · EDM 55%Market EDM 55%xG 2.63–2.99 · deserved ANA 56%Swing Bouchard +22 2nd 14:12Method

Goals and penalties with ANA win probability
Time	Event	ANA win before	ANA win after
1st 3:08	EDM penalty · J. Samanski · hooking · 2 min
1st 4:11	Goal ANA · B. Sennecke (PP)	45%	62%
1st 6:27	ANA penalty · C. Gauthier · holding the stick · 2 min
1st 14:43	EDM penalty · J. Walman · holding · 2 min
1st 15:28	Goal ANA · B. Sennecke (PP)	64%	79%
1st 16:58	ANA penalty · L. Carlsson · interference · 2 min
2nd 0:11	Goal EDM · E. Bouchard	80%	65%
2nd 3:39	EDM penalty · C. Murphy · tripping · 2 min
2nd 4:55	ANA penalty · J. Caulfield · too many men on the ice · 2 min
2nd 6:30	Goal EDM · K. Kapanen (PP)	67%	46%
2nd 6:55	EDM penalty · C. Murphy · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 14:12	Goal EDM · E. Bouchard	47%	25%
2nd 16:49	Goal EDM · V. Podkolzin	24%	9%
2nd 18:48	EDM penalty · C. Murphy · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:48	ANA penalty · B. Sennecke · roughing · 2 min
2nd 19:08	Goal EDM · C. McDavid	8%	2%
3rd 3:28	EDM penalty · J. Samanski · tripping · 2 min
3rd 14:26	ANA penalty · N. Nesterenko · roughing · 2 min
3rd 16:25	EDM penalty · I. Howard · hooking · 2 min
3rd 17:10	EDM penalty · C. Murphy · tripping · 2 min

On ice · final horn

EDM5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
29L. DraisaitlC	0:46	19:18	23	0	4	4	2	5	0	2	1	8-5
97C. McDavidC	0:46	24:31	28	1	2	3	1	4	0	2	1	9-5
92V. PodkolzinR	0:46	18:13	23	1	0	1	3	6	0	5	1	1-0
14M. EkholmD	0:46	21:56	31	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	–
49T. EmbersonD	0:46	11:10	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	–
27D. LeviG		59:49	SA31GA2SV%.935xGA2.99GSAx+0.99

ANA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
64M. GranlundC	4:02	21:33	23	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	1	6-10
91L. CarlssonC	3:35	23:36	21	0	2	2	0	3	2	0	1	5-7
61C. GauthierL	3:35	24:10	22	0	0	0	7	13	2	0	0	2-3
45B. SenneckeR	3:35	24:58	21	2	0	2	7	9	2	4	0	–
2J. LaCombeD	3:35	29:18	26	0	1	1	0	6	0	1	2	–
67T. LuneauD	0:46	21:33	25	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	–

Goals

1st
Beckett Sennecke(1)PP
M. Granlund (1), L. Carlsson (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 ANA1st 04:11+16.162%
Beckett Sennecke(2)PP
L. Carlsson (2), J. LaCombe (1)
xG 0.10tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 ANA1st 15:28+15.179%
2nd
Evan Bouchard(1)
L. Draisaitl (1)
xG 0.00slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 ANA2nd 00:11+15.535%
Kasperi Kapanen(1)PP
C. McDavid (1), E. Bouchard (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 06:30+20.554%
Evan Bouchard(2)
L. Draisaitl (2), C. McDavid (2)
xG 0.08slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 EDM2nd 14:12+22.075%
Vasily Podkolzin(1)
L. Draisaitl (3)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 EDM2nd 16:49+14.591%
Connor McDavid(1)
L. Draisaitl (4), M. Ekholm (1)
xG 0.05snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 EDM2nd 19:08+6.098%

Shots

EDM2.63 xG34 unblocked · 9 blocked34 unblocked · 9 blocked

ANA2.99 xG53 unblocked · 21 blocked53 unblocked · 21 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

EDMANA5Goals22.63xG2.9919Shots3134Unblocked5343Attempts743High danger31/4Power play2/738Faceoffs2728Hits2921Blocks92Takeaways315Giveaways1516PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
97C. McDavidConnor McDavidC	24:31	1	2	3	1	4	0.19	+0.81	2	1	0	2	64%	0	+4
6R. SheaRyan SheaD	24:30	0	0	0	2	2	0.26	−0.26	2	1	0	1	—	0	0
2E. BouchardEvan BouchardD	23:09	2	1	3	4	4	0.11	+1.89	0	0	1	1	—	0	+4
14M. EkholmMattias EkholmD	21:56	0	1	1	1	3	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	0	—	0	+4
5C. MurphyConnor MurphyD	19:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	2	—	8	0
29L. DraisaitlLeon DraisaitlC	19:18	0	4	4	2	5	0.33	−0.33	2	1	0	3	62%	0	+4
92V. PodkolzinVasily PodkolzinR	18:13	1	0	1	3	6	0.71	+0.29	5	1	0	0	100%	0	+3
42K. KapanenKasperi KapanenR	16:22	1	0	1	3	6	0.49	+0.51	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
96J. WalmanJake WalmanD	15:50	0	0	0	1	4	0.08	−0.08	0	3	0	2	—	2	0
26A. FormentonAlex FormentonL	15:17	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	−0.17	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
21M. JosephMathieu JosephR	14:43	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	6	1	0	0	0%	0	0
43O. MichaelsOwen MichaelsR	13:41	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	0	65%	0	0
10T. FredericTrent FredericC	11:33	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	6	1	0	0	—	0	0
49T. EmbersonTy EmbersonD	11:10	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	−0.15	2	1	0	1	—	0	0
53I. HowardIsaac HowardL	10:05	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	2	0
81J. SamanskiJosh SamanskiC	9:50	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	71%	4	0
16J. DickinsonJason DickinsonC	9:33	0	0	0	1	2	0.00	−0.00	1	1	1	2	36%	0	0
46M. JonesMax JonesL	7:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
EDM total		5	8	13	19	43	2.63	+2.37	28	18	2	15	58%	16

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Draisaitl+2.16

McDavid+1.26

Podkolzin+0.64

Kapanen+0.54

Dickinson−0.15

Joseph−0.15

Jones−0.16

Frederic−0.20

Formenton−0.26

Michaels−0.37

Howard−0.50

Samanski−0.65

Defence

Bouchard+1.06

Ekholm+0.02

Emberson−0.06

Walman−0.13

Shea−0.16

Murphy−0.60

Goalie

Levi+1.01

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Draisaitl·McDavid·Podkolzin	10:32	17	15	10	60.0%	7	4	3	0	0.99	0.20	83.3%	+0.79	1	4	20%
Formenton·Joseph·Michaels	7:18	15	2	10	16.7%	1	4	0	0	0.19	0.27	40.9%	−0.08	0	3	0%
Jones·Howard·Samanski	5:31	9	3	6	33.3%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.18	0.0%	−0.18	3	1	75%
Frederic·Dickinson·Kapanen	5:27	10	6	10	37.5%	2	2	0	0	0.31	0.20	61.0%	+0.11	0	1	0%
Occasional · 5 groups
Frederic·Joseph·Michaels	1:18	4	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	0	—
Formenton·Kapanen·Michaels	0:46	2	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.18	0.0%	−0.18	0	0	—
Formenton·Jones·Dickinson	0:43	2	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	21.1%	−0.01	0	1	0%
Howard·Frederic·Samanski	0:37	2	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.15	0.00	100.0%	+0.15	0	0	—
Frederic·McDavid·Kapanen	0:31	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
EDM 5v5	39:17		30	51	37.0%	12	19	3	0	1.65	1.52	52.0%	+0.13

Goalies

Devon Levi

EDM · 59:49

Saves: 29/31
SV%: .935
xGA: 2.99
GSAx: +0.99

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/19	1.000	1.52	+1.52
Power play	9/11	.818	1.41	−0.59
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.05	+0.05
High danger	2/3	.667	0.53	−0.47

Lukas Dostal

ANA · 39:41

Saves: 12/17
SV%: .706
xGA: 2.16
GSAx: −2.84

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/15	.733	1.74	−2.26
Power play	1/2	.500	0.40	−0.60
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.02	+0.02
High danger	1/2	.500	0.66	−0.34

Ville Husso

ANA · 15:58

Saves: 2/2
SV%: 1.000
xGA: 0.47
GSAx: +0.47

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	1/1	1.000	0.14	+0.14
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.32	+0.32
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Edmonton Oilers

Minutes

24:30Shea
23:09Bouchard
21:56Ekholm
19:21Murphy
15:50Walman
11:10Emberson

24:31McDavid
19:18Draisaitl
18:13Podkolzin
16:22Kapanen
15:17Formenton
14:43Joseph
13:41Michaels
11:33Frederic
10:05Howard
9:50Samanski
9:33Dickinson
7:21Jones

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareEDMANA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

EmbersonD2 O4
WalmanD3 O2
SheaD4 O0
MurphyD5 O0
BouchardD7 O2
EkholmD13 O1
HowardD0 O3
SamanskiD0 O3
JonesD2 O3
KapanenD4 O3
FredericD1 O0
PodkolzinD5 O4
DickinsonD3 O0
JosephD3 O0
DraisaitlD6 O2
FormentonD6 O1
MichaelsD6 O1
McDavidD10 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period