COL @ WPG 2–3 · 2026-10-07

ColoradoCOLAvalanche2

FinalOct 72026-10-07

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	0	1	1	34
WPG	0	2	1	19

Canada Life Centre

WinnipegWPGJets3

CallNo lean · 34% WPG

Star 1S. Skinner.941 SV%
Star 2K. Connor2G 0A
Star 3J. Schwartz1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-192Moneyline+160-1.5 +130Puck line+1.5 -155O -108Total 6.5U -112-120RegulationTie +340 +220-1601st period+120+1411st · 3-wayTie +185 +220

Season odds

99%99%±0.0Playoffs33%41%+7.522%22%+0.2Cup0.2%0.3%+0.1

Story

– / 8

Result WPG 3–2Call No lean · COL 66%Market COL 64%xG 2.76–1.97 · deserved COL 64%Swing Connor +53 3rd 19:00Method

Goals and penalties with WPG win probability
Time	Event	WPG win before	WPG win after
1st 9:26	WPG penalty · D. Samberg · hooking · 2 min
1st 16:39	COL penalty · F. Svechkov · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 2:51	Goal COL · J. Schwartz	37%	20%
2nd 4:01	Goal WPG · K. Connor	20%	37%
2nd 18:16	Goal WPG · C. Perfetti	39%	66%
3rd 8:19	COL penalty · B. Nelson · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 12:35	Goal COL · F. Svechkov	82%	42%
3rd 19:00	Goal WPG · K. Connor	43%	97%

On ice · final horn

COL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
29N. MacKinnonC	2:10	20:11	22	1	6	0	0	6-10
88M. NecasC	1:21	20:33	21	3	7	0	0	1-0
91N. KadriC	0:47	18:06	22	4	5	1	1	2-5
62A. LehkonenL	1:00	17:21	24	0	1	1	0	–
92G. LandeskogL	1:25	15:16	18	3	5	2	1	2-1
8C. MakarD	1:00	25:16	24	4	6	0	3	–

WPG5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
36M. BarronC	1:00	17:25	26	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	2-2
55M. ScheifeleC	0:33	22:18	23	0	2	2	1	5	0	1	0	7-11
91C. PerfettiC	0:21	19:02	23	1	0	1	2	5	0	1	0	–
2D. DeMeloD	1:20	20:38	25	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	–
54D. SambergD	1:27	25:25	29	0	2	2	2	3	2	5	1	–
74S. SkinnerG		60:00	SA34GA2SV%.941xGA2.76GSAx+0.76

Goals

2nd
Jaden Schwartz(1)
F. Svechkov (1), B. Burns (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 COL2nd 02:51+17.380%
Kyle Connor(1)
N. Pionk (1), D. Samberg (1)
xG 0.07tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 04:01+17.637%
Cole Perfetti(1)
D. Samberg (2), M. Scheifele (1)
xG 0.21deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 WPG2nd 18:16+26.666%
3rd
Fedor Svechkov(1)
J. Schwartz (1), B. Kulak (1)
xG 0.17tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 12:35+39.958%
Kyle Connor(2)
M. Scheifele (2)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 WPG3rd 19:00+53.497%

Shots

COL2.76 xG56 unblocked · 12 blocked56 unblocked · 12 blocked

WPG1.97 xG36 unblocked · 14 blocked36 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLWPG2Goals32.76xG1.9734Shots1956Unblocked3668Attempts503High danger30/1Power play0/231Faceoffs3019Hits2014Blocks128Takeaways418Giveaways174PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
8C. MakarCale MakarD	25:16	0	0	0	4	6	0.07	−0.07	0	3	0	2	—	0	0
7D. ToewsDevon ToewsD	21:28	0	0	0	2	5	0.17	−0.17	0	0	3	1	—	0	+1
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	20:33	0	0	0	3	7	0.48	−0.48	0	0	0	2	100%	0	-2
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	20:11	0	0	0	1	6	0.25	−0.25	0	0	0	2	38%	0	-2
70S. MalinskiSam MalinskiD	18:37	0	0	0	1	4	0.08	−0.08	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
91N. KadriNazem KadriC	18:06	0	0	0	4	5	0.19	−0.19	1	1	1	0	29%	0	0
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	17:28	0	1	1	2	4	0.08	−0.08	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
62A. LehkonenArtturi LehkonenL	17:21	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	−0.05	1	0	1	1	—	0	-2
27B. KulakBrett KulakD	17:09	0	1	1	2	4	0.08	−0.08	0	1	0	0	—	0	-2
42J. MansonJosh MansonD	16:56	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	16:50	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	−0.06	1	2	1	1	50%	2	-1
92G. LandeskogGabriel LandeskogL	15:16	0	0	0	3	5	0.28	−0.28	2	1	0	0	67%	0	-2
71J. SchwartzJaden SchwartzL	13:17	1	1	2	2	3	0.17	+0.83	2	0	0	1	—	0	+2
17P. KellyParker KellyC	12:56	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	3	0	1	2	100%	0	0
9F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	12:55	1	1	2	2	3	0.19	+0.81	0	1	0	0	25%	2	+2
10N. RoyNicolas RoyC	12:10	0	0	0	3	5	0.34	−0.34	0	1	0	1	75%	0	0
13T. HughesT.J. HughesR	12:00	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	2	80%	0	+2
68Z. L'HeureuxZachary L'HeureuxL	8:22	0	0	0	3	3	0.15	−0.15	5	1	0	0	—	0	0
COL total		2	4	6	34	68	2.76	−0.76	19	12	8	16	51%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Schwartz+0.96

Svechkov+0.85

Roy−0.08

L'Heureux−0.08

Hughes−0.16

Kelly−0.17

Lehkonen−0.21

Kadri−0.24

MacKinnon−0.31

Necas−0.33

Landeskog−0.40

Nelson−0.51

Defence

Makar+0.05

Kulak+0.03

Burns−0.05

Toews−0.07

Malinski−0.21

Manson−0.22

Goalie

Blackwood−1.02

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Schwartz·Svechkov·Hughes	7:37	11	9	6	60.0%	5	1	2	0	0.46	0.29	61.6%	+0.17	2	1	67%
L'Heureux·Roy·Kelly	6:46	12	12	4	75.0%	8	0	0	0	0.39	0.09	81.9%	+0.30	0	1	0%
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Necas	5:04	10	7	7	50.0%	3	4	0	1	0.16	0.14	53.1%	+0.02	3	1	75%
Landeskog·Nelson·Kadri	5:03	7	5	7	41.7%	1	3	0	0	0.12	0.20	37.9%	−0.08	0	1	0%
Landeskog·Nelson·Necas	4:13	8	2	4	33.3%	1	2	0	0	0.13	0.19	40.3%	−0.06	1	0	100%
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Kadri	4:06	7	4	1	80.0%	2	0	0	0	0.09	0.14	38.3%	−0.05	2	0	100%
MacKinnon·Necas·Kadri	4:00	9	6	1	85.7%	2	1	0	0	0.34	0.01	96.3%	+0.32	3	0	100%
Occasional · 9 groups
Lehkonen·Landeskog·Nelson	1:50	4	1	6	14.3%	0	3	0	1	0.00	0.32	0.0%	−0.32	1	2	33%
Schwartz·Svechkov·Kelly	1:16	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Schwartz·Nelson·Hughes	0:53	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	0	—
Nelson·Necas·Kadri	0:50	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schwartz·MacKinnon·Hughes	0:49	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Svechkov·Roy·Kelly	0:48	1	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Nelson·MacKinnon	0:46	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Landeskog·MacKinnon·Necas	0:44	5	3	1	75.0%	2	1	0	1	0.14	0.17	46.1%	−0.02	0	0	—
Schwartz·Svechkov·Necas	0:42	4	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
COL 5v5	53:09		61	47	56.5%	28	19	2	3	2.18	1.90	53.4%	+0.28

Goalies

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 59:13

Saves: 16/19
SV%: .842
xGA: 1.97
GSAx: −1.03

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/19	.842	1.90	−1.10
Power play	0/0	—	0.07	+0.07
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/2	.000	0.58	−1.42

Stuart Skinner

WPG · 60:00

Saves: 32/34
SV%: .941
xGA: 2.76
GSAx: +0.76

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/28	.929	2.18	+0.18
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.57	+0.57
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.64	−0.36

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

25:16Makar
21:28Toews
18:37Malinski
17:28Burns
17:09Kulak
16:56Manson

20:33Necas
20:11MacKinnon
18:06Kadri
17:21Lehkonen
16:50Nelson
15:16Landeskog
13:17Schwartz
12:56Kelly
12:55Svechkov
12:10Roy
12:00Hughes
8:22L'Heureux

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLWPG

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

ToewsD4 O9
MakarD2 O7
KulakD1 O1
MalinskiD0 O0
BurnsD3 O1
MansonD4 O0
MacKinnonD1 O7
KadriD1 O5
LehkonenD4 O8
NecasD1 O4
HughesD1 O4
SchwartzD1 O3
NelsonD3 O4
LandeskogD2 O3
SvechkovD1 O2
L'HeureuxD1 O0
KellyD2 O0
RoyD3 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period