PIT @ WSH 3–5 · 2026-10-07

PittsburghPITPenguins3

FinalOct 72026-10-07

Team	1	2	3	SOG
PIT	1	2	0	30
WSH	2	2	1	27

Capital One Arena

WashingtonWSHCapitals5

CallNo lean · 55% WSH

Star 1T. Wilson1G 2A
Star 2P. Dubois1G 1A
Star 3A. Tuch1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+136Moneyline-162+1.5 -180Puck line-1.5 +150O -112Total 6.5U -108+195RegulationTie +320 +100+1101st period-145+2051st · 3-wayTie +188 +151

Season odds

77%69%−7.2Playoffs68%73%+5.24.0%3.0%−1.0Cup3.3%3.2%−0.1

Story

– / 16

Result WSH 5–3Call No lean · WSH 55%Market WSH 60%xG 3.75–3.79 · deserved WSH 51%Swing Wilson +17 1st 11:51Method

Goals and penalties with WSH win probability
Time	Event	WSH win before	WSH win after
1st 0:23	Goal WSH · A. Beauvillier	55%	70%
1st 1:19	Goal PIT · B. Rust	71%	55%
1st 5:31	PIT penalty · V. Koivunen · tripping · 2 min
1st 6:47	PIT penalty · N. Robertson · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
1st 11:51	Goal WSH · T. Wilson	55%	72%
1st 13:45	WSH penalty · R. Leonard · roughing · 2 min
2nd 4:42	Goal WSH · P. Dubois	74%	87%
2nd 13:14	Goal WSH · A. Tuch	90%	97%
2nd 14:05	Goal PIT · T. Novak	97%	90%
2nd 18:01	Goal PIT · N. Robertson	92%	77%
2nd 18:53	WSH penalty · J. Chychrun · holding · 2 min
3rd 1:58	PIT penalty · T. van Riemsdyk · hooking · 2 min
3rd 3:55	Goal WSH · R. Leonard (PP)	80%	94%
3rd 6:55	PIT penalty · B. Lizotte · tripping · 2 min
3rd 10:38	WSH penalty · P. Dubois · boarding · 2 min
OT 0:00	WSH penalty · J. Chychrun · slashing · 2 min

On ice · final horn

PIT6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Blk	FO
18T. NovakC	0:26	15:17	19	1	0	1	3	5	2	6-7
71E. MalkinC	1:37	17:22	18	0	0	0	1	3	0	1-0
81B. KindelC	0:37	19:36	21	0	1	1	2	4	1	4-5
87S. CrosbyC	1:42	19:07	21	0	0	0	2	3	1	10-9
59E. ChinakhovR	0:21	15:29	19	0	0	0	2	10	0	–
49S. GirardD	0:26	19:00	21	0	1	1	1	2	0	–

WSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
34J. SourdifC	0:39	15:08	17	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	1	4-2
80P. DuboisC	0:27	17:41	23	1	1	2	3	7	2	0	0	7-5
21A. ProtasL	0:39	16:04	19	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	–
6J. ChychrunD	2:20	25:22	25	0	0	0	1	6	2	1	1	–
73V. DesharnaisD	0:38	21:03	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	–
48L. ThompsonG		60:00	SA30GA3SV%.900xGA3.75GSAx+0.75

Goals

1st
Anthony Beauvillier(1)
D. Strome (1)
xG 0.05backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 WSH1st 00:23+15.170%
Bryan Rust(1)
B. Kindel (1), S. Girard (1)
xG 0.05snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 01:19+15.245%
Tom Wilson(1)
P. Dubois (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 WSH1st 11:51+16.772%
2nd
Pierre-Luc Dubois(1)
T. Wilson (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 WSH2nd 04:42+13.887%
Alex Tuch(1)
T. Wilson (2)
xG 0.25snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 WSH2nd 13:14+6.797%
Tommy Novak(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.31snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 WSH2nd 14:05+6.610%
Nick Robertson(1)
K. Korczak (1), B. Lizotte (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 WSH2nd 18:01+14.223%
3rd
Ryan Leonard(1)PP
J. Kyrou (1), C. Hutson (1)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–5 WSH3rd 03:55+13.894%

Shots

PIT3.75 xG42 unblocked · 18 blocked42 unblocked · 18 blocked

WSH3.79 xG45 unblocked · 20 blocked45 unblocked · 20 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

PITWSH3Goals53.75xG3.7930Shots2742Unblocked4560Attempts658High danger100/3Power play1/422Faceoffs317Hits2220Blocks183Takeaways621Giveaways118PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
65E. KarlssonErik KarlssonD	24:44	0	0	0	4	6	0.14	−0.14	0	1	0	3	—	0	-1
81B. KindelBen KindelC	19:36	0	1	1	2	4	0.27	−0.27	0	1	1	0	44%	0	+1
67R. RakellRickard RakellR	19:22	0	0	0	3	6	0.23	−0.23	1	2	0	0	—	0	-3
17B. RustBryan RustR	19:09	1	0	1	3	3	0.31	+0.69	0	2	1	2	—	0	0
87S. CrosbySidney CrosbyC	19:07	0	0	0	2	3	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	0	53%	0	-4
49S. GirardSamuel GirardD	19:00	0	1	1	1	2	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
72D. CarlileDeclan CarlileD	18:04	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	2	—	0	-2
6K. KorczakKaedan KorczakD	17:23	0	1	1	1	3	0.15	−0.15	1	3	0	2	—	0	+2
71E. MalkinEvgeni MalkinC	17:22	0	0	0	1	3	0.22	−0.22	0	0	1	2	100%	0	0
58K. LetangKris LetangD	17:16	0	0	0	3	7	0.18	−0.18	2	1	0	4	—	0	-1
57T. van RiemsdykTrevor van RiemsdykD	16:24	0	0	0	1	2	0.00	−0.00	0	1	0	2	—	2	-1
59E. ChinakhovEgor ChinakhovR	15:29	0	0	0	2	10	0.62	−0.62	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
18T. NovakTommy NovakC	15:17	1	0	1	3	5	0.91	+0.09	0	2	0	1	46%	0	+1
41V. KoivunenVille KoivunenR	14:08	0	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	0	—	2	+1
22H. LapierreHendrix LapierreC	13:02	0	0	0	1	2	0.22	−0.22	1	0	0	0	—	0	-3
19C. DewarConnor DewarC	11:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
46B. LizotteBlake LizotteC	10:53	0	1	1	1	1	0.20	−0.20	2	1	0	0	9%	2	+1
14N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	8:32	1	0	1	1	1	0.09	+0.91	0	0	0	0	—	2	+1
PIT total		3	4	7	30	60	3.75	−0.75	7	18	3	21	42%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Novak+0.72

Robertson+0.50

Rust+0.44

Kindel+0.38

Malkin−0.02

Chinakhov−0.12

Dewar−0.28

Rakell−0.33

Lizotte−0.36

Lapierre−0.38

Koivunen−0.45

Crosby−0.46

Defence

Korczak+0.74

Carlile+0.06

Letang+0.06

Girard−0.01

Karlsson−0.10

van Riemsdyk−0.39

Goalie

Silovs−1.19

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Novak·Malkin·Chinakhov	9:13	13	11	3	78.6%	5	2	1	0	0.72	0.23	76.0%	+0.49	0	0	—
Robertson·Dewar·Lizotte	6:31	12	3	7	30.0%	3	2	1	0	0.10	0.12	45.6%	−0.02	0	4	0%
Lapierre·Crosby·Rakell	5:25	8	6	12	33.3%	2	6	0	2	0.17	0.81	17.1%	−0.64	1	0	100%
Kindel·Rust·Koivunen	5:08	7	3	3	50.0%	2	1	1	0	0.08	0.19	30.2%	−0.11	0	1	0%
Crosby·Rust·Rakell	4:28	6	9	5	64.3%	5	2	0	1	0.27	0.26	50.6%	+0.01	4	0	100%
Lapierre·Kindel·Koivunen	4:16	6	5	4	55.6%	2	3	0	0	0.39	0.15	71.5%	+0.23	0	0	—
Occasional · 3 groups
Crosby·Rust·Koivunen	0:37	1	0	4	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Malkin·Koivunen·Chinakhov	0:36	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Lizotte·Malkin·Chinakhov	0:31	3	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.26	0.00	100.0%	+0.26	0	0	—
PIT 5v5	42:51		45	47	48.9%	24	19	3	4	2.28	2.30	49.8%	−0.02

Goalies

Arturs Silovs

PIT · 56:04

Saves: 22/27
SV%: .815
xGA: 3.79
GSAx: −1.21

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/19	.789	2.30	−1.70
Power play	5/6	.833	1.31	+0.31
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.19	+0.19
High danger	5/8	.625	2.01	−0.99

Logan Thompson

WSH · 60:00

Saves: 27/30
SV%: .900
xGA: 3.75
GSAx: +0.75

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/25	.880	2.47	−0.53
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.89	+0.89
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.39	+0.39
High danger	6/7	.857	1.97	+0.97

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Pittsburgh Penguins

Minutes

24:44Karlsson
19:00Girard
18:04Carlile
17:23Korczak
17:16Letang
16:24van Riemsdyk

19:36Kindel
19:22Rakell
19:09Rust
19:07Crosby
17:22Malkin
15:29Chinakhov
15:17Novak
14:08Koivunen
13:02Lapierre
11:11Dewar
10:53Lizotte
8:32Robertson

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG sharePITWSH

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

KarlssonD0 O7
LetangD1 O3
GirardD0 O2
KorczakD1 O2
van RiemsdykD5 O0
CarlileD7 O1
CrosbyD0 O10
RakellD0 O8
RustD2 O5
NovakD0 O2
LapierreD0 O2
MalkinD0 O1
ChinakhovD0 O0
KoivunenD1 O1
KindelD3 O3
RobertsonD4 O0
DewarD5 O0
LizotteD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period