TOR @ ANA 5–4 · 2026-03-30

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
TOR	1	0	3	1	29
ANA	2	1	1	0	32

Story

– / 32

Result TOR 5–4 OTCall No lean · ANA 66%Market ANA 63%xG 3.74–4.17 · deserved ANA 56%Swing Tavares +56 OT 4:55Method

Goals and penalties with ANA win probability
Time	Event	ANA win before	ANA win after
1st 0:03	ANA penalty · R. Gudas · fighting · 5 min
1st 0:03	TOR penalty · M. Domi · fighting · 5 min
1st 1:16	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · tripping · 2 min
1st 1:16	TOR penalty · M. Knies · roughing · 2 min
1st 6:43	Goal ANA · L. Carlsson	65%	78%
1st 8:56	ANA penalty · P. Mintyukov · roughing · 2 min
1st 8:56	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · roughing · 2 min
1st 8:56	TOR penalty · W. Nylander · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
1st 9:46	Goal ANA · C. Gauthier (PP)	78%	87%
1st 13:31	ANA penalty · J. Viel · cross checking · 2 min
1st 14:18	Goal TOR · J. Tavares (PP)	88%	78%
2nd 2:49	TOR penalty · M. Pezzetta · roughing · 2 min
2nd 2:49	TOR penalty · M. Pezzetta · misconduct · 10 min
2nd 2:49	TOR penalty · M. Pezzetta · game misconduct · 10 min
2nd 9:04	TOR penalty · M. Domi · fighting · 5 min
2nd 9:04	ANA penalty · P. Mintyukov · fighting · 5 min
2nd 9:04	TOR penalty · M. Domi · aggressor · 10 min
2nd 10:30	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:30	ANA penalty · R. Gudas · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:30	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:30	ANA penalty · R. Gudas · misconduct · 10 min
2nd 10:30	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · misconduct · 10 min
2nd 11:07	ANA penalty · L. Carlsson · tripping · 2 min
2nd 11:33	Goal ANA · J. Carlson	79%	90%
2nd 14:13	ANA penalty · C. Kreider · hooking · 2 min
3rd 6:20	ANA penalty · R. Poehling · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 6:55	Goal TOR · M. Knies (PP)	95%	83%
3rd 10:14	Goal TOR · W. Nylander	85%	57%
3rd 14:46	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · too many men on the ice · 2 min
3rd 17:00	Goal TOR · M. Rielly	56%	10%
3rd 18:21	Goal ANA · L. Carlsson	6%	56%
OT 4:55	Goal TOR · J. Tavares	56%	0%

On ice · final horn

TOR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
91J. TavaresC	0:45	21:04	27	1	1	2	3	6	0	3	1	15-10
53E. CowanR	0:13	19:08	24	0	1	1	3	6	4	1	1	–
44M. RiellyD	0:05	23:10	34	1	0	1	2	4	0	1	2	–
41A. StolarzG		64:45	SA32GA4SV%.875xGA4.17GSAx+0.17

ANA3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
64M. GranlundC	0:52	24:53	26	0	1	1	1	9	0	0	0	15-6
20C. KreiderL	0:27	22:01	27	0	1	1	3	7	2	1	1	–
74J. CarlsonD	0:17	26:47	30	1	0	1	4	9	0	0	2	–
33V. HussoG		64:55	SA28GA4SV%.857xGA3.63GSAx−0.37

Goals

1st
Leo Carlsson(1)
T. Terry (1), O. Zellweger (1)
xG 0.21snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 ANA1st 06:43+12.978%
Cutter Gauthier(1)PP
M. Granlund (1), C. Kreider (1)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 ANA1st 09:46+9.887%
John Tavares(1)PP
W. Nylander (1), O. Ekman-Larsson (1)
xG 0.27snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 ANA1st 14:18+10.222%
2nd
John Carlson(1)
J. LaCombe (1), B. Sennecke (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 ANA2nd 11:33+11.990%
3rd
Matthew Knies(1)PP
W. Nylander (2), O. Ekman-Larsson (2)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 ANA3rd 06:55+12.117%
William Nylander(1)
E. Cowan (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 10:14+28.843%
Morgan Rielly(1)
W. Nylander (3), J. Tavares (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 TOR3rd 17:00+46.590%
Leo Carlsson(2)
J. Trouba (1), J. LaCombe (2)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 18:21+50.556%
OT
John Tavares(2)
M. Rielly (1), E. Cowan (2)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 TOROT 04:55+56.4100%

Shots

TOR3.74 xG46 unblocked · 11 blocked46 unblocked · 11 blocked

ANA4.17 xG58 unblocked · 18 blocked58 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORANA5Goals43.74xG4.1729Shots3246Unblocked5857Attempts766High danger82/4Power play1/628Faceoffs3728Hits1518Blocks114Takeaways615Giveaways2366PIM32

Skaters

Player

Player
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	23:35	1	3	4	8	11	0.79	+0.21	0	0	0	1	0%	2	0
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	23:10	1	1	2	2	4	0.22	+0.78	1	2	1	1	—	0	+2
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	21:50	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	0	1	1	0	—	0	0
91J. TavaresJohn TavaresC	21:04	2	1	3	4	7	0.71	+1.29	3	0	0	1	60%	0	+1
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	20:09	0	0	0	1	2	0.17	−0.17	2	3	1	0	—	16	-2
28T. StecherTroy StecherD	20:06	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	-3
29B. GroulxBo GroulxC	19:34	0	0	0	2	3	0.18	−0.18	3	1	0	1	29%	0	0
23M. KniesMatthew KniesL	19:11	1	0	1	1	4	0.19	+0.81	4	0	0	0	—	2	-2
53E. CowanEaston CowanR	19:08	0	2	2	3	6	0.49	−0.49	1	1	0	2	—	2	+3
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	18:32	0	2	2	2	7	0.25	−0.25	0	3	0	1	—	0	+1
2S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	17:02	0	0	0	2	3	0.10	−0.10	4	2	0	1	—	0	+1
19C. JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokC	16:51	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	0	67%	0	0
81D. JoshuaDakota JoshuaC	14:20	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	−0.31	5	0	0	0	—	0	0
89N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	14:14	0	0	0	1	1	0.11	−0.11	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	12:48	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
26J. QuillanJacob QuillanC	12:19	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	1	20%	0	0
11M. DomiMax DomiC	7:06	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	1	2	50%	20	-1
61M. PezzettaMichael PezzettaL	3:06	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	1	0%	22	0
TOR total		5	9	14	29	57	3.74	+1.26	28	15	4	14	43%	64

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Nylander+2.14

Tavares+1.45

Cowan+0.45

Knies+0.07

Jarnkrok−0.12

Domi−0.21

Joshua−0.23

Quillan−0.26

Pezzetta−0.26

Robertson−0.30

Groulx−0.31

Maccelli−0.42

Defence

Rielly+1.04

Ekman-Larsson+0.57

Benoit+0.10

Stecher−0.10

Carlo−0.14

McCabe−0.28

Goalie

Stolarz+0.20

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Tavares·Cowan·Nylander	9:33	17	16	8	66.7%	9	3	2	0	1.11	0.26	81.2%	+0.85	2	4	33%
Knies·Maccelli·Groulx	6:30	10	0	8	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.39	0.0%	−0.39	1	1	50%
Robertson·Domi·Joshua	5:34	8	3	5	37.5%	1	1	0	0	0.04	0.53	7.8%	−0.48	0	1	0%
Occasional · 17 groups
Robertson·Quillan·Joshua	2:30	5	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.18	0.00	100.0%	+0.18	0	1	0%
Pezzetta·Jarnkrok·Quillan	2:03	4	0	5	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Jarnkrok·Groulx·Joshua	1:58	4	1	2	33.3%	1	1	0	0	0.12	0.13	49.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Knies·Jarnkrok·Nylander	1:28	2	2	1	66.7%	0	0	0	0	0.08	0.06	57.5%	+0.02	1	0	100%
Knies·Tavares·Cowan	1:12	5	0	4	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Quillan·Joshua·Nylander	1:11	1	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Maccelli·Jarnkrok·Groulx	1:07	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Robertson·Tavares·Cowan	1:06	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Jarnkrok·Quillan·Joshua	1:03	3	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.24	0.00	100.0%	+0.24	0	0	—
Knies·Tavares·Nylander	1:01	3	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	1	0%
Knies·Maccelli·Domi	0:48	2	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.33	0.0%	−0.33	0	0	—
Knies·Robertson·Quillan	0:47	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Maccelli·Groulx·Nylander	0:46	2	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.05	0.19	22.0%	−0.14	1	0	100%
Jarnkrok·Tavares·Nylander	0:42	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Groulx·Cowan·Nylander	0:37	4	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Robertson·Jarnkrok·Quillan	0:36	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Robertson·Groulx·Joshua	0:31	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
TOR 5v5	46:48		34	51	40.0%	16	22	2	2	1.91	2.60	42.4%	−0.68

Goalies

Anthony Stolarz

TOR · 64:45

Saves: 28/32
SV%: .875
xGA: 4.17
GSAx: +0.17

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/26	.885	3.23	+0.23
Power play	5/6	.833	0.89	−0.11
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.05	+0.05
High danger	5/6	.833	1.50	+0.50

Ville Husso

ANA · 64:55

Saves: 24/29
SV%: .828
xGA: 3.74
GSAx: −1.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/21	.857	2.77	−0.23
Power play	5/7	.714	0.88	−1.12
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.10	+0.10
High danger	2/5	.400	1.13	−1.87

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

23:10Rielly
21:50Carlo
20:09McCabe
20:06Stecher
18:32Ekman-Larsson
17:02Benoit

23:35Nylander
21:04Tavares
19:34Groulx
19:11Knies
19:08Cowan
16:51Jarnkrok
14:20Joshua
14:14Robertson
12:48Maccelli
12:19Quillan
7:06Domi
3:06Pezzetta

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORANA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

Ekman-LarssonD2 O7
RiellyD3 O3
StecherD4 O2
CarloD6 O3
BenoitD4 O1
McCabeD5 O1
NylanderD2 O6
KniesD3 O5
TavaresD4 O5
MaccelliD1 O2
CowanD3 O4
PezzettaD0 O0
DomiD1 O0
JoshuaD2 O1
JarnkrokD3 O1
RobertsonD2 O0
QuillanD2 O0
GroulxD6 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period