TBL @ EDM 5–2 · 2026-03-21

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	0	3	2	28
EDM	1	0	1	28

Story

– / 19

Result TBL 5–2Call No lean · TBL 54%Market TBL 56%xG 3.36–3.11 · deserved TBL 54%Swing Guentzel +21 2nd 12:13Method

Goals and penalties with EDM win probability
Time	Event	EDM win before	EDM win after
1st 19:37	Goal EDM · C. McDavid	47%	66%
2nd 1:37	Goal TBL · A. Cirelli	66%	47%
2nd 6:03	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · roughing · 2 min
2nd 6:03	EDM penalty · C. McDavid · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:29	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · fighting · 5 min
2nd 10:29	EDM penalty · C. Murphy · fighting · 5 min
2nd 11:03	EDM penalty · D. Nurse · illegal check to head · 2 min
2nd 11:03	TBL penalty · A. Cirelli · fighting · 5 min
2nd 11:03	EDM penalty · V. Podkolzin · fighting · 5 min
2nd 12:13	Goal TBL · J. Guentzel (PP)	47%	26%
2nd 13:06	EDM penalty · C. McDavid · holding · 2 min
2nd 14:47	TBL penalty · N. Kucherov · tripping · 2 min
2nd 15:34	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · slashing · 2 min
2nd 16:58	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov (SH)	24%	9%
3rd 7:16	Goal EDM · J. Samanski	5%	18%
3rd 15:32	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov	9%	1%
3rd 15:50	EDM penalty · M. Jones · hooking · 2 min
3rd 19:09	TBL penalty · E. Cernak · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 19:28	Goal TBL · A. Cirelli (SH) (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

TBL4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
28Z. GirgensonsC	0:32	14:09	22	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	3	4-4
37Y. GourdeC	0:32	15:16	22	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	7-4
27R. McDonaghD	2:00	22:01	28	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	–
78E. LillebergD	0:32	13:02	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA28GA2SV%.929xGA3.11GSAx+1.11

EDM5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
16J. DickinsonC	0:17	15:44	21	0	0	0	2	3	0	3	2	6-4
81J. SamanskiC	0:32	10:05	16	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	2-4
15R. JarventieL	0:32	8:30	14	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	–
25D. NurseD	0:32	20:26	27	0	0	0	3	3	2	8	1	–
96J. WalmanD	0:32	15:19	25	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	–
39C. IngramG		58:42	SA27GA4SV%.852xGA2.87GSAx−1.13

Goals

1st
Connor McDavid(1)
E. Bouchard (1)
xG 0.04tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 EDM1st 19:37+18.866%
2nd
Anthony Cirelli(1)
N. Kucherov (1), B. Hagel (1)
xG 0.21backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 01:37+19.253%
Jake Guentzel(1)PP
N. Kucherov (2), B. Point (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TBL2nd 12:13+21.574%
Nikita Kucherov(1)SH
J. Moser (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TBL2nd 16:58+14.791%
3rd
Josh Samanski(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.88Clip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 TBL3rd 07:16+13.618%
Nikita Kucherov(2)
B. Hagel (2)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 TBL3rd 15:32+8.199%
Anthony Cirelli(2)SHEN
Unassisted
xG 0.49wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 TBL3rd 19:28+0.099%

Shots

TBL3.36 xG45 unblocked · 17 blocked45 unblocked · 17 blocked

EDM3.11 xG38 unblocked · 14 blocked38 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLEDM5Goals23.36xG3.1128Shots2845Unblocked3862Attempts525High danger21/3Power play0/326Faceoffs2311Hits2814Blocks175Takeaways219Giveaways1818PIM18

Skaters

Player

Player
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	26:00	0	0	0	3	6	0.14	−0.14	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	22:42	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	1	—	0	+3
27R. McDonaghRyan McDonaghD	22:01	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	1	—	0	+2
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	20:47	0	2	2	2	3	0.20	−0.20	0	1	1	1	0%	0	+3
81E. CernakErik CernakD	20:14	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	3	0	0	1	—	2	+1
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	19:53	2	2	4	7	11	0.63	+1.37	0	0	1	4	—	2	+3
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	19:22	1	0	1	2	8	0.35	+0.65	0	0	0	2	80%	0	-1
21B. PointBrayden PointC	17:54	0	1	1	1	3	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	1	50%	0	-1
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	15:16	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	0	64%	2	0
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	14:13	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	2	0	0	—	0	-1
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	14:09	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	2	3	0	2	50%	0	0
20N. PaulNick PaulL	14:01	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	2	1	1	0	63%	0	0
78E. LillebergEmil LillebergD	13:02	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	2	—	0	-1
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	11:58	0	0	0	0	4	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	2	—	0	-2
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	11:00	0	0	0	1	2	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	0	—	7	0
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	10:28	2	0	2	5	6	1.17	+0.83	0	0	1	0	20%	5	+2
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	10:10	0	0	0	3	4	0.27	−0.27	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
10C. PerryCorey PerryR	9:59	0	0	0	1	2	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
TBL total		5	6	11	28	62	3.36	+1.64	11	13	5	19	53%	18

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kucherov+2.16

Cirelli+0.61

Hagel+0.61

Guentzel+0.14

Perry−0.05

Girgensons−0.06

Goncalves−0.19

Holmberg−0.21

Paul−0.23

Point−0.34

Bjorkstrand−0.35

Gourde−0.51

Defence

Moser+0.23

Raddysh−0.01

McDonagh−0.18

D'Astous−0.29

Lilleberg−0.35

Cernak−0.47

Goalie

Vasilevskiy+1.13

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Girgensons·Gourde·Holmberg	8:46	18	6	9	40.0%	0	4	0	0	0.06	0.15	26.4%	−0.10	3	4	43%
Point·Guentzel·Goncalves	7:44	13	8	7	53.3%	2	3	0	1	0.12	0.18	40.0%	−0.06	2	2	50%
Hagel·Cirelli·Kucherov	6:42	10	13	4	76.5%	9	4	1	0	0.98	0.38	72.3%	+0.61	1	2	33%
Paul·Perry·Bjorkstrand	6:11	9	7	4	63.6%	3	3	0	0	0.18	0.14	55.7%	+0.04	1	0	100%
Hagel·Point·Kucherov	4:06	9	5	5	50.0%	2	3	1	0	0.32	0.22	59.0%	+0.10	2	0	100%
Paul·Guentzel·Goncalves	2:23	6	2	2	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.08	0.13	39.7%	−0.04	1	0	100%
Occasional · 5 groups
Paul·Hagel·Kucherov	1:15	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	1	0%
Gourde·Guentzel·Goncalves	0:55	1	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
Cirelli·Perry·Bjorkstrand	0:55	2	2	2	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Paul·Hagel·Guentzel	0:45	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
Paul·Girgensons·Gourde	0:41	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	48:32		52	44	54.2%	21	23	2	2	2.18	2.56	46.0%	−0.38

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 26/28
SV%: .929
xGA: 3.11
GSAx: +1.11

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/25	.920	2.72	+0.72
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.27	+0.27
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.12	+0.12
High danger	1/2	.500	1.09	+0.09

Connor Ingram

EDM · 58:42

Saves: 23/27
SV%: .852
xGA: 2.87
GSAx: −1.13

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/22	.909	2.28	+0.28
Power play	2/3	.667	0.42	−0.58
Shorthanded	1/2	.500	0.17	−0.83
High danger	2/4	.500	0.78	−1.22

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

26:00Raddysh
22:42Moser
22:01McDonagh
20:14Cernak
13:02Lilleberg
11:58D'Astous

20:47Hagel
19:53Kucherov
19:22Guentzel
17:54Point
15:16Gourde
14:13Goncalves
14:09Girgensons
14:01Paul
11:00Holmberg
10:28Cirelli
10:10Bjorkstrand
9:59Perry

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLEDM

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

D'AstousD2 O1
RaddyshD3 O1
MoserD4 O2
LillebergD3 O1
McDonaghD5 O0
CernakD5 O0
GuentzelD2 O5
PointD2 O5
KucherovD3 O5
BjorkstrandD0 O2
HagelD3 O5
PerryD0 O1
PaulD2 O2
GoncalvesD2 O2
GirgensonsD5 O3
CirelliD3 O1
HolmbergD4 O2
GourdeD5 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period