BUF @ LAK 4–1 · 2026-03-21

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	0	1	3	34
LAK	1	0	0	27

Story

– / 9

Result BUF 4–1Call No lean · LAK 53%Market BUF 54%xG 3.56–2.10 · deserved BUF 76%Swing Carrick +35 3rd 11:12Method

Goals and penalties with LAK win probability
Time	Event	LAK win before	LAK win after
1st 9:53	BUF penalty · J. Quinn · hooking · 2 min
1st 10:48	Goal LAK · A. Panarin (PP)	52%	69%
2nd 4:05	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	71%	51%
2nd 11:15	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · tripping · 2 min
2nd 18:05	BUF penalty · Z. Metsa · tripping · 2 min
3rd 11:12	Goal BUF · S. Carrick	50%	15%
3rd 11:12	LAK penalty · A. Kempe · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
3rd 12:11	Goal BUF · R. Dahlin (PP)	14%	2%
3rd 17:35	Goal BUF · Z. Benson (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10S. CarrickC	0:56	15:38	22	1	0	1	3	7	0	1	1	6-8
6Z. BensonL	0:54	15:16	19	1	1	2	1	2	0	0	0	–
29B. MalenstynL	0:58	14:47	20	0	1	1	3	5	0	3	1	–
64L. StanleyD	1:41	16:26	21	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	2	–
73Z. MetsaD	1:43	13:59	19	0	1	1	1	3	2	1	2	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA27GA1SV%.963xGA2.10GSAx+1.10

LAK5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21S. LaughtonC	0:20	15:00	20	0	0	0	1	3	0	4	0	8-4
39J. MalottL	0:58	10:00	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	–
52T. WardR	0:54	9:45	14	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	–
2B. DumoulinD	0:48	17:11	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	–
5C. CeciD	0:23	18:11	20	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	2	–
31A. ForsbergG		58:35	SA33GA3SV%.909xGA3.09GSAx+0.09

Goals

1st
Artemi Panarin(1)PP
A. Kopitar (1), A. Kempe (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 LAK1st 10:48+17.169%
2nd
Tage Thompson(1)
P. Krebs (1), M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 04:05+19.949%
3rd
Sam Carrick(1)
Z. Benson (1), Z. Metsa (1)
xG 0.13backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 BUF3rd 11:12+35.285%
Rasmus Dahlin(1)PP
Unassisted
xG 0.92Clip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 BUF3rd 12:11+11.698%
Zach Benson(1)EN
J. Norris (1), B. Malenstyn (1)
xG 0.46wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 BUF3rd 17:35+0.099%

Shots

BUF3.56 xG43 unblocked · 15 blocked43 unblocked · 15 blocked

LAK2.10 xG37 unblocked · 17 blocked37 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFLAK4Goals13.56xG2.1034Shots2743Unblocked3758Attempts544High danger21/1Power play1/319Faceoffs3615Hits2717Blocks157Takeaways410Giveaways116PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	23:07	1	0	1	2	6	1.22	−0.22	1	1	0	0	—	0	+2
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	22:20	0	0	0	2	4	0.07	−0.07	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	22:02	0	0	0	3	3	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	21:40	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	1	—	2	+1
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	20:06	0	0	0	4	4	0.10	−0.10	1	1	1	2	—	0	+1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	18:11	1	0	1	3	5	0.25	+0.75	1	0	0	3	22%	0	+1
64L. StanleyLogan StanleyD	16:26	0	0	0	3	3	0.11	−0.11	1	2	0	1	—	0	+2
10S. CarrickSam CarrickC	15:38	1	0	1	3	7	0.30	+0.70	1	1	0	0	43%	0	+1
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	15:16	1	1	2	1	2	0.46	+0.54	0	0	2	0	—	0	+2
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	15:03	0	1	1	2	5	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	0	43%	0	+1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	14:47	0	1	1	3	5	0.08	−0.08	3	1	0	1	—	0	+2
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	14:40	0	1	1	0	1	0.21	−0.21	0	2	0	0	42%	0	+1
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	13:59	0	1	1	1	3	0.02	−0.02	1	2	0	1	—	2	+1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	13:01	0	0	0	2	3	0.24	−0.24	0	1	0	0	0%	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	12:44	0	0	0	3	3	0.20	−0.20	1	1	2	0	—	0	0
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	12:30	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	11:52	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	1	25%	0	0
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	11:43	0	0	0	2	3	0.10	−0.10	2	1	1	0	—	2	0
BUF total		4	6	10	34	58	3.56	+0.44	15	16	7	10	35%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Norris+0.65

Carrick+0.47

Thompson+0.45

Benson+0.27

Krebs+0.26

Doan+0.03

Malenstyn−0.08

Ostlund−0.12

Zucker−0.14

Tuch−0.31

McLeod−0.35

Quinn−0.46

Defence

Dahlin+0.87

Stanley0.00

Metsa−0.01

Power−0.05

Byram−0.09

Samuelsson−0.17

Goalie

Luukkonen+1.12

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	11:59	20	14	10	58.3%	8	5	1	0	0.45	0.45	50.1%	+0.00	5	3	63%
Norris·Ostlund·Doan	10:10	19	13	8	61.9%	9	2	0	0	0.78	0.32	71.3%	+0.47	3	2	60%
Benson·Malenstyn·Carrick	9:51	15	10	4	71.4%	6	1	1	0	0.36	0.19	65.4%	+0.17	2	2	50%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	8:39	14	4	10	28.6%	2	6	0	0	0.19	0.32	36.6%	−0.14	4	2	67%
Occasional · 6 groups
Benson·Thompson·Tuch	1:35	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Carrick·Krebs	1:13	4	5	1	83.3%	1	0	0	0	0.15	0.03	82.9%	+0.12	1	0	100%
Zucker·Thompson·Quinn	1:11	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Norris·Ostlund·Tuch	1:07	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Zucker·Carrick·Quinn	0:52	6	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Benson·Malenstyn·Norris	0:32	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	52:41		50	42	54.3%	28	19	2	0	2.03	1.69	54.5%	+0.33

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 26/27
SV%: .963
xGA: 2.10
GSAx: +1.10

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/21	1.000	1.88	+1.88
Power play	5/6	.833	0.23	−0.77
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.36	+0.36

Anton Forsberg

LAK · 58:35

Saves: 30/33
SV%: .909
xGA: 3.09
GSAx: +0.09

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/28	.929	2.03	+0.03
Power play	1/2	.500	1.00	+0.00
Shorthanded	3/3	1.000	0.06	+0.06
High danger	0/1	.000	1.32	+0.32

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

23:07Dahlin
22:20Byram
22:02Power
21:40Samuelsson
16:26Stanley
13:59Metsa

20:06Tuch
18:11Thompson
15:38Carrick
15:16Benson
15:03Krebs
14:47Malenstyn
14:40Norris
13:01Ostlund
12:44Doan
12:30Zucker
11:52McLeod
11:43Quinn

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFLAK

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD3 O7
SamuelssonD4 O5
ByramD4 O5
PowerD4 O5
MetsaD2 O2
StanleyD5 O2
ThompsonD2 O5
ZuckerD2 O4
KrebsD4 O6
QuinnD2 O4
NorrisD2 O3
McLeodD3 O4
DoanD2 O3
OstlundD2 O3
TuchD5 O5
BensonD2 O2
MalenstynD3 O2
CarrickD6 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period