TOR @ MIN 4–2 · 2026-03-15

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	0	3	1	26
MIN	0	0	2	38

Story

– / 13

Result TOR 4–2Call No lean · MIN 65%Market MIN 71%xG 2.65–4.07 · deserved MIN 72%Swing Rielly +21 2nd 1:07Method

Goals and penalties with MIN win probability
Time	Event	MIN win before	MIN win after
2nd 1:07	Goal TOR · M. Rielly	63%	41%
2nd 2:19	Goal TOR · B. Groulx	41%	22%
2nd 8:18	Goal TOR · B. Groulx	19%	8%
2nd 9:29	TOR penalty · C. Jarnkrok · holding the stick · 2 min
2nd 14:13	MIN penalty · M. Zuccarello · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 14:13	TOR penalty · B. Carlo · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 15:05	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · interference · 2 min
2nd 15:05	MIN penalty · K. Kaprizov · embellishment · 2 min
2nd 17:18	MIN penalty · Y. Trenin · hooking · 2 min
3rd 4:51	Goal MIN · V. Tarasenko	2%	8%
3rd 5:14	Goal MIN · V. Tarasenko	8%	26%
3rd 11:22	TOR penalty · N. Robertson · slashing · 2 min
3rd 19:23	Goal TOR · M. Knies (EN)	2%	0%

On ice · final horn

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19C. JarnkrokC	0:37	10:22	18	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	1-0
91J. TavaresC	0:37	19:49	23	0	1	1	3	7	0	0	1	17-9
88W. NylanderR	0:37	17:42	22	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	0-1
22J. McCabeD	1:54	26:49	31	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	9	–
25B. CarloD	1:54	25:07	32	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	4	–
41A. StolarzG		58:05	SA38GA2SV%.947xGA3.60GSAx+1.60

MIN6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14J. Eriksson EkC	2:01	18:47	19	0	0	0	4	9	0	1	1	11-11
12M. BoldyL	1:51	19:28	19	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	1	–
97K. KaprizovL	1:53	22:41	19	0	0	0	2	8	2	1	1	–
36M. ZuccarelloR	1:13	21:35	19	0	2	2	5	9	2	0	0	1-2
91V. TarasenkoR	0:29	16:55	19	2	0	2	4	8	0	3	0	–
43Q. HughesD	2:49	31:17	26	0	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	–

Goals

2nd
Morgan Rielly(1)
M. Maccelli (1), J. Tavares (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TOR2nd 01:07+21.559%
Bo Groulx(1)
T. Stecher (1), N. Robertson (1)
xG 0.08deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 TOR2nd 02:19+18.778%
Bo Groulx(2)
Unassisted
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 TOR2nd 08:18+11.392%
3rd
Vladimir Tarasenko(1)
M. Zuccarello (1), R. Hartman (1)
xG 0.23snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TOR3rd 04:51+6.38%
Vladimir Tarasenko(2)
R. Hartman (2), M. Zuccarello (2)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 TOR3rd 05:14+18.126%
Matthew Knies(1)EN
Unassisted
xG 0.49wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 TOR3rd 19:23+1.3100%

Shots

TOR2.65 xG35 unblocked · 13 blocked35 unblocked · 13 blocked

MIN4.07 xG58 unblocked · 32 blocked58 unblocked · 32 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORMIN4Goals22.65xG4.0726Shots3835Unblocked5848Attempts904High danger50/1Power play0/229Faceoffs2614Hits2232Blocks134Takeaways623Giveaways168PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	26:49	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	2	9	0	2	—	2	+2
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	25:07	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	4	0	4	—	2	+1
23M. KniesMatthew KniesL	20:47	1	0	1	2	2	0.69	+0.31	1	1	0	1	—	0	+1
91J. TavaresJohn TavaresC	19:49	0	1	1	3	7	0.42	−0.42	0	1	1	1	65%	0	0
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	17:42	0	0	0	2	4	0.23	−0.23	0	1	0	1	0%	0	+1
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	17:38	1	0	1	3	4	0.19	+0.81	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
51P. MyersPhilippe MyersD	17:28	0	0	0	1	3	0.01	−0.01	2	2	0	1	—	0	0
28T. StecherTroy StecherD	17:13	0	1	1	3	4	0.12	−0.12	1	4	0	3	—	0	0
29B. GroulxBo GroulxC	17:03	2	0	2	2	4	0.14	+1.86	1	0	0	0	56%	0	+2
53E. CowanEaston CowanR	16:39	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
11M. DomiMax DomiC	15:26	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	45%	0	+1
2S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	14:46	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	3	—	0	0
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	14:19	0	1	1	2	3	0.21	−0.21	0	0	1	1	—	0	+1
89N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	13:41	0	1	1	2	2	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	1	—	2	0
81D. JoshuaDakota JoshuaC	11:51	0	0	0	2	4	0.28	−0.28	4	0	0	1	0%	0	0
18S. LorentzSteven LorentzC	10:54	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	1	0	0%	0	0
19C. JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokC	10:22	0	0	0	2	3	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	1	100%	2	0
26J. QuillanJacob QuillanC	8:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	1	0	20%	0	0
TOR total		4	4	8	26	48	2.65	+1.35	14	28	4	22	53%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Groulx+0.88

Maccelli+0.34

Quillan−0.10

Tavares−0.13

Knies−0.20

Nylander−0.23

Lorentz−0.27

Cowan−0.32

Joshua−0.33

Domi−0.35

Jarnkrok−0.43

Robertson−0.47

Defence

Stecher+0.63

Rielly+0.38

McCabe+0.28

Benoit+0.15

Myers−0.15

Carlo−0.17

Goalie

Stolarz+1.63

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Maccelli·Tavares·Nylander	11:37	17	14	14	50.0%	8	7	1	1	0.65	0.80	44.8%	−0.15	3	2	60%
Knies·Domi·Cowan	10:18	15	4	16	20.0%	2	4	0	0	0.04	0.24	13.4%	−0.20	1	1	50%
Robertson·Groulx·Joshua	8:44	14	9	15	37.5%	4	7	1	1	0.35	0.98	26.3%	−0.63	0	2	0%
Lorentz·Jarnkrok·Quillan	5:51	11	4	9	30.8%	2	5	0	0	0.23	0.38	38.2%	−0.14	0	1	0%
Occasional · 9 groups
Knies·Tavares·Cowan	1:29	5	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.22	0.0%	−0.22	0	0	—
Lorentz·Jarnkrok·Groulx	1:09	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Jarnkrok·Tavares·Nylander	1:07	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	1	0%
Knies·Domi·Groulx	0:45	2	0	5	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.22	0.0%	−0.22	0	1	0%
Knies·Robertson·Groulx	0:43	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Domi·Joshua·Cowan	0:42	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Lorentz·Jarnkrok·Tavares	0:36	1	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.01	0.11	9.7%	−0.10	0	1	0%
Knies·Groulx·Cowan	0:32	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Maccelli·Tavares·Cowan	0:30	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
TOR 5v5	48:31		37	72	33.9%	20	32	3	2	1.49	3.16	32.1%	−1.66

Goalies

Anthony Stolarz

TOR · 58:05

Saves: 36/38
SV%: .947
xGA: 3.60
GSAx: +1.60

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/33	.939	3.25	+1.25
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.33	+0.33
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	2/3	.667	0.76	−0.24

Jesper Wallstedt

MIN · 58:26

Saves: 22/25
SV%: .880
xGA: 2.16
GSAx: −0.84

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/22	.864	1.65	−1.35
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.51	+0.51
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.54	+0.54

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

26:49McCabe
25:07Carlo
17:38Rielly
17:28Myers
17:13Stecher
14:46Benoit

20:47Knies
19:49Tavares
17:42Nylander
17:03Groulx
16:39Cowan
15:26Domi
14:19Maccelli
13:41Robertson
11:51Joshua
10:54Lorentz
10:22Jarnkrok
8:21Quillan

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORMIN

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MyersD1 O6
RiellyD1 O5
StecherD2 O1
CarloD5 O3
BenoitD2 O0
McCabeD6 O2
NylanderD2 O4
MaccelliD2 O4
TavaresD3 O4
DomiD2 O1
RobertsonD2 O1
QuillanD1 O0
KniesD3 O1
CowanD2 O0
JoshuaD3 O0
LorentzD3 O0
GroulxD4 O1
JarnkrokD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period