CAR @ TBL 4–2 · 2026-03-14

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	2	0	2	35
TBL	0	2	0	19

Story

– / 15

Result CAR 4–2Call No lean · TBL 63%Market TBL 55%xG 4.27–2.23 · deserved CAR 80%Swing Martinook +35 3rd 9:18Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 0:36	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov	63%	47%
1st 6:27	CAR penalty · A. Svechnikov · slashing · 2 min
1st 10:40	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · hooking · 2 min
1st 14:29	CAR penalty · S. Jarvis · roughing · 2 min
1st 14:29	CAR penalty · S. Jarvis · fighting · 5 min
1st 14:29	TBL penalty · Z. Girgensons · fighting · 5 min
1st 17:28	Goal CAR · S. Aho	42%	25%
2nd 4:32	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · roughing · 2 min
2nd 4:32	CAR penalty · S. Aho · roughing · 2 min
2nd 9:05	CAR penalty · S. Walker · hooking · 2 min
2nd 9:20	TBL penalty · B. Hagel · hooking · 2 min
2nd 14:10	Goal TBL · Y. Gourde	16%	34%
2nd 15:31	Goal TBL · C. D'Astous	33%	58%
3rd 9:18	Goal CAR · J. Martinook	56%	21%
3rd 18:29	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven (EN)	4%	1%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	1:00	20:28	25	1	1	2	2	4	2	2	0	6-9
24S. JarvisC	0:58	16:14	21	0	0	0	2	4	7	0	0	1-0
37A. SvechnikovR	0:40	19:24	24	1	1	2	6	7	2	4	0	–
19K. MillerD	1:01	24:05	28	0	1	1	2	3	0	3	2	–
26S. WalkerD	0:57	20:13	26	0	1	1	2	4	2	3	3	–
31F. AndersenG		59:34	SA19GA2SV%.895xGA2.23GSAx+0.23

TBL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	FO
37Y. GourdeC	0:16	15:20	20	1	0	1	3	3	2	1	6-4
93G. GoncalvesC	0:16	15:40	22	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	–
29P. HolmbergR	0:16	12:03	19	0	1	1	0	1	2	1	–
86N. KucherovR	2:42	20:00	21	0	0	0	5	8	0	2	–
43D. RaddyshD	1:57	23:14	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	–
90J. MoserD	0:16	20:55	26	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	–

Goals

1st
Andrei Svechnikov(1)
S. Aho (1), S. Walker (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 00:36+15.953%
Sebastian Aho(1)
A. Svechnikov (1), K. Miller (1)
xG 0.24wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CAR1st 17:28+17.075%
2nd
Yanni Gourde(1)
V. Hedman (1), P. Holmberg (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 CAR2nd 14:10+18.434%
Charle-Edouard D'Astous(1)
B. Point (1), G. Goncalves (1)
xG 0.07tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 15:31+24.758%
3rd
Jordan Martinook(1)
N. Ehlers (1), M. Reilly (1)
xG 0.01wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR3rd 09:18+34.679%
Logan Stankoven(1)EN
T. Hall (1)
xG 0.49snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 CAR3rd 18:29+3.999%

Shots

CAR4.27 xG52 unblocked · 15 blocked52 unblocked · 15 blocked

TBL2.23 xG27 unblocked · 11 blocked27 unblocked · 11 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARTBL4Goals24.27xG2.2335Shots1952Unblocked2767Attempts386High danger40/2Power play0/322Faceoffs1927Hits2611Blocks159Takeaways413Giveaways1413PIM11

Skaters

Player

Player
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	24:16	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	3	0	—	0	+1
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	24:05	0	1	1	2	3	0.03	−0.03	3	2	1	0	—	0	+1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	23:10	0	0	0	3	5	0.09	−0.09	1	1	0	2	—	0	0
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	20:28	1	1	2	2	4	0.36	+0.64	2	0	0	1	40%	2	+1
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	20:13	0	1	1	2	4	0.17	−0.17	3	3	0	1	—	2	+1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	19:24	1	1	2	6	7	0.43	+0.57	4	0	1	1	—	2	+1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	17:56	0	0	0	4	7	0.62	−0.62	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	16:14	0	0	0	2	4	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	0	100%	7	-1
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	14:51	1	0	1	1	6	0.69	+0.31	0	0	1	1	100%	0	+1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	14:19	0	1	1	2	6	0.26	−0.26	0	0	0	0	—	0	+2
71T. HallTaylor HallL	14:17	0	1	1	2	4	0.43	−0.43	1	0	1	0	—	0	+1
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	14:03	0	0	0	2	2	0.12	−0.12	1	1	1	0	—	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	13:45	1	0	1	1	3	0.14	+0.86	2	0	0	1	0%	0	+2
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	13:35	0	0	0	2	4	0.36	−0.36	3	0	1	1	57%	0	+1
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	12:31	0	1	1	0	3	0.05	−0.05	1	1	0	0	—	0	+1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	10:13	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	1	—	0	-1
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	9:53	0	0	0	2	2	0.11	−0.11	1	1	0	0	50%	0	-1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	9:13	0	0	0	2	2	0.22	−0.22	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
CAR total		4	7	11	35	67	4.27	−0.27	27	10	9	11	54%	13

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Aho+0.92

Svechnikov+0.75

Martinook+0.55

Ehlers+0.54

Hall+0.32

Carrier+0.06

Jankowski−0.12

Staal−0.13

Robinson−0.15

Stankoven−0.24

Blake−0.31

Jarvis−0.54

Defence

Walker+0.18

Reilly+0.15

Miller+0.13

Chatfield+0.11

Nikishin+0.02

Slavin−0.06

Goalie

Andersen+0.25

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	11:52	17	9	12	42.9%	5	6	0	1	0.43	0.59	42.1%	−0.16	2	1	67%
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	10:10	15	12	9	57.1%	6	5	0	0	0.90	0.86	51.1%	+0.04	1	0	100%
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	8:58	15	18	1	94.7%	8	0	1	0	0.70	0.01	97.9%	+0.69	2	1	67%
Carrier·Robinson·Jankowski	6:59	11	6	6	50.0%	5	4	0	1	0.41	0.18	69.8%	+0.23	2	0	100%
Occasional · 5 groups
Aho·Svechnikov·Blake	2:04	4	1	2	33.3%	0	0	0	0	0.11	0.14	44.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Carrier·Stankoven·Blake	0:51	6	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	0:46	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Martinook·Staal·Svechnikov	0:38	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hall·Aho·Stankoven	0:34	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	48:07		54	30	64.3%	29	15	3	2	3.18	1.78	64.1%	+1.40

Goalies

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 59:34

Saves: 17/19
SV%: .895
xGA: 2.23
GSAx: +0.23

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/16	.875	1.92	−0.08
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.31	+0.31
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.77	+0.77

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 58:48

Saves: 31/34
SV%: .912
xGA: 3.78
GSAx: +0.78

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	29/32	.906	3.51	+0.51
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.27	+0.27
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/5	.600	1.06	−0.94

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

24:16Slavin
24:05Miller
23:10Chatfield
20:13Walker
14:03Nikishin
12:31Reilly

20:28Aho
19:24Svechnikov
17:56Blake
16:14Jarvis
14:51Stankoven
14:19Ehlers
14:17Hall
13:45Martinook
13:35Staal
10:13Robinson
9:53Jankowski
9:13Carrier

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARTBL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

NikishinD0 O4
ReillyD0 O3
MillerD1 O3
WalkerD2 O2
SlavinD5 O1
ChatfieldD4 O0
HallD0 O3
AhoD1 O4
SvechnikovD1 O4
JarvisD1 O4
StankovenD0 O3
BlakeD0 O2
StaalD3 O4
JankowskiD1 O2
CarrierD0 O1
EhlersD1 O2
RobinsonD1 O2
MartinookD3 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period