TOR @ BUF 2–3 · 2026-03-14

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
TOR	1	1	0	0	18
BUF	1	1	0	0	33

Story

– / 18

Result BUF 3–2 SOCall No lean · BUF 60%Market BUF 69%xG 2.21–3.98 · deserved BUF 77%Swing Quinn +23 2nd 11:21Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 2:01	Goal BUF · O. Power	59%	75%
1st 2:34	TOR penalty · M. Pezzetta · holding · 2 min
1st 6:09	Goal TOR · D. Joshua	75%	59%
1st 8:12	BUF penalty · L. Schenn · fighting · 5 min
1st 8:12	TOR penalty · D. Joshua · fighting · 5 min
1st 10:52	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · cross checking · 2 min
1st 15:22	BUF penalty · N. Ostlund · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
1st 15:22	BUF penalty · L. Schenn · roughing · 2 min
1st 15:22	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · roughing · 2 min
1st 15:22	BUF penalty · L. Schenn · roughing · 2 min
1st 15:22	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · roughing · 2 min
2nd 0:53	Goal TOR · M. Domi	58%	38%
2nd 6:42	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · interference · 2 min
2nd 9:51	TOR penalty · M. Pezzetta · slashing · 2 min
2nd 11:21	Goal BUF · J. Quinn (PP)	34%	57%
3rd 6:31	TOR penalty · M. Knies · holding · 2 min
3rd 19:11	BUF penalty · B. Byram · holding the stick · 2 min
3rd 19:11	TOR penalty · J. Tavares · roughing · 2 min

On ice · final horn

TOR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
91J. TavaresC	0:23	19:44	23	0	0	0	0	5	2	1	0	16-8
88W. NylanderR	0:58	21:12	25	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	0	–
22J. McCabeD	0:24	26:13	30	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	–
60J. WollG		64:54	SA33GA2SV%.939xGA3.90GSAx+1.90

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
89A. TuchR	0:40	20:46	29	0	0	0	5	7	0	1	0	–
91J. DoanR	0:39	18:56	21	0	0	0	3	6	0	0	1	–
4B. ByramD	0:22	25:29	32	0	0	0	1	4	2	1	1	–
34A. LyonG		64:54	SA18GA2SV%.889xGA2.21GSAx+0.21

Goals

1st
Owen Power(1)
Z. Benson (1), S. Carrick (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 02:01+15.175%
Dakota Joshua(1)
N. Robertson (1)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 06:09+15.741%
2nd
Max Domi(1)
W. Nylander (1), M. Knies (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TOR2nd 00:53+20.262%
Jack Quinn(1)PP
N. Ostlund (1), R. McLeod (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 11:21+23.457%

ShootoutBUF T. Thompson –TOR W. Nylander –BUF J. Quinn GTOR E. Cowan –BUF A. Tuch G

Shots

TOR2.21 xG28 unblocked · 10 blocked28 unblocked · 10 blocked

BUF3.98 xG57 unblocked · 24 blocked57 unblocked · 24 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORBUF2Goals22.21xG3.9818Shots3328Unblocked5738Attempts816High danger50/2Power play1/427Faceoffs2435Hits2124Blocks106Takeaways522Giveaways1519PIM15

Skaters

Player

Player
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	26:19	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	1	4	0	1	—	0	0
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	21:59	0	0	0	1	3	0.08	−0.08	2	2	0	0	—	6	0
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	21:18	0	1	1	2	2	0.17	−0.17	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
23M. KniesMatthew KniesL	20:09	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	0	—	2	+1
91J. TavaresJohn TavaresC	19:50	0	0	0	0	5	0.35	−0.35	1	0	1	1	67%	2	-1
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	19:33	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	3	1	2	—	0	0
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	19:25	0	0	0	2	3	0.28	−0.28	4	0	0	2	—	0	-1
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	19:18	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	2	1	2	—	0	0
29B. GroulxBo GroulxC	19:08	0	0	0	2	5	0.38	−0.38	5	1	0	1	33%	0	+1
2S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	17:05	0	0	0	1	1	0.12	−0.12	3	5	0	0	—	0	+1
51P. MyersPhilippe MyersD	16:53	0	0	0	2	4	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	2	—	0	+1
11M. DomiMax DomiC	16:47	1	0	1	1	1	0.10	+0.90	1	1	0	0	60%	0	+1
53E. CowanEaston CowanR	15:07	0	0	0	1	3	0.22	−0.22	2	1	1	4	—	0	0
89N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	14:35	0	1	1	1	2	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	1	0%	0	+1
81D. JoshuaDakota JoshuaC	11:58	1	0	1	1	2	0.14	+0.86	6	0	0	2	—	5	+1
19C. JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokC	10:38	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	50%	0	0
26J. QuillanJacob QuillanC	10:10	0	0	0	2	2	0.02	−0.02	1	1	0	0	50%	0	0
61M. PezzettaMichael PezzettaL	6:29	0	0	0	1	1	0.18	−0.18	3	1	0	1	—	4	0
TOR total		2	3	5	18	38	2.21	−0.21	35	22	6	19	53%	19

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Joshua+0.41

Domi+0.38

Robertson+0.08

Nylander+0.07

Quillan0.00

Pezzetta−0.18

Cowan−0.26

Jarnkrok−0.28

Tavares−0.40

Groulx−0.44

Maccelli−0.52

Knies−0.53

Defence

Benoit+0.32

Rielly0.00

McCabe−0.06

Carlo−0.07

Myers−0.08

Ekman-Larsson−0.26

Goalie

Woll+2.01

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Maccelli·Tavares·Nylander	13:08	18	10	16	38.5%	5	4	0	1	0.51	0.95	35.0%	−0.44	2	3	40%
Knies·Domi·Cowan	8:47	14	4	13	23.5%	1	5	0	0	0.12	0.34	26.5%	−0.22	0	1	0%
Robertson·Groulx·Joshua	8:00	13	6	14	30.0%	3	3	1	0	0.26	0.57	31.1%	−0.31	3	1	75%
Pezzetta·Jarnkrok·Quillan	3:05	7	2	2	50.0%	2	1	0	0	0.19	0.07	74.2%	+0.13	1	0	100%
Occasional · 11 groups
Robertson·Domi·Cowan	1:03	3	0	3	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.29	0.0%	−0.29	0	0	—
Robertson·Jarnkrok·Groulx	1:03	1	1	4	20.0%	0	2	0	0	0.02	0.29	5.1%	−0.28	0	0	—
Knies·Jarnkrok·Groulx	0:49	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Pezzetta·Quillan·Groulx	0:48	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.27	0.00	100.0%	+0.27	0	0	—
Pezzetta·Robertson·Groulx	0:48	2	1	3	25.0%	0	1	0	0	0.01	0.09	13.4%	−0.08	0	0	—
Knies·Tavares·Nylander	0:46	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Knies·Domi·Groulx	0:44	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Groulx·Joshua·Cowan	0:41	5	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Knies·Groulx·Cowan	0:38	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Pezzetta·Jarnkrok·Groulx	0:36	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Domi·Cowan·Nylander	0:34	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.15	0.00	100.0%	+0.15	0	0	—
TOR 5v5	47:41		33	63	34.4%	16	25	2	1	1.92	2.89	40.0%	−0.97

Goalies

Joseph Woll

TOR · 65:00

Saves: 31/33
SV%: .939
xGA: 3.98
GSAx: +1.98

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/26	.962	3.25	+2.25
Power play	5/6	.833	0.65	−0.35
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.08	+0.08
High danger	3/3	1.000	1.00	+1.00

Alex Lyon

BUF · 65:00

Saves: 16/18
SV%: .889
xGA: 2.21
GSAx: +0.21

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	2.19	+0.19
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	4/4	1.000	1.14	+1.14

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

26:19McCabe
21:59Ekman-Larsson
19:33Rielly
19:18Carlo
17:05Benoit
16:53Myers

21:18Nylander
20:09Knies
19:50Tavares
19:25Maccelli
19:08Groulx
16:47Domi
15:07Cowan
14:35Robertson
11:58Joshua
10:38Jarnkrok
10:10Quillan
6:29Pezzetta

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

RiellyD1 O5
Ekman-LarssonD1 O4
CarloD6 O3
MyersD4 O0
BenoitD4 O0
McCabeD6 O1
JoshuaD0 O3
TavaresD3 O5
NylanderD3 O5
MaccelliD2 O4
RobertsonD1 O2
KniesD1 O2
DomiD1 O0
PezzettaD1 O0
CowanD1 O0
QuillanD1 O0
JarnkrokD4 O1
GroulxD6 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period