BUF @ FLA 5–3 · 2026-02-02

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	2	1	2	20
FLA	2	1	0	42

Story

– / 15

Result BUF 5–3Call No lean · FLA 54%xG 4.02–4.11 · deserved FLA 51%Swing Zucker +33 3rd 5:31Method

Goals and penalties with FLA win probability
Time	Event	FLA win before	FLA win after
1st 0:37	Goal FLA · S. Vilmanis	54%	71%
1st 5:54	Goal FLA · E. Rodrigues	72%	85%
1st 15:03	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	87%	73%
1st 18:26	Goal BUF · P. Krebs	74%	53%
2nd 3:36	BUF penalty · R. McLeod · delaying game · 2 min
2nd 5:44	Goal BUF · Z. Benson	53%	30%
2nd 12:51	FLA penalty · J. Petry · tripping · 2 min
2nd 17:11	BUF penalty · J. Quinn · slashing · 2 min
2nd 18:59	Goal FLA · U. Balinskis (PP)	24%	53%
3rd 0:35	FLA penalty · A. Ekblad · holding · 2 min
3rd 5:19	FLA penalty · C. Schwindt · hooking · 2 min
3rd 5:31	Goal BUF · J. Zucker (PP)	52%	19%
3rd 12:15	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · tripping · 2 min
3rd 13:08	BUF penalty · B. Byram · slashing · 2 min
3rd 17:51	Goal BUF · J. Doan	4%	0%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	1:11	19:27	25	1	2	3	1	2	0	7	0	2-4
72T. ThompsonC	1:11	20:14	25	1	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	8-9
89A. TuchR	1:11	22:27	29	0	1	1	1	7	0	1	2	2-0
4B. ByramD	1:11	22:54	30	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	–
26R. DahlinD	0:12	21:54	27	0	2	2	1	3	2	0	2	–
34A. LyonG		59:55	SA42GA3SV%.929xGA4.11GSAx+1.11

FLA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
13S. ReinhartC	2:25	24:41	24	0	2	2	6	9	1	3	0-1
17E. RodriguesC	2:22	24:09	24	1	0	1	5	11	1	0	13-10
23C. VerhaegheC	2:21	22:53	22	0	1	1	7	11	0	0	1-3
27E. LuostarinenC	1:52	17:04	22	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	4-3
19M. TkachukL	2:32	24:07	22	0	0	0	2	7	1	1	–
26U. BalinskisD	2:44	24:57	25	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	–

Goals

1st
Sandis Vilmanis(1)
A. Greer (1), N. Mikkola (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 FLA1st 00:37+17.471%
Evan Rodrigues(1)
S. Reinhart (1), T. Bjornfot (1)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 FLA1st 05:54+13.785%
Tage Thompson(1)
P. Krebs (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.07snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 FLA1st 15:03+14.127%
Peyton Krebs(1)
R. Dahlin (2), A. Tuch (1)
xG 0.07backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 18:26+20.547%
2nd
Zach Benson(1)
R. McLeod (1), O. Power (1)
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 BUF2nd 05:44+23.370%
Uvis Balinskis(1)PP
S. Reinhart (2), C. Verhaeghe (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 18:59+28.753%
3rd
Jason Zucker(1)PP
J. Doan (1), J. Quinn (1)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 BUF3rd 05:31+32.981%
Josh Doan(1)
P. Krebs (2), R. McLeod (2)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 BUF3rd 17:51+3.8100%

Shots

BUF4.02 xG36 unblocked · 13 blocked36 unblocked · 13 blocked

FLA4.11 xG59 unblocked · 22 blocked59 unblocked · 22 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFFLA5Goals34.02xG4.1120Shots4236Unblocked5949Attempts819High danger51/3Power play1/430Faceoffs3123Hits2222Blocks132Takeaways717Giveaways178PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	27:26	0	0	0	1	1	0.29	−0.29	1	7	0	1	—	0	0
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	24:17	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	−0.03	1	4	0	3	—	0	+1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	22:54	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	1	—	2	+1
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	22:27	0	1	1	1	7	0.05	−0.05	1	2	0	1	100%	0	+3
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	21:54	0	2	2	1	3	0.13	−0.13	0	2	0	1	—	2	+1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	20:14	1	0	1	4	12	1.75	−0.75	0	0	0	3	47%	0	+2
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	19:27	1	2	3	1	2	0.13	+0.87	7	0	0	0	33%	0	+2
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	16:54	0	2	2	1	3	0.23	−0.23	0	1	0	2	56%	2	+1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	16:22	1	1	2	1	3	0.25	+0.75	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	16:13	0	1	1	4	7	0.53	−0.53	1	0	0	0	—	2	-1
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	16:00	1	0	1	2	3	0.36	+0.64	1	0	1	1	0%	0	-1
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	14:10	1	0	1	2	2	0.17	+0.83	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	12:15	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	43%	0	-1
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	11:48	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	3	—	0	+1
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	11:14	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	3	1	0	1	55%	0	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	8:04	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	7:30	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
63I. RosenIsak RosenR	3:08	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
BUF total		5	10	15	20	49	4.02	+0.98	23	20	2	17	49%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Krebs+1.48

Doan+0.84

Benson+0.52

Zucker+0.38

Thompson+0.37

McLeod+0.25

Rosen+0.04

Tuch−0.15

Malenstyn−0.17

Kozak−0.19

Quinn−0.36

Ostlund−0.41

Defence

Dahlin+0.41

Samuelsson+0.35

Power+0.21

Kesselring−0.15

Metsa−0.17

Byram−0.45

Goalie

Lyon+1.13

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	10:38	17	15	12	55.6%	3	6	2	0	0.69	0.58	54.1%	+0.10	2	5	29%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	10:30	19	9	15	37.5%	5	10	0	1	0.86	0.97	47.1%	−0.11	2	3	40%
Occasional · 14 groups
Benson·Ostlund·Doan	4:47	6	1	6	14.3%	0	2	0	0	0.08	0.34	18.7%	−0.26	0	0	—
Benson·Thompson·Tuch	3:12	6	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	2	0%
Krebs·Ostlund·Doan	2:54	7	0	8	0.0%	0	3	0	1	0.00	0.34	0.0%	−0.34	0	1	0%
Malenstyn·Kozak·Rosen	2:14	6	1	3	25.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	1	0	100%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Kozak	1:41	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Benson·Kozak·Doan	1:15	3	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	2	0%
Zucker·McLeod·Tuch	1:07	6	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Benson·Malenstyn·Kozak	1:03	5	1	2	33.3%	1	1	0	0	0.08	0.06	55.1%	+0.01	0	1	0%
Kozak·Ostlund·Doan	0:48	2	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Krebs·McLeod·Quinn	0:42	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Zucker·Ostlund·Quinn	0:42	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	0:42	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
Kozak·Ostlund·Quinn	0:35	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Ostlund·Rosen·Doan	0:31	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	47:10		35	56	38.5%	14	27	4	2	2.09	2.69	43.7%	−0.60

Goalies

Alex Lyon

BUF · 59:55

Saves: 39/42
SV%: .929
xGA: 4.11
GSAx: +1.11

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/30	.933	2.97	+0.97
Power play	11/12	.917	1.14	+0.14
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.94	+0.94

Sergei Bobrovsky

FLA · 58:08

Saves: 15/20
SV%: .750
xGA: 2.92
GSAx: −2.08

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/15	.733	2.19	−1.81
Power play	3/4	.750	0.44	−0.56
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.29	+0.29
High danger	3/5	.600	1.60	−0.40

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

27:26Samuelsson
24:17Power
22:54Byram
21:54Dahlin
11:48Kesselring
7:30Metsa

22:27Tuch
20:14Thompson
19:27Krebs
16:54McLeod
16:22Doan
16:13Quinn
16:00Zucker
14:10Benson
12:15Ostlund
11:14Kozak
8:04Malenstyn
3:08Rosen

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFFLA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MetsaD1 O2
KesselringD1 O0
DahlinD4 O2
ByramD8 O2
SamuelssonD7 O0
PowerD7 O0
ZuckerD3 O5
QuinnD3 O5
RosenD0 O1
DoanD3 O3
OstlundD1 O1
MalenstynD3 O1
McLeodD5 O3
ThompsonD7 O3
KrebsD6 O2
KozakD5 O1
BensonD5 O1
TuchD11 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period