TOR @ CGY 4–2 · 2026-02-02

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	1	2	1	22
CGY	0	2	0	30

Story

– / 9

Result TOR 4–2Call No lean · CGY 56%xG 2.83–2.11 · deserved TOR 63%Swing Nylander +17 1st 0:35Method

Goals and penalties with CGY win probability
Time	Event	CGY win before	CGY win after
1st 0:35	Goal TOR · W. Nylander	56%	38%
2nd 7:17	Goal TOR · M. Maccelli	31%	14%
2nd 8:11	TOR penalty · J. Woll · holding the stick · 2 min
2nd 8:11	CGY penalty · M. Backlund · roughing · 2 min
2nd 9:10	Goal TOR · T. Stecher	14%	5%
2nd 13:15	Goal CGY · N. Kadri	4%	12%
2nd 15:46	Goal CGY · J. Farabee	11%	28%
2nd 17:46	TOR penalty · M. Knies · tripping · 2 min
3rd 19:35	Goal TOR · B. McMann (EN)	1%	0%

On ice · final horn

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18S. LorentzC	0:25	10:53	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	–
91J. TavaresC	0:25	16:45	22	0	1	1	1	3	0	1	0	10-4
88W. NylanderR	0:25	17:00	22	1	2	3	3	5	0	0	0	–
2S. BenoitD	0:25	18:56	26	0	0	0	2	4	0	3	4	–
51P. MyersD	0:25	17:29	24	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	1	–
60J. WollG		60:00	SA30GA2SV%.933xGA2.11GSAx+0.11

CGY5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
47C. ZaryC	0:25	14:46	19	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	1-1
76M. PospisilC	0:25	8:59	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	2-0
70R. LombergL	0:25	10:35	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	0	–
37Y. KuznetsovD	0:25	18:20	26	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	2	–
44J. HanleyD	0:25	16:36	22	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	–
32D. WolfG		58:41	SA21GA3SV%.857xGA2.30GSAx−0.70

Goals

1st
William Nylander(1)
J. Tavares (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TOR1st 00:35+17.562%
2nd
Matias Maccelli(1)
W. Nylander (1)
xG 0.06snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 TOR2nd 07:17+16.986%
Troy Stecher(1)
W. Nylander (2), A. Matthews (1)
xG 0.19backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 TOR2nd 09:10+8.795%
Nazem Kadri(1)
J. Farabee (1), J. Hanley (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TOR2nd 13:15+8.012%
Joel Farabee(1)
N. Kadri (1), M. Weegar (1)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 TOR2nd 15:46+17.028%
3rd
Bobby McMann(1)EN
S. Laughton (1), B. Carlo (1)
xG 0.53wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 TOR3rd 19:35+0.5100%

Shots

TOR2.83 xG35 unblocked · 17 blocked35 unblocked · 17 blocked

CGY2.11 xG43 unblocked · 27 blocked43 unblocked · 27 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORCGY4Goals22.83xG2.1122Shots3035Unblocked4352Attempts703High danger10/0Power play0/128Faceoffs1714Hits2027Blocks177Takeaways315Giveaways184PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	23:46	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	5	0	1	—	0	+1
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	21:19	0	1	1	0	4	0.05	−0.05	1	2	0	0	—	0	+1
28T. StecherTroy StecherD	20:08	1	0	1	4	4	0.40	+0.60	0	3	0	2	—	0	+1
2S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	18:56	0	0	0	2	4	0.06	−0.06	3	4	0	0	—	0	0
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	18:31	0	0	0	1	3	0.04	−0.04	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	17:33	1	0	1	2	3	0.24	+0.76	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
51P. MyersPhilippe MyersD	17:29	0	0	0	1	5	0.07	−0.07	1	1	0	2	—	0	+1
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	17:00	1	2	3	3	5	0.34	+0.66	0	0	3	3	—	0	+1
91J. TavaresJohn TavaresC	16:45	0	1	1	1	3	0.09	−0.09	1	0	1	1	71%	0	0
34A. MatthewsAuston MatthewsC	16:35	0	1	1	2	3	0.28	−0.28	0	2	1	1	82%	0	+2
55N. RoyNicolas RoyC	15:16	0	0	0	1	4	0.11	−0.11	1	3	0	0	56%	0	0
74B. McMannBobby McMannC	14:54	1	0	1	1	2	0.57	+0.43	2	1	0	1	—	0	+1
23M. KniesMatthew KniesL	14:45	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	−0.11	1	0	1	1	—	2	0
11M. DomiMax DomiC	14:28	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	0	0%	0	0
24S. LaughtonScott LaughtonC	14:06	0	1	1	2	3	0.37	−0.37	1	0	0	0	50%	0	+1
89N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	12:15	0	0	0	1	4	0.05	−0.05	1	0	1	0	100%	0	0
19C. JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokC	11:21	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	0%	0	0
18S. LorentzSteven LorentzC	10:53	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
TOR total		4	6	10	22	52	2.83	+1.17	14	27	7	13	62%	2

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Nylander+1.55

Maccelli+0.33

Laughton+0.33

Tavares+0.30

Lorentz−0.11

Matthews−0.12

Roy−0.15

Jarnkrok−0.24

Robertson−0.29

McMann−0.32

Domi−0.44

Knies−0.53

Defence

Stecher+0.51

Benoit+0.12

Myers+0.03

McCabe−0.07

Carlo−0.08

Ekman-Larsson−0.11

Goalie

Woll+0.12

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Maccelli·Tavares·Nylander	13:51	20	17	9	65.4%	6	6	2	2	0.76	0.42	64.3%	+0.34	3	3	50%
Domi·Matthews·McMann	12:00	18	8	21	27.6%	2	9	0	0	0.23	0.73	23.6%	−0.50	3	2	60%
Knies·Robertson·Roy	9:28	15	9	15	37.5%	4	7	0	0	0.30	0.49	38.2%	−0.19	0	3	0%
Lorentz·Jarnkrok·Laughton	7:23	13	5	6	45.5%	1	1	0	0	0.19	0.07	72.0%	+0.12	0	2	0%
Occasional · 9 groups
Maccelli·Jarnkrok·Laughton	1:17	5	0	4	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.21	0.0%	−0.21	0	0	—
Jarnkrok·Laughton·McMann	0:51	4	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Knies·Laughton·Roy	0:47	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	2	0%
Knies·Domi·Matthews	0:38	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Maccelli·Domi·Matthews	0:36	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Lorentz·Tavares·Nylander	0:35	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Robertson·Lorentz·Roy	0:35	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Knies·Domi·Roy	0:33	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Robertson·Roy·McMann	0:32	4	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
TOR 5v5	54:41		46	66	41.1%	16	29	2	2	1.69	2.09	44.7%	−0.40

Goalies

Joseph Woll

TOR · 60:00

Saves: 28/30
SV%: .933
xGA: 2.11
GSAx: +0.11

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/29	.931	2.09	+0.09
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.02	+0.02
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.16	+0.16

Dustin Wolf

CGY · 58:41

Saves: 18/21
SV%: .857
xGA: 2.30
GSAx: −0.70

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/20	.850	2.18	−0.82
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.12	+0.12
High danger	0/1	.000	0.37	−0.63

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

23:46McCabe
21:19Carlo
20:08Stecher
18:56Benoit
18:31Ekman-Larsson
17:29Myers

17:33Maccelli
17:00Nylander
16:45Tavares
16:35Matthews
15:16Roy
14:54McMann
14:45Knies
14:28Domi
14:06Laughton
12:15Robertson
11:21Jarnkrok
10:53Lorentz

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORCGY

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

Ekman-LarssonD4 O3
CarloD6 O4
StecherD4 O2
McCabeD6 O3
MyersD4 O0
BenoitD4 O0
DomiD1 O3
McMannD1 O3
MatthewsD3 O3
MaccelliD3 O3
TavaresD4 O3
NylanderD4 O3
JarnkrokD2 O0
RobertsonD2 O0
RoyD3 O0
LorentzD4 O0
KniesD4 O0
LaughtonD6 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period