NSH @ COL 7–3 · 2026-01-16

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	2	2	3	30
COL	2	0	1	43

Story

– / 13

Result NSH 7–3Call No lean · COL 64%xG 3.33–3.12 · deserved NSH 54%Swing O'Reilly +26 2nd 13:01Method

Goals and penalties with COL win probability
Time	Event	COL win before	COL win after
1st 0:30	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly	64%	46%
1st 1:24	Goal COL · B. Nelson	46%	64%
1st 7:32	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly	63%	45%
1st 11:16	Goal COL · B. Nelson	43%	63%
2nd 13:01	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly	60%	34%
2nd 13:22	NSH penalty · E. Haula · interference · 2 min
2nd 18:04	Goal NSH · M. Bunting	31%	12%
3rd 1:09	Goal COL · M. Necas	10%	29%
3rd 13:55	COL penalty · Z. Bardakov · interference · 2 min
3rd 15:13	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg (PP)	11%	1%
3rd 17:04	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos (EN)	1%	0%
3rd 17:31	NSH penalty · C. Smith · slashing · 2 min
3rd 17:41	Goal NSH · M. McCarron (SH) (EN)	0%	0%

On ice · final horn

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17T. JostC	0:54	12:05	17	0	0	0	4	6	0	2	1	0-1
36C. SmithR	0:29	12:13	19	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0-1
71M. WoodR	0:15	11:11	16	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	–
41N. HagueD	0:40	22:08	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	–
59R. JosiD	0:41	26:16	31	0	3	3	2	3	0	0	2	–
74J. SarosG		60:00	SA43GA3SV%.930xGA3.12GSAx+0.12

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17P. KellyC	0:15	16:52	19	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	1	1-0
54G. BrindleyC	1:23	12:13	13	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	–
82I. IvanC	1:20	9:36	12	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1-3
70S. MalinskiD	0:17	22:33	27	0	1	1	6	9	0	0	3	–
84B. BurnsD	0:10	18:53	25	0	1	1	4	6	0	0	0	–
39M. BlackwoodG		59:31	SA28GA5SV%.821xGA1.91GSAx−3.09

Goals

1st
Ryan O'Reilly(1)
F. Forsberg (1)
xG 0.16backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NSH1st 00:30+17.554%
Brock Nelson(1)
B. Burns (1), V. Nichushkin (1)
xG 0.32backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 01:24+17.664%
Ryan O'Reilly(2)
L. Evangelista (1), F. Forsberg (2)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH1st 07:32+18.755%
Brock Nelson(2)
J. Manson (1), S. Malinski (1)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 11:16+19.463%
2nd
Ryan O'Reilly(3)
L. Evangelista (2), R. Josi (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 NSH2nd 13:01+25.966%
Michael Bunting(1)
S. Stamkos (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 NSH2nd 18:04+19.088%
3rd
Martin Necas(1)
N. MacKinnon (1), A. Lehkonen (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 NSH3rd 01:09+18.729%
Filip Forsberg(1)PP
R. O'Reilly (1), R. Josi (2)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 NSH3rd 15:13+9.899%
Steven Stamkos(1)EN
M. Bunting (1), R. Josi (3)
xG 0.49wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–3 NSH3rd 17:04+0.0100%
Michael McCarron(1)SHEN
Unassisted
xG 0.46wristClip(opens nhl.com)
7–3 NSH3rd 17:41+0.0100%

Shots

NSH3.33 xG39 unblocked · 18 blocked39 unblocked · 18 blocked

COL3.12 xG53 unblocked · 13 blocked53 unblocked · 13 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHCOL7Goals33.33xG3.1230Shots4339Unblocked5357Attempts664High danger31/1Power play0/236Faceoffs2016Hits1413Blocks185Takeaways616Giveaways204PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	26:16	0	3	3	2	3	0.08	−0.08	0	2	0	1	—	0	+3
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	23:58	0	0	0	3	6	0.56	−0.56	0	1	0	1	—	0	+4
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	22:08	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	20:55	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	19:44	3	1	4	6	8	0.61	+2.39	0	0	1	1	83%	0	+4
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	18:35	1	2	3	5	9	0.23	+0.77	0	1	1	1	33%	0	+3
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	18:11	0	2	2	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	0	2	1	—	0	+3
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	16:55	1	1	2	2	5	0.54	+0.46	0	0	0	1	67%	0	+1
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	15:19	1	1	2	2	4	0.19	+0.81	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	15:07	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	0	1	0	1	50%	2	0
37N. BlankenburgNick BlankenburgD	14:18	0	0	0	1	3	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	2	—	0	-1
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	13:12	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	1	—	0	-1
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	12:26	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	2	73%	0	0
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	12:23	1	0	1	1	2	0.49	+0.51	3	1	0	0	58%	0	0
36C. SmithCole SmithR	12:13	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	2	0	0	1	0%	2	-2
17T. JostTyson JostC	12:05	0	0	0	4	6	0.32	−0.32	2	1	1	1	0%	0	0
71M. WoodMatthew WoodR	11:11	0	0	0	2	3	0.09	−0.09	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	11:04	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	6	0	0	0	0%	0	-2
NSH total		7	10	17	30	57	3.33	+3.67	16	12	5	16	64%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

O'Reilly+2.45

Forsberg+1.07

Bunting+0.95

Evangelista+0.78

Stamkos+0.17

Jost−0.20

McCarron−0.23

Wood−0.24

Svechkov−0.25

Schaefer−0.28

Haula−0.31

Smith−0.52

Defence

Josi+0.42

Barron−0.04

Skjei−0.04

Perbix−0.22

Blankenburg−0.23

Hague−0.27

Goalie

Saros+0.14

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	13:30	21	18	16	52.9%	10	8	3	0	0.67	0.73	48.1%	−0.05	1	3	25%
Haula·Bunting·Stamkos	11:48	19	13	15	46.4%	5	11	1	1	0.32	0.79	29.1%	−0.47	2	0	100%
Jost·Svechkov·Wood	8:53	14	10	12	45.5%	6	10	0	0	0.34	0.51	39.5%	−0.18	3	0	100%
Schaefer·McCarron·Smith	8:32	15	3	10	23.1%	1	5	0	2	0.10	0.45	19.0%	−0.34	1	4	20%
Occasional · 9 groups
Forsberg·Haula·Evangelista	0:54	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Jost·Svechkov·Smith	0:46	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Bunting·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:46	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Forsberg·McCarron·Evangelista	0:43	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Jost·O'Reilly·Wood	0:40	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:37	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Bunting·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:33	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schaefer·Haula·Smith	0:33	5	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Schaefer·Haula·Stamkos	0:31	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	54:23		49	62	44.1%	25	40	4	3	1.66	2.78	37.4%	−1.12

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 60:00

Saves: 40/43
SV%: .930
xGA: 3.12
GSAx: +0.12

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	37/40	.925	2.78	−0.22
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.34	+0.34
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/3	.333	0.82	−1.18

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 59:31

Saves: 23/28
SV%: .821
xGA: 1.91
GSAx: −3.09

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/25	.840	1.66	−2.34
Power play	2/3	.667	0.17	−0.83
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.07	+0.07
High danger	0/1	.000	0.16	−0.84

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

26:16Josi
23:58Skjei
22:08Hague
20:55Perbix
14:18Blankenburg
13:12Barron

19:44O'Reilly
18:35Forsberg
18:11Evangelista
16:55Stamkos
15:19Bunting
15:07Haula
12:26Svechkov
12:23McCarron
12:13Smith
12:05Jost
11:11Wood
11:04Schaefer

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHCOL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HagueD1 O1
JosiD4 O3
SkjeiD4 O3
PerbixD2 O1
BarronD1 O0
BlankenburgD1 O0
JostD0 O3
WoodD0 O3
BuntingD0 O2
SvechkovD0 O2
StamkosD0 O1
HaulaD0 O1
EvangelistaD2 O2
O'ReillyD3 O2
ForsbergD3 O2
SchaeferD4 O1
SmithD5 O1
McCarronD6 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period