FLA @ CAR 1–9 · 2026-01-16

Team	1	2	3	SOG
FLA	0	1	0	16
CAR	1	2	6	36

Story

– / 27

Result CAR 9–1Call No lean · CAR 59%xG 1.61–4.21 · deserved CAR 87%Swing Jankowski +23 2nd 13:10Method

Goals and penalties with CAR win probability
Time	Event	CAR win before	CAR win after
1st 18:35	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers	58%	77%
2nd 1:19	Goal FLA · U. Balinskis	78%	58%
2nd 7:49	CAR penalty · J. Blake · too many men on the ice · 2 min
2nd 13:10	Goal CAR · M. Jankowski	57%	80%
2nd 15:38	FLA penalty · D. Sebrango · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:38	FLA penalty · D. Sebrango · fighting · 5 min
2nd 15:38	CAR penalty · S. Walker · fighting · 5 min
2nd 16:28	Goal CAR · A. Nikishin (PP)	81%	94%
3rd 0:00	CAR penalty · J. Chatfield · slashing · 2 min
3rd 0:00	FLA penalty · M. Samoskevich · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 0:00	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 1:19	CAR penalty · M. Reilly · interference · 2 min
3rd 2:05	FLA penalty · A. Lundell · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 3:23	FLA penalty · S. Reinhart · tripping · 2 min
3rd 4:08	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov (PP)	96%	99%
3rd 4:19	CAR penalty · J. Martinook · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 8:42	CAR penalty · J. Martinook · interference · 2 min
3rd 10:11	FLA penalty · S. Vilmanis · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
3rd 10:26	FLA penalty · G. Forsling · tripping · 2 min
3rd 11:00	FLA penalty · L. Kunin · roughing · 2 min
3rd 11:00	CAR penalty · A. Nikishin · roughing · 2 min
3rd 11:17	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers (PP)	99%	99%
3rd 11:38	Goal CAR · T. Hall (PP)	99%	99%
3rd 13:03	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers	99%	99%
3rd 13:51	CAR penalty · M. Reilly · tripping · 2 min
3rd 18:23	Goal CAR · T. Hall	99%	99%
3rd 18:35	Goal CAR · E. Robinson	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

FLA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9S. BennettC	0:49	16:31	20	0	0	0	2	4	10	1	0	5-6
70J. BoqvistC	0:11	9:12	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-1
10A. GreerL	0:51	13:11	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	–
2J. PetryD	1:37	16:41	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	–
6D. SebrangoD	1:37	12:31	16	0	0	0	0	2	7	1	0	–
72S. BobrovskyG		60:00	SA36GA9SV%.750xGA4.21GSAx−4.79

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22L. StankovenC	0:53	13:03	19	0	2	2	0	3	0	0	2	6-4
71T. HallL	0:50	12:24	20	2	0	2	2	3	0	1	0	0-1
53J. BlakeR	0:51	13:02	18	0	2	2	1	3	2	0	0	–
6M. ReillyD	1:37	14:14	22	0	1	1	1	1	4	0	1	–
21A. NikishinD	1:37	16:50	22	1	1	2	3	6	2	1	0	–
32B. BussiG		59:47	SA16GA1SV%.938xGA1.61GSAx+0.61

Goals

1st
Nikolaj Ehlers(1)
J. Staal (1), J. Martinook (1)
xG 0.19slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CAR1st 18:35+19.177%
2nd
Uvis Balinskis(1)
M. Samoskevich (1), S. Vilmanis (1)
xG 0.12slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 01:19+19.742%
Mark Jankowski(1)
A. Nikishin (1), M. Reilly (1)
xG 0.18backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 CAR2nd 13:10+23.380%
Alexander Nikishin(1)PP
S. Aho (1), N. Ehlers (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 CAR2nd 16:28+12.994%
3rd
Andrei Svechnikov(1)PP
S. Jarvis (1), S. Aho (2)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 CAR3rd 04:08+3.199%
Nikolaj Ehlers(2)PP
S. Jarvis (2), A. Svechnikov (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 CAR3rd 11:17+0.099%
Taylor Hall(1)PP
L. Stankoven (1), M. Jankowski (1)
xG 0.24snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–6 CAR3rd 11:38+0.099%
Nikolaj Ehlers(3)
L. Stankoven (2), J. Blake (1)
xG 0.31snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–7 CAR3rd 13:03+0.099%
Taylor Hall(2)
J. Blake (2)
xG 0.38snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–8 CAR3rd 18:23+0.099%
Eric Robinson(1)
J. Kotkaniemi (1), M. Jankowski (2)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–9 CAR3rd 18:35+0.099%

Shots

FLA1.61 xG27 unblocked · 8 blocked27 unblocked · 8 blocked

CAR4.21 xG51 unblocked · 15 blocked51 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLACAR1Goals91.61xG4.2116Shots3627Unblocked5135Attempts661High danger80/5Power play4/520Faceoffs3819Hits3015Blocks85Takeaways816Giveaways2029PIM19

Skaters

Player

Player
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	22:22	0	0	0	2	4	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	2	—	2	-1
26U. BalinskisUvis BalinskisD	21:31	1	0	1	2	3	0.17	+0.83	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	21:04	0	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	0	1	1	1	0%	0	-2
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	20:24	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	−0.17	1	0	1	1	—	2	0
5A. EkbladAaron EkbladD	20:21	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	20:16	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	2	3	0	0	—	0	-1
15A. LundellAnton LundellC	19:36	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	2	38%	2	-1
2J. PetryJeff PetryD	16:41	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	2	—	0	-2
11M. SamoskevichMackie SamoskevichR	16:36	0	1	1	3	5	0.23	−0.23	2	1	0	0	—	2	-2
9S. BennettSam BennettC	16:31	0	0	0	2	4	0.27	−0.27	1	0	0	2	45%	10	-2
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	16:12	0	0	0	2	3	0.29	−0.29	3	1	0	1	0%	0	0
17E. RodriguesEvan RodriguesC	14:08	0	0	0	1	3	0.13	−0.13	0	1	2	0	29%	0	-1
95S. VilmanisSandis VilmanisL	13:42	0	1	1	1	1	0.07	−0.07	1	1	0	1	—	0	-2
10A. GreerA.J. GreerL	13:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	2	—	0	-2
6D. SebrangoDonovan SebrangoD	12:31	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	1	—	7	-2
71L. KuninLuke KuninC	9:26	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	42%	2	0
70J. BoqvistJesper BoqvistC	9:12	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	1	0	0%	0	0
79C. SchwindtCole SchwindtR	8:23	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
FLA total		1	2	3	16	35	1.61	−0.61	19	13	5	16	34%	27

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Samoskevich+0.17

Luostarinen0.00

Schwindt−0.20

Kunin−0.22

Boqvist−0.24

Rodrigues−0.27

Vilmanis−0.28

Greer−0.45

Bennett−0.54

Verhaeghe−0.59

Reinhart−0.62

Lundell−0.74

Defence

Balinskis+0.37

Mikkola−0.08

Petry−0.12

Ekblad−0.24

Sebrango−0.43

Forsling−0.59

Goalie

Bobrovsky−4.77

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Greer·Bennett·Verhaeghe	10:17	15	5	16	23.8%	2	9	0	2	0.31	1.50	17.3%	−1.19	5	1	83%
Reinhart·Lundell·Luostarinen	9:12	15	2	9	18.2%	1	4	0	0	0.16	0.30	34.2%	−0.14	1	1	50%
Vilmanis·Rodrigues·Samoskevich	8:21	14	9	17	34.6%	5	7	1	2	0.38	0.71	34.8%	−0.33	2	0	100%
Boqvist·Kunin·Schwindt	6:24	12	1	3	25.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	1	2	33%
Occasional · 7 groups
Vilmanis·Bennett·Samoskevich	1:28	4	3	1	75.0%	1	1	0	0	0.03	0.03	46.7%	−0.00	0	0	—
Greer·Rodrigues·Verhaeghe	0:56	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Reinhart·Lundell·Verhaeghe	0:50	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Vilmanis·Luostarinen·Samoskevich	0:50	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Bennett·Verhaeghe·Samoskevich	0:42	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Bennett·Reinhart·Luostarinen	0:40	5	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Rodrigues·Boqvist·Samoskevich	0:35	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
FLA 5v5	46:04		22	54	28.9%	11	26	1	5	0.98	3.02	24.6%	−2.03

Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky

FLA · 60:00

Saves: 27/36
SV%: .750
xGA: 4.21
GSAx: −4.79

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/28	.821	3.12	−1.88
Power play	3/7	.429	0.92	−3.08
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17
High danger	1/8	.125	1.82	−5.18

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 59:47

Saves: 15/16
SV%: .938
xGA: 1.61
GSAx: +0.61

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	12/13	.923	1.14	+0.14
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.47	+0.47
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.21	+0.21

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

22:22Forsling
21:31Balinskis
20:21Ekblad
20:16Mikkola
16:41Petry
12:31Sebrango

21:04Verhaeghe
20:24Reinhart
19:36Lundell
16:36Samoskevich
16:31Bennett
16:12Luostarinen
14:08Rodrigues
13:42Vilmanis
13:11Greer
9:26Kunin
9:12Boqvist
8:23Schwindt

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLACAR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

BalinskisD3 O5
PetryD1 O2
SebrangoD1 O2
MikkolaD4 O3
EkbladD6 O2
ForslingD5 O1
VerhaegheD2 O8
GreerD1 O4
ReinhartD3 O5
RodriguesD1 O3
LundellD3 O5
SamoskevichD1 O3
VilmanisD1 O3
BennettD2 O3
SchwindtD2 O3
BoqvistD2 O2
LuostarinenD1 O1
KuninD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period