TBL @ PHI 7–2 · 2026-01-10

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	2	1	4	23
PHI	1	0	1	20

Story

– / 15

Result TBL 7–2Call No lean · TBL 52%xG 3.42–2.10 · deserved TBL 72%Swing Kucherov +20 1st 6:05Method

Goals and penalties with PHI win probability
Time	Event	PHI win before	PHI win after
1st 1:49	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov	48%	29%
1st 4:15	Goal PHI · G. Hathaway	28%	48%
1st 6:05	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov	48%	28%
1st 8:00	PHI penalty · G. Hathaway · fighting · 5 min
1st 8:00	TBL penalty · D. Carlile · fighting · 5 min
1st 13:13	TBL penalty · B. Hagel · interference · 2 min
1st 18:55	PHI penalty · C. York · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 13:37	Goal TBL · N. Paul	21%	7%
3rd 2:03	Goal TBL · G. Goncalves	4%	1%
3rd 3:37	Goal TBL · B. Hagel	1%	1%
3rd 4:13	TBL penalty · G. Goncalves · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 4:45	Goal PHI · O. Tippett (PP)	1%	1%
3rd 9:00	Goal TBL · Y. Gourde	1%	1%
3rd 11:00	Goal TBL · G. Goncalves	1%	1%
3rd 12:53	PHI penalty · G. Hathaway · high sticking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. JamesC	0:17	12:11	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5-3
93G. GoncalvesC	2:00	15:05	17	2	0	2	2	3	2	1	0	0-1
29P. HolmbergR	0:27	15:28	20	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	0	–
51C. D'AstousD	1:01	20:28	27	0	2	2	1	2	0	1	0	–
81E. CernakD	0:46	18:17	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA20GA2SV%.900xGA2.10GSAx+0.10

PHI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22C. DvorakC	1:02	18:11	20	0	1	1	3	6	0	0	0	6-8
46T. ZegrasC	1:00	17:11	21	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-3
29N. GrebenkinR	0:27	15:40	21	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	0	–
36E. AndraeD	0:30	20:22	26	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	2	–
47N. JuulsenD	0:29	19:05	25	0	1	1	0	0	0	4	3	–
33S. ErssonG		60:00	SA23GA7SV%.696xGA3.42GSAx−3.58

Goals

1st
Nikita Kucherov(1)
B. Point (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TBL1st 01:49+19.171%
Garnet Hathaway(1)
N. Juulsen (1), R. Abols (1)
xG 0.06tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 04:15+19.448%
Nikita Kucherov(2)
B. Point (2), C. D'Astous (1)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TBL1st 06:05+19.772%
2nd
Nick Paul(1)
C. D'Astous (2), A. Cirelli (1)
xG 0.28snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TBL2nd 13:37+14.593%
3rd
Gage Goncalves(1)
N. Kucherov (1), D. Raddysh (1)
xG 0.27snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 TBL3rd 02:03+3.499%
Brandon Hagel(1)
J. Guentzel (1), A. Cirelli (2)
xG 0.24snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 TBL3rd 03:37+0.199%
Owen Tippett(1)PP
C. Dvorak (1)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 TBL3rd 04:45+0.01%
Yanni Gourde(1)
Z. Girgensons (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
6–2 TBL3rd 09:00+0.099%
Gage Goncalves(2)
N. Kucherov (2), B. Point (3)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
7–2 TBL3rd 11:00+0.099%

Shots

TBL3.42 xG37 unblocked · 15 blocked37 unblocked · 15 blocked

PHI2.10 xG31 unblocked · 8 blocked31 unblocked · 8 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLPHI7Goals23.42xG2.1023Shots2037Unblocked3152Attempts397High danger10/2Power play1/229Faceoffs1718Hits328Blocks155Takeaways515Giveaways149PIM9

Skaters

Player

Player
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	21:57	0	1	1	1	4	0.11	−0.11	2	0	1	1	—	0	+4
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	21:29	0	0	0	2	6	0.19	−0.19	0	0	0	1	—	0	+3
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	20:28	0	2	2	1	2	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	1	—	0	+3
24M. CrozierMax CrozierD	18:47	0	0	0	2	6	0.10	−0.10	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
81E. CernakErik CernakD	18:17	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	0	—	0	+2
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	17:41	0	1	1	1	1	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
20N. PaulNick PaulL	17:02	1	0	1	2	2	0.35	+0.65	2	0	0	0	100%	0	+1
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	16:19	1	0	1	2	5	0.19	+0.81	2	1	1	0	33%	0	0
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	16:10	1	0	1	2	5	0.35	+0.65	0	0	0	0	—	2	+1
67D. CarlileDeclan CarlileD	15:39	0	0	0	2	3	0.22	−0.22	1	1	0	1	—	5	0
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	15:28	0	0	0	3	4	0.27	−0.27	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	15:24	0	2	2	0	2	0.30	−0.30	0	1	0	1	62%	0	+2
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	15:05	2	0	2	2	3	0.38	+1.62	1	0	1	1	0%	2	+4
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	14:24	2	2	4	2	3	0.34	+1.66	0	1	1	1	—	0	+4
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	14:04	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
21B. PointBrayden PointC	13:35	0	3	3	0	2	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	2	80%	0	+4
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	13:28	0	1	1	1	2	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
17D. JamesDominic JamesC	12:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	1	2	63%	0	0
TBL total		7	12	19	23	52	3.42	+3.58	18	6	5	14	63%	9

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kucherov+2.41

Point+1.08

Goncalves+0.95

Gourde+0.66

Paul+0.34

Girgensons+0.30

Hagel+0.30

Guentzel+0.26

Cirelli+0.12

Bjorkstrand−0.23

James−0.23

Holmberg−0.31

Defence

D'Astous+0.40

Carlile+0.18

Raddysh+0.14

Cernak−0.16

Crozier−0.21

Moser−0.28

Goalie

Vasilevskiy+0.12

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Hagel·Guentzel·Cirelli	11:51	15	12	5	70.6%	4	2	1	0	0.85	0.22	79.7%	+0.63	3	2	60%
Girgensons·Gourde·Holmberg	10:46	17	11	8	57.9%	6	5	1	1	0.46	0.37	55.1%	+0.08	0	2	0%
Point·Goncalves·Kucherov	10:00	14	7	7	50.0%	4	2	4	0	0.72	0.38	65.5%	+0.34	5	0	100%
Paul·James·Bjorkstrand	9:18	13	6	4	60.0%	4	1	0	0	0.35	0.14	71.9%	+0.21	3	1	75%
Occasional · 5 groups
Paul·Gourde·Holmberg	2:21	4	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.05	0.07	42.5%	−0.02	0	1	0%
Paul·Goncalves·Bjorkstrand	1:11	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Paul·Guentzel·Cirelli	0:43	3	3	1	75.0%	2	1	1	0	0.36	0.05	87.0%	+0.30	0	0	—
Hagel·James·Guentzel	0:43	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hagel·Point·Guentzel	0:31	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	53:28		45	28	61.6%	22	14	7	1	2.92	1.27	69.6%	+1.64

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 18/20
SV%: .900
xGA: 2.10
GSAx: +0.10

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/14	.929	1.27	+0.27
Power play	3/4	.750	0.80	−0.20
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.03	+0.03
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18

Samuel Ersson

PHI · 60:00

Saves: 16/23
SV%: .696
xGA: 3.42
GSAx: −3.58

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/22	.682	2.92	−4.08
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.50	+0.50
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/6	.333	1.65	−2.35

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

21:57Raddysh
21:29Moser
20:28D'Astous
18:47Crozier
18:17Cernak
15:39Carlile

17:41Guentzel
17:02Paul
16:19Gourde
16:10Hagel
15:28Holmberg
15:24Cirelli
15:05Goncalves
14:24Kucherov
14:04Bjorkstrand
13:35Point
13:28Girgensons
12:11James

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLPHI

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MoserD3 O4
CarlileD0 O1
D'AstousD2 O2
CrozierD0 O0
RaddyshD3 O2
CernakD4 O1
PointD1 O6
GoncalvesD0 O5
KucherovD1 O5
BjorkstrandD1 O4
GuentzelD2 O4
JamesD1 O3
HagelD3 O4
PaulD3 O3
CirelliD4 O4
GirgensonsD3 O0
HolmbergD3 O0
GourdeD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period