ANA @ BUF 3–5 · 2026-01-10

Team	1	2	3	SOG
ANA	0	0	3	36
BUF	1	1	3	32

Story

– / 19

Result BUF 5–3Call No lean · BUF 52%xG 2.42–4.17 · deserved BUF 77%Swing Quinn +18 1st 2:03Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 2:03	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	52%	70%
1st 7:27	ANA penalty · R. Gudas · ps hooking on breakaway
2nd 1:07	ANA penalty · I. Moore · tripping · 2 min
2nd 2:00	ANA penalty · O. Zellweger · holding · 2 min
2nd 4:29	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · boarding · 2 min
2nd 7:22	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	75%	90%
2nd 13:02	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · roughing · 2 min
3rd 7:09	Goal BUF · B. Byram	97%	99%
3rd 13:10	BUF penalty · J. Doan · interference · 2 min
3rd 13:10	ANA penalty · R. Strome · slashing · 2 min
3rd 13:10	BUF penalty · J. Doan · fighting · 5 min
3rd 13:10	ANA penalty · R. Strome · fighting · 5 min
3rd 13:10	BUF penalty · J. Norris · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
3rd 13:10	ANA penalty · M. McTavish · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
3rd 15:16	Goal ANA · O. Zellweger	99%	99%
3rd 16:00	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	99%	99%
3rd 18:02	Goal ANA · L. Carlsson	99%	99%
3rd 19:12	Goal ANA · M. McTavish	99%	98%
3rd 19:49	Goal BUF · J. Norris (EN)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

ANA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13N. NesterenkoC	0:11	10:47	17	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1-0
42T. WasheC	0:11	10:18	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	4-2
44R. JohnstonL	0:11	9:33	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0	–
14D. HellesonD	0:11	18:58	28	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	–
98P. MintyukovD	0:11	20:58	30	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	–
1L. DostalG		58:46	SA31GA4SV%.871xGA3.13GSAx−0.87

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
86N. OstlundC	0:11	10:32	17	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	3-8
12J. GreenwayL	0:11	11:04	18	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	3	0-1
29B. MalenstynL	0:11	10:00	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	–
73Z. MetsaD	0:11	10:05	17	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	–
78J. BrysonD	0:11	10:07	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA36GA3SV%.917xGA2.42GSAx−0.58

Goals

1st
Jack Quinn(1)
R. McLeod (1), Z. Benson (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 02:03+17.770%
2nd
Tage Thompson(1)
P. Krebs (1), J. Doan (1)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 BUF2nd 07:22+15.090%
3rd
Bowen Byram(1)
T. Thompson (1), P. Krebs (2)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 BUF3rd 07:09+2.999%
Olen Zellweger(1)
J. LaCombe (1), M. Granlund (1)
xG 0.05backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 BUF3rd 15:16+0.21%
Jack Quinn(2)
Z. Benson (2), O. Power (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 BUF3rd 16:00+0.099%
Leo Carlsson(1)
I. Moore (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 BUF3rd 18:02+0.01%
Mason McTavish(1)6v5
L. Carlsson (1), B. Sennecke (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 BUF3rd 19:12+1.02%
Josh Norris(1)EN
A. Tuch (1)
xG 0.51backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–5 BUF3rd 19:49+0.099%

Shots

ANA2.42 xG52 unblocked · 24 blocked52 unblocked · 24 blocked

BUF4.17 xG43 unblocked · 11 blocked43 unblocked · 11 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

ANABUF3Goals52.42xG4.1736Shots3252Unblocked4376Attempts541High danger40/2Power play0/236Faceoffs3129Hits1011Blocks244Takeaways420Giveaways1913PIM13

Skaters

Player

Player
2J. LaCombeJackson LaCombeD	21:05	0	1	1	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	3	1	1	—	0	+2
98P. MintyukovPavel MintyukovD	20:58	0	0	0	2	4	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	2	—	0	-3
91L. CarlssonLeo CarlssonC	20:03	1	1	2	5	8	0.47	+0.53	1	0	1	3	50%	0	0
51O. ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerD	19:51	1	0	1	4	8	0.27	+0.73	0	2	0	1	—	2	0
64M. GranlundMikael GranlundC	19:34	0	1	1	4	8	0.37	−0.37	0	0	0	0	31%	0	0
7R. GudasRadko GudasD	19:29	0	0	0	3	7	0.18	−0.18	4	0	0	2	—	0	-1
45B. SenneckeBeckett SenneckeR	19:25	0	1	1	2	3	0.09	−0.09	2	0	0	2	—	0	0
14D. HellesonDrew HellesonD	18:58	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	2	1	0	3	—	0	-3
17A. KillornAlex KillornL	18:54	0	0	0	4	5	0.34	−0.34	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
23M. McTavishMason McTavishC	16:57	1	0	1	2	5	0.25	+0.75	2	0	0	0	55%	2	-2
20C. KreiderChris KreiderL	15:29	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.00	2	0	2	2	100%	0	0
61C. GauthierCutter GauthierL	15:03	0	0	0	4	9	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	0	100%	0	-1
74I. MooreIan MooreD	14:24	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	2	+1
25R. PoehlingRyan PoehlingC	13:55	0	0	0	3	6	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	38%	0	0
16R. StromeRyan StromeC	12:31	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	2	0	0	1	100%	7	-1
13N. NesterenkoNikita NesterenkoC	10:47	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	0	100%	0	-1
42T. WasheTim WasheC	10:18	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	2	1	0	1	67%	0	-1
44R. JohnstonRoss JohnstonL	9:33	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	5	0	0	0	—	0	0
ANA total		3	5	8	36	76	2.42	+0.58	29	7	4	19	54%	13

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Carlsson+0.92

McTavish+0.42

Strome−0.09

Granlund−0.18

Washe−0.20

Gauthier−0.26

Johnston−0.26

Sennecke−0.29

Nesterenko−0.30

Poehling−0.30

Kreider−0.34

Killorn−0.37

Defence

LaCombe+0.53

Zellweger+0.43

Moore−0.01

Gudas−0.07

Helleson−0.24

Mintyukov−0.33

Goalie

Dostal−0.84

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Killorn·Carlsson·Sennecke	13:01	20	18	15	54.5%	9	9	1	1	0.63	0.93	40.3%	−0.30	7	2	78%
Gauthier·McTavish·Granlund	10:12	17	9	8	52.9%	5	6	0	1	0.32	0.36	47.3%	−0.04	2	4	33%
Kreider·Strome·Poehling	9:40	16	11	7	61.1%	4	5	0	1	0.23	0.46	33.6%	−0.23	3	2	60%
Johnston·Nesterenko·Washe	8:05	14	4	7	36.4%	0	3	0	0	0.09	0.44	17.0%	−0.35	2	2	50%
Occasional · 5 groups
Kreider·Poehling·Granlund	0:49	2	2	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Killorn·McTavish·Granlund	0:40	5	2	1	66.7%	0	0	0	0	0.07	0.05	59.7%	+0.02	0	0	—
Killorn·Granlund·Carlsson	0:38	2	5	0	100.0%	4	0	0	0	0.28	0.00	100.0%	+0.28	0	0	—
Kreider·Gauthier·Poehling	0:37	1	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Gauthier·Carlsson·Sennecke	0:35	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
ANA 5v5	51:53		64	43	59.8%	29	26	2	4	1.88	2.47	43.2%	−0.59

Goalies

Lukas Dostal

ANA · 58:46

Saves: 27/31
SV%: .871
xGA: 3.13
GSAx: −0.87

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/26	.846	2.47	−1.53
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.46	+0.46
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.20	+0.20
High danger	1/2	.500	0.32	−0.68

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 33/36
SV%: .917
xGA: 2.42
GSAx: −0.58

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/31	.903	2.09	−0.91
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.33	+0.33
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.15	+0.15

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Anaheim Ducks

Minutes

21:05LaCombe
20:58Mintyukov
19:51Zellweger
19:29Gudas
18:58Helleson
14:24Moore

20:03Carlsson
19:34Granlund
19:25Sennecke
18:54Killorn
16:57McTavish
15:29Kreider
15:03Gauthier
13:55Poehling
12:31Strome
10:47Nesterenko
10:18Washe
9:33Johnston

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareANABUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MintyukovD4 O5
HellesonD2 O2
ZellwegerD1 O1
GudasD3 O2
MooreD2 O1
LaCombeD5 O2
SenneckeD2 O8
KillornD2 O7
McTavishD3 O5
CarlssonD2 O4
KreiderD3 O4
StromeD3 O4
NesterenkoD2 O3
GranlundD4 O4
JohnstonD2 O2
GauthierD4 O4
WasheD2 O2
PoehlingD3 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period