CAR @ PIT 1–5 · 2025-12-30

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	0	1	0	28
PIT	3	2	0	28

Story

– / 8

Result PIT 5–1Call No lean · CAR 52%xG 2.03–3.60 · deserved PIT 75%Swing Crosby +17 1st 3:46Method

Goals and penalties with PIT win probability
Time	Event	PIT win before	PIT win after
1st 3:46	Goal PIT · S. Crosby	48%	65%
1st 16:07	Goal PIT · J. Brazeau	67%	82%
1st 16:40	CAR penalty · K. Miller · interference · 2 min
1st 17:12	Goal PIT · A. Mantha (PP)	82%	92%
1st 17:24	CAR penalty · J. Blake · hooking · 2 min
2nd 15:08	Goal PIT · T. Novak	96%	99%
2nd 18:08	Goal PIT · A. Mantha	99%	100%
2nd 18:25	Goal CAR · M. Jankowski	100%	99%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
82J. KotkaniemiC	0:49	17:13	20	0	0	0	3	3	0	2	1	7-7
28W. CarrierL	1:10	14:45	19	0	0	0	1	3	0	6	0	–
50E. RobinsonL	0:51	18:06	21	0	0	0	3	8	0	3	1	0-1
6M. ReillyD	0:49	17:47	22	0	1	1	2	3	0	2	1	–
64J. NystromD	0:58	17:54	22	0	1	1	1	7	0	0	2	–
31F. AndersenG		60:00	SA28GA5SV%.821xGA3.60GSAx−1.40

PIT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18T. NovakC	0:45	14:39	19	1	1	2	2	4	0	0	1	3-4
16J. BrazeauR	0:59	13:48	19	1	1	2	3	4	0	1	1	–
39A. ManthaR	1:00	14:23	20	2	0	2	3	4	0	0	0	–
58K. LetangD	1:01	22:32	21	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	1	–
77B. KulakD	1:00	21:58	20	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	–
74S. SkinnerG		60:00	SA28GA1SV%.964xGA2.03GSAx+1.03

Goals

1st
Sidney Crosby(1)
R. Rakell (1), B. Rust (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 PIT1st 03:46+16.765%
Justin Brazeau(1)
B. Kulak (1)
xG 0.14backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 PIT1st 16:07+15.082%
Anthony Mantha(1)PP
B. Rust (2), E. Karlsson (1)
xG 0.30wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 PIT1st 17:12+9.692%
2nd
Tommy Novak(1)
P. Wotherspoon (1), E. Karlsson (2)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–4 PIT2nd 15:08+2.699%
Anthony Mantha(2)
J. Brazeau (1), T. Novak (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–5 PIT2nd 18:08+0.2100%
Mark Jankowski(1)
J. Nystrom (1), M. Reilly (1)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 PIT2nd 18:25+0.21%

Shots

CAR2.03 xG42 unblocked · 22 blocked42 unblocked · 22 blocked

PIT3.60 xG45 unblocked · 16 blocked45 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARPIT1Goals52.03xG3.6028Shots2842Unblocked4564Attempts611High danger40/0Power play1/226Faceoffs2921Hits1516Blocks224Takeaways721Giveaways154PIM0

Skaters

Player

Player
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	22:39	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	2	—	0	-2
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	21:28	0	0	0	1	5	0.02	−0.02	1	2	1	1	—	2	-3
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	20:53	0	0	0	4	7	0.29	−0.29	0	1	1	0	—	0	-1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	19:17	0	0	0	1	3	0.01	−0.01	2	1	0	0	—	0	-1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	18:06	0	0	0	3	8	0.41	−0.41	3	1	0	0	0%	0	-1
64J. NystromJoel NystromD	17:54	0	1	1	1	7	0.04	−0.04	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	17:47	0	1	1	2	3	0.15	−0.15	2	1	0	1	—	0	+1
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	17:13	0	0	0	3	3	0.19	−0.19	2	1	0	1	50%	0	-1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	16:28	0	0	0	1	4	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	3	—	0	0
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	15:28	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	1	—	2	-1
71T. HallTaylor HallL	14:53	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	2	—	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	14:45	0	0	0	1	3	0.05	−0.05	6	0	1	3	—	0	-1
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	14:22	0	0	0	2	3	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	0	56%	0	0
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	13:52	0	0	0	2	2	0.11	−0.11	0	0	0	1	29%	0	-1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	13:50	0	0	0	3	4	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	2	0%	0	-2
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	13:29	1	0	1	2	4	0.22	+0.78	0	1	0	2	80%	0	0
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	12:33	0	0	0	1	1	0.05	−0.05	1	1	1	1	50%	0	-1
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	12:31	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	100%	0	-1
CAR total		1	2	3	28	64	2.03	−1.03	21	15	4	21	47%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Jankowski+0.51

Hall−0.26

Staal−0.33

Stankoven−0.34

Ehlers−0.35

Kotkaniemi−0.35

Carrier−0.38

Blake−0.39

Martinook−0.39

Svechnikov−0.46

Robinson−0.47

Aho−0.47

Defence

Nystrom+0.33

Reilly+0.07

Chatfield−0.19

Miller−0.28

Walker−0.32

Nikishin−0.43

Goalie

Andersen−1.38

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Robinson·Aho·Svechnikov	9:11	15	13	20	39.4%	8	12	0	1	0.54	1.52	26.4%	−0.97	1	3	25%
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	7:53	13	10	7	58.8%	3	2	0	1	0.10	0.48	17.2%	−0.38	1	1	50%
Ehlers·Kotkaniemi·Blake	7:24	10	14	7	66.7%	5	0	0	0	0.29	0.18	61.9%	+0.11	3	2	60%
Hall·Jankowski·Stankoven	5:06	7	7	3	70.0%	1	0	0	0	0.14	0.18	43.6%	−0.04	2	1	67%
Carrier·Robinson·Kotkaniemi	3:33	4	2	2	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.04	38.7%	−0.02	1	0	100%
Robinson·Hall·Aho	2:48	4	5	2	71.4%	2	0	0	0	0.26	0.00	100.0%	+0.26	0	2	0%
Hall·Jankowski·Kotkaniemi	2:47	4	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	2:32	5	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	1	0%
Ehlers·Hall·Jankowski	2:24	3	4	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	0	0	—
Stankoven·Svechnikov·Blake	2:12	4	1	2	33.3%	1	1	0	0	0.06	0.06	49.6%	−0.00	0	0	—
Ehlers·Staal·Stankoven	1:52	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Kotkaniemi·Svechnikov·Blake	1:40	2	2	1	66.7%	2	1	0	1	0.11	0.09	56.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Jankowski	1:29	4	1	1	50.0%	1	1	1	1	0.08	0.06	59.7%	+0.03	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Kotkaniemi	0:45	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.16	0.0%	−0.16	0	0	—
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	0:43	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	57:28		62	57	52.1%	27	24	1	4	1.81	3.10	36.9%	−1.28

Goalies

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 23/28
SV%: .821
xGA: 3.60
GSAx: −1.40

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/24	.833	3.10	−0.90
Power play	3/4	.750	0.50	−0.50
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/3	.333	0.92	−1.08

Stuart Skinner

PIT · 60:00

Saves: 27/28
SV%: .964
xGA: 2.03
GSAx: +1.03

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/27	.963	1.81	+0.81
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.22	+0.22
High danger	0/0	—	0.21	+0.21

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

22:39Nikishin
21:28Miller
20:53Walker
19:17Chatfield
17:54Nystrom
17:47Reilly

18:06Robinson
17:13Kotkaniemi
16:28Ehlers
15:28Blake
14:53Hall
14:45Carrier
14:22Stankoven
13:52Aho
13:50Svechnikov
13:29Jankowski
12:33Staal
12:31Martinook

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARPIT

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

ReillyD0 O3
NystromD0 O3
WalkerD5 O3
NikishinD5 O3
ChatfieldD6 O0
MillerD7 O0
KotkaniemiD1 O4
BlakeD1 O3
CarrierD1 O2
EhlersD2 O3
JankowskiD2 O2
HallD3 O2
StankovenD3 O2
MartinookD3 O1
SvechnikovD3 O1
StaalD4 O1
AhoD4 O1
RobinsonD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period