NSH @ STL 2–3 · 2025-12-27

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	1	0	1	32
STL	2	0	1	20

Story

– / 9

Result STL 3–2Call NSH 51% xG 3.35–3.80 · deserved STL 57%Swing Buchnevich +20 1st 18:14Method

Goals and penalties with STL win probability
Time	Event	STL win before	STL win after
1st 3:16	STL penalty · B. Schenn · tripping · 2 min
1st 7:18	NSH penalty · F. Svechkov · hooking · 2 min
1st 8:45	Goal STL · B. Schenn (PP)	50%	68%
1st 11:41	Goal NSH · T. Jost	69%	50%
1st 18:14	Goal STL · P. Buchnevich	50%	70%
2nd 14:54	STL penalty · L. Mailloux · hooking · 2 min
3rd 4:40	Goal STL · P. Buchnevich	81%	95%
3rd 10:43	NSH penalty · R. O'Reilly · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 12:03	Goal NSH · F. Svechkov (SH)	98%	87%

On ice · final horn

NSH6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
90R. O'ReillyC	1:20	18:05	21	1	3	2	0	0	5-6
91S. StamkosC	1:20	16:00	20	1	4	0	2	0	1-3
9F. ForsbergL	1:20	18:30	22	2	5	0	2	0	–
77L. EvangelistaR	1:18	18:39	19	3	5	0	0	1	–
59R. JosiD	3:21	23:38	23	5	12	0	0	0	–
76B. SkjeiD	2:36	23:16	25	3	6	0	2	0	–

STL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18R. ThomasC	1:20	20:43	23	0	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	10-6
70O. SundqvistC	1:22	14:33	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	9-2
89P. BuchnevichL	1:20	20:48	21	2	0	2	3	4	0	0	0	0-1
6P. BrobergD	1:20	22:58	29	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	4	–
55C. ParaykoD	3:01	22:21	28	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	–
30J. HoferG		59:47	SA32GA2SV%.938xGA3.35GSAx+1.35

Goals

1st
Brayden Schenn(1)PP
C. Fowler (1), D. Dvorsky (1)
xG 0.13tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 STL1st 08:45+18.568%
Tyson Jost(1)
N. Hague (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 11:41+19.050%
Pavel Buchnevich(1)
R. Thomas (1)
xG 0.07backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 STL1st 18:14+20.370%
3rd
Pavel Buchnevich(2)
R. Thomas (2), P. Broberg (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 STL3rd 04:40+14.495%
Fedor Svechkov(1)SH
E. Haula (1), N. Hague (2)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 STL3rd 12:03+10.813%

Shots

NSH3.35 xG52 unblocked · 20 blocked52 unblocked · 20 blocked

STL3.80 xG34 unblocked · 3 blocked34 unblocked · 3 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHSTL2Goals33.35xG3.8032Shots2052Unblocked3472Attempts373High danger80/2Power play1/220Faceoffs3317Hits253Blocks203Takeaways513Giveaways174PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	23:38	0	0	0	5	12	0.23	−0.23	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	23:16	0	0	0	3	6	0.24	−0.24	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	20:00	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	18:39	0	0	0	3	5	0.27	−0.27	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
37N. BlankenburgNick BlankenburgD	18:38	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	18:30	0	0	0	2	5	0.11	−0.11	2	0	0	2	—	0	-1
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	18:05	0	0	0	1	3	0.17	−0.17	0	0	0	0	45%	2	-2
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	17:05	0	2	2	0	3	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	1	—	0	+1
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	16:40	0	0	0	0	6	0.18	−0.18	1	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	16:00	0	0	0	1	4	0.14	−0.14	2	0	0	0	25%	0	-1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	15:44	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	1	0	35%	0	0
83A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	15:42	0	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	15:15	0	1	1	3	6	0.39	−0.39	1	0	0	0	60%	0	+1
71M. WoodMatthew WoodR	14:55	0	0	0	2	3	0.32	−0.32	0	0	1	3	100%	0	+1
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	13:07	1	0	1	4	4	0.33	+0.67	0	0	0	1	11%	2	+2
36C. SmithCole SmithR	12:13	0	0	0	3	4	0.42	−0.42	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	10:39	0	0	0	1	4	0.13	−0.13	3	1	0	0	—	0	0
17T. JostTyson JostC	10:35	1	0	1	1	2	0.27	+0.73	2	0	0	0	—	0	+1
NSH total		2	3	5	32	72	3.35	−1.35	17	3	3	11	38%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Jost+0.49

Svechkov+0.45

Haula+0.31

Smith−0.05

Schaefer−0.10

Wood−0.23

McCarron−0.30

Forsberg−0.31

Stamkos−0.35

Evangelista−0.39

Bunting−0.43

O'Reilly−0.58

Defence

Hague+0.23

Skjei−0.09

Wilsby−0.10

Josi−0.23

Blankenburg−0.25

Perbix−0.26

Goalie

Saros+0.35

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Haula·Bunting·Evangelista	10:58	15	17	6	73.9%	5	3	0	0	0.46	0.48	48.8%	−0.02	2	0	100%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	10:26	16	15	6	71.4%	6	2	0	1	0.48	0.54	47.0%	−0.06	4	0	100%
Jost·Svechkov·Wood	8:07	10	4	6	40.0%	2	3	1	0	0.38	0.55	40.7%	−0.17	2	0	100%
Schaefer·McCarron·Smith	7:47	12	8	3	72.7%	3	1	0	0	0.50	0.44	53.3%	+0.06	1	2	33%
Occasional · 9 groups
Forsberg·Svechkov·Wood	1:36	4	3	2	60.0%	3	2	0	0	0.36	0.15	70.7%	+0.21	0	0	—
Schaefer·McCarron·Wood	1:18	2	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	1	0	100%
Forsberg·Schaefer·McCarron	0:56	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Jost·Svechkov·Evangelista	0:49	3	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.04	0.13	24.2%	−0.09	0	0	—
Bunting·Svechkov·Evangelista	0:45	5	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:37	5	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Bunting·McCarron·Evangelista	0:36	5	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.36	0.0%	−0.36	0	0	—
Bunting·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:32	4	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Forsberg·Svechkov·Stamkos	0:31	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	50:12		57	33	63.3%	23	18	1	2	2.39	3.15	43.2%	−0.75

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 57:52

Saves: 17/20
SV%: .850
xGA: 3.33
GSAx: +0.33

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	3.15	+1.15
Power play	1/2	.500	0.17	−0.83
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.01	+0.01
High danger	5/5	1.000	1.36	+1.36

Joel Hofer

STL · 59:47

Saves: 30/32
SV%: .938
xGA: 3.35
GSAx: +1.35

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/27	.963	2.73	+1.73
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.48	+0.48
Shorthanded	1/2	.500	0.14	−0.86
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.70	+0.70

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

23:38Josi
23:16Skjei
20:00Perbix
18:38Blankenburg
17:05Hague
15:42Wilsby

18:39Evangelista
18:30Forsberg
18:05O'Reilly
16:40Bunting
16:00Stamkos
15:44McCarron
15:15Haula
14:55Wood
13:07Svechkov
12:13Smith
10:39Schaefer
10:35Jost

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHSTL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD0 O5
PerbixD1 O3
BlankenburgD0 O1
HagueD0 O0
SkjeiD4 O3
WilsbyD3 O2
StamkosD0 O6
O'ReillyD0 O5
ForsbergD0 O5
BuntingD0 O4
WoodD0 O4
HaulaD0 O3
EvangelistaD0 O3
JostD0 O1
SchaeferD2 O3
SvechkovD0 O0
McCarronD4 O1
SmithD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period