TBL @ FLA 4–2 · 2025-12-27

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	2	1	1	25
FLA	1	1	0	26

Story

– / 51

Result TBL 4–2Call No lean · TBL 56%xG 3.39–3.56 · deserved FLA 52%Swing Holmberg +21 1st 19:52Method

Goals and penalties with FLA win probability
Time	Event	FLA win before	FLA win after
1st 3:25	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · roughing · 2 min
1st 3:25	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · roughing · 2 min
1st 3:25	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · roughing · 2 min
1st 3:25	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · roughing · 2 min
1st 3:25	TBL penalty · Z. Girgensons · cross checking · 2 min
1st 5:37	Goal FLA · E. Luostarinen	45%	64%
1st 6:48	FLA penalty · A. Greer · tripping · 2 min
1st 12:49	TBL penalty · S. Santini · cross checking · 2 min
1st 13:05	Goal TBL · J. Guentzel (SH)	65%	45%
1st 14:15	FLA penalty · A. Ekblad · holding · 2 min
1st 19:52	Goal TBL · P. Holmberg	45%	25%
2nd 2:31	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov	24%	10%
2nd 3:48	FLA penalty · M. Samoskevich · interference · 2 min
2nd 6:59	TBL penalty · C. Douglas · roughing · 2 min
2nd 6:59	TBL penalty · C. Douglas · fighting · 5 min
2nd 6:59	FLA penalty · L. Kunin · fighting · 5 min
2nd 7:05	Goal FLA · B. Marchand (PP)	9%	23%
2nd 10:14	FLA penalty · A. Ekblad · interference · 2 min
2nd 18:30	FLA penalty · S. Jones · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	TBL penalty · A. Cirelli · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	FLA penalty · E. Rodrigues · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	TBL penalty · M. Crozier · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	TBL penalty · O. Bjorkstrand · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	TBL penalty · O. Bjorkstrand · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	FLA penalty · A. Greer · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	FLA penalty · A. Greer · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	FLA penalty · C. Verhaeghe · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	FLA penalty · C. Verhaeghe · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:30	TBL penalty · J. Guentzel · roughing · 2 min
3rd 1:34	TBL penalty · S. Sabourin · roughing · 2 min
3rd 1:34	TBL penalty · S. Sabourin · slashing · 2 min
3rd 1:34	TBL penalty · S. Sabourin · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 5:34	TBL penalty · M. Crozier · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 9:30	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · slashing · 2 min
3rd 10:53	TBL penalty · O. Bjorkstrand · slashing · 2 min
3rd 12:14	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · boarding · 2 min
3rd 14:39	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · roughing · 2 min
3rd 14:39	FLA penalty · U. Balinskis · roughing · 2 min
3rd 14:39	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
3rd 14:39	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
3rd 14:39	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · roughing · 2 min
3rd 14:39	FLA penalty · B. Marchand · roughing · 2 min
3rd 14:39	TBL penalty · M. Crozier · roughing · 2 min
3rd 19:04	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov (EN)	2%	1%
3rd 19:27	TBL penalty · S. Sabourin · roughing · 2 min
3rd 19:27	FLA penalty · L. Kunin · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 19:27	TBL penalty · C. Douglas · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 19:27	TBL penalty · S. Sabourin · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 19:27	TBL penalty · J. Moser · misconduct · 10 min

On ice · final horn

TBL4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
28Z. GirgensonsC	0:33	16:06	24	0	0	0	3	4	2	2	0	–
20N. PaulL	0:56	14:22	19	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	2	8-5
24M. CrozierD	0:33	20:25	27	0	1	1	1	2	6	4	3	–
67D. CarlileD	0:33	18:32	25	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		59:46	SA26GA2SV%.923xGA3.56GSAx+1.56

FLA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9S. BennettC	0:33	19:19	26	0	1	1	2	6	10	3	0	7-5
13S. ReinhartC	0:33	24:43	29	0	1	1	1	8	0	0	2	2-2
15A. LundellC	0:33	20:13	26	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	6-6
63B. MarchandL	0:33	21:55	28	1	0	1	3	7	2	2	0	0-1
11M. SamoskevichR	0:33	18:14	23	0	1	1	2	3	2	1	0	–
3S. JonesD	0:33	25:53	28	0	0	0	2	7	2	0	3	–

Goals

1st
Eetu Luostarinen(1)
M. Samoskevich (1), E. Rodrigues (1)
xG 0.19backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 FLA1st 05:37+19.064%
Jake Guentzel(1)SH
A. Cirelli (1), M. Crozier (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 13:05+20.455%
Pontus Holmberg(1)
Y. Gourde (1), D. Carlile (1)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TBL1st 19:52+20.675%
2nd
Nikita Kucherov(1)
B. Point (1), G. Goncalves (1)
xG 0.08backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TBL2nd 02:31+13.990%
Brad Marchand(1)PP
S. Bennett (1), S. Reinhart (1)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 TBL2nd 07:05+14.023%
3rd
Nikita Kucherov(2)EN
A. Cirelli (2)
xG 0.52backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 TBL3rd 19:04+1.199%

Shots

TBL3.39 xG34 unblocked · 10 blocked34 unblocked · 10 blocked

FLA3.56 xG47 unblocked · 18 blocked47 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLFLA4Goals23.39xG3.5625Shots2634Unblocked4744Attempts655High danger70/6Power play1/1024Faceoffs2632Hits2718Blocks105Takeaways310Giveaways1087PIM49

Skaters

Player

Player
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	27:14	1	0	1	3	4	0.37	+0.63	2	3	1	1	0%	2	+1
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	25:07	0	0	0	5	6	0.38	−0.38	3	2	0	0	—	0	0
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	22:28	0	0	0	1	3	0.03	−0.03	2	2	0	2	—	10	+1
24M. CrozierMax CrozierD	20:25	0	1	1	1	2	0.09	−0.09	4	3	0	0	—	6	+2
67D. CarlileDeclan CarlileD	18:32	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	0	—	0	+1
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	18:29	2	0	2	3	7	1.27	+0.73	2	0	0	2	—	0	+2
21B. PointBrayden PointC	17:16	0	1	1	2	3	0.36	−0.36	0	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	17:10	0	2	2	1	1	0.03	−0.03	3	1	2	0	40%	2	+1
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	16:42	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	0	—	8	+1
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	16:06	0	0	0	3	4	0.09	−0.09	2	0	0	0	—	2	0
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	15:04	0	1	1	1	2	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	0	55%	6	+1
20N. PaulNick PaulL	14:22	0	0	0	2	3	0.07	−0.07	4	2	0	0	62%	0	0
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	13:20	1	0	1	1	4	0.42	+0.58	1	2	0	1	100%	0	+1
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	12:13	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	−0.13	2	0	1	0	—	6	0
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	10:52	0	1	1	1	1	0.06	−0.06	0	0	0	1	100%	0	+1
16S. SantiniSteven SantiniD	7:58	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	2	+1
46S. SabourinScott SabourinR	6:32	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	26	0
42C. DouglasCurtis DouglasC	3:45	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	17	0
TBL total		4	7	11	25	44	3.39	+0.61	32	17	5	7	48%	87

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kucherov+0.69

Holmberg+0.67

Cirelli+0.67

Gourde+0.55

Point+0.26

Goncalves−0.18

Guentzel−0.19

Paul−0.22

Bjorkstrand−0.26

Douglas−0.30

Girgensons−0.49

Sabourin−0.79

Defence

Raddysh+0.14

Crozier+0.07

Carlile−0.11

Santini−0.18

Moser−0.23

D'Astous−0.35

Goalie

Vasilevskiy+1.58

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Girgensons·Gourde·Holmberg	7:00	13	10	6	62.5%	4	3	1	0	0.55	0.06	90.8%	+0.49	0	4	0%
Point·Goncalves·Kucherov	4:28	8	6	2	75.0%	4	1	1	0	0.26	0.05	84.7%	+0.21	0	0	—
Guentzel·Cirelli·Bjorkstrand	3:14	7	3	3	50.0%	1	2	0	0	0.17	0.06	75.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Paul·Douglas·Sabourin	3:06	6	1	4	20.0%	1	4	0	0	0.02	0.22	9.1%	−0.20	0	0	—
Occasional · 10 groups
Paul·Guentzel·Sabourin	1:07	2	1	2	33.3%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Guentzel·Cirelli·Kucherov	1:06	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Gourde·Cirelli·Holmberg	1:02	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Point·Guentzel·Bjorkstrand	0:57	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Paul·Cirelli·Goncalves	0:48	1	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Point·Sabourin·Kucherov	0:43	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Girgensons·Guentzel·Cirelli	0:42	3	0	7	0.0%	0	4	0	1	0.00	0.66	0.0%	−0.66	0	0	—
Paul·Goncalves·Sabourin	0:41	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	0	0	—
Point·Goncalves·Bjorkstrand	0:40	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Guentzel·Cirelli·Goncalves	0:38	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	32:20		29	33	46.8%	16	16	2	1	1.50	1.57	48.9%	−0.07

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 59:46

Saves: 24/26
SV%: .923
xGA: 3.56
GSAx: +1.56

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/16	.938	1.57	+0.57
Power play	7/8	.875	1.80	+0.80
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.19	+0.19
High danger	2/4	.500	1.36	−0.64

Sergei Bobrovsky

FLA · 58:50

Saves: 21/24
SV%: .875
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: −0.65

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	1.62	−0.38
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.44	+0.44
Shorthanded	3/4	.750	0.29	−0.71
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.58	+0.58

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

25:07Raddysh
22:28Moser
20:25Crozier
18:32Carlile
16:42D'Astous
7:58Santini

27:14Guentzel
18:29Kucherov
17:16Point
17:10Cirelli
16:06Girgensons
15:04Gourde
14:22Paul
13:20Holmberg
12:13Bjorkstrand
10:52Goncalves
6:32Sabourin
3:45Douglas

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLFLA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

D'AstousD1 O2
SantiniD0 O0
CarlileD1 O0
RaddyshD7 O4
CrozierD3 O0
MoserD9 O2
PointD0 O3
KucherovD0 O1
PaulD1 O2
SabourinD0 O0
BjorkstrandD0 O0
DouglasD0 O0
GoncalvesD0 O0
GuentzelD4 O1
CirelliD7 O3
HolmbergD6 O2
GirgensonsD5 O0
GourdeD6 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period