UTA @ PIT 5–4 · 2025-12-14

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
UTA	0	0	4	1	36
PIT	2	1	1	0	16

Story

– / 16

Result UTA 5–4 OTCall UTA 50% xG 2.81–1.59 · deserved UTA 72%Swing Guenther +50 OT 0:42Method

Goals and penalties with PIT win probability
Time	Event	PIT win before	PIT win after
1st 0:48	Goal PIT · J. Brazeau	50%	66%
1st 4:30	PIT penalty · B. Kindel · hooking · 2 min
1st 9:18	UTA penalty · N. Schmidt · tripping · 2 min
1st 15:21	Goal PIT · B. Rust	68%	83%
1st 16:33	UTA penalty · I. Cole · roughing · 2 min
2nd 5:40	Goal PIT · B. Kindel	86%	94%
2nd 9:04	PIT penalty · V. Koivunen · hooking · 2 min
2nd 14:11	PIT penalty · C. Clifton · interference · 2 min
3rd 1:07	Goal UTA · N. Schmidt	98%	92%
3rd 1:22	Goal UTA · M. Carcone	92%	77%
3rd 5:35	Goal UTA · S. Durzi	80%	50%
3rd 5:35	PIT penalty · V. Koivunen · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
3rd 7:06	Goal UTA · M. Carcone (PP)	50%	19%
3rd 10:52	PIT penalty · B. Rust · hooking · 2 min
3rd 14:06	Goal PIT · J. Brazeau	11%	50%
OT 0:42	Goal UTA · D. Guenther	50%	0%

On ice · final horn

UTA3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9C. KellerR	0:37	23:03	24	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0-1
11D. GuentherR	0:42	20:16	25	0	0	0	3	12	0	0	1	0-1
98M. SergachevD	0:03	23:29	30	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	–
70K. VejmelkaG		60:16	SA16GA4SV%.750xGA1.59GSAx−2.41

PIT3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
87S. CrosbyC	0:13	18:58	24	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	11-11
17B. RustR	0:06	20:08	28	1	0	1	2	2	2	0	1	–
65E. KarlssonD	0:42	28:27	31	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	3	–
1S. MurashovG		60:06	SA35GA4SV%.886xGA2.78GSAx−1.22

Goals

1st
Justin Brazeau(1)
B. Kindel (1), R. McGroarty (1)
xG 0.07backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 PIT1st 00:48+16.066%
Bryan Rust(1)
R. Rakell (1)
xG 0.10backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 PIT1st 15:21+14.583%
2nd
Ben Kindel(1)
R. Shea (1), K. Letang (1)
xG 0.22wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 PIT2nd 05:40+8.594%
3rd
Nate Schmidt(1)
N. Schmaltz (1), J. Peterka (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 PIT3rd 01:07+5.98%
Michael Carcone(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 PIT3rd 01:22+15.423%
Sean Durzi(1)
K. Yamamoto (1), M. Sergachev (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 05:35+29.750%
Michael Carcone(2)PP
B. Hayton (1), D. But (1)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 UTA3rd 07:06+30.881%
Justin Brazeau(2)
E. Karlsson (1), B. Kindel (2)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 14:06+38.650%
OT
Dylan Guenther(1)
J. Marino (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 UTAOT 00:42+49.9100%

Shots

UTA2.81 xG59 unblocked · 18 blocked59 unblocked · 18 blocked

PIT1.59 xG22 unblocked · 8 blocked22 unblocked · 8 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

UTAPIT5Goals42.81xG1.5936Shots1659Unblocked2277Attempts301High danger11/5Power play0/232Faceoffs329Hits188Blocks185Takeaways420Giveaways154PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
98M. SergachevMikhail SergachevD	23:29	0	1	1	1	3	0.03	−0.03	0	0	2	0	—	0	-1
9C. KellerClayton KellerR	23:03	0	0	0	2	4	0.14	−0.14	0	0	1	1	0%	0	+1
6J. MarinoJohn MarinoD	22:57	0	1	1	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
8N. SchmaltzNick SchmaltzC	22:51	0	1	1	8	13	0.77	−0.77	0	1	0	1	50%	0	0
77J. PeterkaJJ PeterkaR	21:55	0	1	1	8	10	0.45	−0.45	0	0	1	2	—	0	0
11D. GuentherDylan GuentherR	20:16	1	0	1	4	13	0.46	+0.54	0	0	0	1	0%	0	0
88N. SchmidtNate SchmidtD	19:44	1	0	1	1	1	0.11	+0.89	0	2	0	1	—	2	0
67L. CrouseLawson CrouseL	18:24	0	0	0	2	6	0.35	−0.35	4	1	1	2	50%	0	-1
50S. DurziSean DurziD	17:59	1	0	1	2	5	0.04	+0.96	0	2	0	1	—	0	-1
28I. ColeIan ColeD	17:24	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	2	—	2	0
27B. HaytonBarrett HaytonC	14:51	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
82K. StenlundKevin StenlundC	13:32	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	1	67%	0	0
53M. CarconeMichael CarconeL	12:20	2	0	2	5	7	0.25	+1.75	0	0	0	3	—	0	-1
22J. McBainJack McBainC	11:48	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	1	33%	0	-1
19D. ButDaniil ButL	10:45	0	1	1	1	1	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	0	0%	0	0
2O. MaattaOlli MaattaD	10:30	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
56K. YamamotoKailer YamamotoR	9:18	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	+1
38L. O'BrienLiam O'BrienC	7:26	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
UTA total		5	7	12	36	77	2.81	+2.19	9	7	5	18	50%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Carcone+1.14

Schmaltz+0.70

Guenther+0.40

Yamamoto+0.33

Hayton+0.28

But−0.13

McBain−0.14

O'Brien−0.19

Peterka−0.19

Crouse−0.20

Stenlund−0.23

Keller−0.37

Defence

Durzi+0.67

Schmidt+0.43

Marino+0.22

Maatta+0.01

Sergachev−0.05

Cole−0.39

Goalie

Vejmelka−2.39

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Schmaltz·Keller·Peterka	13:02	21	19	7	73.1%	12	4	1	1	0.82	0.35	69.8%	+0.46	3	0	100%
Crouse·Hayton·Guenther	7:38	16	10	6	62.5%	3	1	0	1	0.43	0.28	60.6%	+0.15	2	3	40%
But·Carcone·McBain	6:14	11	8	2	80.0%	4	1	1	1	0.21	0.22	49.3%	−0.01	2	1	67%
O'Brien·Stenlund·Yamamoto	5:37	10	6	2	75.0%	2	2	1	0	0.03	0.10	25.2%	−0.06	2	0	100%
Occasional · 12 groups
Crouse·Hayton·Yamamoto	0:59	2	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	1	0	100%
But·Crouse·Hayton	0:57	1	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carcone·McBain·Stenlund	0:51	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	2	0%
Carcone·McBain·Guenther	0:44	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Crouse·Schmaltz·Guenther	0:38	3	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Crouse·Stenlund·Guenther	0:38	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
But·Carcone·Stenlund	0:37	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
McBain·Stenlund·Yamamoto	0:36	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	1	0	100%
Crouse·McBain·Guenther	0:35	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hayton·Guenther·Yamamoto	0:33	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
O'Brien·Stenlund·Guenther	0:32	1	3	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Stenlund·Keller·Yamamoto	0:32	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
UTA 5v5	45:27		55	26	67.9%	23	13	3	4	1.66	1.34	55.3%	+0.32

Goalies

Karel Vejmelka

UTA · 60:16

Saves: 12/16
SV%: .750
xGA: 1.59
GSAx: −2.41

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	10/14	.714	1.42	−2.58
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.05	+0.05
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.12	+0.12
High danger	0/1	.000	0.22	−0.78

Sergei Murashov

PIT · 60:06

Saves: 31/36
SV%: .861
xGA: 2.81
GSAx: −2.19

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/25	.840	1.78	−2.22
Power play	10/11	.909	1.00	+0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.02	+0.02
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.15	+0.15

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Utah Mammoth

Minutes

23:29Sergachev
22:57Marino
19:44Schmidt
17:59Durzi
17:24Cole
10:30Maatta

23:03Keller
22:51Schmaltz
21:55Peterka
20:16Guenther
18:24Crouse
14:51Hayton
13:32Stenlund
12:20Carcone
11:48McBain
10:45But
9:18Yamamoto
7:26O'Brien

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareUTAPIT

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SchmidtD1 O5
MarinoD2 O6
ColeD1 O4
MaattaD0 O1
DurziD5 O4
SergachevD8 O5
SchmaltzD0 O4
KellerD0 O4
YamamotoD0 O4
PeterkaD0 O4
O'BrienD0 O2
ButD1 O3
CarconeD3 O4
HaytonD3 O4
GuentherD4 O5
McBainD3 O3
CrouseD7 O5
StenlundD6 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period