BUF @ PHI 2–5 · 2025-12-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	1	1	0	29
PHI	3	2	0	35

Story

– / 21

Result PHI 5–2Call No lean · BUF 53%xG 3.41–5.24 · deserved PHI 75%Swing Zegras +18 1st 9:04Method

Goals and penalties with PHI win probability
Time	Event	PHI win before	PHI win after
1st 3:20	PHI penalty · C. York · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
1st 4:08	Goal BUF · J. Zucker (PP)	48%	31%
1st 4:38	PHI penalty · M. Michkov · interference · 2 min
1st 5:30	BUF penalty · T. Thompson · hooking · 2 min
1st 6:46	BUF penalty · C. Timmins · cross checking · 2 min
1st 8:26	Goal PHI · T. Konecny (PP)	30%	48%
1st 8:26	BUF penalty · J. Zucker · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
1st 9:04	Goal PHI · T. Zegras (PP)	48%	66%
1st 9:25	Goal PHI · B. Brink	66%	81%
1st 17:19	PHI penalty · R. Abols · tripping · 2 min
1st 19:40	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 1:45	Goal PHI · N. Cates	84%	93%
2nd 9:24	PHI penalty · N. Deslauriers · roughing · 2 min
2nd 9:24	PHI penalty · G. Hathaway · roughing · 2 min
2nd 9:24	BUF penalty · J. Dunne · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:48	Goal BUF · B. Byram	96%	88%
2nd 12:43	Goal PHI · O. Tippett	88%	96%
2nd 16:50	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · boarding · 5 min
2nd 16:50	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · game misconduct · 10 min
3rd 2:46	PHI penalty · T. Sanheim · holding · 2 min
3rd 6:21	PHI penalty · M. Michkov · tripping · 2 min

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
86N. OstlundC	0:40	10:34	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-3
17J. ZuckerL	0:37	18:12	18	1	0	1	3	3	2	2	0	0-2
22J. QuinnR	0:30	15:26	19	0	1	1	1	5	0	2	0	–
21C. TimminsD	0:39	16:56	24	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	5	–
78J. BrysonD	1:37	11:06	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	–
92C. EllisG		60:00	SA35GA5SV%.857xGA5.24GSAx+0.24

PHI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18R. AbolsC	1:03	12:28	17	0	0	0	1	5	2	1	1	3-3
44N. DeslauriersL	1:03	9:32	12	0	0	0	2	3	2	5	0	–
19G. HathawayR	1:03	12:17	17	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	1	–
5E. ZamulaD	1:03	17:32	24	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	–
24N. SeelerD	1:03	21:03	28	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	–
33S. ErssonG		59:57	SA29GA2SV%.931xGA3.41GSAx+1.41

Goals

1st
Jason Zucker(1)PP
J. Doan (1), J. Norris (1)
xG 0.22snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 04:08+16.969%
Travis Konecny(1)PP
M. Michkov (1), T. Sanheim (1)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 08:26+17.548%
Trevor Zegras(1)PP
T. Sanheim (2), T. Konecny (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 PHI1st 09:04+18.166%
Bobby Brink(1)
N. Cates (1), N. Grebenkin (1)
xG 0.25wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 PHI1st 09:25+14.981%
2nd
Noah Cates(1)
B. Brink (1), J. Drysdale (1)
xG 0.28snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 PHI2nd 01:45+9.293%
Bowen Byram(1)
A. Tuch (1), J. Quinn (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 PHI2nd 11:48+7.912%
Owen Tippett(1)
M. Michkov (2), S. Couturier (1)
xG 0.33batClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 PHI2nd 12:43+7.796%

Shots

BUF3.41 xG49 unblocked · 16 blocked49 unblocked · 16 blocked

PHI5.24 xG47 unblocked · 21 blocked47 unblocked · 21 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFPHI2Goals53.41xG5.2429Shots3549Unblocked4765Attempts684High danger121/6Power play2/527Faceoffs3016Hits1821Blocks163Takeaways713Giveaways925PIM14

Skaters

Player

Player
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	23:49	1	0	1	2	7	0.33	+0.67	0	3	0	3	—	0	0
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	21:34	0	0	0	3	5	0.18	−0.18	1	0	0	1	—	0	+1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	20:57	0	0	0	3	4	0.12	−0.12	1	2	1	0	—	0	-2
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	20:13	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	36%	0	0
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	19:31	0	1	1	2	3	0.34	−0.34	0	4	0	2	—	0	+1
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	18:12	1	0	1	3	3	0.44	+0.56	2	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	17:35	0	1	1	2	8	0.48	−0.48	2	0	0	1	69%	0	-2
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	17:34	0	0	0	2	7	0.24	−0.24	1	0	0	0	33%	2	-1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	16:56	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	0	5	0	1	—	2	-2
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	16:34	0	0	0	1	4	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	1	—	15	-1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	16:32	0	1	1	6	8	0.66	−0.66	0	0	0	0	0%	0	0
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	15:26	0	1	1	1	5	0.29	−0.29	2	0	0	3	—	0	0
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	13:57	0	0	0	2	4	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	11:09	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	3	1	0	0%	0	-1
78J. BrysonJacob BrysonD	11:06	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	10:34	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	0	40%	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	9:31	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	4	1	0	0	78%	2	-1
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	7:32	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	0	1	0	0	—	2	0
BUF total		2	4	6	29	65	3.41	−1.41	16	20	3	12	47%	23

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Zucker+0.54

Tuch+0.45

Doan+0.38

Dunne−0.01

Malenstyn−0.08

Benson−0.19

Ostlund−0.20

Norris−0.30

Quinn−0.31

Krebs−0.52

Thompson−0.60

McLeod−0.64

Defence

Byram+0.57

Timmins−0.09

Bryson−0.10

Power−0.16

Samuelsson−0.33

Dahlin−0.50

Goalie

Ellis+0.28

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Norris·Thompson	7:42	12	18	10	64.3%	7	6	0	1	0.60	0.98	38.1%	−0.38	1	0	100%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	7:42	12	9	10	47.4%	3	5	0	1	0.47	1.05	30.9%	−0.58	2	3	40%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Dunne	6:06	9	3	7	30.0%	2	1	0	0	0.07	0.46	12.5%	−0.40	0	2	0%
Ostlund·Tuch·Doan	6:02	10	6	4	60.0%	3	1	0	0	0.32	0.14	70.0%	+0.18	0	1	0%
Occasional · 7 groups
Zucker·Ostlund·Quinn	1:31	5	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	1	0	100%
McLeod·Tuch·Doan	1:29	2	3	2	60.0%	3	1	0	0	0.17	0.14	54.8%	+0.03	1	0	100%
McLeod·Quinn·Tuch	1:21	3	2	1	66.7%	1	1	1	0	0.21	0.13	62.3%	+0.08	0	0	—
Norris·Krebs·Thompson	0:59	1	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.36	0.0%	−0.36	0	0	—
Benson·Malenstyn·Krebs	0:39	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Ostlund·Quinn·Tuch	0:32	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	1	0	100%
Benson·McLeod·Quinn	0:30	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	39:46		47	44	51.6%	22	22	1	3	2.22	3.93	36.2%	−1.70

Goalies

Colten Ellis

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 30/35
SV%: .857
xGA: 5.24
GSAx: +0.24

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/23	.870	3.94	+0.94
Power play	9/11	.818	1.26	−0.74
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.04	+0.04
High danger	9/12	.750	2.94	−0.06

Samuel Ersson

PHI · 59:57

Saves: 27/29
SV%: .931
xGA: 3.41
GSAx: +1.41

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/22	.955	2.22	+1.22
Power play	5/6	.833	1.09	+0.09
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.10	+0.10
High danger	2/3	.667	0.73	−0.27

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

23:49Byram
21:34Power
20:57Samuelsson
16:56Timmins
16:34Dahlin
11:06Bryson

20:13McLeod
19:31Tuch
18:12Zucker
17:35Norris
17:34Thompson
16:32Doan
15:26Quinn
13:57Benson
11:09Malenstyn
10:34Ostlund
9:31Krebs
7:32Dunne

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFPHI

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD0 O6
ByramD3 O5
TimminsD4 O2
BrysonD2 O0
SamuelssonD4 O2
PowerD4 O2
DoanD0 O6
ThompsonD0 O5
ZuckerD3 O7
NorrisD1 O5
BensonD0 O3
QuinnD2 O3
OstlundD1 O2
DunneD2 O0
TuchD4 O1
MalenstynD4 O1
McLeodD5 O2
KrebsD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period