TBL @ FLA 3–1 · 2025-11-15

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	1	0	2	20
FLA	0	1	0	23

Story

– / 18

Result TBL 3–1Call No lean · FLA 54%xG 3.05–1.83 · deserved TBL 72%Swing Finley +30 3rd 4:09Method

Goals and penalties with FLA win probability
Time	Event	FLA win before	FLA win after
1st 8:55	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · elbowing · 2 min
1st 12:19	Goal TBL · E. Lilleberg	54%	35%
2nd 3:00	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 8:33	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 8:33	FLA penalty · L. Kunin · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:26	TBL penalty · Z. Girgensons · charging · 2 min
2nd 11:31	Goal FLA · B. Marchand (PP)	30%	53%
2nd 13:10	TBL penalty · E. Lilleberg · roughing · 2 min
3rd 0:09	FLA penalty · A. Ekblad · tripping · 2 min
3rd 4:09	Goal TBL · J. Finley	52%	23%
3rd 5:36	FLA penalty · G. Forsling · hooking · 2 min
3rd 8:09	TBL penalty · E. Cernak · high sticking double minor · 4 min
3rd 12:09	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · roughing · 2 min
3rd 12:09	FLA penalty · E. Luostarinen · roughing · 2 min
3rd 12:09	FLA penalty · A. Ekblad · roughing · 2 min
3rd 12:09	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
3rd 12:50	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · roughing · 2 min
3rd 19:09	Goal TBL · Z. Girgensons (EN)	2%	0%

On ice · final horn

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
42C. DouglasC	0:51	7:07	10	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	0	–
62J. FinleyC	0:51	8:25	12	1	0	1	3	4	0	3	0	5-6
46S. SabourinR	0:51	9:06	13	0	1	1	2	5	0	2	0	0-1
24M. CrozierD	0:28	17:50	22	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	–
78E. LillebergD	0:51	16:02	20	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	1	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA23GA1SV%.957xGA1.83GSAx+0.83

FLA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71L. KuninC	0:51	7:33	13	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	–
10A. GreerL	0:51	8:04	12	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	–
79C. SchwindtR	0:51	7:26	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6-4
2J. PetryD	0:51	14:46	19	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	–
6D. SebrangoD	0:51	10:37	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	–
72S. BobrovskyG		57:45	SA19GA2SV%.895xGA2.59GSAx+0.59

Goals

1st
Emil Lilleberg(1)
N. Kucherov (1)
xG 0.07snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TBL1st 12:19+18.365%
2nd
Brad Marchand(1)PP
S. Reinhart (1), A. Lundell (1)
xG 0.07backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 11:31+23.253%
3rd
Jack Finley(1)
C. Douglas (1), S. Sabourin (1)
xG 0.19backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TBL3rd 04:09+29.677%
Zemgus Girgensons(1)EN
Y. Gourde (1)
xG 0.47snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TBL3rd 19:09+1.6100%

Shots

TBL3.05 xG34 unblocked · 7 blocked34 unblocked · 7 blocked

FLA1.83 xG47 unblocked · 15 blocked47 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLFLA3Goals13.05xG1.8320Shots2334Unblocked4741Attempts625High danger00/4Power play1/525Faceoffs3227Hits2515Blocks72Takeaways418Giveaways1516PIM14

Skaters

Player

Player
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	25:05	0	0	0	1	3	0.25	−0.25	0	2	1	1	50%	0	+2
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	22:31	0	1	1	6	10	0.39	−0.39	3	1	0	2	—	0	+1
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	22:24	0	0	0	1	1	0.12	−0.12	2	3	0	3	—	0	+1
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	20:21	0	1	1	1	1	0.11	−0.11	3	3	0	3	44%	4	+1
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	20:20	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	−0.16	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
21B. PointBrayden PointC	19:49	0	0	0	1	2	0.25	−0.25	0	0	0	0	54%	0	+1
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	19:36	1	0	1	1	1	0.47	+0.53	4	0	0	0	0%	2	+1
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	18:13	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	4	0
81E. CernakErik CernakD	18:05	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	3	1	0	2	—	4	+1
24M. CrozierMax CrozierD	17:50	0	0	0	2	2	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	0	—	0	+2
78E. LillebergEmil LillebergD	16:02	1	0	1	1	2	0.09	+0.91	0	1	0	2	—	2	+2
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	15:18	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	−0.08	0	0	1	2	—	0	0
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	12:56	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
61B. KatchoukBoris KatchoukL	10:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
46S. SabourinScott SabourinR	9:06	0	1	1	2	5	0.33	−0.33	2	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
62J. FinleyJack FinleyC	8:25	1	0	1	3	4	0.44	+0.56	3	0	0	0	45%	0	+1
42C. DouglasCurtis DouglasC	7:07	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	−0.06	3	0	0	0	—	0	+1
11J. PelletierJakob PelletierL	6:12	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	−0.27	1	1	0	0	100%	0	0
TBL total		3	4	7	20	41	3.05	−0.05	27	14	2	18	44%	16

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Finley+0.66

Douglas+0.56

Kucherov+0.33

Gourde+0.31

Sabourin+0.25

Pelletier+0.01

Katchouk−0.20

Bjorkstrand−0.33

Guentzel−0.33

Goncalves−0.34

Point−0.38

Girgensons−0.66

Defence

Lilleberg+0.47

Moser+0.35

Crozier+0.08

Raddysh−0.16

D'Astous−0.27

Cernak−0.61

Goalie

Vasilevskiy+0.84

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Point·Guentzel·Kucherov	7:38	12	9	4	69.2%	6	3	1	0	0.41	0.04	90.7%	+0.37	3	1	75%
Douglas·Finley·Sabourin	6:54	10	12	4	75.0%	7	2	1	0	0.86	0.18	82.2%	+0.67	1	1	50%
Girgensons·Gourde·Goncalves	5:15	14	1	4	20.0%	0	1	0	0	0.16	0.11	58.3%	+0.04	1	0	100%
Occasional · 11 groups
Point·Girgensons·Kucherov	2:50	7	1	3	25.0%	0	2	0	0	0.03	0.13	18.1%	−0.10	0	0	—
Pelletier·Gourde·Bjorkstrand	2:10	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	1	0%
Katchouk·Guentzel·Goncalves	2:03	4	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Girgensons·Gourde·Bjorkstrand	1:56	3	2	3	40.0%	1	0	0	0	0.19	0.07	73.7%	+0.13	0	1	0%
Pelletier·Katchouk·Bjorkstrand	1:43	5	3	2	60.0%	0	1	0	0	0.16	0.01	92.3%	+0.14	1	0	100%
Katchouk·Guentzel·Kucherov	0:56	4	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Katchouk·Girgensons·Goncalves	0:48	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Point·Girgensons·Goncalves	0:42	2	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.16	0.0%	−0.16	0	0	—
Point·Sabourin·Kucherov	0:37	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Gourde·Guentzel·Kucherov	0:33	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Katchouk·Goncalves·Bjorkstrand	0:30	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	39:40		31	37	45.6%	14	16	2	0	1.93	1.16	62.4%	+0.77

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 22/23
SV%: .957
xGA: 1.83
GSAx: +0.83

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/16	1.000	1.25	+1.25
Power play	5/6	.833	0.53	−0.47
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.04	+0.04
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Sergei Bobrovsky

FLA · 57:45

Saves: 17/19
SV%: .895
xGA: 2.59
GSAx: +0.59

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/15	.867	2.17	+0.17
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.41	+0.41
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.71	−0.29

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

22:24Moser
20:20Raddysh
18:13D'Astous
18:05Cernak
17:50Crozier
16:02Lilleberg

25:05Guentzel
22:31Kucherov
20:21Gourde
19:49Point
19:36Girgensons
15:18Bjorkstrand
12:56Goncalves
10:35Katchouk
9:06Sabourin
8:25Finley
7:07Douglas
6:12Pelletier

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLFLA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

RaddyshD1 O3
D'AstousD2 O2
CrozierD2 O1
LillebergD3 O1
CernakD6 O2
MoserD6 O1
BjorkstrandD2 O6
KucherovD1 O4
PointD2 O5
GuentzelD3 O5
GoncalvesD0 O2
KatchoukD1 O2
FinleyD0 O1
DouglasD1 O1
PelletierD1 O1
SabourinD1 O0
GourdeD5 O1
GirgensonsD6 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period