BUF @ DET 5–4 · 2025-11-15

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
BUF	1	1	2	1	27
DET	1	3	0	0	28

Story

– / 18

Result BUF 5–4 OTCall No lean · DET 59%xG 2.83–2.98 · deserved DET 53%Swing Samuelsson +54 OT 1:05Method

Goals and penalties with DET win probability
Time	Event	DET win before	DET win after
1st 10:23	Goal DET · P. Kane	59%	75%
1st 10:52	Goal BUF · A. Tuch	75%	58%
2nd 3:52	Goal DET · A. DeBrincat	57%	77%
2nd 5:26	BUF penalty · N. Ostlund · tripping · 2 min
2nd 5:40	DET penalty · P. Kane · tripping · 2 min
2nd 5:56	Goal DET · D. Larkin	77%	90%
2nd 8:29	BUF penalty · J. Dunne · holding · 2 min
2nd 8:50	Goal DET · A. DeBrincat (PP)	91%	97%
2nd 15:37	BUF penalty · J. Greenway · interference · 2 min
2nd 17:58	Goal BUF · J. Doan	98%	93%
2nd 18:23	DET penalty · S. Edvinsson · hooking · 2 min
3rd 4:25	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	96%	83%
3rd 5:37	DET penalty · S. Edvinsson · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 8:05	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · tripping · 2 min
3rd 9:28	Goal BUF · R. McLeod (SH)	86%	55%
3rd 10:13	DET penalty · J. Berggren · interference · 2 min
3rd 17:27	BUF penalty · J. Quinn · too many men on the ice · 2 min
OT 1:05	Goal BUF · M. Samuelsson	54%	0%

On ice · final horn

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
72T. ThompsonC	0:20	18:07	26	1	0	1	6	9	0	1	0	10-13
23M. SamuelssonD	0:07	22:31	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	–
26R. DahlinD	0:15	27:05	32	0	1	1	0	6	0	1	2	–
92C. EllisG		61:02	SA28GA4SV%.857xGA2.98GSAx−1.02

DET3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18A. CoppC	0:11	12:20	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	9-4
93A. DeBrincatR	0:15	18:04	25	2	0	2	5	7	0	2	1	–
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD	1:05	22:59	27	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	–
36J. GibsonG		60:30	SA26GA4SV%.846xGA2.66GSAx−1.34

Goals

1st
Patrick Kane(1)
B. Chiarot (1)
xG 0.25snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 DET1st 10:23+16.675%
Alex Tuch(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.21backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 10:52+16.742%
2nd
Alex DeBrincat(1)
L. Raymond (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 DET2nd 03:52+19.377%
Dylan Larkin(1)
L. Raymond (2), M. Seider (1)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 DET2nd 05:56+13.090%
Alex DeBrincat(2)PP
L. Raymond (3), M. Seider (2)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 DET2nd 08:50+6.197%
Josh Doan(1)
R. Dahlin (1), B. Byram (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 DET2nd 17:58+4.97%
3rd
Tage Thompson(1)
J. Doan (1), C. Ellis (1)
xG 0.23wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 DET3rd 04:25+12.517%
Ryan McLeod(1)SH
Unassisted
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 09:28+31.545%
OT
Mattias Samuelsson(1)
T. Thompson (1), R. Dahlin (2)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 BUFOT 01:05+53.7100%

Shots

BUF2.83 xG37 unblocked · 17 blocked37 unblocked · 17 blocked

DET2.98 xG42 unblocked · 16 blocked42 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFDET5Goals42.83xG2.9827Shots2837Unblocked4254Attempts584High danger70/4Power play1/526Faceoffs4619Hits1816Blocks178Takeaways315Giveaways1010PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	27:05	0	2	2	0	6	0.14	−0.14	1	1	1	1	—	0	+1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	22:31	1	0	1	1	1	0.17	+0.83	1	5	0	0	—	0	+2
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	20:28	0	1	1	3	5	0.19	−0.19	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	19:20	1	0	1	2	2	0.12	+0.88	0	0	1	2	38%	0	+1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	18:51	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	18:20	1	0	1	4	5	0.32	+0.68	1	1	0	1	—	0	+1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	18:07	1	1	2	6	9	0.93	+0.07	1	0	1	1	43%	0	+2
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	17:35	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	2	—	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	16:42	0	0	0	3	5	0.28	−0.28	0	1	2	1	—	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	16:10	1	1	2	4	4	0.27	+0.73	2	0	3	1	—	0	+2
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	15:14	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	0	1	0	1	29%	2	0
63I. RosenIsak RosenR	14:32	0	0	0	1	3	0.23	−0.23	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	13:22	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	−0.07	2	0	0	1	10%	2	-1
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	13:01	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	1	1	0	0	100%	2	0
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	12:58	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	0	38%	0	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	11:28	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	5	0	0	1	—	0	0
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	10:59	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	1	—	0	+1
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	8:14	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	0%	2	-1
92C. EllisColten EllisG	0:00	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
BUF total		5	6	11	27	54	2.83	+2.17	19	16	8	15	36%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Thompson+1.28

Doan+1.27

Tuch+0.63

McLeod+0.55

Kozak−0.29

Rosen−0.30

Malenstyn−0.36

Quinn−0.37

Dunne−0.46

Greenway−0.48

Ostlund−0.53

Krebs−0.68

Defence

Samuelsson+0.81

Dahlin+0.32

Kesselring+0.03

Power−0.06

Byram−0.10

Timmins−0.16

Goalie

Ellis−1.00

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Malenstyn·Krebs·Dunne	6:56	11	4	7	36.4%	0	2	0	1	0.07	0.56	10.6%	−0.49	0	3	0%
Greenway·Kozak·Doan	6:27	12	6	5	54.5%	3	2	0	0	0.13	0.23	36.7%	−0.10	1	2	33%
McLeod·Thompson·Tuch	5:22	11	5	6	45.5%	3	3	1	1	0.53	0.34	61.4%	+0.20	3	0	100%
Ostlund·Quinn·Rosen	4:44	9	4	7	36.4%	0	2	0	0	0.23	0.19	54.3%	+0.04	2	0	100%
Occasional · 13 groups
Thompson·Tuch·Doan	2:37	6	4	4	50.0%	2	2	1	0	0.36	0.05	87.2%	+0.31	2	1	67%
Thompson·Quinn·Doan	1:46	3	3	1	75.0%	3	1	1	0	0.25	0.03	87.9%	+0.22	1	0	100%
Greenway·Krebs·Kozak	1:33	3	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
McLeod·Ostlund·Quinn	1:04	4	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
McLeod·Rosen·Tuch	1:00	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Kozak·McLeod·Quinn	0:58	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
Ostlund·Rosen·Tuch	0:47	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
McLeod·Ostlund·Rosen	0:46	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	0	—
McLeod·Thompson·Doan	0:38	3	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.13	0.00	97.1%	+0.13	0	0	—
Dunne·Ostlund·Rosen	0:36	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Krebs·McLeod·Quinn	0:34	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	1	0%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Kozak	0:32	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Greenway·Krebs·Ostlund	0:30	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	44:47		40	40	50.0%	18	19	3	2	2.04	1.85	52.4%	+0.18

Goalies

Colten Ellis

BUF · 61:02

Saves: 24/28
SV%: .857
xGA: 2.98
GSAx: −1.02

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/20	.850	2.23	−0.77
Power play	7/8	.875	0.75	−0.25
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/7	.571	1.30	−1.70

John Gibson

DET · 60:30

Saves: 22/27
SV%: .815
xGA: 2.83
GSAx: −2.17

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/20	.800	2.26	−1.74
Power play	6/6	1.000	0.47	+0.47
Shorthanded	0/1	.000	0.09	−0.91
High danger	1/4	.250	0.76	−2.24

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

27:05Dahlin
22:31Samuelsson
20:28Byram
18:51Timmins
17:35Power
10:59Kesselring

19:20McLeod
18:20Tuch
18:07Thompson
16:42Quinn
16:10Doan
15:14Ostlund
14:32Rosen
13:22Krebs
13:01Greenway
12:58Kozak
11:28Malenstyn
8:14Dunne
0:00Ellis

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFDET

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD2 O6
PowerD3 O5
ByramD0 O1
SamuelssonD3 O3
KesselringD1 O1
TimminsD7 O3
ThompsonD0 O8
QuinnD0 O6
RosenD0 O6
OstlundD0 O5
DoanD2 O4
TuchD5 O6
GreenwayD2 O1
McLeodD6 O4
KozakD3 O1
KrebsD4 O1
DunneD3 O0
MalenstynD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period