CAR @ VGK 1–4 · 2025-10-20

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	0	1	0	27
VGK	2	0	2	26

Story

– / 13

Result VGK 4–1xG 1.87–2.98 · deserved VGK 70%Swing Eichel +17 1st 8:42Method

Goals and penalties with VGK win probability
Time	Event	VGK win before	VGK win after
1st 8:42	Goal VGK · J. Eichel	50%	67%
1st 10:28	Goal VGK · P. Dorofeyev	67%	81%
1st 12:43	CAR penalty · S. Walker · interference · 2 min
1st 19:45	VGK penalty · P. Dorofeyev · hooking · 2 min
2nd 4:18	Goal CAR · S. Aho	85%	70%
2nd 8:22	CAR penalty · N. Ehlers · slashing · 2 min
2nd 9:46	VGK penalty · T. Hertl · interference · 2 min
2nd 14:33	VGK penalty · S. Theodore · slashing · 2 min
2nd 15:34	CAR penalty · N. Ehlers · tripping · 2 min
3rd 11:06	Goal VGK · I. Barbashev	85%	97%
3rd 12:01	CAR penalty · A. Nikishin · slashing · 2 min
3rd 18:23	Goal VGK · W. Karlsson (EN)	100%	100%
3rd 18:39	VGK penalty · C. Sissons · high sticking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22L. StankovenC	1:21	16:32	18	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	6-12
71T. HallL	1:21	14:11	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
37A. SvechnikovR	1:21	13:38	17	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	1-0
6M. ReillyD	1:37	14:45	23	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	–
26S. WalkerD	1:21	23:48	29	0	0	0	4	6	2	2	2	–
31F. AndersenG		58:52	SA25GA3SV%.880xGA2.51GSAx−0.49

VGK4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
48T. HertlC	0:25	18:10	20	0	1	1	2	7	2	0	1	10-8
20B. SaadL	0:25	16:32	24	0	1	1	4	5	0	1	0	–
5J. LauzonD	0:25	17:52	24	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	1	–
6K. KorczakD	0:25	17:17	23	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	–
40A. SchmidG		50:06	SA23GA1SV%.957xGA1.69GSAx+0.69

Goals

1st
Jack Eichel(1)
B. Saad (1), I. Barbashev (1)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 VGK1st 08:42+17.067%
Pavel Dorofeyev(1)
M. Marner (1), T. Hertl (1)
xG 0.19backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 VGK1st 10:28+14.181%
2nd
Sebastian Aho(1)
S. Jarvis (1), N. Ehlers (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 VGK2nd 04:18+15.130%
3rd
Ivan Barbashev(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 VGK3rd 11:06+12.397%
William Karlsson(1)EN
M. Marner (2), S. Theodore (1)
xG 0.47wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 VGK3rd 18:23+0.0100%

Shots

CAR1.87 xG37 unblocked · 25 blocked37 unblocked · 25 blocked

VGK2.98 xG37 unblocked · 18 blocked37 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARVGK1Goals41.87xG2.9827Shots2637Unblocked3762Attempts551High danger30/4Power play0/429Faceoffs3515Hits1318Blocks251Takeaways213Giveaways188PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	24:02	0	0	0	2	6	0.23	−0.23	0	1	0	2	—	0	-3
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	23:48	0	0	0	4	6	0.26	−0.26	2	2	0	0	—	2	-2
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	21:25	0	1	1	2	3	0.29	−0.29	0	0	0	0	100%	0	-2
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	21:08	0	0	0	1	5	0.03	−0.03	4	5	0	0	—	2	-1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	21:01	1	0	1	3	4	0.21	+0.79	2	0	1	3	50%	0	-2
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	20:53	0	0	0	2	6	0.06	−0.06	1	2	0	0	—	0	-1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	18:22	0	1	1	2	4	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	1	0%	4	-1
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	16:32	0	0	0	2	4	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	0	33%	0	0
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	16:02	0	0	0	3	3	0.24	−0.24	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	14:45	0	0	0	3	7	0.11	−0.11	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
71T. HallTaylor HallL	14:11	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	13:38	0	0	0	2	2	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	0	100%	0	-2
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	13:36	0	0	0	1	3	0.15	−0.15	1	2	0	2	53%	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	13:13	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	—	0	0
62C. LegaultCharles Alexis LegaultD	12:30	0	0	0	0	4	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	1	—	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	9:54	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	9:14	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	8:54	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	0	40%	0	-1
CAR total		1	2	3	27	62	1.87	−0.87	15	18	1	12	45%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Aho+0.30

Jarvis+0.16

Kotkaniemi−0.08

Robinson−0.10

Staal−0.18

Hall−0.24

Carrier−0.25

Blake−0.28

Martinook−0.29

Stankoven−0.31

Svechnikov−0.36

Ehlers−0.51

Defence

Reilly+0.24

Legault+0.13

Walker−0.07

Miller−0.13

Chatfield−0.15

Nikishin−0.20

Goalie

Andersen−0.47

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Ehlers·Aho·Jarvis	11:47	14	13	11	54.2%	6	7	1	1	0.54	0.66	44.8%	−0.12	2	1	67%
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	10:45	14	15	5	75.0%	6	3	0	0	0.51	0.20	72.1%	+0.31	1	0	100%
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	8:11	15	14	9	60.9%	3	3	0	0	0.17	0.31	35.4%	−0.14	2	2	50%
Robinson·Kotkaniemi·Svechnikov	7:02	12	4	14	22.2%	1	6	0	1	0.04	0.58	5.9%	−0.54	2	1	67%
Occasional · 3 groups
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	0:57	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Robinson·Kotkaniemi	0:53	3	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Martinook·Staal·Svechnikov	0:50	3	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	45:06		51	45	53.1%	19	21	1	3	1.43	1.96	42.2%	−0.53

Goalies

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 58:52

Saves: 22/25
SV%: .880
xGA: 2.51
GSAx: −0.49

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/22	.864	1.98	−1.02
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.19	+0.19
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.33	+0.33
High danger	1/2	.500	0.43	−0.57

Akira Schmid

VGK · 50:06

Saves: 22/23
SV%: .957
xGA: 1.69
GSAx: +0.69

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/16	.938	1.30	+0.30
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.27	+0.27
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.11	+0.11
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.19	+0.19

Adin Hill

VGK · 9:54

Saves: 4/4
SV%: 1.000
xGA: 0.18
GSAx: +0.18

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	4/4	1.000	0.18	+0.18
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

24:02Miller
23:48Walker
21:08Nikishin
20:53Chatfield
14:45Reilly
12:30Legault

21:25Jarvis
21:01Aho
18:22Ehlers
16:32Stankoven
16:02Blake
14:11Hall
13:38Svechnikov
13:36Staal
13:13Martinook
9:54Carrier
9:14Robinson
8:54Kotkaniemi

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARVGK

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

ReillyD2 O4
NikishinD1 O3
ChatfieldD2 O3
WalkerD5 O5
LegaultD2 O2
MillerD5 O3
SvechnikovD2 O5
JarvisD1 O4
StankovenD1 O4
HallD0 O2
EhlersD1 O3
AhoD1 O3
RobinsonD1 O2
KotkaniemiD1 O2
BlakeD0 O1
CarrierD2 O2
StaalD7 O2
MartinookD7 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period