BUF @ MTL 2–4 · 2025-10-20

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	0	1	1	32
MTL	1	0	3	32

Story

– / 12

Result MTL 4–2xG 4.33–3.80 · deserved BUF 58%Swing Slafkovský +28 3rd 2:57Method

Goals and penalties with MTL win probability
Time	Event	MTL win before	MTL win after
1st 8:29	Goal MTL · O. Kapanen	50%	67%
1st 16:09	MTL penalty · J. Slafkovský · roughing · 2 min
1st 16:09	BUF penalty · Z. Metsa · roughing · 2 min
2nd 6:51	Goal BUF · J. Kulich	71%	50%
2nd 10:49	MTL penalty · B. Gallagher · slashing · 2 min
3rd 2:57	Goal MTL · J. Slafkovský	50%	78%
3rd 8:12	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · tripping · 2 min
3rd 11:38	Goal MTL · L. Hutson	85%	97%
3rd 12:30	Goal BUF · T. Kozak	98%	86%
3rd 15:16	MTL penalty · J. Slafkovský · roughing · 2 min
3rd 15:16	BUF penalty · T. Thompson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 19:29	Goal MTL · J. Evans (EN)	99%	100%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:31	13:29	18	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	1	4-5
48T. KozakC	0:31	10:59	15	1	0	1	2	3	0	2	0	6-2
91J. DoanR	0:31	15:53	21	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	–
21C. TimminsD	0:31	18:47	24	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	–
25O. PowerD	0:31	21:17	28	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	–
34A. LyonG		57:52	SA31GA3SV%.903xGA2.86GSAx−0.14

MTL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
15A. NewhookC	0:31	15:44	19	0	2	2	1	1	0	1	2	4-3
90J. VelenoC	0:31	9:27	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	1-1
76Z. BolducR	0:31	11:03	16	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	–
45A. CarrierD	1:11	18:36	24	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	5	–
72A. XhekajD	0:31	13:08	16	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	–
75J. DobesG		59:57	SA32GA2SV%.938xGA4.33GSAx+2.33

Goals

1st
Oliver Kapanen(1)
I. Demidov (1), A. Newhook (1)
xG 0.18backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 MTL1st 08:29+17.067%
2nd
Jiri Kulich(1)
Z. Benson (1)
xG 0.12backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 06:51+20.950%
3rd
Juraj Slafkovský(1)
N. Dobson (1), N. Suzuki (1)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 MTL3rd 02:57+27.778%
Lane Hutson(1)
A. Newhook (2)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 MTL3rd 11:38+12.097%
Tyson Kozak(1)
J. Quinn (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.29snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 MTL3rd 12:30+11.314%
Jake Evans(1)EN
N. Suzuki (2)
xG 0.46snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 MTL3rd 19:29+0.8100%

Shots

BUF4.33 xG51 unblocked · 22 blocked51 unblocked · 22 blocked

MTL3.80 xG47 unblocked · 12 blocked47 unblocked · 12 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFMTL2Goals44.33xG3.8032Shots3251Unblocked4773Attempts598High danger50/1Power play0/124Faceoffs3115Hits2212Blocks226Takeaways315Giveaways116PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	26:52	0	1	1	4	15	0.35	−0.35	0	0	2	4	—	0	-1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	23:07	0	0	0	1	4	0.13	−0.13	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	21:17	0	0	0	2	5	0.27	−0.27	1	0	1	0	—	0	-2
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	21:11	0	1	1	7	7	0.53	−0.53	1	0	0	2	0%	2	-1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	20:18	0	0	0	3	10	0.73	−0.73	2	1	1	2	17%	2	-2
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	20:08	0	0	0	2	3	0.44	−0.44	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	19:58	0	0	0	2	3	0.17	−0.17	1	1	2	3	48%	0	-1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	19:13	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	2	2	0	0	—	0	-1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	18:47	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	1	—	0	-2
20J. KulichJiri KulichC	18:00	1	0	1	2	6	0.23	+0.77	0	0	0	0	30%	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	15:53	0	0	0	2	5	0.60	−0.60	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	13:29	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	4	1	0	0	44%	0	-1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	13:17	0	1	1	1	2	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	12:35	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	0	—	0	-2
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	10:59	1	0	1	2	3	0.36	+0.64	2	0	0	0	75%	0	+1
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	9:02	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	2	+1
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	6:35	0	0	0	1	2	0.29	−0.29	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
55M. GeertsenMason GeertsenL	5:27	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
BUF total		2	3	5	32	73	4.33	−2.33	15	9	6	15	44%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kozak+0.64

Kulich+0.36

Quinn+0.28

Benson+0.15

Doan+0.12

Dunne−0.08

Geertsen−0.08

McLeod−0.15

Thompson−0.22

Krebs−0.23

Tuch−0.26

Zucker−0.33

Defence

Dahlin+0.12

Metsa+0.05

Samuelsson+0.03

Byram−0.02

Power−0.03

Timmins−0.06

Goalie

Lyon−0.12

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Kulich·Thompson	14:05	23	16	14	53.3%	7	8	1	1	0.77	0.57	57.6%	+0.20	4	2	67%
McLeod·Tuch·Doan	11:44	19	22	17	56.4%	10	8	0	0	1.72	0.80	68.4%	+0.92	3	2	60%
Zucker·Krebs·Quinn	8:17	13	5	7	41.7%	3	2	0	1	0.11	0.41	20.8%	−0.30	2	2	50%
Geertsen·Dunne·Kozak	4:51	7	4	3	57.1%	1	2	0	0	0.29	0.12	70.5%	+0.17	1	0	100%
Occasional · 9 groups
Krebs·Kozak·Quinn	1:09	2	3	0	100.0%	2	0	1	0	0.31	0.00	100.0%	+0.31	1	0	100%
Benson·McLeod·Tuch	1:01	7	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.15	0.00	100.0%	+0.15	0	0	—
Kulich·Kozak·Quinn	0:56	1	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.07	0.03	71.2%	+0.04	0	0	—
Kozak·McLeod·Tuch	0:52	2	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	1	0%
Zucker·Krebs·Dunne	0:42	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Benson·McLeod·Thompson	0:37	8	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Zucker·Krebs·Thompson	0:35	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Kozak·McLeod·Quinn	0:32	2	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	1	0%
Krebs·Kozak·Doan	0:31	1	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.15	0.00	100.0%	+0.15	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	49:59		58	53	52.3%	26	28	2	3	3.59	2.50	59.0%	+1.09

Goalies

Alex Lyon

BUF · 57:52

Saves: 28/31
SV%: .903
xGA: 2.86
GSAx: −0.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/29	.897	2.61	−0.39
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.25	+0.25
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/3	.333	0.56	−1.44

Jakub Dobes

MTL · 59:57

Saves: 30/32
SV%: .938
xGA: 4.33
GSAx: +2.33

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/28	.929	3.72	+1.72
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.61	+0.61
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/6	.833	1.90	+0.90

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

26:52Dahlin
23:07Byram
21:17Power
19:13Samuelsson
18:47Timmins
9:02Metsa

21:11Benson
20:18Thompson
20:08Tuch
19:58McLeod
18:00Kulich
15:53Doan
13:29Krebs
13:17Quinn
12:35Zucker
10:59Kozak
6:35Dunne
5:27Geertsen

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFMTL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD2 O7
ByramD3 O4
MetsaD0 O1
PowerD5 O3
SamuelssonD5 O2
TimminsD5 O0
ThompsonD2 O5
BensonD2 O4
ZuckerD2 O3
GeertsenD0 O1
KrebsD2 O3
DoanD2 O3
KulichD3 O4
QuinnD4 O4
DunneD0 O0
KozakD2 O2
TuchD5 O4
McLeodD5 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period