NYI @ OTT 5–4 · 2025-10-18

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NYI	0	3	2	23
OTT	1	3	0	32

Story

– / 15

Result NYI 5–4xG 3.22–3.06 · deserved NYI 53%Swing Lee +47 3rd 18:57Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 15:04	NYI penalty · E. Heineman · holding · 2 min
1st 17:01	Goal OTT · D. Perron (PP)	50%	69%
1st 17:58	OTT penalty · N. Cousins · high sticking · 2 min
1st 18:29	OTT penalty · A. Zub · hooking · 2 min
2nd 5:32	Goal OTT · S. Pinto	70%	86%
2nd 6:50	Goal NYI · E. Heineman	86%	71%
2nd 9:57	Goal NYI · B. Horvat	72%	50%
2nd 12:41	NYI penalty · C. Cizikas · delaying game bench · 2 min
2nd 16:46	Goal OTT · T. Stützle	50%	74%
2nd 17:45	Goal NYI · A. Lee	75%	50%
2nd 18:47	Goal OTT · D. Cozens	50%	75%
3rd 1:59	OTT penalty · F. Zetterlund · tripping · 2 min
3rd 2:23	NYI penalty · M. Schaefer · ps tripping on breakaway
3rd 6:00	Goal NYI · K. Palmieri	80%	50%
3rd 18:57	Goal NYI · A. Lee	50%	3%

On ice · final horn

NYI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21K. PalmieriC	0:26	18:59	24	1	0	1	2	6	0	2	1	–
44J. PageauC	0:15	13:22	20	0	1	1	3	3	0	1	0	9-4
27A. LeeL	0:13	13:25	18	2	1	3	4	5	0	2	2	0-1
3A. PelechD	0:06	20:12	31	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	1	–
6R. PulockD	0:06	18:48	31	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	5	–
30I. SorokinG		60:00	SA32GA4SV%.875xGA3.06GSAx−0.94

OTT6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
12S. PintoC	1:08	18:41	25	1	0	1	6	11	0	2	7-5
18T. StützleC	1:03	19:20	21	1	1	2	3	3	1	0	4-2
24D. CozensC	1:03	18:08	21	1	0	1	1	4	7	1	2-3
19D. BathersonR	1:03	17:11	20	0	2	2	1	3	1	1	–
28C. GirouxR	0:56	16:03	24	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7-3
85J. SandersonD	1:21	24:15	27	0	0	0	0	4	1	1	–

Goals

1st
David Perron(1)PP
T. Chabot (1), A. Kaliyev (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 OTT1st 17:01+18.569%
2nd
Shane Pinto(1)6v5
D. Batherson (1), T. Chabot (2)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 OTT2nd 05:32+15.286%
Emil Heineman(1)
J. Drouin (1), S. Mayfield (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 OTT2nd 06:50+15.229%
Bo Horvat(1)
R. Pulock (1), A. Lee (1)
xG 0.07snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 09:57+21.850%
Tim Stützle(1)
N. Jensen (1), D. Batherson (2)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 OTT2nd 16:46+24.474%
Anders Lee(1)
M. Shabanov (1), M. Schaefer (1)
xG 0.13deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 17:45+24.950%
Dylan Cozens(1)
T. Stützle (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 OTT2nd 18:47+25.475%
3rd
Kyle Palmieri(1)
M. Barzal (1), A. Pelech (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 06:00+29.950%
Anders Lee(2)
J. Pageau (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 NYI3rd 18:57+47.597%

Shots

NYI3.22 xG37 unblocked · 13 blocked37 unblocked · 13 blocked

OTT3.06 xG42 unblocked · 19 blocked42 unblocked · 19 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYIOTT5Goals43.22xG3.0623Shots3237Unblocked4250Attempts614High danger40/3Power play1/225Faceoffs2728Hits2919Blocks132Takeaways413Giveaways224PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	22:33	0	1	1	2	4	0.06	−0.06	0	2	1	1	—	0	0
24S. MayfieldScott MayfieldD	20:32	0	1	1	2	4	0.07	−0.07	1	4	0	1	—	0	0
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	20:12	0	1	1	0	3	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
14B. HorvatBo HorvatC	19:57	1	0	1	2	4	0.32	+0.68	1	0	0	0	47%	0	+2
21K. PalmieriKyle PalmieriC	18:59	1	0	1	2	6	0.29	+0.71	2	1	0	0	—	0	+1
6R. PulockRyan PulockD	18:48	0	1	1	1	3	0.10	−0.10	0	5	0	1	—	0	+1
77T. DeAngeloTony DeAngeloD	18:47	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	2	1	0	0	—	0	+1
13M. BarzalMathew BarzalC	18:30	0	1	1	0	3	0.08	−0.08	2	0	0	1	42%	0	+1
29J. DrouinJonathan DrouinL	16:37	0	1	1	2	3	0.73	−0.73	0	0	1	0	—	0	+2
11A. DuclairAnthony DuclairL	15:22	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
34A. BoqvistAdam BoqvistD	15:10	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
27A. LeeAnders LeeL	13:25	2	1	3	4	5	0.42	+1.58	2	0	0	0	0%	0	+2
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	13:24	1	0	1	2	4	0.35	+0.65	7	0	0	0	—	2	+1
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	13:22	0	1	1	3	3	0.50	−0.50	1	0	0	2	69%	0	0
10S. HolmstromSimon HolmstromR	13:11	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	0	3	0	2	—	0	-1
49M. ShabanovMax ShabanovR	12:43	0	1	1	0	1	0.13	−0.13	4	0	0	2	—	0	0
32K. MacLeanKyle MacLeanC	12:42	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	2	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	11:49	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	4	1	0	0	33%	0	-1
NYI total		5	9	14	23	50	3.22	+1.78	28	19	2	13	48%	2

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Lee+1.37

Horvat+0.44

Pageau+0.42

Heineman+0.40

Drouin+0.39

Shabanov+0.34

Palmieri+0.28

Barzal+0.26

Holmstrom−0.12

MacLean−0.34

Cizikas−0.45

Duclair−0.46

Defence

Pulock+0.84

Mayfield+0.49

Pelech+0.15

Schaefer+0.04

DeAngelo−0.11

Boqvist−0.24

Goalie

Sorokin−0.92

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Duclair·Barzal·Palmieri	13:02	18	11	14	44.0%	5	9	1	0	0.33	1.05	23.9%	−0.72	3	2	60%
Drouin·Heineman·Horvat	11:07	18	13	9	59.1%	5	3	1	0	0.87	0.35	71.4%	+0.52	0	3	0%
MacLean·Cizikas·Holmstrom	10:20	13	4	12	25.0%	2	5	0	1	0.07	0.34	17.8%	−0.26	3	1	75%
Lee·Pageau·Shabanov	10:02	16	11	9	55.0%	6	5	1	1	0.80	0.61	56.6%	+0.19	1	2	33%
Occasional · 2 groups
Duclair·Barzal·Shabanov	0:31	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Heineman·Horvat·MacLean	0:30	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
NYI 5v5	50:22		43	49	46.7%	21	24	5	2	2.43	2.36	50.7%	+0.06

Goalies

Ilya Sorokin

NYI · 60:00

Saves: 28/32
SV%: .875
xGA: 3.06
GSAx: −0.94

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/26	.885	2.56	−0.44
Power play	5/6	.833	0.51	−0.49
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	0.73	+0.73

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 58:50

Saves: 18/23
SV%: .783
xGA: 2.76
GSAx: −2.24

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/21	.762	2.43	−2.57
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.20	+0.20
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.14	+0.14
High danger	2/3	.667	0.65	−0.35

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

22:33Schaefer
20:32Mayfield
20:12Pelech
18:48Pulock
18:47DeAngelo
15:10Boqvist

19:57Horvat
18:59Palmieri
18:30Barzal
16:37Drouin
15:22Duclair
13:25Lee
13:24Heineman
13:22Pageau
13:11Holmstrom
12:43Shabanov
12:42MacLean
11:49Cizikas

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYIOTT

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DeAngeloD0 O2
BoqvistD0 O1
SchaeferD4 O2
MayfieldD5 O2
PelechD7 O2
PulockD7 O2
BarzalD1 O4
PalmieriD3 O5
CizikasD1 O3
MacLeanD1 O3
DuclairD2 O3
HolmstromD2 O3
LeeD2 O1
DrouinD3 O2
ShabanovD2 O1
PageauD3 O1
HorvatD3 O1
HeinemanD3 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period