SJS @ UTA 3–6 · 2025-10-17

Team	1	2	3	SOG
SJS	0	2	1	21
UTA	2	1	3	34

Story

– / 20

Result UTA 6–3xG 1.72–3.68 · deserved UTA 81%Swing O'Brien +24 2nd 16:09Method

Goals and penalties with UTA win probability
Time	Event	UTA win before	UTA win after
1st 8:07	SJS penalty · N. Leddy · tripping · 2 min
1st 9:07	SJS penalty · D. Orlov · tripping · 2 min
1st 9:39	Goal UTA · N. Schmaltz (PP)	50%	67%
1st 13:31	Goal UTA · N. Schmaltz	68%	82%
2nd 4:33	UTA penalty · J. McBain · interference · 2 min
2nd 5:23	Goal SJS · T. Toffoli (PP)	86%	70%
2nd 7:13	Goal SJS · J. Skinner	71%	50%
2nd 10:26	SJS penalty · D. Orlov · holding · 2 min
2nd 16:09	Goal UTA · L. O'Brien	50%	74%
2nd 18:10	SJS penalty · W. Smith · too many men on the ice · 2 min
3rd 0:54	Goal UTA · N. Schmaltz	77%	92%
3rd 3:25	Goal UTA · M. Carcone	93%	98%
3rd 6:54	UTA penalty · L. Cooley · holding · 2 min
3rd 6:54	UTA penalty · L. Cooley · roughing · 2 min
3rd 6:54	SJS penalty · M. Celebrini · roughing · 2 min
3rd 6:54	SJS penalty · V. Desharnais · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 6:54	UTA penalty · D. Simashev · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 11:32	Goal UTA · C. Keller	100%	100%
3rd 15:34	UTA penalty · D. Guenther · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 16:51	Goal SJS · M. Celebrini (PP)	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

SJS5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10T. DellandreaC	1:00	14:17	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	6-5
73T. ToffoliC	0:43	16:42	25	1	0	1	4	4	0	0	0	0-1
51C. GrafR	0:45	13:45	19	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	–
6S. DickinsonD	0:51	15:14	22	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	–
22V. IorioD	0:47	19:21	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	–
30Y. AskarovG		60:00	SA34GA6SV%.824xGA3.68GSAx−2.32

UTA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
92L. CooleyC	1:02	16:21	21	0	1	1	0	2	4	1	0	4-10
11D. GuentherR	1:00	17:34	22	0	0	0	4	7	2	1	0	–
77J. PeterkaR	0:55	17:15	22	0	0	0	4	7	0	1	0	–
28I. ColeD	1:02	19:39	24	0	1	1	0	2	0	1	0	–
88N. SchmidtD	1:03	21:17	27	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	–
70K. VejmelkaG		59:55	SA21GA3SV%.857xGA1.72GSAx−1.28

Goals

1st
Nick Schmaltz(1)PP
L. Cooley (1), C. Keller (1)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 UTA1st 09:39+17.267%
Nick Schmaltz(2)
C. Keller (2)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 UTA1st 13:31+14.382%
2nd
Tyler Toffoli(1)PP
D. Orlov (1), W. Smith (1)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 UTA2nd 05:23+15.130%
Jeff Skinner(1)
M. Celebrini (1), V. Desharnais (1)
xG 0.03backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 07:13+21.050%
Liam O'Brien(1)
B. Tanev (1), I. Cole (1)
xG 0.19backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 UTA2nd 16:09+24.174%
3rd
Nick Schmaltz(3)
C. Keller (3)
xG 0.28snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 UTA3rd 00:54+15.492%
Michael Carcone(1)
L. Crouse (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 UTA3rd 03:25+5.298%
Clayton Keller(1)
N. Schmaltz (1), B. Hayton (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–6 UTA3rd 11:32+0.0100%
Macklin Celebrini(1)PP
J. Skinner (1), A. Wennberg (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–6 UTA3rd 16:51+0.00%

Shots

SJS1.72 xG28 unblocked · 10 blocked28 unblocked · 10 blocked

UTA3.68 xG49 unblocked · 12 blocked49 unblocked · 12 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SJSUTA3Goals61.72xG3.6821Shots3428Unblocked4938Attempts613High danger62/3Power play1/424Faceoffs2525Hits1412Blocks107Takeaways418Giveaways1720PIM18

Skaters

Player

Player
9D. OrlovDmitry OrlovD	22:49	0	1	1	2	2	0.04	−0.04	2	0	0	1	—	4	-1
38M. FerraroMario FerraroD	22:34	0	0	0	2	3	0.03	−0.03	3	3	1	1	—	0	-3
4N. LeddyNick LeddyD	22:32	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	3	1	1	—	2	-1
21A. WennbergAlexander WennbergC	19:37	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	3	45%	0	-1
22V. IorioVincent IorioD	19:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	5	—	0	-2
72W. EklundWilliam EklundL	17:52	0	0	0	2	8	0.39	−0.39	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
71M. CelebriniMacklin CelebriniC	17:24	1	1	2	3	3	0.29	+0.71	2	0	0	0	38%	2	0
96P. KurashevPhilipp KurashevC	16:48	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	1	0	1	2	—	0	0
73T. ToffoliTyler ToffoliC	16:42	1	0	1	4	4	0.34	+0.66	0	0	0	1	0%	0	-1
6S. DickinsonSam DickinsonD	15:14	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
10T. DellandreaTy DellandreaC	14:17	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	2	0	1	0	55%	0	-2
5V. DesharnaisVincent DesharnaisD	14:04	0	1	1	1	3	0.01	−0.01	1	2	0	1	—	10	0
53J. SkinnerJeff SkinnerL	14:02	1	1	2	2	2	0.05	+0.95	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
23B. GoodrowBarclay GoodrowC	13:50	0	0	0	1	2	0.21	−0.21	1	1	1	0	0%	0	-1
51C. GrafCollin GrafR	13:45	0	0	0	1	2	0.19	−0.19	1	0	1	1	—	0	-2
2W. SmithWill SmithC	12:19	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	0	-2
75R. ReavesRyan ReavesR	9:57	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	7	0	0	0	—	0	-1
81A. GaudetteAdam GaudetteR	9:21	0	0	0	2	2	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	1	75%	0	-1
SJS total		3	6	9	21	38	1.72	+1.28	25	12	7	17	49%	18

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Celebrini+1.10

Skinner+1.08

Toffoli+0.40

Graf−0.19

Gaudette−0.20

Reaves−0.22

Goodrow−0.25

Eklund−0.30

Kurashev−0.38

Smith−0.38

Dellandrea−0.41

Wennberg−0.46

Defence

Desharnais+0.05

Dickinson−0.18

Ferraro−0.22

Leddy−0.22

Iorio−0.26

Orlov−0.27

Goalie

Askarov−2.30

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Eklund·Wennberg·Toffoli	11:46	21	13	11	54.2%	6	5	0	1	0.39	0.60	39.6%	−0.20	4	0	100%
Skinner·Celebrini·Kurashev	11:25	20	6	8	42.9%	5	4	1	1	0.31	0.53	36.9%	−0.22	1	2	33%
Goodrow·Reaves·Gaudette	7:12	14	6	5	54.5%	3	2	0	1	0.09	0.18	33.8%	−0.09	0	2	0%
Smith·Dellandrea·Graf	6:34	13	3	8	27.3%	1	6	0	2	0.19	0.54	26.2%	−0.35	1	2	33%
Occasional · 10 groups
Dellandrea·Toffoli·Graf	0:59	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Smith·Dellandrea·Goodrow	0:52	2	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.18	0.0%	−0.18	0	0	—
Eklund·Wennberg·Kurashev	0:42	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Eklund·Smith·Wennberg	0:39	6	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Goodrow·Celebrini·Kurashev	0:39	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Smith·Goodrow·Gaudette	0:39	2	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Celebrini·Kurashev·Graf	0:37	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Dellandrea·Kurashev·Graf	0:36	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Eklund·Celebrini·Kurashev	0:31	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Skinner·Celebrini·Reaves	0:30	3	0	3	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.26	0.0%	−0.26	0	0	—
SJS 5v5	48:48		30	43	41.1%	15	25	1	5	1.15	2.51	31.5%	−1.36

Goalies

Yaroslav Askarov

SJS · 60:00

Saves: 28/34
SV%: .824
xGA: 3.68
GSAx: −2.32

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/25	.800	2.51	−2.49
Power play	8/9	.889	1.17	+0.17
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/6	.333	1.18	−2.82

Karel Vejmelka

UTA · 59:55

Saves: 18/21
SV%: .857
xGA: 1.72
GSAx: −1.28

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/15	.933	1.15	+0.15
Power play	3/5	.600	0.49	−1.51
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.08	+0.08
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.49	+0.49

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

San Jose Sharks

Minutes

22:49Orlov
22:34Ferraro
22:32Leddy
19:21Iorio
15:14Dickinson
14:04Desharnais

19:37Wennberg
17:52Eklund
17:24Celebrini
16:48Kurashev
16:42Toffoli
14:17Dellandrea
14:02Skinner
13:50Goodrow
13:45Graf
12:19Smith
9:57Reaves
9:21Gaudette

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSJSUTA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

OrlovD1 O3
IorioD2 O1
LeddyD2 O0
DickinsonD3 O1
FerraroD4 O1
DesharnaisD8 O1
ToffoliD0 O7
EklundD0 O7
WennbergD1 O5
SmithD0 O3
KurashevD1 O1
CelebriniD2 O2
ReavesD1 O0
SkinnerD2 O1
GaudetteD2 O0
GrafD4 O1
GoodrowD4 O0
DellandreaD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period