TBL @ DET 1–2 · 2025-10-17

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
TBL	0	0	1	0	32
DET	1	0	0	1	31

Story

– / 9

Result DET 2–1 OTxG 2.52–2.94 · deserved DET 57%Swing Larkin +50 OT 3:36Method

Goals and penalties with DET win probability
Time	Event	DET win before	DET win after
1st 8:53	DET penalty · J. Bernard-Docker · high sticking · 2 min
1st 13:02	Goal DET · A. Sandin-Pellikka	50%	68%
2nd 0:21	DET penalty · A. Sandin-Pellikka · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 5:09	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:16	DET penalty · M. Brandsegg-Nygård · holding · 2 min
2nd 17:28	TBL penalty · A. Cirelli · slashing · 2 min
3rd 4:04	TBL penalty · C. Geekie · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 16:17	Goal TBL · J. Moser	92%	50%
OT 3:36	Goal DET · D. Larkin	50%	100%

On ice · final horn

TBL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
59J. GuentzelC	0:11	24:56	29	0	0	0	5	9	0	0	0	2-5
38B. HagelL	0:46	24:11	33	0	0	0	3	8	0	1	1	–
77V. HedmanD	0:35	26:12	29	0	1	1	1	8	0	2	1	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		63:36	SA30GA1SV%.967xGA2.79GSAx+1.79

DET3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71D. LarkinC	1:18	23:12	30	0	1	1	3	6	0	0	0	12-7
37J. CompherL	1:33	18:44	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	6-4
77S. EdvinssonD	1:31	23:42	30	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	–
36J. GibsonG		63:36	SA32GA1SV%.969xGA2.52GSAx+1.52

Goals

1st
Axel Sandin-Pellikka(1)
D. Larkin (1), M. Appleton (1)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 DET1st 13:02+17.868%
3rd
J.J. Moser(1)
V. Hedman (1), C. Geekie (1)
xG 0.04slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied3rd 16:17+42.150%
OT
Dylan Larkin(1)
J. Compher (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 DETOT 03:36+50.0100%

Shots

TBL2.52 xG50 unblocked · 24 blocked50 unblocked · 24 blocked

DET2.94 xG47 unblocked · 14 blocked47 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLDET1Goals22.52xG2.9432Shots3150Unblocked4774Attempts611High danger40/3Power play0/326Faceoffs3320Hits2714Blocks244Takeaways415Giveaways176PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
77V. HedmanVictor HedmanD	26:12	0	1	1	1	8	0.16	−0.16	2	1	1	0	—	0	0
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	24:56	0	0	0	5	9	0.43	−0.43	0	0	1	1	29%	0	-2
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	24:11	0	0	0	3	8	0.38	−0.38	1	1	0	4	—	0	-2
27R. McDonaghRyan McDonaghD	22:16	0	0	0	1	4	0.17	−0.17	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
21B. PointBrayden PointC	21:26	0	0	0	3	4	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	1	29%	0	-1
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	21:21	1	0	1	2	6	0.06	+0.94	1	0	1	2	—	0	+1
81E. CernakErik CernakD	20:44	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	19:37	0	0	0	1	3	0.11	−0.11	0	1	0	1	50%	2	+1
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	15:56	0	0	0	2	7	0.13	−0.13	2	0	1	0	—	0	-1
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	15:49	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	43%	2	0
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	15:06	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	2	0	1	—	0	+1
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	14:51	0	0	0	3	4	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	13:19	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	2	0%	0	0
14C. GeekieConor GeekieC	12:39	0	1	1	1	2	0.02	−0.02	3	2	0	2	100%	2	+1
78E. LillebergEmil LillebergD	11:49	0	0	0	1	2	0.17	−0.17	3	1	0	0	—	0	-1
41M. ChaffeeMitchell ChaffeeR	10:18	0	0	0	3	3	0.25	−0.25	2	1	0	0	0%	0	0
62J. FinleyJack FinleyC	7:51	0	0	0	3	3	0.18	−0.18	1	0	0	0	58%	0	0
42C. DouglasCurtis DouglasC	6:27	0	0	0	1	4	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
TBL total		1	2	3	32	74	2.52	−1.52	20	13	4	15	44%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Douglas−0.10

Finley−0.12

Chaffee−0.12

Hagel−0.19

Geekie−0.22

Point−0.23

Goncalves−0.33

Holmberg−0.34

Bjorkstrand−0.37

Guentzel−0.50

Cirelli−0.61

Gourde−0.68

Defence

Moser+0.30

Hedman+0.20

Lilleberg+0.01

Cernak−0.11

Raddysh−0.11

McDonagh−0.13

Goalie

Vasilevskiy+0.96

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Gourde·Bjorkstrand·Holmberg	10:37	19	10	6	62.5%	4	2	0	0	0.09	0.20	29.6%	−0.12	2	3	40%
Point·Guentzel·Goncalves	6:57	12	5	10	33.3%	1	6	0	0	0.02	0.38	5.0%	−0.36	4	0	100%
Hagel·Point·Guentzel	5:39	11	18	4	81.8%	10	3	0	1	0.82	0.24	77.4%	+0.58	4	0	100%
Douglas·Finley·Chaffee	5:34	10	11	9	55.0%	6	4	0	0	0.53	0.51	51.1%	+0.02	3	1	75%
Hagel·Geekie·Cirelli	5:25	9	6	5	54.5%	3	1	0	0	0.13	0.07	66.6%	+0.07	2	2	50%
Geekie·Cirelli·Goncalves	3:12	6	5	2	71.4%	1	1	1	0	0.05	0.12	30.3%	−0.07	3	0	100%
Occasional · 5 groups
Point·Guentzel·Bjorkstrand	1:10	2	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Hagel·Cirelli·Goncalves	0:59	3	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Finley·Goncalves·Chaffee	0:42	2	2	2	50.0%	2	0	0	0	0.13	0.09	57.7%	+0.03	0	0	—
Hagel·Point·Goncalves	0:37	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hagel·Gourde·Cirelli	0:34	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	48:00		62	49	55.9%	30	25	1	1	2.00	2.08	49.1%	−0.08

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 63:36

Saves: 29/31
SV%: .935
xGA: 2.94
GSAx: +0.94

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/28	.929	2.30	+0.30
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.61	+0.61
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.03	+0.03
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.77	+0.77

John Gibson

DET · 63:36

Saves: 31/32
SV%: .969
xGA: 2.52
GSAx: +1.52

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/32	.969	2.14	+1.14
Power play	0/0	—	0.38	+0.38
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

26:12Hedman
22:16McDonagh
21:21Moser
20:44Cernak
15:56Raddysh
11:49Lilleberg

24:56Guentzel
24:11Hagel
21:26Point
19:37Cirelli
15:49Gourde
15:06Goncalves
14:51Bjorkstrand
13:19Holmberg
12:39Geekie
10:18Chaffee
7:51Finley
6:27Douglas

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLDET

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HedmanD0 O5
RaddyshD0 O3
MoserD1 O3
LillebergD1 O2
CernakD5 O0
McDonaghD7 O0
GuentzelD0 O9
PointD1 O9
GoncalvesD0 O7
CirelliD3 O7
GeekieD2 O6
HagelD5 O8
ChaffeeD1 O4
DouglasD1 O3
BjorkstrandD3 O2
HolmbergD2 O1
GourdeD3 O1
FinleyD5 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period