CAR @ ANA 4–1 · 2025-10-16

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	1	1	2	32
ANA	0	1	0	24

Story

– / 17

Result CAR 4–1xG 4.33–2.41 · deserved CAR 78%Swing Jarvis +18 1st 14:54Method

Goals and penalties with ANA win probability
Time	Event	ANA win before	ANA win after
1st 1:07	ANA penalty · R. Gudas · interference · 2 min
1st 10:41	ANA penalty · M. McTavish · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
1st 14:54	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	50%	32%
2nd 3:22	CAR penalty · M. Jankowski · boarding · 2 min
2nd 8:35	ANA penalty · J. LaCombe · hooking · 2 min
2nd 10:22	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis (PP)	28%	13%
2nd 11:32	Goal ANA · L. Carlsson	12%	28%
3rd 0:00	CAR penalty · F. Andersen · goalie leave crease · 2 min
3rd 0:00	ANA penalty · L. Dostal · goalie leave crease · 2 min
3rd 0:00	CAR penalty · K. Miller · roughing removing opponents helmet · 2 min
3rd 0:00	ANA penalty · M. McTavish · roughing · 2 min
3rd 0:00	CAR penalty · L. Stankoven · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:38	Goal CAR · A. Nikishin	22%	7%
3rd 5:42	CAR penalty · S. Aho · slashing · 2 min
3rd 9:36	CAR penalty · J. Blake · slashing · 2 min
3rd 15:48	Goal CAR · S. Aho	1%	1%
OT 0:00	CAR penalty · J. Chatfield · hooking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22L. StankovenC	0:18	16:08	20	0	0	0	2	4	2	1	1	5-5
50E. RobinsonL	1:17	11:07	16	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	–
71T. HallL	0:27	15:16	19	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	1	–
5J. ChatfieldD	0:15	20:29	30	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	3	–
6M. ReillyD	0:16	18:43	28	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	–
31F. AndersenG		60:00	SA24GA1SV%.958xGA2.41GSAx+1.41

ANA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13N. NesterenkoC	0:53	11:52	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	–
44R. JohnstonL	0:24	7:24	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	–
45B. SenneckeR	0:50	17:59	22	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	2	–
7R. GudasD	0:27	16:52	23	0	0	0	1	1	2	7	3	–
98P. MintyukovD	0:54	14:51	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	–
1L. DostalG		59:31	SA32GA4SV%.875xGA4.33GSAx+0.33

Goals

1st
Seth Jarvis(1)
S. Gostisbehere (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 14:54+18.168%
2nd
Seth Jarvis(2)PP
J. Blake (1), S. Gostisbehere (2)
xG 0.07slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CAR2nd 10:22+15.487%
Leo Carlsson(1)
A. Killorn (1), D. Helleson (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 CAR2nd 11:32+15.528%
3rd
Alexander Nikishin(1)
S. Aho (1), S. Gostisbehere (3)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 CAR3rd 02:38+15.293%
Sebastian Aho(1)
S. Jarvis (1)
xG 0.39wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 CAR3rd 15:48+0.4100%

Shots

CAR4.33 xG44 unblocked · 18 blocked44 unblocked · 18 blocked

ANA2.41 xG36 unblocked · 17 blocked36 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARANA4Goals14.33xG2.4132Shots2444Unblocked3662Attempts537High danger31/3Power play0/424Faceoffs3419Hits3117Blocks184Takeaways122Giveaways1514PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	23:22	0	0	0	0	5	0.04	−0.04	4	2	0	1	—	0	-1
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	21:55	0	0	0	2	3	0.33	−0.33	2	1	0	2	—	2	-1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	20:29	0	0	0	1	3	0.12	−0.12	0	3	0	2	—	2	+1
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	18:43	0	0	0	3	4	0.09	−0.09	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	17:46	0	0	0	1	2	0.17	−0.17	3	0	0	0	50%	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	17:40	0	0	0	2	3	0.35	−0.35	1	2	1	1	50%	0	0
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	16:40	0	3	3	1	2	0.10	−0.10	0	2	0	1	—	0	+2
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	16:38	1	1	2	2	4	0.57	+0.43	0	0	0	0	25%	2	+2
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	16:37	1	0	1	2	5	0.17	+0.83	2	1	0	2	—	0	+1
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	16:19	2	1	3	7	7	0.78	+1.22	0	0	2	1	25%	0	+3
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	16:08	0	0	0	2	4	0.21	−0.21	1	0	0	2	50%	2	+1
71T. HallTaylor HallL	15:16	0	0	0	2	4	0.26	−0.26	1	1	1	1	—	0	0
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	14:55	0	1	1	3	4	0.24	−0.24	0	0	0	2	—	2	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	13:23	0	0	0	2	5	0.39	−0.39	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	12:51	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	−0.15	3	1	0	2	—	0	0
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	12:45	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	0	—	0	+3
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	11:07	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	2	1	0	2	—	0	-1
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	9:26	0	0	0	1	2	0.22	−0.22	0	1	0	0	38%	2	-1
CAR total		4	6	10	32	62	4.33	−0.33	19	16	4	21	41%	12

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Jarvis+2.00

Aho+1.19

Blake+0.05

Robinson−0.10

Ehlers−0.10

Jankowski−0.18

Carrier−0.19

Svechnikov−0.19

Martinook−0.23

Staal−0.25

Hall−0.35

Stankoven−0.38

Defence

Gostisbehere+0.75

Nikishin+0.49

Reilly+0.07

Chatfield0.00

Walker−0.17

Miller−0.19

Goalie

Andersen+1.42

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	10:53	20	7	12	36.8%	1	7	0	0	0.41	0.60	40.5%	−0.19	3	3	50%
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	9:03	13	14	11	56.0%	6	6	0	0	0.53	0.60	47.1%	−0.07	2	0	100%
Ehlers·Aho·Jarvis	8:32	14	12	8	60.0%	8	3	2	0	1.08	0.24	81.6%	+0.83	3	2	60%
Robinson·Jankowski·Svechnikov	5:45	11	8	4	66.7%	4	1	0	1	0.55	0.05	90.9%	+0.50	2	2	50%
Occasional · 6 groups
Martinook·Robinson·Jankowski	1:18	2	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.04	64.4%	+0.03	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Svechnikov	1:13	3	1	3	25.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	0	0	—
Robinson·Aho·Svechnikov	0:50	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Martinook·Staal·Svechnikov	0:44	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Carrier·Staal·Blake	0:37	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
Stankoven·Svechnikov·Blake	0:32	2	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	45:44		55	44	55.6%	28	20	3	1	3.71	2.00	65.0%	+1.71

Goalies

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 23/24
SV%: .958
xGA: 2.41
GSAx: +1.41

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/20	.950	2.00	+1.00
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.32	+0.32
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.09	+0.09
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.62	+0.62

Lukas Dostal

ANA · 59:31

Saves: 28/32
SV%: .875
xGA: 4.33
GSAx: +0.33

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/28	.893	3.71	+0.71
Power play	2/3	.667	0.44	−0.56
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.19	+0.19
High danger	3/5	.600	1.48	−0.52

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

23:22Walker
21:55Miller
20:29Chatfield
18:43Reilly
16:40Gostisbehere
16:37Nikishin

17:46Staal
17:40Martinook
16:38Aho
16:19Jarvis
16:08Stankoven
15:16Hall
14:55Blake
13:23Svechnikov
12:51Carrier
12:45Ehlers
11:07Robinson
9:26Jankowski

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARANA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD0 O5
ChatfieldD0 O3
ReillyD1 O3
NikishinD0 O2
WalkerD7 O5
MillerD8 O5
HallD0 O5
EhlersD1 O5
StankovenD0 O4
SvechnikovD2 O5
BlakeD0 O3
AhoD2 O4
JankowskiD2 O2
CarrierD3 O3
RobinsonD2 O2
JarvisD3 O3
MartinookD6 O4
StaalD6 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period