NSH @ MTL 2–3 · 2025-10-16

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NSH	0	1	1	0	19
MTL	0	0	2	1	30

Story

– / 10

Result MTL 3–2 OTxG 2.40–3.45 · deserved MTL 68%Swing Caufield +50 OT 4:57Method

Goals and penalties with MTL win probability
Time	Event	MTL win before	MTL win after
1st 3:27	NSH penalty · T. Jost · hooking · 2 min
2nd 4:46	NSH penalty · C. Smith · slashing · 2 min
2nd 10:05	MTL penalty · Z. Bolduc · hooking · 2 min
2nd 11:36	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos (PP)	50%	28%
2nd 18:25	MTL penalty · I. Demidov · holding the stick · 2 min
3rd 6:02	Goal MTL · O. Kapanen	20%	50%
3rd 11:21	Goal NSH · N. Perbix	50%	15%
3rd 14:18	NSH penalty · M. McCarron · tripping · 2 min
3rd 19:40	Goal MTL · C. Caufield	1%	50%
OT 4:57	Goal MTL · C. Caufield	50%	100%

On ice · final horn

NSH3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
91S. StamkosC	0:58	18:14	22	1	0	1	2	5	0	1	1	5-1
81J. MarchessaultR	1:10	17:26	21	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	1-0
59R. JosiD	0:44	28:13	31	0	1	1	2	5	0	0	0	–
74J. SarosG		64:30	SA29GA2SV%.931xGA3.31GSAx+1.31

MTL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14N. SuzukiC	1:10	22:54	23	0	0	0	4	8	0	0	1	7-10
13C. CaufieldR	1:10	20:54	22	1	0	1	3	5	0	1	1	–
8M. MathesonD	1:10	26:21	26	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	4	–
75J. DobesG		63:35	SA19GA2SV%.895xGA2.40GSAx+0.40

Goals

2nd
Steven Stamkos(1)PP
R. Josi (1), L. Evangelista (1)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NSH2nd 11:36+22.472%
3rd
Oliver Kapanen(1)
L. Hutson (1), K. Guhle (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied3rd 06:02+29.950%
Nick Perbix(1)
M. McCarron (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH3rd 11:21+35.085%
Cole Caufield(1)6v5
L. Hutson (2)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 19:40+49.250%
OT
Cole Caufield(2)
N. Suzuki (1), M. Matheson (1)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 MTLOT 04:57+50.0100%

Shots

NSH2.40 xG34 unblocked · 19 blocked34 unblocked · 19 blocked

MTL3.45 xG44 unblocked · 13 blocked44 unblocked · 13 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHMTL2Goals32.40xG3.4519Shots3034Unblocked4453Attempts572High danger41/2Power play0/326Faceoffs2116Hits1313Blocks194Takeaways516Giveaways126PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	28:13	0	1	1	2	5	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	2	—	0	-1
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	23:03	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	0	—	0	-1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	22:00	1	0	1	2	3	0.21	+0.79	0	1	0	2	—	0	-1
83A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	20:55	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	2	1	2	—	0	0
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	20:04	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	−0.28	0	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	19:09	0	0	0	2	6	0.35	−0.35	3	0	1	0	—	0	0
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	18:14	1	0	1	2	5	0.22	+0.78	1	1	0	2	83%	0	-1
81J. MarchessaultJonathan MarchessaultR	17:26	0	0	0	2	4	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	4	100%	0	-2
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	17:05	0	0	0	1	3	0.03	−0.03	2	0	0	1	50%	0	0
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	14:51	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	−0.14	0	2	0	0	—	0	-1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	14:45	0	1	1	1	4	0.08	−0.08	4	2	1	1	56%	2	+1
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	14:35	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
17T. JostTyson JostC	14:31	0	0	0	3	5	0.19	−0.19	1	0	0	0	100%	2	-1
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	14:14	0	0	0	0	4	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
36C. SmithCole SmithR	14:11	0	0	0	1	2	0.20	−0.20	2	0	0	0	0%	2	0
24S. StastneySpencer StastneyD	13:36	0	0	0	1	3	0.15	−0.15	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	12:15	0	0	0	1	3	0.18	−0.18	0	1	0	0	33%	0	-1
89O. WiesblattOzzy WiesblattC	10:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	—	0	+1
NSH total		2	3	5	19	53	2.40	−0.40	16	12	4	15	55%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Stamkos+0.39

McCarron+0.26

Wiesblatt−0.16

Evangelista−0.20

Bunting−0.22

Svechkov−0.28

Jost−0.29

Forsberg−0.30

Marchessault−0.39

O'Reilly−0.40

Haula−0.42

Smith−0.45

Defence

Perbix+0.33

Stastney+0.15

Josi+0.11

Barron+0.04

Wilsby−0.03

Skjei−0.40

Goalie

Saros+0.47

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	10:09	15	7	8	46.7%	1	6	0	0	0.46	0.40	53.9%	+0.07	1	4	20%
Jost·Svechkov·Evangelista	10:01	14	10	7	58.8%	3	3	0	1	0.46	0.64	41.8%	−0.18	0	1	0%
Haula·Bunting·Marchessault	9:04	14	8	14	36.4%	4	7	0	0	0.10	0.43	18.8%	−0.33	1	1	50%
McCarron·Wiesblatt·Smith	8:10	15	9	3	75.0%	4	2	1	0	0.51	0.23	68.9%	+0.28	0	2	0%
Occasional · 4 groups
Haula·Bunting·Evangelista	1:54	4	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Smith	1:00	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Bunting·McCarron·Marchessault	0:56	6	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Bunting·Svechkov·Marchessault	0:31	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	48:40		37	39	48.7%	12	21	1	1	1.62	2.15	42.9%	−0.54

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 64:30

Saves: 27/30
SV%: .900
xGA: 3.45
GSAx: +0.45

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/27	.889	3.10	+0.10
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.35	+0.35
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	1.04	+1.04

Jakub Dobes

MTL · 63:35

Saves: 17/19
SV%: .895
xGA: 2.40
GSAx: +0.40

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/15	.933	1.93	+0.93
Power play	2/3	.667	0.41	−0.59
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.06	+0.06
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.34	+0.34

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

28:13Josi
23:03Skjei
22:00Perbix
20:55Wilsby
14:14Barron
13:36Stastney

20:04O'Reilly
19:09Forsberg
18:14Stamkos
17:26Marchessault
17:05Haula
14:51Evangelista
14:45McCarron
14:35Bunting
14:31Jost
14:11Smith
12:15Svechkov
10:11Wiesblatt

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHMTL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

StastneyD0 O1
BarronD0 O1
JosiD3 O3
SkjeiD5 O2
WilsbyD3 O0
PerbixD5 O1
MarchessaultD1 O4
BuntingD1 O1
StamkosD4 O3
O'ReillyD4 O3
HaulaD3 O2
EvangelistaD1 O0
SvechkovD1 O0
ForsbergD4 O2
WiesblattD2 O0
McCarronD3 O0
JostD3 O0
SmithD3 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period