CAR @ SEA 4–1 · 2026-11-12

CarolinaCARHurricanes4

FinalNov 122026-11-12

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	2	1	1	30
SEA	0	0	1	13

Veikkaus Arena

SeattleSEAKraken1

CallNo lean · 27% SEA

Star 1S. Aho2G 0A
Star 2J. Välimäki1G 0A
Star 3N. Ehlers1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-305Moneyline+245—Puck line—O -112Total 6.5U -108

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

100%…Playoffs16%…24%…Cup0.0%…

Story

– / 10

Result CAR 4–1Call No lean · CAR 73%Market CAR 74%xG 3.58–1.86 · deserved CAR 78%Swing Ehlers +13 1st 11:44Method

Goals and penalties with SEA win probability
Time	Event	SEA win before	SEA win after
1st 11:44	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers	29%	16%
1st 11:44	SEA penalty · M. Samoskevich · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
1st 12:50	Goal CAR · S. Aho (PP)	16%	7%
1st 13:09	CAR penalty · T. Hall · hooking · 2 min
2nd 1:04	CAR penalty · J. Blake · holding · 2 min
2nd 9:34	Goal CAR · J. Välimäki	6%	2%
2nd 14:29	SEA penalty · R. Evans · closing hand on puck · 2 min
3rd 11:41	Goal CAR · S. Aho	1%	1%
3rd 13:15	Goal SEA · F. Gaudreau	1%	1%
3rd 19:06	SEA penalty · B. Montour · cross checking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	1:09	17:53	22	2	0	2	2	7	0	0	0	9-6
27N. EhlersL	0:54	17:45	19	1	1	2	3	6	0	0	1	–
37A. SvechnikovR	0:54	18:14	21	0	1	1	3	6	0	3	0	–
53J. BlakeR	0:54	17:52	19	0	1	1	1	2	2	0	1	–
4S. GostisbehereD	0:54	16:52	17	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	–
32B. BussiG		59:45	SA13GA1SV%.923xGA1.86GSAx+0.86

SEA4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
59B. MeyersC	0:54	12:58	18	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	0	3-4
89F. GaudreauC	0:10	16:09	21	1	0	1	3	4	0	3	0	4-7
28J. MahuraD	0:54	14:44	19	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	1	–
46V. OttavainenD	0:54	11:35	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	–
31P. GrubauerG		59:55	SA30GA4SV%.867xGA3.58GSAx−0.42

Goals

1st
Nikolaj Ehlers(5)
K. Miller (6), L. Stankoven (8)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 11:44+13.384%
Sebastian Aho(11)PP
J. Blake (15), N. Ehlers (12)
xG 0.24tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CAR1st 12:50+8.693%
2nd
Juuso Välimäki(3)
L. Stankoven (9)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 CAR2nd 09:34+4.098%
3rd
Sebastian Aho(12)
K. Miller (7), A. Svechnikov (10)
xG 0.09slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–0 CAR3rd 11:41+0.099%
Frederick Gaudreau(8)
M. Samoskevich (6)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 CAR3rd 13:15+0.01%

Shots

Shooters

CAR3.58 xG62 unblocked · 22 blocked62 unblocked · 22 blocked

SEA1.86 xG25 unblocked · 12 blocked25 unblocked · 12 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARSEA4Goals13.58xG1.8630Shots1362Unblocked2584Attempts374High danger51/3Power play0/227Faceoffs3212Hits2312Blocks225Takeaways513Giveaways194PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	22:48	0	2	2	1	5	0.08	−0.08	3	1	1	2	—	0	+2
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	21:41	0	0	0	1	6	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	0	—	0	+2
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	20:55	0	0	0	1	4	0.00	−0.00	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	19:49	0	0	0	1	4	0.00	−0.00	0	0	1	1	—	0	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	18:14	0	1	1	3	6	0.35	−0.35	3	0	0	1	—	0	+1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	17:53	2	0	2	2	7	0.50	+1.50	0	0	1	1	60%	0	+1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	17:52	0	1	1	1	2	0.13	−0.13	0	1	0	2	—	2	+2
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	17:45	1	1	2	3	6	0.43	+0.57	0	0	1	1	—	0	+2
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	16:52	0	0	0	3	7	0.26	−0.26	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	15:51	0	2	2	1	11	0.45	−0.45	1	1	1	0	50%	0	+2
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	15:26	0	0	0	2	3	0.15	−0.15	0	1	0	0	43%	0	-1
71T. HallTaylor HallL	14:47	0	0	0	3	4	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	1	—	2	-1
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisR	14:23	0	0	0	1	4	0.30	−0.30	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
8J. VälimäkiJuuso VälimäkiD	13:59	1	0	1	4	6	0.07	+0.93	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	13:29	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	−0.13	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	12:03	0	0	0	2	4	0.32	−0.32	0	2	0	0	0%	0	+1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	11:30	0	0	0	1	3	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	10:58	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	2	33%	0	0
CAR total		4	7	11	30	84	3.58	+0.42	12	10	5	13	46%	4

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Aho8.4

Ehlers7.3

Stankoven7.1

Blake6.5

Robinson5.6

Martinook5.1

Kotkaniemi4.2

Jarvis4.0

Jankowski4.0

Carrier3.8

Svechnikov3.8

Hall2.7

Defence

Miller8.3

Välimäki7.7

Gostisbehere5.6

Walker4.3

Slavin3.9

Chatfield2.6

Goalie

Bussi6.0

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Carrier·Aho·Svechnikov	11:50	16	15	10	60.0%	3	4	0	0	0.45	0.41	52.0%	+0.03	3	2	60%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	11:37	17	18	7	72.0%	6	2	2	0	0.93	0.22	81.0%	+0.71	3	1	75%
Hall·Jankowski·Jarvis	10:38	17	18	4	81.8%	9	1	0	1	0.57	0.33	63.1%	+0.24	3	1	75%
Martinook·Robinson·Kotkaniemi	8:08	13	9	5	64.3%	4	1	0	0	0.43	0.16	72.5%	+0.26	2	2	50%
Occasional · 8 groups
Ehlers·Stankoven·Svechnikov	1:15	7	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.31	0.0%	−0.31	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	1:07	6	6	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.27	0.00	100.0%	+0.27	0	0	—
Hall·Kotkaniemi·Jarvis	0:43	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Carrier·Robinson·Kotkaniemi	0:35	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Ehlers·Jankowski·Jarvis	0:33	2	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Jarvis	0:32	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Hall·Jankowski·Blake	0:31	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Martinook·Aho·Svechnikov	0:11	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
Other 24 brief groups	4:00		1	3	25.0%	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	7.6%	−0.05
CAR 5v5	51:40		72	33	68.6%	26	11	3	1	2.74	1.50	64.7%	+1.25

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 59:45

Saves: 12/13
SV%: .923
GAA: 1.00
xGA: 1.86
GSAx: +0.86

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/12	.917	1.67	+0.67
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.19	+0.19
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.89	+0.89

Philipp Grubauer

SEA · 59:55

Saves: 26/30
SV%: .867
GAA: 4.01
xGA: 3.58
GSAx: −0.42

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/26	.885	2.78	−0.22
Power play	2/3	.667	0.53	−0.47
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.27	+0.27
High danger	2/3	.667	0.93	−0.07

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

22:48Miller
21:41Walker
20:55Slavin
19:49Chatfield
16:52Gostisbehere
13:59Välimäki

18:14Svechnikov
17:53Aho
17:52Blake
17:45Ehlers
15:51Stankoven
15:26Jankowski
14:47Hall
14:23Jarvis
13:29Carrier
12:03Martinook
11:30Robinson
10:58Kotkaniemi

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARSEAGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

27–3246%

D 39%7–11N 47%9–10O 50%11–11 11 won into a shot

SEA attacks711CAR DZ 39% SEA OZ

Neutral910CAR NZ 47% SEA NZ

CAR attacks1111CAR OZ 50% SEA DZ

32–2754%

D 50%11–11N 53%10–9O 61%11–7 5 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD1 O4
VälimäkiD1 O3
SlavinD3 O1
ChatfieldD3 O1
WalkerD3 O1
MillerD3 O1
EhlersD1 O5
BlakeD1 O5
SvechnikovD2 O5
JarvisD0 O3
JankowskiD1 O3
StankovenD1 O3
AhoD2 O3
HallD1 O1
CarrierD3 O3
RobinsonD3 O2
KotkaniemiD3 O2
MartinookD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period