BUF @ MTL 1–0 · 2026-10-17

BuffaloBUFSabres1

Live · P1 9:31Oct 172026-10-17

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	1	0	0	4
MTL	0	0	0	0

Centre Bell

MontréalMTLCanadiens0PP 1:56

CallMTL55%mkt 57%-142

Closing linesDraftKings

+120Moneyline-142+1.5 -205Puck line-1.5 +170O -110Total 6.5U -110+170RegulationTie +320 +110+1051st period-135+1951st · 3-wayTie +180 +163

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

56%…Playoffs45%…2.0%…Cup1.2%…

Story

– / 2

LiveCall MTL 55%Market MTL 57%xG 0.66–0.32 · deserved BUF 65%Swing Norris +17 1st 8:21Method

Goals and penalties with MTL win probability
Time	Event	MTL win before	MTL win after
1st 8:21	Goal BUF · J. Norris	55%	38%
1st 10:25	BUF penalty · N. Ostlund · slashing · 2 min

On ice · now

Line-up as of 1st 10:25 · live shifts trail the play

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20J. KulichC	0:06	1:57	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
86N. OstlundC	1:10	3:31	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-1
22J. QuinnR	1:10	3:44	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
44D. GilbertD	1:10	3:21	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
46L. CrevierD	1:10	3:13	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	–
1U. LuukkonenG		10:25	SA0GA0SV%–xGA0.32GSAx+0.32

MTL4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71J. EvansC	1:10	2:57	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-0
77K. DachC	1:10	2:56	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–
91O. KapanenC	1:10	2:57	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
72A. XhekajD	0:04	2:46	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
32J. FowlerG		10:25	SA4GA1SV%.750xGA0.66GSAx−0.34

Goals

1st
Josh Norris(1)
K. Helenius (1)
xG 0.53snap
1–0 BUF1st 08:21+17.062%

Shots

Shooters

BUF0.66 xG4 unblocked · 3 blocked4 unblocked · 3 blocked

MTL0.32 xG3 unblocked · 5 blocked3 unblocked · 5 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFMTL1Goals00.66xG0.324Shots04Unblocked37Attempts81High danger00/0Power play0/04Faceoffs64Hits75Blocks30Takeaways02Giveaways32PIM0

Skaters

Player

Player
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	4:09	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	—	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	3:44	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	—	0	0
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	3:44	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	100%	0	0
8O. ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerD	3:40	0	0	0	1	3	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	—	0	+1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	3:31	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0%	2	0
44D. GilbertDennis GilbertD	3:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	—	0	0
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	3:20	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	—	0	0
46L. CrevierLouis CrevierD	3:13	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	3	1	—	0	0
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	3:06	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	—	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	2:55	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	—	0	0
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	2:39	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	75%	0	0
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	2:37	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	—	0	0
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	2:19	1	0	1	3	3	0.62	+0.38	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
94K. HeleniusKonsta HeleniusC	2:16	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	—	0	+1
20J. KulichJiri KulichC	1:57	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	—	0	+1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	1:56	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0%	0	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	1:51	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	—	0	0
15J. DanforthJustin DanforthR	1:47	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0%	0	0
BUF total		1	1	2	4	7	0.66	+0.34	4	5	1	40%	2

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Norris+0.81

Helenius+0.63

Kulich+0.07

Malenstyn−0.04

Danforth−0.04

Krebs−0.04

Benson−0.09

Quinn−0.10

McLeod−0.11

Thompson−0.11

Doan−0.11

Ostlund−0.28

Defence

Crevier+0.20

Zellweger+0.12

Samuelsson+0.03

Power+0.02

Metsa−0.04

Gilbert−0.07

Goalie

Luukkonen+0.32

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
McLeod·Thompson·Doan	2:31	4	2	3	40.0%	0	0	0.00	0.27	0.0%	−0.27	0	0	—
Benson·Ostlund·Quinn	2:13	3	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Norris·Kulich·Helenius	1:49	3	2	2	50.0%	2	1	0.62	0.05	92.8%	+0.57	1	0	100%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Danforth	1:34	3	0	0	—	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 13 brief groups	1:08		2	0	100.0%	2	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04
BUF 5v5	9:15		7	6	53.8%	4	1	0.66	0.32	67.3%	+0.34

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 10:25

Saves: 0/0
SV%: —
GAA: 0.00
xGA: 0.32
GSAx: +0.32

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	0/0	—	0.32	+0.32
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Jacob Fowler

MTL · 10:25

Saves: 3/4
SV%: .750
GAA: 5.76
xGA: 0.66
GSAx: −0.34

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	3/4	.750	0.66	−0.34
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.53	−0.47

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

4:09Samuelsson
3:40Zellweger
3:21Gilbert
3:20Metsa
3:13Crevier
3:06Power

3:44Quinn
3:44Benson
3:31Ostlund
2:55Doan
2:39McLeod
2:37Thompson
2:19Norris
2:16Helenius
1:57Kulich
1:56Krebs
1:51Malenstyn
1:47Danforth

Matchups

Now

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFMTLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

4–640%

D 0%0–2N 60%3–2O 33%1–2 0 won into a shot

MTL attacks02BUF DZ 0% MTL OZ

Neutral32BUF NZ 60% MTL NZ

BUF attacks12BUF OZ 33% MTL DZ

6–460%

D 67%2–1N 40%2–3O 100%2–0 0 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GilbertD0 O1
CrevierD0 O1
SamuelssonD0 O0
ZellwegerD0 O0
PowerD1 O0
MetsaD1 O0
QuinnD0 O1
KulichD0 O1
OstlundD0 O1
BensonD0 O1
HeleniusD0 O1
MalenstynD0 O0
ThompsonD0 O0
DanforthD0 O0
NorrisD0 O0
McLeodD0 O0
KrebsD0 O0
DoanD0 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period