CAR @ WPG 3–2 · 2026-10-17

CarolinaCARHurricanes3

FinalOct 172026-10-17

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	0	2	1	37
WPG	0	2	0	23

Canada Life Centre

WinnipegWPGJets2

CallCAR63%mkt 65%-205Hit

Star 1N. Ehlers1G 0A
Star 2M. Scheifele1G 0A
Star 3S. Gostisbehere0G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

-205Moneyline+170-1.5 +130Puck line+1.5 -155O +110Total 6.5U -130-120RegulationTie +330 +225-1651st period+125+1421st · 3-wayTie +180 +225

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

97%…Playoffs28%…15%…Cup0.1%…

Story

– / 10

Result CAR 3–2Call CAR 63% Market CAR 65%xG 3.35–2.64 · deserved CAR 62%Swing Ehlers +28 3rd 6:43Method

Goals and penalties with WPG win probability
Time	Event	WPG win before	WPG win after
1st 8:11	WPG penalty · N. Pionk · interference · 2 min
1st 8:11	CAR penalty · W. Carrier · embellishment · 2 min
1st 16:52	CAR penalty · S. Aho · tripping · 2 min
2nd 4:23	Goal WPG · M. Scheifele	40%	61%
2nd 6:33	WPG penalty · V. Björck · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 8:19	Goal CAR · M. Jankowski (PP)	63%	40%
2nd 10:59	Goal WPG · A. Iafallo	41%	64%
2nd 16:50	Goal CAR · J. Kotkaniemi	67%	42%
3rd 4:49	WPG penalty · D. DeMelo · tripping · 2 min
3rd 6:43	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers (PP)	43%	15%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	1:19	20:51	24	0	0	0	0	3	2	1	0	9-9
48J. MartinookL	0:39	13:46	22	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	1	2-0
77M. JankowskiL	0:39	13:07	22	1	0	1	4	6	0	0	0	10-7
5J. ChatfieldD	0:39	20:28	25	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	–
74J. SlavinD	0:39	22:02	26	0	0	0	3	5	0	1	4	–
52P. KochetkovG		60:00	SA23GA2SV%.913xGA2.64GSAx+0.64

WPG6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13G. VilardiC	1:00	18:47	19	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	2	3-1
17A. LowryC	0:08	15:04	22	0	1	1	2	5	0	4	2	10-7
55M. ScheifeleC	1:26	19:19	20	1	0	1	3	4	0	1	1	4-10
91C. PerfettiC	1:07	16:42	20	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	1-0
81K. ConnorL	1:19	20:12	22	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	2	–
4N. PionkD	0:39	23:21	29	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	1	–

Goals

2nd
Mark Scheifele(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.17backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 WPG2nd 04:23+20.961%
Mark Jankowski(1)PP
L. Stankoven (1), B. Nadeau (1)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 08:19+22.160%
Alex Iafallo(1)
A. Lowry (1)
xG 0.19tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 WPG2nd 10:59+23.164%
Jesperi Kotkaniemi(1)
S. Gostisbehere (1), E. Robinson (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 16:50+25.658%
3rd
Nikolaj Ehlers(1)PP
S. Gostisbehere (2)
xG 0.11slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR3rd 06:43+28.085%

Shots

Shooters

CAR3.35 xG52 unblocked · 22 blocked52 unblocked · 22 blocked

WPG2.64 xG38 unblocked · 12 blocked38 unblocked · 12 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARWPG3Goals23.35xG2.6437Shots2352Unblocked3874Attempts503High danger52/2Power play0/132Faceoffs2621Hits3312Blocks226Takeaways414Giveaways154PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	23:00	0	0	0	2	3	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	22:47	0	0	0	2	6	0.06	−0.06	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	22:02	0	0	0	3	5	0.09	−0.09	1	4	1	0	—	0	0
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	20:51	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	50%	2	-1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	20:28	0	0	0	4	6	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	2	—	0	-1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	20:09	0	0	0	4	8	0.66	−0.66	0	0	2	0	—	0	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	18:39	0	0	0	2	6	0.13	−0.13	3	0	0	1	0%	0	-1
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	17:07	0	1	1	5	8	0.26	−0.26	0	0	1	1	60%	0	0
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	15:54	1	0	1	1	3	0.22	+0.78	0	0	0	1	100%	0	-1
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	15:47	0	2	2	3	6	0.14	−0.14	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
29B. NadeauBradly NadeauL	15:17	0	1	1	1	3	0.18	−0.18	3	0	1	2	—	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	14:50	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	−0.14	5	1	0	0	—	2	-1
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	13:46	0	0	0	2	5	0.45	−0.45	0	1	0	0	100%	0	-1
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	13:07	1	0	1	4	6	0.51	+0.49	0	0	0	0	59%	0	-1
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	12:22	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	10:34	0	1	1	1	1	0.03	−0.03	2	0	0	1	0%	0	+1
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	10:00	1	0	1	1	1	0.09	+0.91	3	0	0	0	33%	0	+1
36F. Unger SörumFelix Unger SörumR	9:20	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	0	1	1	0	100%	0	+1
CAR total		3	5	8	37	74	3.35	−0.35	21	10	6	13	55%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Jankowski+0.53

Kotkaniemi+0.49

Stankoven+0.49

Ehlers+0.34

Blake−0.06

Robinson−0.08

Unger Sörum−0.10

Nadeau−0.17

Martinook−0.18

Carrier−0.24

Svechnikov−0.49

Aho−0.69

Defence

Gostisbehere+0.73

Slavin+0.29

Chatfield−0.11

Reilly−0.20

Miller−0.23

Walker−0.25

Goalie

Kochetkov+0.66

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Carrier·Aho·Svechnikov	12:33	19	17	7	70.8%	6	3	0	1	0.41	0.33	55.7%	+0.08	8	1	89%
Nadeau·Stankoven·Blake	12:06	15	16	8	66.7%	11	3	0	0	0.69	0.37	65.0%	+0.32	1	2	33%
Ehlers·Martinook·Jankowski	9:01	17	12	13	48.0%	8	7	0	1	0.59	0.66	47.0%	−0.08	2	2	50%
Robinson·Kotkaniemi·Unger Sörum	7:03	11	6	2	75.0%	4	0	1	0	0.19	0.00	100.0%	+0.19	3	0	100%
Occasional · 8 groups
Ehlers·Aho·Svechnikov	1:11	4	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.44	0.0%	−0.44	0	0	—
Ehlers·Martinook·Aho	0:59	4	2	1	66.7%	0	0	0	0	0.27	0.01	94.7%	+0.25	0	0	—
Nadeau·Aho·Blake	0:54	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	0	—
Nadeau·Stankoven·Unger Sörum	0:50	4	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Robinson·Stankoven·Blake	0:43	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Stankoven·Kotkaniemi·Blake	0:42	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	2	0%
Carrier·Martinook·Kotkaniemi	0:37	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Robinson·Jankowski·Blake	0:34	1	3	0	100.0%	3	0	0	0	0.17	0.00	100.0%	+0.17	0	0	—
Other 35 brief groups	4:07		2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01
CAR 5v5	51:20		60	37	61.9%	32	16	1	2	2.32	1.94	54.4%	+0.38

Goalies

Pyotr Kochetkov

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 21/23
SV%: .913
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 2.64
GSAx: +0.64

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/21	.905	2.51	+0.51
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.11	+0.11
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.02	+0.02
High danger	1/3	.333	1.18	−0.82

Clay Stevenson

WPG · 59:00

Saves: 34/37
SV%: .919
GAA: 3.05
xGA: 3.35
GSAx: +0.35

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	32/33	.970	2.76	+1.76
Power play	2/4	.500	0.58	−1.42
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.74	−0.26

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

23:00Miller
22:47Walker
22:02Slavin
20:28Chatfield
15:47Gostisbehere
12:22Reilly

20:51Aho
20:09Blake
18:39Svechnikov
17:07Stankoven
15:54Ehlers
15:17Nadeau
14:50Carrier
13:46Martinook
13:07Jankowski
10:34Robinson
10:00Kotkaniemi
9:20Unger Sörum

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARWPGGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

32–2655%

D 53%9–8N 40%6–9O 65%17–9 9 won into a shot

WPG attacks98CAR DZ 53% WPG OZ

Neutral69CAR NZ 40% WPG NZ

CAR attacks179CAR OZ 65% WPG DZ

26–3245%

D 35%9–17N 60%9–6O 47%8–9 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD1 O6
ReillyD1 O4
SlavinD3 O3
ChatfieldD3 O2
WalkerD5 O4
MillerD5 O4
SvechnikovD1 O10
AhoD1 O9
CarrierD1 O7
Unger SörumD0 O4
RobinsonD0 O3
EhlersD2 O4
KotkaniemiD2 O3
NadeauD2 O2
StankovenD4 O2
BlakeD3 O1
JankowskiD6 O3
MartinookD6 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period