VGK @ MIN 2–4 · 2026-10-12

VegasVGKGolden Knights2

FinalOct 122026-10-12

Team	1	2	3	SOG
VGK	0	1	1	23
MIN	3	0	1	28

Grand Casino Arena

MinnesotaMINWild4

CallNo lean · 49% MIN

Star 1M. Boldy1G 0A
Star 2J. Wallstedt.913 SV%
Star 3K. Kaprizov0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-108Moneyline-112+1.5 -285Puck line-1.5 +230O +114Total 6.5U -135+135RegulationTie +310 +140-1151st period-115+1801st · 3-wayTie +173 +183

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

98%…Playoffs88%…12%…Cup3.6%…

Story

– / 14

Result MIN 4–2Call No lean · VGK 51%Market MIN 51%xG 2.79–4.52 · deserved MIN 76%Swing Boldy +18 1st 11:50Method

Goals and penalties with MIN win probability
Time	Event	MIN win before	MIN win after
1st 6:42	MIN penalty · D. Yurov · hooking · 2 min
1st 11:50	Goal MIN · M. Boldy	49%	67%
1st 14:15	VGK penalty · D. Coghlan · tripping · 2 min
1st 14:32	Goal MIN · M. Shabanov (PP)	67%	82%
1st 16:57	Goal MIN · D. Yurov	82%	92%
1st 18:14	MIN penalty · J. Wallstedt · tripping · 2 min
2nd 2:37	Goal VGK · R. Andersson	93%	84%
2nd 11:14	MIN penalty · B. Coleman · slashing · 2 min
3rd 2:36	MIN penalty · R. Lorenz · fighting · 5 min
3rd 2:36	VGK penalty · J. Lauzon · fighting · 5 min
3rd 9:25	Goal VGK · W. Karlsson	96%	83%
3rd 9:25	MIN penalty · D. Yurov · delaying game face off violation · 2 min
3rd 18:38	Goal MIN · J. Eriksson Ek (EN)	97%	100%
3rd 19:05	MIN penalty · B. Coleman · tripping · 2 min

On ice · final horn

VGK6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
9J. EichelC	0:55	21:24	20	0	0	2	5	0	1	4-6
48T. HertlC	0:55	18:53	17	1	1	0	3	3	0	6-8
24T. ConnellyL	1:22	18:32	17	0	0	0	5	0	0	0-1
61M. StoneR	0:55	20:03	21	0	0	2	3	0	0	–
93M. MarnerR	0:55	21:30	20	1	1	2	4	1	1	–
27S. TheodoreD	0:55	22:24	25	0	0	1	7	0	1	–

MIN4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13Y. TreninC	0:55	12:34	15	0	0	0	2	7	0	5	0	1-0
47M. McCarronC	1:22	16:58	19	0	0	0	3	7	0	4	3	6-11
3O. MaattaD	1:22	25:16	23	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	4	–
46J. SpurgeonD	1:30	23:32	26	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	3	–
30J. WallstedtG		60:00	SA23GA2SV%.913xGA2.79GSAx+0.79

Goals

1st
Matt Boldy(1)
O. Maatta (1), Q. Hughes (1)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 MIN1st 11:50+17.667%
Maxim Shabanov(1)PP
Q. Hughes (2)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 MIN1st 14:32+14.582%
Danila Yurov(1)
B. Brink (1), R. Lorenz (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 MIN1st 16:57+9.492%
2nd
Rasmus Andersson(1)
T. Hertl (1), R. Lavoie (1)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 MIN2nd 02:37+9.016%
3rd
William Karlsson(1)
B. Howden (1), M. Marner (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 MIN3rd 09:25+13.517%
Joel Eriksson Ek(1)EN
K. Kaprizov (1)
xG 0.56wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 MIN3rd 18:38+2.8100%

Shots

VGK2.79 xG44 unblocked · 19 blocked44 unblocked · 19 blocked

MIN4.52 xG48 unblocked · 16 blocked48 unblocked · 16 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

VGKMIN2Goals42.79xG4.5223Shots2844Unblocked4863Attempts645High danger90/5Power play1/130Faceoffs2819Hits1816Blocks193Takeaways611Giveaways137PIM15

Skaters

Player

Player
27S. TheodoreShea TheodoreD	22:24	0	0	0	1	7	0.15	−0.15	0	1	0	3	—	0	-1
15N. HanifinNoah HanifinD	22:04	0	0	0	0	5	0.11	−0.11	0	4	1	2	—	0	-2
93M. MarnerMitch MarnerR	21:30	0	1	1	2	4	0.14	−0.14	1	1	1	0	—	0	-1
9J. EichelJack EichelC	21:24	0	0	0	2	5	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	1	40%	0	-1
61M. StoneMark StoneR	20:03	0	0	0	2	3	0.27	−0.27	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
48T. HertlTomas HertlC	18:53	0	1	1	0	3	0.20	−0.20	3	0	0	0	43%	0	-1
24T. ConnellyTrevor ConnellyL	18:32	0	0	0	0	5	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	2	0%	0	0
3B. McNabbBrayden McNabbD	17:37	0	0	0	2	4	0.11	−0.11	3	1	0	1	—	0	0
4R. AnderssonRasmus AnderssonD	17:23	1	0	1	4	7	0.10	+0.90	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
49I. BarbashevIvan BarbashevL	17:17	0	0	0	1	4	0.49	−0.49	0	2	0	1	0%	0	0
71W. KarlssonWilliam KarlssonC	17:11	1	0	1	3	5	0.48	+0.52	0	2	0	0	79%	0	-1
21B. HowdenBrett HowdenC	15:18	0	1	1	3	3	0.37	−0.37	1	0	0	1	0%	0	0
42B. BowmanBraeden BowmanR	14:20	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
5J. LauzonJeremy LauzonD	13:09	0	0	0	2	3	0.00	−0.00	0	0	0	0	—	5	+1
52D. CoghlanDylan CoghlanD	12:08	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	2	1	0	—	2	+2
26N. DowdNic DowdC	11:38	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	−0.05	4	0	0	0	53%	0	0
36R. LavoieRaphael LavoieC	10:53	0	1	1	1	1	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
17M. GatcombMarc GatcombC	9:43	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	0	—	0	0
VGK total		2	4	6	23	63	2.79	−0.79	19	16	3	11	52%	7

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Karlsson+0.59

Howden+0.24

Hertl+0.13

Barbashev+0.06

Connelly−0.06

Gatcomb−0.07

Lavoie−0.17

Marner−0.26

Eichel−0.33

Stone−0.37

Dowd−0.42

Bowman−0.43

Defence

Andersson+0.33

Hanifin+0.05

Theodore−0.07

McNabb−0.10

Coghlan−0.12

Lauzon−0.22

Goalie

Hart+0.54

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Howden·Karlsson·Marner	11:28	14	15	15	50.0%	9	5	1	1	0.83	0.81	50.5%	+0.02	2	4	33%
Barbashev·Eichel·Stone	9:11	14	9	6	60.0%	0	5	0	0	0.42	0.15	73.2%	+0.27	2	1	67%
Connelly·Lavoie·Hertl	8:02	11	7	8	46.7%	3	2	1	1	0.18	0.37	32.2%	−0.20	1	0	100%
Gatcomb·Dowd·Bowman	7:26	12	5	10	33.3%	2	3	0	0	0.07	0.65	9.4%	−0.59	0	4	0%
Occasional · 9 groups
Barbashev·Karlsson·Bowman	3:03	3	5	2	71.4%	0	1	0	0	0.25	0.18	57.7%	+0.07	0	0	—
Connelly·Eichel·Stone	1:22	2	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.01	62.8%	+0.01	0	1	0%
Howden·Dowd·Lavoie	1:05	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
Gatcomb·Howden·Dowd	1:03	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	1	0%
Barbashev·Dowd·Bowman	0:40	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Barbashev·Eichel·Gatcomb	0:35	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.19	0.00	100.0%	+0.19	0	0	—
Eichel·Howden·Marner	0:34	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	0	—
Barbashev·Hertl·Bowman	0:31	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Barbashev·Eichel·Lavoie	0:30	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 36 brief groups	4:29		4	3	57.1%	2	1	0	0	0.03	0.18	15.1%	−0.15
VGK 5v5	49:59		48	51	48.5%	18	19	2	2	1.98	2.77	41.7%	−0.79

Goalies

Carter Hart

VGK · 58:16

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
xGA: 3.51
GSAx: +0.51

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/19	.895	2.77	+0.77
Power play	1/2	.500	0.15	−0.85
Shorthanded	6/6	1.000	0.60	+0.60
High danger	2/4	.500	1.42	−0.58

Jesper Wallstedt

MIN · 60:00

Saves: 21/23
SV%: .913
xGA: 2.79
GSAx: +0.79

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	2.06	+0.06
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.74	+0.74
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	0.89	−0.11

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Vegas Golden Knights

Minutes

22:24Theodore
22:04Hanifin
17:37McNabb
17:23Andersson
13:09Lauzon
12:08Coghlan

21:30Marner
21:24Eichel
20:03Stone
18:53Hertl
18:32Connelly
17:17Barbashev
17:11Karlsson
15:18Howden
14:20Bowman
11:38Dowd
10:53Lavoie
9:43Gatcomb

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareVGKMINGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–2852%

D 50%11–11N 44%7–9O 60%12–8 5 won into a shot

MIN attacks1111VGK DZ 50% MIN OZ

Neutral79VGK NZ 44% MIN NZ

VGK attacks128VGK OZ 60% MIN DZ

28–3048%

D 40%8–12N 56%9–7O 50%11–11 10 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

TheodoreD3 O4
McNabbD3 O3
CoghlanD2 O1
HanifinD6 O4
AnderssonD5 O3
LauzonD5 O1
HertlD0 O5
StoneD2 O6
MarnerD3 O6
EichelD2 O4
ConnellyD1 O3
BarbashevD2 O3
LavoieD0 O1
KarlssonD5 O2
HowdenD5 O2
BowmanD5 O1
GatcombD5 O0
DowdD6 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period