PHI @ TBL 1–4 · 2026-10-05

PhiladelphiaPHIFlyers1

FinalOct 52026-10-05

Team	1	2	3	SOG
PHI	0	1	0	15
TBL	1	1	2	36

Benchmark International Arena

Tampa BayTBLLightning4

CallNo lean · 67% TBL

Star 1P. Holmberg1G 1A
Star 2I. Mikheyev1G 1A
Star 3A. Vasilevskiy.933 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

+180Moneyline-218+1.5 -135Puck line-1.5 +114O -122Total 5.5U +102+270RegulationTie +330 -135

Season odds

20%7.3%−12.6Playoffs89%94%+4.90.3%0.0%−0.3Cup10%14%+3.6

Story

– / 13

Result TBL 4–1Call No lean · TBL 67%Market TBL 67%xG 1.95–5.30 · deserved TBL 93%Swing Point +16 1st 16:05Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 5:35	PHI penalty · O. Tippett · tripping · 2 min
1st 12:06	PHI penalty · T. Zegras · high sticking · 2 min
1st 16:05	Goal TBL · B. Point	65%	81%
2nd 0:17	Goal TBL · P. Holmberg	81%	92%
2nd 7:22	Goal PHI · T. Foerster	93%	82%
2nd 9:57	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:27	TBL penalty · A. Cirelli · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 2:20	PHI penalty · S. Benoit · fighting · 5 min
3rd 2:20	TBL penalty · J. Viel · fighting · 5 min
3rd 3:10	PHI penalty · M. Michkov · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 13:33	TBL penalty · B. Hagel · elbowing · 2 min
3rd 17:00	Goal TBL · I. Mikheyev	96%	99%
3rd 19:53	Goal TBL · B. Hagel (EN)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

PHI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22C. DvorakC	0:07	14:24	19	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	7-9
27N. CatesL	0:07	11:12	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	7-4
74O. TippettR	0:07	13:58	21	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	2	–
5D. JiricekD	0:07	17:42	26	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	–
24N. SeelerD	0:07	19:36	24	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	2	–
80D. VladarG		57:24	SA35GA3SV%.914xGA3.80GSAx+0.80

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
93G. GoncalvesC	0:07	16:12	20	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	–
94C. GeekieC	0:07	11:47	14	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	3-8
25J. VielL	0:07	8:49	12	0	0	0	1	2	5	1	0	–
24M. CrozierD	0:07	15:24	20	0	0	0	2	4	0	3	1	–
51C. D'AstousD	0:07	10:56	17	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	1	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA15GA1SV%.933xGA1.95GSAx+0.95

Goals

1st
Brayden Point(1)
J. Carlson (1), N. Kucherov (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TBL1st 16:05+15.981%
2nd
Pontus Holmberg(1)
I. Mikheyev (1), Z. Girgensons (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 TBL2nd 00:17+10.592%
Tyson Foerster(1)
N. Seeler (1), S. Couturier (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 TBL2nd 07:22+10.918%
3rd
Ilya Mikheyev(1)
P. Holmberg (1)
xG 0.04wrap-aroundClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 TBL3rd 17:00+4.099%
Brandon Hagel(1)EN
N. Kucherov (2)
xG 0.98wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 TBL3rd 19:53+0.099%

Shots

PHI1.95 xG25 unblocked · 12 blocked25 unblocked · 12 blocked

TBL5.30 xG51 unblocked · 19 blocked51 unblocked · 19 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

PHITBL1Goals41.95xG5.3015Shots3625Unblocked5137Attempts702High danger100/3Power play0/334Faceoffs2923Hits1519Blocks125Takeaways316Giveaways1011PIM11

Skaters

Player

Player
6T. SanheimTravis SanheimD	25:04	0	0	0	2	2	0.05	−0.05	0	5	1	2	—	0	-2
8C. YorkCam YorkD	23:31	0	0	0	2	3	0.10	−0.10	1	2	0	0	—	0	-3
24N. SeelerNick SeelerD	19:36	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	2	1	1	—	0	+1
11T. KonecnyTravis KonecnyR	19:05	0	0	0	2	4	0.22	−0.22	0	0	0	1	—	0	-2
71T. FoersterTyson FoersterR	18:55	1	0	1	4	9	0.55	+0.45	1	1	0	0	—	0	-3
46T. ZegrasTrevor ZegrasC	18:19	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	−0.22	0	1	0	0	42%	2	-2
9J. DrysdaleJamie DrysdaleD	18:10	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	1	1	—	0	-1
5D. JiricekDavid JiricekD	17:42	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
39M. MichkovMatvei MichkovR	16:40	0	0	0	1	3	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	1	50%	2	-1
14S. CouturierSean CouturierC	16:35	0	1	1	1	1	0.05	−0.05	3	0	0	2	73%	0	0
94P. MartonePorter MartoneR	14:36	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	0	—	0	-2
22C. DvorakChristian DvorakC	14:24	0	0	0	1	1	0.24	−0.24	2	1	0	1	44%	0	0
74O. TippettOwen TippettR	13:58	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	2	—	2	0
52N. AcciariNoel AcciariC	13:39	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	−0.09	3	0	0	0	50%	0	0
86D. BarkeyDenver BarkeyC	13:06	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	1	1	100%	0	0
44S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	11:52	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	—	5	0
27N. CatesNoah CatesL	11:12	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	64%	0	-1
91C. GrundstromCarl GrundstromR	10:12	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	2	1	1	0	—	0	0
PHI total		1	2	3	15	37	1.95	−0.95	23	19	5	14	54%	11

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Foerster+0.36

Martone+0.01

Grundstrom−0.18

Couturier−0.24

Barkey−0.29

Cates−0.31

Acciari−0.32

Dvorak−0.36

Tippett−0.38

Konecny−0.50

Zegras−0.59

Michkov−0.65

Defence

Seeler+0.24

York+0.02

Jiricek+0.02

Sanheim+0.01

Benoit−0.24

Drysdale−0.29

Goalie

Vladar+0.83

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Couturier·Acciari·Grundstrom	8:36	14	3	9	25.0%	2	4	0	0	0.21	0.30	41.1%	−0.09	0	5	0%
Zegras·Barkey·Tippett	7:38	13	3	11	21.4%	1	5	0	0	0.14	0.35	28.0%	−0.22	3	0	100%
Dvorak·Konecny·Michkov	7:08	11	5	11	31.3%	2	7	0	0	0.24	0.83	22.5%	−0.59	0	4	0%
Cates·Foerster·Martone	6:09	12	5	5	50.0%	1	3	0	1	0.02	0.17	12.4%	−0.15	2	3	40%
Dvorak·Konecny·Martone	3:05	6	4	5	44.4%	2	2	0	0	0.30	0.42	41.7%	−0.12	0	2	0%
Occasional · 8 groups
Zegras·Barkey·Michkov	0:52	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Zegras·Barkey·Foerster	0:52	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Cates·Michkov·Foerster	0:44	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	1	0%
Zegras·Konecny·Michkov	0:41	5	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
Dvorak·Zegras·Tippett	0:41	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Dvorak·Acciari·Konecny	0:35	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Couturier·Konecny·Tippett	0:33	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Couturier·Acciari·Tippett	0:30	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
PHI 5v5	45:24		26	56	31.7%	11	31	1	3	1.27	2.91	30.3%	−1.65

Goalies

Dan Vladar

PHI · 57:24

Saves: 32/35
SV%: .914
xGA: 3.80
GSAx: +0.80

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/31	.903	2.97	−0.03
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.83	+0.83
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	1.61	+1.61

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 14/15
SV%: .933
xGA: 1.95
GSAx: +0.95

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/12	.917	1.31	+0.31
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.46	+0.46
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.17	+0.17
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.41	+0.41

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Philadelphia Flyers

Minutes

25:04Sanheim
23:31York
19:36Seeler
18:10Drysdale
17:42Jiricek
11:52Benoit

19:05Konecny
18:55Foerster
18:19Zegras
16:40Michkov
16:35Couturier
14:36Martone
14:24Dvorak
13:58Tippett
13:39Acciari
13:06Barkey
11:12Cates
10:12Grundstrom

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG sharePHITBL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DrysdaleD6 O6
JiricekD2 O2
BenoitD5 O3
SeelerD5 O1
YorkD6 O2
SanheimD8 O1
ZegrasD0 O4
BarkeyD0 O4
TippettD1 O4
MartoneD4 O4
CatesD3 O2
FoersterD4 O3
MichkovD3 O2
KonecnyD6 O3
GrundstromD5 O0
DvorakD6 O0
CouturierD10 O1
AcciariD9 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period