BUF @ NYR 5–3 · 2026-04-08

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	2	0	3	27
NYR	1	2	0	20

Story

– / 15

Result BUF 5–3Call No lean · NYR 59%Market BUF 57%xG 3.45–1.97 · deserved BUF 75%Swing Zucker +30 3rd 7:14Method

Goals and penalties with NYR win probability
Time	Event	NYR win before	NYR win after
1st 4:40	Goal BUF · R. McLeod	58%	42%
1st 8:58	Goal BUF · Z. Benson	41%	26%
1st 18:24	BUF penalty · R. McLeod · tripping · 2 min
1st 19:21	Goal NYR · A. Lafrenière (PP)	21%	37%
2nd 0:23	NYR penalty · A. Fox · tripping · 2 min
2nd 2:57	Goal NYR · A. Lafrenière	36%	55%
2nd 14:14	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · hooking · 2 min
2nd 14:44	Goal NYR · A. Fox (PP)	54%	75%
2nd 16:31	NYR penalty · V. Trocheck · slashing · 2 min
2nd 17:35	NYR penalty · V. Gavrikov · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 5:51	Goal BUF · A. Tuch	80%	52%
3rd 7:14	Goal BUF · J. Zucker	52%	22%
3rd 10:00	NYR penalty · W. Borgen · holding the stick · 2 min
3rd 10:44	BUF penalty · J. Norris · hooking · 2 min
3rd 18:45	Goal BUF · Z. Benson (EN)	4%	1%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71R. McLeodC	0:37	17:10	21	1	1	2	2	3	2	0	1	8-5
17J. ZuckerL	0:08	18:14	20	1	1	2	4	5	0	0	1	1-1
22J. QuinnR	0:08	19:24	21	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	–
4B. ByramD	1:15	22:07	23	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	1	–
21C. TimminsD	1:15	16:26	19	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	4	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA20GA3SV%.850xGA1.97GSAx−1.03

NYR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
42N. LabaC	0:08	13:33	21	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	6-2
38A. SykoraL	0:08	11:16	15	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	–
49J. ChmelarR	0:08	11:15	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	–
4B. SchneiderD	0:08	22:35	27	0	0	0	3	5	0	5	2	–
17W. BorgenD	0:08	15:24	24	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	–
31I. ShesterkinG		58:27	SA26GA4SV%.846xGA2.99GSAx−1.01

Goals

1st
Ryan McLeod(1)
J. Zucker (1), C. Timmins (1)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 04:40+15.858%
Zach Benson(1)
R. Dahlin (1), B. Byram (1)
xG 0.13deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 BUF1st 08:58+15.274%
Alexis Lafrenière(1)PP
A. Fox (1), J. Miller (1)
xG 0.06tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 BUF1st 19:21+16.037%
2nd
Alexis Lafrenière(2)
D. Fortescue (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 02:57+19.255%
Adam Fox(1)PP
V. Trocheck (1), M. Zibanejad (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 NYR2nd 14:44+21.375%
3rd
Alex Tuch(1)
P. Krebs (1), T. Thompson (1)
xG 0.09deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 05:51+27.348%
Jason Zucker(1)
R. McLeod (1)
xG 0.29wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 BUF3rd 07:14+30.478%
Zach Benson(2)EN
J. Doan (1), J. Norris (1)
xG 0.46wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 BUF3rd 18:45+3.099%

Shots

BUF3.45 xG41 unblocked · 11 blocked41 unblocked · 11 blocked

NYR1.97 xG29 unblocked · 24 blocked29 unblocked · 24 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFNYR5Goals33.45xG1.9727Shots2041Unblocked2952Attempts536High danger30/4Power play2/323Faceoffs2919Hits2624Blocks116Takeaways417Giveaways126PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	24:30	0	1	1	2	7	0.19	−0.19	0	1	1	3	—	0	+2
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	22:18	0	1	1	2	6	0.47	−0.47	1	1	0	0	63%	0	+1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	22:07	0	1	1	2	4	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	20:39	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	3	1	0	3	—	0	+1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	20:09	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	1	1	2	—	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	19:24	0	0	0	1	3	0.24	−0.24	0	0	1	0	—	0	+2
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	19:05	1	0	1	1	3	0.18	+0.82	0	2	1	0	63%	0	+1
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	18:14	1	1	2	4	5	0.63	+0.37	0	1	0	0	50%	0	+2
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	17:10	1	1	2	2	3	0.15	+0.85	0	1	0	1	62%	2	+1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	16:26	0	1	1	1	3	0.01	−0.01	0	4	0	2	—	0	+2
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	15:04	0	1	1	2	2	0.07	−0.07	3	1	0	1	0%	2	+1
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	14:46	0	1	1	2	3	0.35	−0.35	0	2	0	0	22%	2	+2
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	13:08	0	1	1	1	2	0.18	−0.18	0	0	1	2	—	0	+1
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	12:59	2	0	2	3	3	0.74	+1.26	0	1	1	0	—	0	+1
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	10:50	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	2	0	0	25%	0	0
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	10:37	0	0	0	3	4	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	1	—	0	+1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	10:15	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	5	0	0	0	—	0	0
70T. PearsonTanner PearsonL	8:52	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
BUF total		5	9	14	27	52	3.45	+1.55	19	19	6	15	44%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Zucker+1.31

McLeod+0.86

Tuch+0.53

Benson+0.51

Doan+0.28

Krebs+0.11

Thompson+0.02

Norris−0.06

Malenstyn−0.08

Quinn−0.22

Pearson−0.23

Kozak−0.24

Defence

Dahlin+0.48

Timmins+0.35

Byram+0.15

Kesselring−0.11

Samuelsson−0.15

Power−0.22

Goalie

Luukkonen−1.02

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	13:06	18	14	10	58.3%	8	3	1	0	0.67	0.43	61.3%	+0.25	3	1	75%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	11:27	17	9	9	50.0%	5	3	2	0	0.60	0.16	78.8%	+0.44	3	1	75%
Benson·Norris·Doan	8:18	13	8	13	38.1%	6	6	1	0	0.72	0.48	60.0%	+0.24	1	2	33%
Malenstyn·Pearson·Kozak	7:26	12	4	8	33.3%	1	2	0	0	0.04	0.22	16.0%	−0.18	0	1	0%
Occasional · 4 groups
Malenstyn·Pearson·Thompson	0:46	6	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	0:41	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·McLeod·Doan	0:37	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Benson·Kozak·Quinn	0:37	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	49:12		41	43	48.8%	22	15	4	1	2.09	1.40	59.8%	+0.69

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 17/20
SV%: .850
xGA: 1.97
GSAx: −1.03

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/17	.941	1.64	+0.64
Power play	0/2	.000	0.15	−1.85
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.58	+0.58

Igor Shesterkin

NYR · 58:27

Saves: 22/26
SV%: .846
xGA: 2.99
GSAx: −1.01

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/22	.818	2.09	−1.91
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.89	+0.89
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/5	.800	1.01	+0.01

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

24:30Dahlin
22:07Byram
20:39Samuelsson
20:09Power
16:26Timmins
10:37Kesselring

22:18Thompson
19:24Quinn
19:05Tuch
18:14Zucker
17:10McLeod
15:04Krebs
14:46Norris
13:08Doan
12:59Benson
10:50Kozak
10:15Malenstyn
8:52Pearson

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFNYR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

KesselringD0 O2
DahlinD3 O4
ByramD4 O3
PowerD4 O3
TimminsD3 O1
SamuelssonD4 O2
ZuckerD1 O6
QuinnD1 O6
ThompsonD1 O5
KrebsD1 O3
NorrisD2 O3
McLeodD2 O3
KozakD1 O1
BensonD2 O2
PearsonD1 O0
TuchD5 O4
DoanD2 O1
MalenstynD3 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period