BUF @ OTT 1–4 · 2026-04-02

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	0	1	0	22
OTT	0	1	3	24

Story

– / 12

Result OTT 4–1Call No lean · OTT 52%Market OTT 52%xG 2.18–3.32 · deserved OTT 70%Swing Eller +28 3rd 5:55Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 3:39	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · holding · 2 min
1st 9:59	OTT penalty · B. Tkachuk · slashing · 2 min
1st 12:36	OTT penalty · J. Spence · interference · 2 min
1st 17:09	BUF penalty · L. Stanley · fighting · 5 min
1st 17:09	OTT penalty · B. Tkachuk · fighting · 5 min
2nd 8:49	Goal BUF · M. Samuelsson	51%	32%
2nd 11:01	BUF penalty · R. McLeod · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 15:18	Goal OTT · D. Cozens	29%	51%
3rd 5:55	Goal OTT · L. Eller	51%	79%
3rd 17:42	Goal OTT · R. Greig (EN)	94%	100%
3rd 18:42	Goal OTT · S. Pinto (EN)	100%	100%
3rd 18:42	BUF penalty · J. Norris · abuse of officials · 10 min

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:34	12:16	18	0	1	1	2	3	0	4	1	1-2
6Z. BensonL	0:34	17:35	25	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	0	1-0
91J. DoanR	0:30	18:25	23	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	1	–
64L. StanleyD	1:18	13:30	17	0	0	0	2	3	5	3	0	–
73Z. MetsaD	1:18	16:04	18	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	–
1U. LuukkonenG		58:42	SA22GA2SV%.909xGA2.36GSAx+0.36

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
12S. PintoC	0:36	20:10	24	1	0	1	3	5	0	1	0	3-2
21N. CousinsC	0:05	10:25	14	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	–
22M. AmadioR	0:34	18:53	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-1
5C. CrottyD	0:40	13:37	21	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	–
10J. SpenceD	0:37	30:48	36	0	1	1	2	9	2	2	3	–
35L. UllmarkG		60:00	SA22GA1SV%.955xGA2.18GSAx+1.18

Goals

2nd
Mattias Samuelsson(1)
B. Byram (1), P. Krebs (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF2nd 08:49+19.968%
Dylan Cozens(1)
B. Tkachuk (1), R. Greig (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 15:18+22.151%
3rd
Lars Eller(1)
A. Zub (1), W. Foegele (1)
xG 0.12slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 OTT3rd 05:55+27.579%
Ridly Greig(1)EN
J. Spence (1)
xG 0.46wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 OTT3rd 17:42+5.5100%
Shane Pinto(1)EN
Unassisted
xG 0.49wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 OTT3rd 18:42+0.0100%

Shots

BUF2.18 xG36 unblocked · 10 blocked36 unblocked · 10 blocked

OTT3.32 xG38 unblocked · 16 blocked38 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFOTT1Goals42.18xG3.3222Shots2436Unblocked3846Attempts540High danger50/2Power play0/229Faceoffs2824Hits3216Blocks104Takeaways314Giveaways1319PIM9

Skaters

Player

Player
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	22:58	0	1	1	1	2	0.22	−0.22	0	3	0	0	—	0	-1
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	22:37	0	0	0	2	4	0.14	−0.14	0	1	0	2	—	0	-2
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	20:49	1	0	1	2	4	0.13	+0.87	3	1	0	1	—	0	0
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	20:41	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	2	44%	2	-1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	19:34	0	0	0	2	4	0.08	−0.08	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	18:57	0	0	0	1	5	0.29	−0.29	1	1	2	2	75%	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	18:25	0	0	0	2	3	0.27	−0.27	1	1	1	1	—	0	-2
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	17:35	0	0	0	1	3	0.27	−0.27	1	0	0	0	100%	2	-2
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	17:12	0	0	0	2	2	0.22	−0.22	0	0	0	0	47%	0	0
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	16:48	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	1	1	0%	0	-2
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	16:10	0	0	0	1	5	0.12	−0.12	1	0	0	1	57%	10	-2
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	16:04	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	15:13	0	0	0	2	5	0.30	−0.30	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
64L. StanleyLogan StanleyD	13:30	0	0	0	2	3	0.04	−0.04	3	0	0	1	—	5	-1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	12:16	0	1	1	2	3	0.07	−0.07	4	1	0	0	33%	0	+1
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	11:39	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	0	0%	0	-1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	9:33	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	7:17	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	0	57%	0	-1
BUF total		1	2	3	22	46	2.18	−1.18	24	16	4	12	51%	19

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Malenstyn−0.03

Dunne−0.12

Greenway−0.13

Krebs−0.19

Quinn−0.23

Zucker−0.25

Benson−0.29

Doan−0.32

Tuch−0.36

Thompson−0.37

Norris−0.39

McLeod−0.44

Defence

Byram+0.47

Samuelsson+0.33

Power+0.05

Dahlin−0.01

Stanley−0.15

Metsa−0.18

Goalie

Luukkonen+0.38

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Norris·Doan	10:26	17	9	9	50.0%	3	6	0	1	0.41	0.49	45.3%	−0.08	2	2	50%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	9:18	16	7	10	41.2%	5	3	0	0	0.47	0.28	62.8%	+0.19	1	1	50%
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	8:58	15	11	9	55.0%	6	3	1	0	0.27	0.46	36.8%	−0.19	5	2	71%
Greenway·Malenstyn·Dunne	6:06	11	2	3	40.0%	1	1	0	1	0.02	0.17	12.2%	−0.14	0	3	0%
Occasional · 13 groups
Greenway·McLeod·Tuch	1:53	1	1	6	14.3%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.16	0.0%	−0.16	0	0	—
McLeod·Thompson·Tuch	1:22	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	1	0%
Benson·McLeod·Doan	0:49	6	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.15	0.00	100.0%	+0.15	0	0	—
Benson·Norris·Quinn	0:48	2	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	1	0%
Benson·Thompson·Tuch	0:48	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Norris·Krebs·Doan	0:45	2	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.03	0.16	17.1%	−0.13	0	0	—
Thompson·Tuch·Doan	0:45	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Zucker·McLeod·Doan	0:44	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Zucker·Malenstyn·McLeod	0:43	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Zucker·Norris·Quinn	0:37	1	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.04	0.13	25.4%	−0.08	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Quinn	0:34	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
Krebs·McLeod·Quinn	0:32	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·Krebs·Doan	0:30	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	50:42		39	46	45.9%	19	18	1	2	1.62	2.03	44.4%	−0.41

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 58:42

Saves: 20/22
SV%: .909
xGA: 2.36
GSAx: +0.36

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	2.03	+0.03
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.33	+0.33
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.51	+0.51

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 60:00

Saves: 21/22
SV%: .955
xGA: 2.18
GSAx: +1.18

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/19	.947	1.62	+0.62
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.56	+0.56
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

22:58Byram
22:37Dahlin
20:49Samuelsson
19:34Power
16:04Metsa
13:30Stanley

20:41McLeod
18:57Tuch
18:25Doan
17:35Benson
17:12Thompson
16:48Zucker
16:10Norris
15:13Quinn
12:16Krebs
11:39Greenway
9:33Malenstyn
7:17Dunne

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFOTT

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD2 O5
SamuelssonD2 O4
ByramD3 O5
PowerD4 O2
StanleyD4 O0
MetsaD6 O0
ZuckerD1 O4
KrebsD1 O4
TuchD6 O8
ThompsonD4 O6
QuinnD2 O4
DoanD1 O3
NorrisD3 O4
BensonD4 O3
McLeodD3 O1
MalenstynD3 O0
DunneD3 O0
GreenwayD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period