NYI @ BUF 3–4 · 2026-03-31

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NYI	0	1	2	28
BUF	1	0	3	33

Story

– / 19

Result BUF 4–3Call No lean · BUF 62%Market BUF 64%xG 1.95–5.06 · deserved BUF 90%Swing Krebs +39 3rd 16:59Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 0:41	NYI penalty · C. Soucy · high sticking · 2 min
1st 1:31	BUF penalty · J. Norris · interference · 2 min
1st 13:58	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · high sticking · 2 min
1st 14:19	Goal BUF · J. Quinn (PP)	60%	75%
2nd 2:18	NYI penalty · C. Cizikas · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 6:34	BUF penalty · O. Power · ps slash on breakaway
2nd 17:41	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 17:57	Goal NYI · C. Ritchie (PP)	78%	57%
3rd 0:01	NYI penalty · A. Lee · fighting · 5 min
3rd 0:01	BUF penalty · S. Carrick · fighting · 5 min
3rd 1:28	NYI penalty · C. Soucy · hooking · 2 min
3rd 2:40	Goal BUF · T. Thompson (PP)	56%	80%
3rd 8:45	BUF penalty · J. Norris · roughing · 2 min
3rd 8:45	NYI penalty · S. Mayfield · roughing · 2 min
3rd 8:45	BUF penalty · J. Norris · roughing · 2 min
3rd 13:39	Goal NYI · A. Lee	88%	55%
3rd 16:59	Goal BUF · P. Krebs	54%	93%
3rd 18:17	Goal BUF · B. Byram (EN)	96%	100%
3rd 19:59	Goal NYI · B. Schenn	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

NYI6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10B. SchennC	2:35	18:54	20	1	1	2	1	2	0	3	0	4-3
13M. BarzalC	2:35	20:24	23	0	1	1	3	3	0	0	0	0-1
14B. HorvatC	2:35	21:22	25	0	3	3	3	6	0	1	0	12-11
64C. RitchieC	1:02	16:33	20	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	–
27A. LeeL	2:35	14:10	18	1	0	1	2	3	5	4	0	–
48M. SchaeferD	2:35	29:40	29	0	1	1	4	11	0	0	1	–

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:30	17:37	21	1	0	1	1	1	0	5	0	1-3
72T. ThompsonC	0:32	21:31	24	1	1	2	3	9	0	1	0	7-5
89A. TuchR	0:31	20:25	24	0	1	1	0	3	0	3	2	1-0
23M. SamuelssonD	0:31	22:44	27	0	1	1	1	4	2	3	2	–
25O. PowerD	0:33	19:16	24	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	–
1U. LuukkonenG		59:41	SA28GA3SV%.893xGA1.95GSAx−1.05

Goals

1st
Jack Quinn(1)PP
J. Norris (1)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 14:19+14.975%
2nd
Calum Ritchie(1)PP
B. Schenn (1), B. Horvat (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 17:57+21.443%
3rd
Tage Thompson(1)PP
J. Norris (2), J. Quinn (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 BUF3rd 02:40+23.880%
Anders Lee(1)
B. Horvat (2), M. Schaefer (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 13:39+33.645%
Peyton Krebs(1)
A. Tuch (1), T. Thompson (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 BUF3rd 16:59+38.893%
Bowen Byram(1)EN
M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.52wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 BUF3rd 18:17+3.6100%
Brayden Schenn(1)6v5
M. Barzal (1), B. Horvat (3)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 BUF3rd 19:59+0.00%

Shots

NYI1.95 xG37 unblocked · 15 blocked37 unblocked · 15 blocked

BUF5.06 xG54 unblocked · 11 blocked54 unblocked · 11 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYIBUF3Goals41.95xG5.0628Shots3337Unblocked5452Attempts651High danger61/3Power play2/432Faceoffs2726Hits2511Blocks156Takeaways112Giveaways1915PIM13

Skaters

Player

Player
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	29:40	0	1	1	4	11	0.30	−0.30	0	1	2	1	—	0	0
14B. HorvatBo HorvatC	21:22	0	3	3	3	6	0.37	−0.37	1	0	0	0	52%	0	0
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	21:17	0	0	0	2	5	0.09	−0.09	1	2	0	0	—	2	0
13M. BarzalMathew BarzalC	20:24	0	1	1	3	3	0.09	−0.09	0	0	1	1	0%	0	0
4C. SoucyCarson SoucyD	19:22	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	4	-1
6R. PulockRyan PulockD	19:17	0	0	0	2	4	0.02	−0.02	0	2	0	0	—	0	+1
10B. SchennBrayden SchennC	18:54	1	1	2	1	2	0.24	+0.76	3	0	0	1	57%	0	0
64C. RitchieCalum RitchieC	16:33	1	0	1	1	1	0.12	+0.88	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	15:21	0	0	0	1	3	0.11	−0.11	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	15:19	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	2	0	0	0	56%	0	0
27A. LeeAnders LeeL	14:10	1	0	1	2	3	0.09	+0.91	4	0	0	2	—	5	+1
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	13:17	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	3	0	0	3	56%	2	0
34A. BoqvistAdam BoqvistD	13:02	0	0	0	3	5	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
32K. MacLeanKyle MacLeanC	12:18	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	−0.05	5	0	1	3	100%	0	0
24S. MayfieldScott MayfieldD	12:01	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	2	0
81O. PalatOndrej PalatL	11:42	0	0	0	2	2	0.19	−0.19	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
11A. DuclairAnthony DuclairL	11:29	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
16M. GatcombMarc GatcombC	11:07	0	0	0	2	2	0.10	−0.10	3	2	0	0	—	0	0
NYI total		3	6	9	28	52	1.95	+1.05	26	10	6	12	54%	15

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Schenn+0.84

Ritchie+0.35

Lee+0.33

Horvat+0.25

Barzal+0.07

Gatcomb−0.14

Palat−0.24

MacLean−0.27

Heineman−0.34

Duclair−0.35

Pageau−0.38

Cizikas−0.54

Defence

Schaefer+0.14

Mayfield−0.06

Pulock−0.11

Pelech−0.17

Boqvist−0.23

Soucy−0.78

Goalie

Sorokin+0.60

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Duclair·Schenn·Barzal	10:17	15	4	9	30.8%	1	6	0	0	0.12	0.64	15.9%	−0.52	3	0	100%
Gatcomb·MacLean·Cizikas	9:08	15	4	6	40.0%	2	4	0	0	0.16	0.20	43.4%	−0.05	2	0	100%
Palat·Pageau·Ritchie	9:07	14	9	7	56.3%	6	4	0	0	0.34	0.47	42.0%	−0.13	1	2	33%
Lee·Heineman·Horvat	8:48	16	7	8	46.7%	3	2	1	0	0.17	0.38	31.4%	−0.20	2	2	50%
Occasional · 9 groups
Heineman·Horvat·MacLean	0:43	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schenn·Barzal·MacLean	0:42	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Lee·Horvat·Gatcomb	0:42	2	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
Barzal·MacLean·Cizikas	0:40	4	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.01	0.04	19.7%	−0.03	0	0	—
Palat·Schenn·Ritchie	0:38	3	0	3	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	0	—
Lee·Pageau·Ritchie	0:33	2	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Heineman·Barzal·Horvat	0:31	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Heineman·Palat·Horvat	0:30	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Schenn·Gatcomb·MacLean	0:30	3	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
NYI 5v5	48:54		35	51	40.7%	16	25	1	1	0.91	2.95	23.6%	−2.04

Goalies

Ilya Sorokin

NYI · 57:52

Saves: 29/32
SV%: .906
xGA: 3.57
GSAx: +0.57

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/26	.962	3.03	+2.03
Power play	4/6	.667	0.54	−1.46
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.60	+0.60

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 59:41

Saves: 25/28
SV%: .893
xGA: 1.95
GSAx: −1.05

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	1.27	−0.73
Power play	2/3	.667	0.51	−0.49
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.17	+0.17
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.21	+0.21

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

29:40Schaefer
21:17Pelech
19:22Soucy
19:17Pulock
13:02Boqvist
12:01Mayfield

21:22Horvat
20:24Barzal
18:54Schenn
16:33Ritchie
15:21Heineman
15:19Pageau
14:10Lee
13:17Cizikas
12:18MacLean
11:42Palat
11:29Duclair
11:07Gatcomb

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYIBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

BoqvistD2 O2
SchaeferD3 O2
PelechD4 O2
SoucyD3 O1
MayfieldD3 O0
PulockD7 O2
BarzalD0 O7
SchennD0 O5
DuclairD0 O2
MacLeanD0 O2
GatcombD0 O2
RitchieD1 O3
LeeD2 O3
CizikasD3 O2
HorvatD6 O5
PalatD3 O1
HeinemanD4 O2
PageauD6 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period