TBL @ CGY 3–4 · 2026-03-22

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
TBL	1	1	1	0	35
CGY	2	1	0	1	29

Story

– / 8

Result CGY 4–3 OTCall No lean · TBL 52%Market TBL 62%xG 2.83–2.85 · deserved CGY 50%Swing Strome +51 OT 0:26Method

Goals and penalties with CGY win probability
Time	Event	CGY win before	CGY win after
1st 7:25	Goal TBL · R. McDonagh	48%	31%
1st 12:01	CGY penalty · T. Gross · tripping · 2 min
1st 16:25	Goal CGY · V. Olofsson	30%	48%
1st 16:52	Goal CGY · M. Frost	48%	67%
2nd 8:28	Goal CGY · M. Backlund	70%	86%
2nd 11:47	Goal TBL · D. Raddysh	88%	72%
3rd 15:40	Goal TBL · P. Holmberg	91%	49%
OT 0:26	Goal CGY · R. Strome	49%	100%

On ice · final horn

TBL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71A. CirelliC	0:26	17:56	24	0	0	0	4	4	0	1	0	7-6
38B. HagelL	0:21	19:13	23	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	–
90J. MoserD	0:26	23:08	29	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	2	–
31J. JohanssonG		59:39	SA28GA3SV%.893xGA2.67GSAx−0.33

CGY3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22R. StromeC	0:26	18:49	22	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7-8
92M. GridinR	0:23	13:50	21	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	0-1
7K. BahlD	0:26	22:46	33	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0	–
1D. CooleyG		60:26	SA35GA3SV%.914xGA2.83GSAx−0.17

Goals

1st
Ryan McDonagh(1)
G. Goncalves (1)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TBL1st 07:25+17.069%
Victor Olofsson(1)
Y. Sharangovich (1), Z. Whitecloud (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:25+18.548%
Morgan Frost(1)
M. Coronato (1)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 CGY1st 16:52+19.067%
2nd
Mikael Backlund(1)
B. Coleman (1), H. Brzustewicz (1)
xG 0.09slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 CGY2nd 08:28+15.986%
Darren Raddysh(1)
N. Kucherov (1), J. Moser (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 CGY2nd 11:47+16.028%
3rd
Pontus Holmberg(1)
Y. Gourde (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 15:40+41.951%
OT
Ryan Strome(1)
M. Gridin (1), K. Bahl (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 CGYOT 00:26+50.8100%

Shots

TBL2.83 xG48 unblocked · 16 blocked48 unblocked · 16 blocked

CGY2.85 xG46 unblocked · 4 blocked46 unblocked · 4 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLCGY3Goals42.83xG2.8535Shots2948Unblocked4664Attempts504High danger30/1Power play0/026Faceoffs3016Hits234Blocks165Takeaways317Giveaways200PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	24:39	1	0	1	5	9	0.19	+0.81	0	0	1	0	—	-1
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	23:08	0	1	1	1	2	0.03	−0.03	0	2	0	2	—	-2
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	20:57	0	1	1	3	7	0.33	−0.33	0	0	0	1	—	+1
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	19:34	0	0	0	1	4	0.39	−0.39	1	1	1	0	38%	+1
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	19:19	0	0	0	3	4	0.07	−0.07	1	0	1	2	—	0
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	19:13	0	0	0	2	4	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	1	—	-2
78E. LillebergEmil LillebergD	18:23	0	0	0	2	2	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	2	—	0
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	17:56	0	0	0	4	4	0.24	−0.24	1	0	1	0	54%	-2
21B. PointBrayden PointC	17:22	0	0	0	3	8	0.53	−0.53	0	0	0	0	60%	+1
27R. McDonaghRyan McDonaghD	16:11	1	0	1	1	2	0.07	+0.93	1	0	0	4	—	+1
81E. CernakErik CernakD	16:04	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	0	—	+1
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	15:38	0	1	1	1	3	0.09	−0.09	0	0	1	2	50%	+1
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	14:40	1	0	1	3	4	0.20	+0.80	1	0	0	0	—	+1
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	14:34	0	0	0	2	3	0.18	−0.18	2	0	0	0	33%	+1
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	13:53	0	1	1	1	2	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	1	—	-1
10C. PerryCorey PerryR	10:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	-1
20N. PaulNick PaulL	10:18	0	0	0	2	3	0.15	−0.15	2	0	0	1	33%	-1
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	9:55	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	2	0	0	0	—	-1
TBL total		3	4	7	35	64	2.83	+0.17	16	4	5	17	46%

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Holmberg+0.41

Goncalves+0.21

Gourde+0.19

Kucherov+0.14

Cirelli−0.19

Point−0.29

Paul−0.29

Bjorkstrand−0.30

Girgensons−0.31

Perry−0.33

Guentzel−0.33

Hagel−0.38

Defence

McDonagh+0.30

Raddysh+0.21

Moser−0.10

Cernak−0.11

D'Astous−0.14

Lilleberg−0.19

Goalie

Johansson−1.13

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Girgensons·Gourde·Holmberg	12:39	22	11	8	57.9%	7	5	1	0	0.49	0.33	59.9%	+0.16	2	4	33%
Hagel·Cirelli·Kucherov	10:36	16	15	6	71.4%	11	3	0	0	0.66	0.28	70.1%	+0.38	4	0	100%
Point·Guentzel·Goncalves	8:01	15	9	10	47.4%	5	5	1	1	0.38	0.44	46.5%	−0.06	3	3	50%
Paul·Perry·Bjorkstrand	7:50	14	2	8	20.0%	0	6	0	1	0.07	0.48	13.3%	−0.41	0	1	0%
Point·Guentzel·Kucherov	5:39	10	14	6	70.0%	6	4	1	0	0.81	0.52	60.9%	+0.29	0	0	—
Hagel·Cirelli·Goncalves	3:16	9	4	3	57.1%	2	2	0	1	0.13	0.22	36.8%	−0.09	0	1	0%
Occasional · 4 groups
Paul·Hagel·Cirelli	0:52	1	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	1	0	100%
Gourde·Guentzel·Kucherov	0:43	3	0	3	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Girgensons·Gourde·Kucherov	0:41	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Gourde·Guentzel·Holmberg	0:31	6	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	57:13		61	49	55.5%	35	28	3	3	2.73	2.67	50.6%	+0.07

Goalies

Jonas Johansson

TBL · 59:39

Saves: 25/29
SV%: .862
xGA: 2.85
GSAx: −1.15

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/29	.862	2.85	−1.15
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/3	.333	0.55	−1.45

Devin Cooley

CGY · 60:26

Saves: 32/35
SV%: .914
xGA: 2.83
GSAx: −0.17

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	32/35	.914	2.83	−0.17
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.82	−0.18

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

24:39Raddysh
23:08Moser
19:19D'Astous
18:23Lilleberg
16:11McDonagh
16:04Cernak

20:57Kucherov
19:34Guentzel
19:13Hagel
17:56Cirelli
17:22Point
15:38Gourde
14:40Holmberg
14:34Girgensons
13:53Goncalves
10:21Perry
10:18Paul
9:55Bjorkstrand

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLCGY

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

RaddyshD2 O5
MoserD2 O5
McDonaghD2 O2
CernakD2 O2
LillebergD3 O0
D'AstousD4 O0
KucherovD0 O3
CirelliD1 O4
HagelD1 O4
GuentzelD2 O3
PaulD0 O0
PerryD1 O0
BjorkstrandD1 O0
PointD3 O2
GoncalvesD4 O3
GourdeD4 O2
GirgensonsD4 O2
HolmbergD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period