CAR @ VAN 6–4 · 2026-03-04

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	1	4	1	33
VAN	2	1	1	22

Story

– / 19

Result CAR 6–4Call No lean · CAR 78%xG 4.00–1.91 · deserved CAR 82%Swing Walker +18 2nd 2:30Method

Goals and penalties with VAN win probability
Time	Event	VAN win before	VAN win after
1st 0:27	VAN penalty · D. Kampf · tripping · 2 min
1st 1:17	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov (PP)	23%	13%
1st 16:03	CAR penalty · A. Nikishin · interference · 2 min
1st 16:31	Goal VAN · M. Rossi (PP)	13%	26%
1st 17:15	Goal VAN · F. Hronek	26%	42%
2nd 2:30	Goal CAR · S. Walker	45%	27%
2nd 4:19	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers	27%	13%
2nd 5:14	CAR penalty · S. Aho · hooking · 2 min
2nd 9:03	VAN penalty · E. Pettersson · hooking · 2 min
2nd 11:53	Goal CAR · S. Aho	13%	5%
2nd 12:50	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers	5%	1%
2nd 18:51	CAR penalty · J. Blake · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:51	CAR penalty · S. Walker · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:51	VAN penalty · E. Pettersson · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:55	CAR penalty · J. Chatfield · tripping · 2 min
2nd 19:17	Goal VAN · B. Boeser (PP)	1%	4%
3rd 6:45	Goal VAN · N. Hoglander	2%	11%
3rd 17:47	VAN penalty · T. Blueger · boarding · 2 min
3rd 19:46	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers (PP) (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
82J. KotkaniemiC	0:14	10:29	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4-5
28W. CarrierL	0:14	10:18	14	0	0	0	0	5	0	3	0	–
50E. RobinsonL	0:14	11:09	14	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	–
5J. ChatfieldD	0:14	19:43	28	0	1	1	1	3	2	1	1	–
74J. SlavinD	0:21	22:33	28	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	2	–
32B. BussiG		60:00	SA22GA4SV%.818xGA1.91GSAx−2.09

VAN5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
63M. SassonC	0:14	11:48	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-1
64D. KampfC	0:14	13:53	19	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	8-7
94L. KarlssonC	0:14	12:31	18	0	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	–
25E. PetterssonD	0:14	18:31	23	0	0	0	4	4	2	2	0	–
90V. ManciniD	0:14	13:06	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	–
60N. TolopiloG		27:17	SA10GA1SV%.900xGA0.98GSAx−0.02

Goals

1st
Andrei Svechnikov(1)PP
S. Jarvis (1), S. Gostisbehere (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 01:17+10.187%
Marco Rossi(1)PP
E. Pettersson (1), J. DeBrusk (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:31+12.426%
Filip Hronek(1)
D. O'Connor (1), L. Karlsson (1)
xG 0.07slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 VAN1st 17:15+16.742%
2nd
Sean Walker(1)
T. Hall (1), J. Blake (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 02:30+18.273%
Nikolaj Ehlers(1)
J. Staal (1), J. Chatfield (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR2nd 04:19+14.087%
Sebastian Aho(1)
S. Jarvis (2), K. Miller (1)
xG 0.07backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 CAR2nd 11:53+8.595%
Nikolaj Ehlers(2)
S. Walker (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 CAR2nd 12:50+3.399%
Brock Boeser(1)PP
M. Rossi (1), F. Hronek (1)
xG 0.24wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 CAR2nd 19:17+2.84%
3rd
Nils Hoglander(1)
E. Pettersson (2), F. Hronek (2)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 CAR3rd 06:45+8.411%
Nikolaj Ehlers(3)PPEN
S. Aho (1), A. Svechnikov (1)
xG 0.49wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–4 CAR3rd 19:46+0.099%

Shots

CAR4.00 xG49 unblocked · 17 blocked49 unblocked · 17 blocked

VAN1.91 xG31 unblocked · 12 blocked31 unblocked · 12 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARVAN6Goals44.00xG1.9133Shots2249Unblocked3166Attempts434High danger12/3Power play2/432Faceoffs2813Hits3012Blocks174Takeaways211Giveaways1810PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	23:04	0	1	1	1	1	0.07	−0.07	1	0	0	0	—	0	+2
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	22:33	0	0	0	3	4	0.10	−0.10	0	2	1	0	—	0	+1
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	20:19	1	1	2	2	2	0.10	+0.90	1	3	0	0	—	2	+1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	19:43	0	1	1	1	3	0.05	−0.05	1	1	1	0	—	2	0
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	19:21	0	2	2	2	4	0.22	−0.22	0	0	1	0	100%	0	0
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	19:15	1	1	2	3	4	0.39	+0.61	0	1	0	2	50%	2	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	18:07	1	1	2	2	3	0.33	+0.67	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	16:53	0	1	1	2	4	0.14	−0.14	2	0	0	0	56%	0	+1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	16:06	3	0	3	3	5	0.71	+2.29	0	0	0	2	—	0	+2
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	15:46	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	−0.06	0	0	0	1	—	2	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	15:06	0	0	0	3	6	0.36	−0.36	0	0	0	1	0%	0	+2
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	14:36	0	1	1	3	6	0.33	−0.33	0	0	0	0	—	2	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	14:20	0	0	0	3	5	0.49	−0.49	0	1	0	3	58%	0	0
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	14:13	0	1	1	2	3	0.10	−0.10	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
71T. HallTaylor HallL	13:48	0	1	1	2	5	0.25	−0.25	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	11:09	0	0	0	1	4	0.19	−0.19	0	1	1	0	—	0	0
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	10:29	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	44%	0	+1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	10:18	0	0	0	0	5	0.13	−0.13	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
CAR total		6	11	17	33	66	4.00	+2.00	13	11	4	11	53%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Ehlers+1.35

Jarvis+0.93

Aho+0.82

Svechnikov+0.63

Hall+0.37

Staal+0.25

Stankoven−0.13

Robinson−0.19

Carrier−0.21

Martinook−0.21

Kotkaniemi−0.22

Blake−0.25

Defence

Walker+0.95

Gostisbehere+0.12

Slavin+0.05

Miller−0.12

Chatfield−0.13

Nikishin−0.36

Goalie

Bussi−2.08

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	13:00	18	12	7	63.2%	8	6	1	1	0.83	0.29	73.9%	+0.54	3	1	75%
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	11:08	16	12	5	70.6%	5	2	1	0	0.52	0.07	88.9%	+0.46	3	1	75%
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	10:22	14	17	6	73.9%	8	4	1	1	0.86	0.28	75.3%	+0.58	2	1	67%
Carrier·Robinson·Kotkaniemi	8:47	14	11	9	55.0%	2	5	0	0	0.40	0.23	63.2%	+0.17	2	0	100%
Occasional · 2 groups
Aho·Svechnikov·Blake	0:50	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Ehlers·Robinson·Kotkaniemi	0:35	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	50:38		55	31	64.0%	25	17	4	2	2.76	1.15	70.5%	+1.60

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 18/22
SV%: .818
xGA: 1.91
GSAx: −2.09

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	1.15	−0.85
Power play	3/5	.600	0.51	−1.49
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.25	+0.25
High danger	0/1	.000	0.24	−0.76

Kevin Lankinen

VAN · 31:53

Saves: 18/22
SV%: .818
xGA: 2.53
GSAx: −1.47

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/16	.813	1.88	−1.12
Power play	5/6	.833	0.63	−0.37
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.02	+0.02
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.53	+0.53

Nikita Tolopilo

VAN · 27:17

Saves: 9/10
SV%: .900
xGA: 0.98
GSAx: −0.02

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	8/9	.889	0.88	−0.12
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.10	+0.10
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

23:04Miller
22:33Slavin
20:19Walker
19:43Chatfield
15:46Nikishin
14:13Gostisbehere

19:21Jarvis
19:15Aho
18:07Svechnikov
16:53Staal
16:06Ehlers
15:06Martinook
14:36Blake
14:20Stankoven
13:48Hall
11:09Robinson
10:29Kotkaniemi
10:18Carrier

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARVAN

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD2 O7
NikishinD2 O5
SlavinD3 O4
ChatfieldD3 O4
WalkerD1 O2
MillerD1 O2
JarvisD1 O5
EhlersD1 O4
SvechnikovD1 O4
HallD1 O3
CarrierD0 O2
AhoD1 O3
RobinsonD0 O2
KotkaniemiD0 O2
StankovenD1 O3
BlakeD1 O3
StaalD4 O4
MartinookD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period