PHI @ BUF 2–5 · 2026-01-14

Team	1	2	3	SOG
PHI	0	1	1	22
BUF	2	2	1	15

Story

– / 18

Result BUF 5–2Call No lean · BUF 51%xG 2.35–3.47 · deserved BUF 69%Swing Dahlin +18 1st 9:30Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 1:52	BUF penalty · U. Luukkonen · hooking · 2 min
1st 9:16	PHI penalty · C. York · cross checking · 2 min
1st 9:30	Goal BUF · R. Dahlin (PP)	51%	69%
1st 15:13	Goal BUF · M. Samuelsson	70%	84%
2nd 2:05	PHI penalty · T. Zegras · hooking · 2 min
2nd 4:22	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	87%	95%
2nd 10:28	Goal PHI · O. Tippett	96%	89%
2nd 12:44	PHI penalty · T. Konecny · tripping · 2 min
2nd 13:51	Goal BUF · R. Dahlin (PP)	90%	97%
2nd 19:14	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 0:00	PHI penalty · G. Hathaway · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
3rd 3:35	PHI penalty · T. Konecny · slashing · 2 min
3rd 4:18	BUF penalty · B. Byram · tripping · 2 min
3rd 6:47	BUF penalty · Z. Metsa · hooking · 2 min
3rd 7:37	Goal PHI · T. Zegras (PP)	99%	96%
3rd 13:22	PHI penalty · N. Seeler · roughing · 2 min
3rd 17:45	BUF penalty · B. Byram · holding · 2 min
3rd 19:20	Goal BUF · R. McLeod (SH) (EN)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

PHI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18R. AbolsC	0:40	9:09	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-4
29N. GrebenkinR	0:40	13:50	20	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1-0
91C. GrundstromR	0:40	11:41	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	–
8C. YorkD	0:40	21:29	30	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	2	–
36E. AndraeD	0:40	19:57	25	0	0	0	0	4	0	3	2	–
33S. ErssonG		37:27	SA8GA2SV%.750xGA1.67GSAx−0.33

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
6Z. BensonL	0:40	17:26	25	0	1	1	0	2	2	2	0	–
29B. MalenstynL	0:40	8:54	15	0	0	0	1	1	0	7	1	1-0
4B. ByramD	0:15	23:47	28	0	0	0	0	5	4	1	1	–
26R. DahlinD	0:40	23:22	25	2	0	2	4	5	0	1	0	–
78J. BrysonD	0:40	12:01	15	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA22GA2SV%.909xGA2.35GSAx+0.35

Goals

1st
Rasmus Dahlin(1)PP
J. Doan (1), T. Thompson (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 09:30+17.969%
Mattias Samuelsson(1)
N. Ostlund (1), J. Doan (2)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 BUF1st 15:13+14.584%
2nd
Jack Quinn(1)
R. McLeod (1), Z. Benson (1)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 BUF2nd 04:22+8.195%
Owen Tippett(1)
N. Cates (1)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 BUF2nd 10:28+7.311%
Rasmus Dahlin(2)PP
J. Norris (1), T. Thompson (2)
xG 0.05snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 BUF2nd 13:51+6.897%
3rd
Trevor Zegras(1)PP
T. Konecny (1), O. Tippett (1)
xG 0.14deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 BUF3rd 07:37+3.34%
Ryan McLeod(1)SHEN
A. Tuch (1)
xG 0.49wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 BUF3rd 19:20+0.099%

Shots

PHI2.35 xG42 unblocked · 11 blocked42 unblocked · 11 blocked

BUF3.47 xG30 unblocked · 9 blocked30 unblocked · 9 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

PHIBUF2Goals52.35xG3.4722Shots1542Unblocked3053Attempts391High danger81/5Power play2/631Faceoffs2826Hits279Blocks112Takeaways55Giveaways1812PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
9J. DrysdaleJamie DrysdaleD	25:25	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	0	2	1	0	—	0	-2
46T. ZegrasTrevor ZegrasC	23:07	1	0	1	7	10	0.51	+0.49	0	0	0	1	67%	2	-3
22C. DvorakChristian DvorakC	22:43	0	0	0	0	3	0.50	−0.50	1	0	1	0	59%	0	-2
11T. KonecnyTravis KonecnyR	22:25	0	1	1	2	4	0.20	−0.20	2	0	0	1	—	4	-3
8C. YorkCam YorkD	21:29	0	0	0	1	4	0.08	−0.08	0	2	0	0	—	2	-1
36E. AndraeEmil AndraeD	19:57	0	0	0	0	4	0.09	−0.09	3	2	0	0	—	0	0
6T. SanheimTravis SanheimD	18:51	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
74O. TippettOwen TippettR	17:37	1	1	2	4	5	0.27	+0.73	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
39M. MichkovMatvei MichkovR	16:01	0	0	0	1	4	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
27N. CatesNoah CatesL	15:07	0	1	1	1	3	0.09	−0.09	5	0	0	0	60%	0	+1
24N. SeelerNick SeelerD	14:47	0	0	0	1	3	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	0	—	2	0
47N. JuulsenNoah JuulsenD	14:38	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	−0.06	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
29N. GrebenkinNikita GrebenkinR	13:50	0	0	0	1	2	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	1	100%	0	+1
14S. CouturierSean CouturierC	13:39	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	27%	0	0
91C. GrundstromCarl GrundstromR	11:41	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
18R. AbolsRodrigo AbolsC	9:09	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	1	0	0	0	33%	0	-1
19G. HathawayGarnet HathawayR	8:01	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	100%	2	0
44N. DeslauriersNicolas DeslauriersL	5:03	0	0	0	2	2	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
PHI total		2	3	5	22	53	2.35	−0.35	26	9	2	5	53%	12

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Tippett+0.57

Cates+0.35

Zegras+0.17

Grebenkin−0.01

Abols−0.08

Deslauriers−0.09

Konecny−0.12

Dvorak−0.15

Hathaway−0.15

Michkov−0.30

Grundstrom−0.43

Couturier−0.50

Defence

Andrae+0.06

Sanheim−0.07

York−0.14

Seeler−0.17

Drysdale−0.21

Juulsen−0.22

Goalie

Ersson−0.32

Vladar−0.67

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Dvorak·Zegras·Konecny	11:40	15	11	6	64.7%	5	2	0	1	0.80	0.56	58.7%	+0.24	6	3	67%
Cates·Grebenkin·Tippett	7:26	13	8	3	72.7%	4	1	1	0	0.34	0.03	91.4%	+0.31	1	2	33%
Couturier·Michkov·Grundstrom	5:20	9	3	7	30.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.78	0.0%	−0.78	1	0	100%
Deslauriers·Abols·Hathaway	4:00	8	4	3	57.1%	2	0	0	0	0.10	0.22	31.7%	−0.12	1	2	33%
Occasional · 12 groups
Couturier·Michkov·Tippett	1:21	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Cates·Grebenkin·Michkov	0:57	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Cates·Hathaway·Grebenkin	0:49	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Couturier·Hathaway·Grundstrom	0:45	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Couturier·Zegras·Konecny	0:45	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Dvorak·Konecny·Michkov	0:40	2	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	1	0	100%
Zegras·Konecny·Michkov	0:40	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Dvorak·Michkov·Tippett	0:39	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	0	—
Abols·Zegras·Konecny	0:38	4	1	3	25.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.30	0.0%	−0.30	0	0	—
Couturier·Zegras·Grundstrom	0:35	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Abols·Hathaway·Grundstrom	0:33	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Zegras·Grebenkin·Tippett	0:32	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
PHI 5v5	43:04		37	27	57.8%	17	8	1	2	1.74	2.23	43.8%	−0.49

Goalies

Samuel Ersson

PHI · 37:27

Saves: 6/8
SV%: .750
xGA: 1.67
GSAx: −0.33

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	3/4	.750	1.15	+0.15
Power play	3/4	.750	0.52	−0.48
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.75	−0.25

Dan Vladar

PHI · 19:42

Saves: 4/6
SV%: .667
xGA: 1.32
GSAx: −0.68

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	3/4	.750	1.09	+0.09
Power play	1/2	.500	0.23	−0.77
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.52	−0.48

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 20/22
SV%: .909
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: +0.35

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/18	.944	1.82	+0.82
Power play	2/3	.667	0.53	−0.47
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	0/0	—	0.39	+0.39

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Philadelphia Flyers

Minutes

25:25Drysdale
21:29York
19:57Andrae
18:51Sanheim
14:47Seeler
14:38Juulsen

23:07Zegras
22:43Dvorak
22:25Konecny
17:37Tippett
16:01Michkov
15:07Cates
13:50Grebenkin
13:39Couturier
11:41Grundstrom
9:09Abols
8:01Hathaway
5:03Deslauriers

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG sharePHIBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

AndraeD0 O3
SeelerD1 O3
DrysdaleD2 O3
JuulsenD2 O1
YorkD7 O2
SanheimD7 O1
KonecnyD3 O9
ZegrasD3 O8
DvorakD5 O9
TippettD2 O4
MichkovD0 O2
GrundstromD0 O1
GrebenkinD1 O2
DeslauriersD2 O1
HathawayD3 O1
AbolsD2 O0
CouturierD5 O1
CatesD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period