FLA @ BUF 4–3 · 2026-01-12

Team	1	2	3	SOG
FLA	2	0	2	32
BUF	1	1	1	23

Story

– / 12

Result FLA 4–3Call BUF 51% xG 3.57–2.56 · deserved FLA 67%Swing Lundell +39 3rd 11:07Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 2:16	BUF penalty · J. Doan · interference · 2 min
1st 2:35	Goal FLA · S. Reinhart (PP)	51%	31%
1st 10:19	Goal BUF · J. Bryson	30%	51%
1st 15:11	Goal FLA · A. Greer	51%	29%
2nd 8:33	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · slashing · 2 min
2nd 13:55	FLA penalty · J. Petry · hooking · 2 min
2nd 16:35	FLA penalty · D. Sebrango · fighting · 5 min
2nd 16:35	BUF penalty · J. Dunne · fighting · 5 min
2nd 17:57	Goal BUF · Z. Benson	21%	51%
3rd 11:07	Goal FLA · A. Lundell	50%	12%
3rd 18:46	Goal FLA · A. Greer (EN)	2%	1%
3rd 19:46	Goal BUF · A. Tuch	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

FLA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13S. ReinhartC	0:14	20:55	27	1	0	1	7	10	0	1	1	–
15A. LundellC	0:14	18:53	27	1	0	1	4	7	0	1	1	15-10
27E. LuostarinenC	0:14	18:29	25	0	1	1	1	1	0	1	3	0-1
5A. EkbladD	0:13	23:58	31	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	–
42G. ForslingD	1:14	24:12	30	0	1	1	2	7	0	1	0	–
72S. BobrovskyG		59:37	SA23GA3SV%.870xGA2.56GSAx−0.44

BUF6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
9J. NorrisC	0:24	16:43	23	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	10-13
72T. ThompsonC	0:24	22:08	24	0	1	1	5	8	0	2	9-6
17J. ZuckerL	0:24	16:53	23	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	–
89A. TuchR	0:24	18:51	25	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	–
4B. ByramD	1:14	24:16	28	0	1	1	1	5	2	1	–
26R. DahlinD	0:24	25:27	27	0	1	1	1	6	0	3	–

Goals

1st
Sam Reinhart(1)PP
U. Balinskis (1), C. Verhaeghe (1)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 FLA1st 02:35+19.469%
Jacob Bryson(1)
R. McLeod (1), Z. Metsa (1)
xG 0.02snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 10:19+20.751%
A.J. Greer(1)
S. Bennett (1), C. Verhaeghe (2)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 FLA1st 15:11+21.771%
2nd
Zach Benson(1)
T. Thompson (1)
xG 0.35wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 17:57+29.251%
3rd
Anton Lundell(1)
E. Luostarinen (1), G. Forsling (1)
xG 0.37wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 FLA3rd 11:07+38.588%
A.J. Greer(2)EN
C. Verhaeghe (3), S. Bennett (2)
xG 0.49wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 FLA3rd 18:46+1.699%
Alex Tuch(1)6v5
B. Byram (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.04backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 FLA3rd 19:46+0.01%

Shots

FLA3.57 xG50 unblocked · 20 blocked50 unblocked · 20 blocked

BUF2.56 xG43 unblocked · 14 blocked43 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLABUF4Goals33.57xG2.5632Shots2350Unblocked4370Attempts573High danger21/1Power play0/229Faceoffs3118Hits2214Blocks206Takeaways412Giveaways249PIM7

Skaters

Player

Player
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	25:16	0	0	0	3	4	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	24:12	0	1	1	2	7	0.31	−0.31	1	0	1	4	—	0	-1
5A. EkbladAaron EkbladD	23:58	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	−0.03	0	3	1	2	—	0	0
26U. BalinskisUvis BalinskisD	22:19	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	20:55	1	0	1	7	10	0.65	+0.35	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	20:39	0	3	3	1	5	0.19	−0.19	1	1	2	0	67%	0	+1
9S. BennettSam BennettC	19:29	0	2	2	4	11	0.33	−0.33	2	0	0	0	19%	2	+1
15A. LundellAnton LundellC	18:53	1	0	1	4	7	0.60	+0.40	1	1	0	1	60%	0	0
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	18:29	0	1	1	1	1	0.07	−0.07	1	3	1	1	0%	0	0
10A. GreerA.J. GreerL	17:35	2	0	2	2	3	0.71	+1.29	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
17E. RodriguesEvan RodriguesC	16:40	0	0	0	4	4	0.14	−0.14	0	1	1	0	60%	0	0
11M. SamoskevichMackie SamoskevichR	13:46	0	0	0	0	6	0.10	−0.10	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
2J. PetryJeff PetryD	13:15	0	0	0	1	2	0.10	−0.10	2	1	0	1	—	2	-1
95S. VilmanisSandis VilmanisL	12:03	0	0	0	2	2	0.04	−0.04	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
6D. SebrangoDonovan SebrangoD	10:44	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	0	—	5	-1
71L. KuninLuke KuninC	6:25	0	0	0	1	1	0.11	−0.11	1	1	0	0	60%	0	-1
70J. BoqvistJesper BoqvistC	6:14	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
53J. StudnickaJack StudnickaC	5:31	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
FLA total		4	8	12	32	70	3.57	+0.43	18	14	6	11	48%	9

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Lundell+0.57

Verhaeghe+0.47

Reinhart+0.44

Greer+0.38

Luostarinen+0.37

Bennett+0.10

Vilmanis−0.01

Kunin−0.01

Rodrigues−0.08

Boqvist−0.11

Studnicka−0.12

Samoskevich−0.17

Defence

Forsling+0.21

Ekblad+0.09

Balinskis+0.07

Sebrango−0.11

Mikkola−0.18

Petry−0.26

Goalie

Bobrovsky−0.42

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Reinhart·Lundell·Luostarinen	14:30	22	20	18	52.6%	11	5	1	1	1.25	1.16	51.9%	+0.09	5	5	50%
Greer·Bennett·Verhaeghe	14:10	21	16	12	57.1%	9	8	1	0	0.63	0.48	56.5%	+0.14	4	1	80%
Vilmanis·Rodrigues·Samoskevich	10:05	17	15	2	88.2%	6	2	0	0	0.51	0.16	76.6%	+0.35	5	0	100%
Studnicka·Boqvist·Kunin	4:19	10	0	6	0.0%	0	3	0	1	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	1	0	100%
Occasional · 7 groups
Bennett·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	1:38	5	4	3	57.1%	2	0	0	0	0.14	0.17	45.1%	−0.03	0	0	—
Rodrigues·Verhaeghe·Samoskevich	0:41	6	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	0	0.20	0.03	86.4%	+0.17	0	0	—
Bennett·Verhaeghe·Samoskevich	0:37	7	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Greer·Rodrigues·Verhaeghe	0:35	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Bennett·Samoskevich	0:31	3	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Reinhart·Lundell·Verhaeghe	0:30	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Rodrigues·Studnicka	0:30	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
FLA 5v5	52:46		63	47	57.3%	28	20	2	2	2.80	2.20	56.0%	+0.60

Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky

FLA · 59:37

Saves: 20/23
SV%: .870
xGA: 2.56
GSAx: −0.44

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/23	.870	2.54	−0.46
Power play	0/0	—	0.02	+0.02
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.55	−0.45

Colten Ellis

BUF · 57:28

Saves: 28/31
SV%: .903
xGA: 3.09
GSAx: +0.09

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/28	.929	2.83	+0.83
Power play	0/1	.000	0.12	−0.88
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.14	+0.14
High danger	1/2	.500	0.55	−0.45

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

25:16Mikkola
24:12Forsling
23:58Ekblad
22:19Balinskis
13:15Petry
10:44Sebrango

20:55Reinhart
20:39Verhaeghe
19:29Bennett
18:53Lundell
18:29Luostarinen
17:35Greer
16:40Rodrigues
13:46Samoskevich
12:03Vilmanis
6:25Kunin
6:14Boqvist
5:31Studnicka

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLABUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

BalinskisD2 O7
MikkolaD3 O6
PetryD0 O2
SebrangoD0 O2
EkbladD5 O4
ForslingD7 O4
BennettD1 O5
RodriguesD0 O4
VilmanisD0 O4
VerhaegheD1 O4
SamoskevichD0 O3
BoqvistD0 O2
GreerD2 O3
KuninD0 O1
StudnickaD0 O1
LuostarinenD5 O6
LundellD7 O6
ReinhartD7 O5

Shift starts · darker = later period