BUF @ DAL 4–1 · 2025-12-31

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	0	2	2	31
DAL	1	0	0	29

Story

– / 9

Result BUF 4–1Call No lean · DAL 54%xG 3.19–3.06 · deserved BUF 52%Swing Byram +29 2nd 17:05Method

Goals and penalties with DAL win probability
Time	Event	DAL win before	DAL win after
1st 0:15	Goal DAL · M. Bourque	54%	72%
1st 0:38	DAL penalty · R. Faksa · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 1:41	DAL penalty · J. Hryckowian · tripping · 2 min
2nd 4:44	BUF penalty · J. Doan · tripping · 2 min
2nd 7:44	Goal BUF · J. Doan	77%	53%
2nd 17:05	Goal BUF · B. Byram	53%	24%
3rd 3:59	BUF penalty · T. Thompson · hooking · 2 min
3rd 9:21	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	15%	3%
3rd 11:35	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	2%	0%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
44J. DunneC	0:37	11:15	17	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	2-4
12J. GreenwayL	0:31	12:28	19	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	0-1
29B. MalenstynL	0:38	13:36	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1	–
25O. PowerD	0:36	24:12	30	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	1	–
26R. DahlinD	0:36	24:43	30	0	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA29GA1SV%.966xGA3.06GSAx+2.06

DAL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10O. BäckC	0:30	12:54	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
12R. FaksaC	0:34	12:33	17	0	0	0	2	2	2	1	1	3-2
15C. BlackwellC	0:32	12:33	16	0	0	0	4	4	0	1	0	3-5
5N. LundkvistD	0:22	15:53	21	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	–
28A. PetrovicD	1:31	13:27	16	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	2	–
1C. DeSmithG		60:00	SA31GA4SV%.871xGA3.19GSAx−0.81

Goals

1st
Mavrik Bourque(1)
J. Robertson (1), M. Heiskanen (1)
xG 0.29snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 DAL1st 00:15+18.272%
2nd
Josh Doan(1)
T. Thompson (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 07:44+24.047%
Bowen Byram(1)
N. Ostlund (1), A. Tuch (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 BUF2nd 17:05+29.076%
3rd
Tage Thompson(1)
J. Doan (1), B. Byram (1)
xG 0.23snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 BUF3rd 09:21+12.297%
Tage Thompson(2)
N. Ostlund (2), O. Power (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 BUF3rd 11:35+1.3100%

Shots

BUF3.19 xG46 unblocked · 13 blocked46 unblocked · 13 blocked

DAL3.06 xG38 unblocked · 10 blocked38 unblocked · 10 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFDAL4Goals13.19xG3.0631Shots2946Unblocked3859Attempts487High danger60/2Power play0/228Faceoffs2024Hits1510Blocks134Takeaways314Giveaways124PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	24:43	0	0	0	5	5	0.30	−0.30	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	24:36	1	1	2	2	5	0.43	+0.57	3	1	1	0	—	0	+3
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	24:12	0	1	1	0	3	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	22:56	0	0	0	3	5	0.09	−0.09	1	2	0	2	—	0	+1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	18:45	2	1	3	7	11	0.84	+1.16	1	0	0	0	45%	2	+3
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	18:21	0	1	1	2	3	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	1	100%	0	+1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	16:35	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	0	1	0	3	83%	0	0
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	16:11	0	0	0	1	3	0.08	−0.08	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	15:27	1	1	2	3	6	0.53	+0.47	4	0	1	1	—	2	+2
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	15:21	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	1	0	1	0	—	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	13:59	0	0	0	2	3	0.29	−0.29	2	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	13:36	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	5	0	0	0	—	0	0
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	13:07	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	0	62%	0	0
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	12:56	0	2	2	0	1	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	2	67%	0	+1
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	12:28	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	4	0	0	0	0%	0	0
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	12:04	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	11:15	0	0	0	2	5	0.36	−0.36	1	0	1	0	33%	0	0
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	9:28	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
BUF total		4	7	11	31	59	3.19	+0.81	24	9	4	13	58%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Thompson+1.64

Doan+0.98

Ostlund+0.81

Dunne+0.02

Krebs−0.16

McLeod−0.21

Greenway−0.23

Malenstyn−0.27

Tuch−0.28

Benson−0.29

Quinn−0.35

Norris−0.37

Defence

Byram+0.77

Power+0.21

Dahlin−0.03

Kesselring−0.06

Samuelsson−0.12

Metsa−0.18

Goalie

Luukkonen+2.08

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	11:42	19	19	11	63.3%	11	6	1	0	1.35	0.68	66.5%	+0.67	4	2	67%
Benson·McLeod·Quinn	10:45	16	11	8	57.9%	5	4	0	0	0.37	0.53	41.4%	−0.16	3	0	100%
Norris·Ostlund·Tuch	9:22	17	7	10	41.2%	3	6	1	1	0.19	0.71	21.4%	−0.52	4	2	67%
Greenway·Malenstyn·Dunne	9:08	17	8	4	66.7%	4	3	0	0	0.42	0.22	65.7%	+0.20	0	1	0%
Occasional · 5 groups
Thompson·Ostlund·Tuch	1:55	7	2	2	50.0%	1	1	1	0	0.14	0.09	59.1%	+0.04	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	1:01	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·Norris·Quinn	0:48	3	0	6	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Benson·Malenstyn·Dunne	0:36	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Ostlund·Tuch	0:36	2	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	52:00		53	44	54.6%	29	26	4	1	2.79	2.53	52.5%	+0.27

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 28/29
SV%: .966
xGA: 3.06
GSAx: +2.06

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/26	.962	2.53	+1.53
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.21	+0.21
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.31	+0.31
High danger	4/5	.800	1.29	+0.29

Casey DeSmith

DAL · 60:00

Saves: 27/31
SV%: .871
xGA: 3.19
GSAx: −0.81

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/29	.862	2.79	−1.21
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.39	+0.39
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/6	.833	1.32	+0.32

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

24:43Dahlin
24:36Byram
24:12Power
22:56Samuelsson
12:04Kesselring
9:28Metsa

18:45Thompson
18:21Tuch
16:35McLeod
16:11Benson
15:27Doan
15:21Quinn
13:59Krebs
13:36Malenstyn
13:07Norris
12:56Ostlund
12:28Greenway
11:15Dunne

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFDAL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD3 O6
PowerD3 O4
SamuelssonD2 O2
KesselringD1 O1
ByramD4 O4
MetsaD2 O0
NorrisD1 O6
BensonD0 O5
QuinnD1 O4
DoanD2 O5
ThompsonD2 O4
KrebsD2 O4
OstlundD1 O3
McLeodD3 O4
TuchD5 O5
GreenwayD0 O0
DunneD0 O0
MalenstynD1 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period