CAR @ FLA 3–4 · 2025-12-19

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
CAR	1	0	2	0	29
FLA	0	0	3	0	41

Story

– / 14

Result FLA 4–3 SOCall No lean · CAR 65%xG 3.85–4.00 · deserved FLA 52%Swing Reinhart +43 3rd 19:18Method

Goals and penalties with FLA win probability
Time	Event	FLA win before	FLA win after
1st 11:53	Goal CAR · J. Staal	36%	20%
2nd 2:48	CAR penalty · K. Miller · hooking · 2 min
2nd 10:08	FLA penalty · J. Boqvist · tripping · 2 min
3rd 1:27	Goal CAR · S. Aho	15%	4%
3rd 6:35	FLA penalty · B. Marchand · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 7:34	Goal CAR · S. Aho (PP)	2%	1%
3rd 10:16	Goal FLA · B. Marchand	1%	2%
3rd 11:48	FLA penalty · A. Lundell · tripping · 2 min
3rd 12:07	CAR penalty · A. Svechnikov · holding · 2 min
3rd 15:17	FLA penalty · A. Greer · tripping · 2 min
3rd 15:17	CAR penalty · S. Aho · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
3rd 17:35	Goal FLA · S. Bennett	1%	4%
3rd 19:18	Goal FLA · S. Reinhart	1%	44%
2OT 0:00	CAR penalty · S. Walker · boarding · 2 min

On ice · final horn

CAR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
11J. StaalC	0:24	17:12	28	1	0	1	2	3	0	2	3	14-15
26S. WalkerD	0:24	21:15	27	0	0	0	2	4	0	6	2	–
74J. SlavinD	0:24	18:36	26	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	–
32B. BussiG		65:00	SA41GA3SV%.927xGA4.00GSAx+1.00

FLA3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13S. ReinhartC	0:24	22:51	24	1	1	2	5	8	0	2	0	1-1
17E. RodriguesC	0:24	19:47	27	0	2	2	6	9	0	0	0	18-11
3S. JonesD	0:58	30:47	30	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	–
72S. BobrovskyG		61:21	SA29GA3SV%.897xGA2.90GSAx−0.10

Goals

1st
Jordan Staal(1)
E. Robinson (1), S. Gostisbehere (1)
xG 0.05backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 11:53+16.380%
3rd
Sebastian Aho(1)
A. Svechnikov (1), S. Jarvis (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CAR3rd 01:27+11.296%
Sebastian Aho(2)PP
A. Svechnikov (2), S. Jarvis (2)
xG 0.25snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 CAR3rd 07:34+1.999%
Brad Marchand(1)
S. Bennett (1), C. Verhaeghe (1)
xG 0.32wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 CAR3rd 10:16+1.22%
Sam Bennett(1)6v5
E. Rodrigues (1), S. Reinhart (1)
xG 0.53batClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR3rd 17:35+3.14%
Sam Reinhart(1)6v5
B. Marchand (1), E. Rodrigues (2)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 19:18+42.844%

ShootoutFLA A. Lundell –CAR S. Aho –FLA S. Reinhart GCAR A. Svechnikov –FLA B. Marchand –CAR J. Blake GFLA E. Rodrigues GCAR N. Ehlers –

Shots

CAR3.85 xG45 unblocked · 14 blocked45 unblocked · 14 blocked

FLA4.00 xG55 unblocked · 18 blocked55 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARFLA3Goals33.85xG4.0029Shots4145Unblocked5559Attempts735High danger31/3Power play0/233Faceoffs4627Hits2318Blocks148Takeaways316Giveaways158PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	23:40	2	0	2	2	9	1.21	+0.79	1	0	1	1	35%	2	0
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	22:16	0	1	1	2	4	0.09	−0.09	1	1	0	1	—	0	+1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	21:34	0	0	0	3	5	0.08	−0.08	0	1	3	2	—	0	+1
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	21:15	0	0	0	2	4	0.58	−0.58	6	2	0	2	—	2	-2
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	21:11	0	0	0	2	3	0.07	−0.07	0	2	0	2	—	2	0
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	20:59	0	2	2	4	7	0.50	−0.50	1	1	0	0	100%	0	-1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	20:54	0	2	2	2	5	0.16	−0.16	7	0	0	1	—	2	-1
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	18:36	0	0	0	1	2	0.10	−0.10	0	1	1	0	—	0	-2
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	18:12	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	17:40	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	2	—	0	0
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	17:12	1	0	1	2	3	0.24	+0.76	2	3	0	1	48%	0	-1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	16:46	0	0	0	2	3	0.07	−0.07	0	1	1	0	0%	0	+1
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	13:53	0	0	0	3	4	0.19	−0.19	2	0	1	2	38%	0	-1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	12:51	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	0%	0	0
71T. HallTaylor HallL	12:21	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	10:32	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	10:05	0	0	0	3	3	0.44	−0.44	1	0	0	1	45%	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	9:03	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	1	0	50%	0	0
CAR total		3	6	9	29	59	3.85	−0.85	27	16	8	16	42%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Aho+0.86

Svechnikov+0.52

Staal+0.36

Robinson+0.21

Kotkaniemi−0.06

Jarvis−0.07

Ehlers−0.10

Jankowski−0.11

Carrier−0.19

Hall−0.32

Blake−0.39

Stankoven−0.47

Defence

Gostisbehere+0.03

Slavin−0.04

Walker−0.08

Chatfield−0.23

Nikishin−0.26

Miller−0.32

Goalie

Bussi+1.03

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	11:55	19	20	9	69.0%	5	6	1	0	0.77	0.55	58.1%	+0.21	4	3	57%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	11:15	17	6	9	40.0%	3	4	0	0	0.25	0.50	32.8%	−0.26	1	1	50%
Carrier·Robinson·Staal	8:07	16	5	12	29.4%	3	5	0	0	0.12	0.47	20.7%	−0.35	1	7	13%
Hall·Jankowski·Kotkaniemi	7:52	14	5	4	55.6%	3	3	0	0	0.11	0.18	38.4%	−0.07	3	2	60%
Occasional · 6 groups
Aho·Kotkaniemi·Svechnikov	1:04	4	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
Robinson·Hall·Staal	0:57	3	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.30	0.0%	−0.30	1	0	100%
Ehlers·Staal·Blake	0:50	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Ehlers·Aho·Blake	0:39	4	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Robinson·Aho·Svechnikov	0:39	4	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Hall·Staal·Kotkaniemi	0:30	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	48:57		45	50	47.4%	21	29	2	1	1.80	2.70	40.1%	−0.89

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 65:00

Saves: 38/41
SV%: .927
xGA: 4.00
GSAx: +1.00

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	36/39	.923	3.96	+0.96
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.04	+0.04
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	0/2	.000	1.01	−0.99

Sergei Bobrovsky

FLA · 61:21

Saves: 26/29
SV%: .897
xGA: 2.90
GSAx: −0.10

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	2.07	+0.07
Power play	3/4	.750	0.60	−0.40
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.23	+0.23
High danger	2/3	.667	0.60	−0.40

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

22:16Gostisbehere
21:34Chatfield
21:15Walker
21:11Miller
18:36Slavin
17:40Nikishin

23:40Aho
20:59Jarvis
20:54Svechnikov
18:12Blake
17:12Staal
16:46Ehlers
13:53Stankoven
12:51Robinson
12:21Hall
10:32Kotkaniemi
10:05Jankowski
9:03Carrier

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARFLA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD2 O4
SlavinD4 O6
NikishinD1 O3
ChatfieldD6 O5
WalkerD5 O3
MillerD7 O1
AhoD2 O7
SvechnikovD1 O6
HallD2 O5
JarvisD2 O5
EhlersD1 O2
KotkaniemiD2 O3
JankowskiD3 O3
StankovenD1 O1
BlakeD1 O0
StaalD7 O5
CarrierD6 O1
RobinsonD7 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period