BUF @ WPG 1–4 · 2025-12-05

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	1	0	0	35
WPG	1	2	1	23

Story

– / 11

Result WPG 4–1Call No lean · WPG 53%xG 3.43–2.99 · deserved BUF 57%Swing Pearson +20 2nd 2:22Method

Goals and penalties with WPG win probability
Time	Event	WPG win before	WPG win after
1st 4:24	Goal WPG · K. Connor	53%	70%
1st 7:40	WPG penalty · M. Barron · tripping · 2 min
1st 14:25	WPG penalty · J. Toews · tripping · 2 min
1st 14:44	Goal BUF · J. Zucker (PP)	71%	53%
1st 16:18	BUF penalty · B. Byram · hooking · 2 min
2nd 2:22	Goal WPG · T. Pearson	53%	73%
2nd 6:13	WPG penalty · L. Stanley · roughing · 2 min
2nd 6:13	BUF penalty · J. Greenway · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:18	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · ps hooking on breakaway
2nd 18:42	Goal WPG · C. Koepke	78%	93%
3rd 19:26	Goal WPG · G. Vilardi (EN)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:34	14:50	16	0	0	0	3	4	0	4	0	7-3
12J. GreenwayL	0:34	13:42	17	0	0	0	3	6	2	4	0	0-1
29B. MalenstynL	0:34	13:11	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	1	–
4B. ByramD	0:34	21:46	29	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	0	–
25O. PowerD	0:34	20:17	23	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	–
1U. LuukkonenG		58:30	SA22GA3SV%.864xGA2.49GSAx−0.51

WPG5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17A. LowryC	0:07	14:51	21	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	9-4
45C. KoepkeL	0:34	11:34	14	1	1	2	1	1	0	4	1	–
70T. PearsonL	0:34	10:41	14	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	1	–
57E. SalomonssonD	0:34	11:41	15	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	–
64L. StanleyD	0:34	15:09	17	0	0	0	0	3	2	2	0	–
1E. ComrieG		60:00	SA35GA1SV%.971xGA3.43GSAx+2.43

Goals

1st
Kyle Connor(1)
G. Vilardi (1), D. Samberg (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 WPG1st 04:24+16.970%
Jason Zucker(1)PP
J. Norris (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 14:44+18.647%
2nd
Tanner Pearson(1)
C. Koepke (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 WPG2nd 02:22+20.273%
Cole Koepke(1)
M. Barron (1), D. DeMelo (1)
xG 0.18backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 WPG2nd 18:42+14.693%
3rd
Gabriel Vilardi(1)EN
K. Connor (1), M. Scheifele (1)
xG 0.50wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 WPG3rd 19:26+0.099%

Shots

BUF3.43 xG56 unblocked · 11 blocked56 unblocked · 11 blocked

WPG2.99 xG35 unblocked · 7 blocked35 unblocked · 7 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFWPG1Goals43.43xG2.9935Shots2356Unblocked3567Attempts424High danger71/2Power play0/126Faceoffs3022Hits337Blocks116Takeaways213Giveaways164PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	24:42	0	1	1	4	7	0.12	−0.12	1	2	0	1	—	0	-1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	23:21	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	21:46	0	0	0	2	2	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	1	—	2	-2
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	20:17	0	0	0	2	3	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	18:37	0	0	0	5	8	0.23	−0.23	1	2	0	1	—	0	-1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	18:13	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	1	47%	0	0
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	16:55	0	0	0	3	7	0.38	−0.38	1	0	0	2	63%	0	-2
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	16:32	1	0	1	5	7	0.75	+0.25	0	0	0	2	17%	0	-1
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	16:09	0	0	0	2	4	0.48	−0.48	2	0	2	2	0%	0	-2
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	16:01	0	0	0	1	4	0.20	−0.20	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	15:43	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	0	40%	0	-3
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	14:50	0	0	0	3	4	0.17	−0.17	4	0	0	1	70%	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	14:21	0	0	0	1	2	0.16	−0.16	1	1	2	1	—	0	-1
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	13:42	0	0	0	3	6	0.23	−0.23	4	0	0	0	0%	2	0
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	13:24	0	0	0	3	3	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	0	—	0	-2
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	13:11	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	−0.09	5	1	2	0	—	0	0
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	10:32	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	0	40%	0	-1
78J. BrysonJacob BrysonD	9:14	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	0	—	0	-2
BUF total		1	2	3	35	67	3.43	−2.43	22	7	6	13	46%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Zucker+0.57

Norris+0.30

Thompson−0.05

Ostlund−0.08

Doan−0.16

Tuch−0.22

Malenstyn−0.25

Benson−0.26

Krebs−0.27

Quinn−0.31

Greenway−0.32

McLeod−0.37

Defence

Dahlin+0.21

Timmins+0.04

Bryson−0.13

Power−0.18

Samuelsson−0.20

Byram−0.50

Goalie

Luukkonen−0.49

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Norris·Thompson	11:29	18	13	8	61.9%	6	7	0	2	0.51	0.65	44.1%	−0.14	1	7	13%
Greenway·Malenstyn·Krebs	11:17	15	16	10	61.5%	9	5	0	0	0.53	0.67	44.2%	−0.14	0	1	0%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	6:46	11	5	5	50.0%	4	2	0	0	0.24	0.18	56.8%	+0.06	3	1	75%
McLeod·Tuch·Doan	5:12	8	4	2	66.7%	2	0	0	0	0.05	0.14	24.4%	−0.10	1	0	100%
Ostlund·Tuch·Doan	4:47	10	4	4	50.0%	2	2	0	1	0.15	0.22	39.9%	−0.08	1	1	50%
Zucker·Ostlund·Quinn	4:05	7	3	2	60.0%	1	1	0	0	0.21	0.03	87.2%	+0.18	1	0	100%
Occasional · 6 groups
Ostlund·Quinn·Doan	1:02	4	1	2	33.3%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.15	18.1%	−0.12	0	0	—
Zucker·Krebs·Quinn	1:02	4	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
McLeod·Quinn·Tuch	0:40	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
Zucker·McLeod·Thompson	0:36	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Greenway·Krebs·Tuch	0:36	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.10	0.00	100.0%	+0.10	0	0	—
Benson·McLeod·Thompson	0:30	4	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	52:11		53	37	58.9%	26	20	0	3	2.08	2.27	47.9%	−0.19

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 58:30

Saves: 19/22
SV%: .864
xGA: 2.49
GSAx: −0.51

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/20	.850	2.27	−0.73
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.22	+0.22
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/5	.800	0.96	−0.04

Eric Comrie

WPG · 60:00

Saves: 34/35
SV%: .971
xGA: 3.43
GSAx: +2.43

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	29/29	1.000	2.69	+2.69
Power play	5/6	.833	0.74	−0.26
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	0.86	+0.86

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

24:42Dahlin
23:21Samuelsson
21:46Byram
20:17Power
18:37Timmins
9:14Bryson

18:13McLeod
16:55Thompson
16:32Zucker
16:09Tuch
16:01Quinn
15:43Norris
14:50Krebs
14:21Doan
13:42Greenway
13:24Benson
13:11Malenstyn
10:32Ostlund

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFWPG

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD2 O3
BrysonD2 O2
PowerD3 O3
SamuelssonD5 O3
ByramD5 O3
TimminsD4 O1
ZuckerD1 O5
QuinnD1 O5
McLeodD3 O6
TuchD3 O4
DoanD1 O2
OstlundD1 O2
GreenwayD1 O0
MalenstynD1 O0
KrebsD1 O0
NorrisD5 O2
ThompsonD6 O2
BensonD6 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period